Sligo Rovers v St. Patrick's Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Sligo Rovers

18:45 UTC

St. Patrick's Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 247h before kick-off

Sligo Rovers win

18.4%

model 19.9%

Draw

32.4%

model 31.9%

St. Patrick's Athletic win

49.3%

model 48.2%

183249

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.9%
0-0 12.6%
0-1 12.1%
0-2 10.4%
1-2 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.1%	Under 2.5	59.9%
BTTS yes	46.2%	BTTS no	53.8%
Sligo Rovers 1+	57.4%	Sligo Rovers 2+	21.0%
St. Patrick's Athletic 1+	76.2%	St. Patrick's Athletic 2+	42.0%

Expected goals 0.85 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

18/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

St. Patrick's Athletic (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

72.5% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 2950 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St. Patrick's Athletic or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

St. Patrick's Athletic have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Sligo Rovers have allowed 1.35.
Away from home St. Patrick's Athletic average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Sligo Rovers have only 0 matches on record.
St. Patrick's Athletic have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St. Patrick's Athletic have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 32.4% for the draw and 18.4% for Sligo Rovers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.85 for Sligo Rovers and 1.43 for St. Patrick's Athletic.

Why Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while St. Patrick's Athletic have allowed 1.35. At home Sligo Rovers average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 32.4%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why St. Patrick's Athletic can win

St. Patrick's Athletic have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Sligo Rovers have allowed 1.35. Away from home St. Patrick's Athletic average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sligo Rovers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St. Patrick's Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sligo Rovers: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St. Patrick's Athletic: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

St. Patrick's Athletic are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.9%. Confidence 18/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	203248	0.85–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	163252	0.68–1.39	0-1 15%	34%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to win	48.2%	48.0%	28.2%	1.70×	2.08
Draw	31.9%	31.5%	31.3%	1.01×	3.17
Sligo Rovers to win	19.9%	17.9%	40.8%	0.44×	5.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic & not both score	30.0%	26.5%	12.3%	2.16×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	18.1%	22.1%	0.82×	5.52
St. Patrick's Athletic & both teams score	18.2%	18.1%	16.3%	1.11×	5.52
Draw & not both score	12.6%	12.7%	9.5%	1.33×	7.88
Sligo Rovers & not both score	11.2%	12.7%	22.7%	0.56×	7.88
Sligo Rovers & both teams score	8.7%	7.6%	18.4%	0.42×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 3.5	36.4%	36.6%	20.6%	1.78×	2.74
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 1.5	36.1%	36.6%	20.9%	1.75×	2.74
Draw & under 2.5	27.6%	26.4%	23.3%	1.13×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	27.6%	26.4%	23.3%	1.13×	3.79
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 2.5	25.7%	26.4%	17.5%	1.51×	3.79
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 2.5	22.5%	21.8%	11.0%	1.98×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	17.7%	22.1%	0.80×	5.64
Sligo Rovers & under 3.5	16.2%	17.7%	31.0%	0.57×	5.64
Sligo Rovers & over 1.5	13.7%	12.4%	30.4%	0.41×	8.05
Draw & under 1.5	12.6%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.06
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 1.5	12.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.62×	8.06
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 3.5	11.8%	12.4%	8.0%	1.56×	8.06
Sligo Rovers & over 2.5	10.0%	12.4%	23.0%	0.54×	8.06
Sligo Rovers & under 2.5	9.9%	7.6%	18.1%	0.42×	13.20
Sligo Rovers & under 1.5	6.2%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.4%	8.3%	0.53×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.4%	8.3%	0.53×	22.79
Sligo Rovers & over 3.5	3.7%	4.4%	10.1%	0.43×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (1UP)	61.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Sligo Rovers (1UP)	36.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (2UP)	48.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Sligo Rovers (2UP)	19.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to win 2nd half	41.4%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	39.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Sligo Rovers to win 2nd half	18.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
St. Patrick's Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
St. Patrick's Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
St. Patrick's Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	21.9%	—	—	4.57

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.4%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Sligo Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Sligo Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Sligo Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.6%	8.8%	—	—	11.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (+2.5)	98.2%	96.6%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
St. Patrick's Athletic (+1.5)	92.8%	92.3%	82.2%	1.12×	1.08
St. Patrick's Athletic (+0.5)	80.1%	83.2%	59.2%	1.41×	1.20
Sligo Rovers (+0.5)	51.8%	51.8%	71.8%	0.72×	1.93
St. Patrick's Athletic (-0.5)	48.2%	48.2%	28.2%	1.71×	2.07
Sligo Rovers (-0.5)	19.9%	16.8%	40.8%	0.41×	5.95
Sligo Rovers (-1.5)	7.2%	7.7%	17.8%	0.43×	12.97
Sligo Rovers (-2.5)	1.8%	3.4%	7.4%	0.46×	29.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to concede	57.4%	61.7%	78.5%	0.79×	1.62
St. Patrick's Athletic clean sheet	42.6%	38.3%	21.5%	1.78×	2.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
St. Patrick's Athletic to concede in 1st half	30.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half	61.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
St. Patrick's Athletic to concede in 2nd half	38.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.2%	96.9%	0.95×	1.09
St. Patrick's Athletic under 2.5 goals	82.5%	82.5%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
St. Patrick's Athletic over 0.5 goals	76.2%	76.4%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
St. Patrick's Athletic under 1.5 goals	58.0%	58.9%	67.2%	0.88×	1.70
St. Patrick's Athletic over 1.5 goals	42.0%	41.1%	32.8%	1.25×	2.43
St. Patrick's Athletic under 0.5 goals	23.8%	23.6%	31.9%	0.74×	4.23
St. Patrick's Athletic over 2.5 goals	17.5%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.71
St. Patrick's Athletic over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.8%	3.1%	2.56×	12.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	88.7%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
St. Patrick's Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	56.4%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
St. Patrick's Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	43.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
St. Patrick's Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	11.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.77

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic scores more in 2nd half	39.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
St. Patrick's Athletic scores equally in both	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
St. Patrick's Athletic scores more in 1st half	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	61.6%	62.3%	43.4%	1.43×	1.61
Sligo Rovers (away no bet)	38.4%	37.7%	56.6%	0.67×	2.65

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic even goals	52.8%	53.6%	57.1%	0.94×	1.87
St. Patrick's Athletic odd goals	47.2%	46.4%	42.9%	1.08×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.6%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.4%	9.4%	—	—	10.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 2+ in a row	35.9%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
Sligo Rovers to score 2+ in a row	15.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.9%	—	—	7.76
Sligo Rovers to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	3.1%	—	—	31.94

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.9%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
0-0	12.6%	11.2%	9.5%	1.18×	8.91
0-1	12.1%	11.2%	7.7%	1.46×	8.91
0-2	10.4%	11.2%	3.7%	3.05×	8.91
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.45
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.45
2-1	5.3%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.45
0-3	5.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.34
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
2-0	3.7%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.34
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.34
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.35
3-1	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.35
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.35
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.35
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.59×	58.35
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (2nd half DNB)	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sligo Rovers (2nd half DNB)	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sligo Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw (X2)	80.1%	82.1%	59.2%	1.39×	1.22
Sligo Rovers or St. Patrick's Athletic (12)	68.1%	68.5%	68.7%	1.00×	1.46
Sligo Rovers or draw (1X)	51.8%	52.0%	71.8%	0.72×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw at HT	81.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Sligo Rovers or draw at HT	67.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Sligo Rovers or St. Patrick's Athletic at HT	51.4%	53.9%	—	—	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw (1UP)	80.1%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Sligo Rovers or draw (1UP)	51.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw in 2nd half	81.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sligo Rovers or St. Patrick's Athletic in 2nd half	60.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Sligo Rovers or draw in 2nd half	58.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Neither half drawn	33.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (DNB)	70.8%	72.5%	40.9%	1.77×	1.38
Sligo Rovers (DNB)	29.2%	27.5%	59.1%	0.46×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score first	54.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sligo Rovers to score first	32.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
No goal scored	12.6%	7.0%	—	—	14.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.8%	51.6%	43.9%	1.18×	1.94
Both teams to score	46.2%	48.4%	56.1%	0.86×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.1%	45.1%	38.0%	1.19×	2.22
Both score & over 2.5	31.3%	34.0%	42.3%	0.80×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	14.9%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	6.1%	1.38×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.2%	89.9%	83.1%	1.08×	1.11
Both teams to score 2+	8.8%	10.1%	16.9%	0.60×	9.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	20.1%	23.3%	—	—	4.28
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.3%	46.5%	47.2%	0.98×	2.15
0-1 goals	30.9%	31.2%	27.3%	1.14×	3.21
4-6 goals	18.9%	19.1%	23.9%	0.80×	5.24
7+ goals	0.9%	2.0%	2.1%	0.94×	49.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.3%	35.6%	0.91×	3.09
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	22.7%	1.02×	4.30
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 0	23.8%	23.3%	31.9%	0.73×	4.30
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 3+	17.5%	18.2%	10.4%	1.75×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers to score exactly 0	42.6%	38.5%	21.5%	1.79×	2.60
Sligo Rovers to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.6%	35.9%	1.02×	2.73
Sligo Rovers to score exactly 2	15.5%	18.1%	28.5%	0.64×	5.51
Sligo Rovers to score 3+	5.5%	8.9%	14.7%	0.60×	11.28

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.6%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
St. Patrick's Athletic leading at HT	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Sligo Rovers leading at HT	18.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: 1	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: 2	25.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: X	23.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:1)	80.1%	82.0%	59.2%	1.39×	1.22
Draw (0:1)	12.7%	13.1%	23.3%	0.56×	7.62
Sligo Rovers (0:1)	7.2%	8.6%	17.8%	0.48×	11.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:2)	92.8%	91.5%	82.2%	1.11×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	5.5%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	12.98
Sligo Rovers (0:2)	1.8%	3.5%	7.4%	0.48×	28.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:3)	98.2%	96.7%	92.6%	1.04×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	1.4%	2.6%	5.5%	0.46×	39.19
Sligo Rovers (0:3)	0.3%	2.6%	2.1%	1.19×	39.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:4)	99.7%	97.8%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Sligo Rovers (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	1.5%	0.92×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers (1:0)	51.8%	52.4%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
St. Patrick's Athletic (1:0)	25.2%	25.1%	8.3%	3.03×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	23.0%	22.1%	20.2%	1.09×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers (2:0)	74.8%	74.8%	91.7%	0.82×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	15.4%	15.1%	6.4%	2.35×	6.62
St. Patrick's Athletic (2:0)	9.8%	6.6%	2.1%	3.08×	15.10

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	31.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
1st half highest scoring	24.5%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers to concede	76.2%	77.1%	68.1%	1.13×	1.30
Sligo Rovers clean sheet	23.8%	22.9%	31.9%	0.72×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	56.4%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Sligo Rovers to concede in 1st half	43.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers to concede in 2nd half	57.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sligo Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half	42.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers under 3.5 goals	98.9%	96.6%	94.2%	1.03×	1.04
Sligo Rovers under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.4%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Sligo Rovers under 1.5 goals	79.0%	78.2%	57.1%	1.37×	1.28
Sligo Rovers over 0.5 goals	57.4%	57.9%	78.5%	0.74×	1.73
Sligo Rovers under 0.5 goals	42.6%	42.1%	21.5%	1.96×	2.38
Sligo Rovers over 1.5 goals	21.0%	21.8%	42.9%	0.51×	4.58
Sligo Rovers over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	14.7%	0.52×	13.08
Sligo Rovers over 3.5 goals	1.1%	3.4%	5.8%	0.58×	29.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Sligo Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Sligo Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.7%	—	—	3.25
Sligo Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.30

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers scores equally in both	50.6%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Sligo Rovers scores more in 2nd half	28.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Sligo Rovers scores more in 1st half	20.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (home no bet)	60.2%	60.2%	47.4%	1.27×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	39.8%	39.8%	52.6%	0.76×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers even goals	59.1%	55.6%	54.3%	1.02×	1.80
Sligo Rovers odd goals	40.9%	44.4%	45.7%	0.97×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
HT 0-1	22.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
HT 1-0	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	8.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
HT 0-2	6.4%	8.0%	—	—	12.55
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
HT 2-0	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.51
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	27.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Draw at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	18.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Sligo Rovers at HT / Sligo Rovers at FT	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / Sligo Rovers at FT	8.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.46
Sligo Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Sligo Rovers at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	2.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.57
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / Sligo Rovers at FT	1.1%	3.6%	—	—	27.61

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score last	55.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Sligo Rovers to score last	32.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
No goal scored	12.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Sligo Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	30.2%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Sligo Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Sligo Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.31

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	82.1%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
1-4 goals	79.1%	77.9%	77.9%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	68.2%	68.2%	70.9%	0.96×	1.47
1-3 goals	67.6%	68.2%	65.0%	1.05×	1.47
2-5 goals	66.2%	68.2%	68.4%	1.00×	1.47
2-4 goals	60.9%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	49.3%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
1-2 goals	47.3%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11
3-6 goals	39.1%	39.0%	46.3%	0.84×	2.56
3-5 goals	37.1%	39.0%	43.9%	0.89×	2.56
3-4 goals	31.8%	34.7%	35.6%	0.98×	2.88
4-6 goals	18.9%	18.9%	23.9%	0.79×	5.30
4-5 goals	16.9%	18.9%	21.5%	0.88×	5.30
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.9%	11.0%	0.81×	11.22
7+ goals	0.9%	2.3%	2.1%	1.05×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic never behind	51.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Sligo Rovers never behind	25.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.5%	51.2%	49.7%	1.03×	1.95
Odd number of goals	44.5%	48.8%	50.3%	0.97×	2.05

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	41.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.9%	48.9%	—	—	2.04

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	96.0%	95.4%	1.01×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.4%	87.8%	90.5%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.2%	81.6%	74.2%	1.10×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	69.1%	67.7%	72.7%	0.93×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	57.8%	51.8%	1.11×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	40.0%	42.2%	48.2%	0.88×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	30.9%	32.3%	27.3%	1.18×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	19.8%	18.4%	25.8%	0.71×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	12.6%	12.2%	9.5%	1.28×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.0%	4.6%	0.86×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.3%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.7%	92.0%	85.2%	1.08×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.2%	75.9%	66.8%	1.14×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.4%	58.2%	63.8%	0.91×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.6%	41.8%	36.2%	1.16×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.8%	24.1%	33.2%	0.72×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.3%	8.0%	14.8%	0.54×	12.51
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.69
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.0%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.3%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers not to score in both halves	88.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
St. Patrick's Athletic not to score in both halves	74.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
St. Patrick's Athletic to score in both halves	25.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Sligo Rovers to score in both halves	11.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.2%	50.7%	56.1%	0.90×	1.97
Only St. Patrick's Athletic scores	30.0%	25.4%	12.3%	2.07×	3.93
Neither team scores	12.6%	11.2%	9.5%	1.18×	8.94
Only Sligo Rovers scores	11.2%	11.2%	22.7%	0.49×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	29.1%	25.0%	24.8%	1.01×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	18.3%	17.6%	18.1%	0.97×	5.68
Exactly 0 goals	12.6%	12.3%	9.5%	1.29×	8.14
Exactly 4 goals	11.6%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	8.6%	0.90×	12.89
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.0%	4.6%	0.88×	24.74

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	17.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
3+ goals in 1st half	7.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.33

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	26.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers not to win both halves	96.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
St. Patrick's Athletic not to win both halves	86.0%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
St. Patrick's Athletic to win both halves	14.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.16
Sligo Rovers to win both halves	3.7%	2.7%	—	—	36.80

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers to win neither half	66.3%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
St. Patrick's Athletic to win either half	60.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
St. Patrick's Athletic to win neither half	39.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Sligo Rovers to win either half	33.7%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sligo Rovers not to win to nil	88.8%	87.9%	77.3%	1.14×	1.14
St. Patrick's Athletic not to win to nil	70.0%	74.8%	87.7%	0.85×	1.34
St. Patrick's Athletic to win to nil	30.0%	25.2%	12.3%	2.05×	3.97
Sligo Rovers to win to nil	11.2%	12.1%	22.7%	0.53×	8.25

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.9%	29.2%	31.3%	0.93×	3.42
St. Patrick's Athletic by 1	23.0%	23.4%	20.2%	1.16×	4.27
St. Patrick's Athletic by 2	15.4%	17.2%	6.4%	2.67×	5.80
Sligo Rovers by 1	12.7%	11.8%	23.3%	0.51×	8.45
St. Patrick's Athletic by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	2.1%	3.38×	13.76
Sligo Rovers by 2	5.5%	7.3%	10.7%	0.68×	13.77
Sligo Rovers by 3+	1.8%	3.0%	7.4%	0.41×	33.47