Slovan Bratislava v Shakhtar Donetsk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 December 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Slovan Bratislava

17:45 UTC

Shakhtar Donetsk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,039h before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava win

30.9%

model 33.1%

Draw

23.8%

model 22.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk win

45.3%

model 44.0%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
1-2 9.0%
0-1 9.0%
1-0 7.7%
2-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.8%	Under 2.5	43.2%
BTTS yes	58.7%	BTTS no	41.3%
Slovan Bratislava 1+	74.3%	Slovan Bratislava 2+	39.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk 1+	79.9%	Shakhtar Donetsk 2+	47.6%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

67/100

Data quality

45/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Shakhtar Donetsk (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 49%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Slovan Bratislava not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 76%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1376.

Risk factors

Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Shakhtar Donetsk have only 9 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shakhtar Donetsk have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Slovan Bratislava and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.60 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

Why Slovan Bratislava

Nothing in the data singles out Slovan Bratislava.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.36 to 1.60. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why Shakhtar Donetsk can win

Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1376.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Slovan Bratislava, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shakhtar Donetsk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Slovan Bratislava: 34% possession, 7.0 shots a match, 25.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shakhtar Donetsk: 43% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Shakhtar Donetsk are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 67/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332344	1.36–1.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332344	1.40–1.66	1-1 10%	59%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to win	44.3%	43.0%	33.7%	1.28×	2.33
Slovan Bratislava to win	33.1%	30.4%	51.0%	0.60×	3.29
Draw	22.5%	24.5%	15.6%	1.57×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk & both teams score	23.7%	21.8%	18.4%	1.19×	4.59
Shakhtar Donetsk & not both score	20.6%	21.8%	15.6%	1.40×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Slovan Bratislava & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Slovan Bratislava & not both score	15.0%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.1%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.50

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk & over 1.5	35.9%	34.9%	28.1%	1.24×	2.87
Shakhtar Donetsk & over 2.5	29.4%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Shakhtar Donetsk & under 3.5	27.5%	26.1%	19.1%	1.36×	3.84
Slovan Bratislava & over 1.5	25.9%	26.1%	42.9%	0.61×	3.84
Slovan Bratislava & over 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	36.7%	0.59×	4.63
Slovan Bratislava & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	26.8%	0.81×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.55
Shakhtar Donetsk & over 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.56
Shakhtar Donetsk & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	10.5%	1.23×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	10.5%	1.23×	7.79
Slovan Bratislava & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.79
Slovan Bratislava & over 3.5	11.5%	12.8%	24.5%	0.52×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	5.4%	1.48×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	5.4%	1.48×	12.63
Shakhtar Donetsk & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.35×	12.63
Slovan Bratislava & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.1%	0.94×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (1UP)	61.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Slovan Bratislava (1UP)	51.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (2UP)	44.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Slovan Bratislava (2UP)	33.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to win 2nd half	39.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Slovan Bratislava to win 2nd half	28.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Shakhtar Donetsk over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Shakhtar Donetsk under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Slovan Bratislava over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Slovan Bratislava under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Slovan Bratislava over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	81.6%	1.13×	1.09
Shakhtar Donetsk (+1.5)	85.3%	88.5%	68.4%	1.29×	1.13
Shakhtar Donetsk (+0.5)	66.9%	68.7%	49.0%	1.40×	1.46
Slovan Bratislava (+0.5)	55.7%	57.0%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75
Shakhtar Donetsk (-0.5)	44.3%	43.0%	33.7%	1.28×	2.33
Slovan Bratislava (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	51.0%	0.61×	3.19
Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)	14.7%	11.6%	31.6%	0.37×	8.66
Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to concede	75.3%	78.7%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet	24.7%	21.3%	20.4%	1.04×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet in 1st half	54.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Shakhtar Donetsk to concede in 1st half	45.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to concede in 2nd half	55.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet in 2nd half	45.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk under 3.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Shakhtar Donetsk over 0.5 goals	80.9%	81.5%	70.7%	1.15×	1.23
Shakhtar Donetsk under 2.5 goals	76.9%	76.2%	79.1%	0.96×	1.31
Shakhtar Donetsk under 1.5 goals	50.7%	53.5%	59.9%	0.89×	1.87
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals	49.3%	46.5%	40.1%	1.16×	2.15
Shakhtar Donetsk over 2.5 goals	23.1%	23.8%	20.9%	1.14×	4.21
Shakhtar Donetsk under 0.5 goals	19.1%	18.5%	29.3%	0.63×	5.40
Shakhtar Donetsk over 3.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk under 1.5 in 1st half	85.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Shakhtar Donetsk under 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Shakhtar Donetsk over 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 in 1st half	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk scores more in 2nd half	42.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Shakhtar Donetsk scores equally in both	33.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava (away no bet)	59.5%	57.4%	76.6%	0.75×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.5%	42.6%	23.4%	1.82×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk even goals	51.8%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Shakhtar Donetsk odd goals	48.2%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.5%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Shakhtar Donetsk to score 2+ in a row	39.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Slovan Bratislava to score 2+ in a row	30.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Shakhtar Donetsk to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Slovan Bratislava to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.03

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	5.6%	2.04×	8.72
0-1	8.4%	7.4%	5.9%	1.26×	13.51
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.51
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	7.6%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	3.8%	1.93×	13.51
1-3	5.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.29
0-0	4.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.31
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.34×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	11.5%	0.15×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (2nd half DNB)	57.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Slovan Bratislava (2nd half DNB)	42.1%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk leading at HT (DNB)	53.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Slovan Bratislava leading at HT (DNB)	46.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava or Shakhtar Donetsk (12)	77.5%	75.5%	84.4%	0.89×	1.32
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (X2)	66.9%	69.6%	49.0%	1.42×	1.44
Slovan Bratislava or draw (1X)	55.7%	57.0%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw at HT	72.1%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Slovan Bratislava or draw at HT	68.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Slovan Bratislava or Shakhtar Donetsk at HT	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (1UP)	66.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Slovan Bratislava or draw (1UP)	55.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Slovan Bratislava or Shakhtar Donetsk in 2nd half	67.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Slovan Bratislava or draw in 2nd half	60.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (DNB)	57.2%	58.1%	39.8%	1.46×	1.72
Slovan Bratislava (DNB)	42.8%	41.9%	60.2%	0.70×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Slovan Bratislava to score first	43.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.1%	4.4%	—	—	22.82

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.3%	56.6%	55.4%	1.02×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.7%	43.4%	44.6%	0.97×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.1%	47.2%	50.0%	0.94×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	30.8%	34.6%	29.3%	1.18×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	5.6%	2.20×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	15.6%	0.53×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.9%	79.8%	80.9%	0.99×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.1%	20.2%	19.1%	1.06×	4.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.8%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.7%	42.2%	37.2%	1.13×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.9%	30.7%	37.5%	0.82×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.7%	20.3%	18.9%	1.07×	4.94
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	6.9%	0.27×	54.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to score exactly 1	31.6%	33.8%	30.9%	1.10×	2.96
Shakhtar Donetsk to score exactly 2	26.2%	27.4%	19.4%	1.42×	3.64
Shakhtar Donetsk to score 3+	23.1%	22.3%	20.9%	1.07×	4.49
Shakhtar Donetsk to score exactly 0	19.1%	19.5%	29.3%	0.67×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.6%	25.0%	1.30×	3.07
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 0	24.7%	23.3%	20.4%	1.14×	4.29
Slovan Bratislava to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.29
Slovan Bratislava to score 3+	16.6%	18.8%	31.4%	0.60×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Shakhtar Donetsk leading at HT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Slovan Bratislava leading at HT	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk -1: 1	55.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Shakhtar Donetsk -1: 2	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Shakhtar Donetsk -1: X	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (0:1)	66.9%	65.2%	49.0%	1.33×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61
Slovan Bratislava (0:1)	14.7%	13.7%	31.6%	0.43×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (0:2)	85.3%	87.1%	68.4%	1.27×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	13.5%	0.57×	13.04
Slovan Bratislava (0:2)	5.3%	7.6%	18.4%	0.42×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	81.6%	1.14×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	8.9%	0.27×	41.98
Slovan Bratislava (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	9.7%	0.25×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	90.3%	1.09×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	5.9%	0.21×	81.84
Slovan Bratislava (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava (1:0)	55.7%	58.2%	66.3%	0.88×	1.72
Shakhtar Donetsk (1:0)	22.6%	21.7%	17.1%	1.27×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	21.7%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava (2:0)	77.4%	80.4%	82.9%	0.97×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.1%	10.3%	7.9%	1.30×	9.71
Shakhtar Donetsk (2:0)	9.4%	6.4%	9.4%	0.68×	15.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.3%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to concede	80.9%	80.9%	70.7%	1.15×	1.24
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	19.1%	19.1%	29.3%	0.65×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet in 1st half	51.5%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Slovan Bratislava to concede in 1st half	48.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava to concede in 2nd half	63.0%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet in 2nd half	37.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
Slovan Bratislava under 2.5 goals	83.4%	82.2%	68.6%	1.20×	1.22
Slovan Bratislava over 0.5 goals	75.3%	77.7%	79.6%	0.98×	1.29
Slovan Bratislava under 1.5 goals	59.2%	58.7%	45.2%	1.30×	1.70
Slovan Bratislava over 1.5 goals	40.8%	41.3%	54.8%	0.75×	2.42
Slovan Bratislava under 0.5 goals	24.7%	22.3%	20.4%	1.09×	4.49
Slovan Bratislava over 2.5 goals	16.6%	17.8%	31.4%	0.57×	5.62
Slovan Bratislava over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Slovan Bratislava under 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Slovan Bratislava over 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Slovan Bratislava over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava scores equally in both	38.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Slovan Bratislava scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Slovan Bratislava scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk (home no bet)	66.3%	64.1%	68.4%	0.94×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	33.7%	35.9%	31.6%	1.14×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava even goals	53.0%	50.8%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Slovan Bratislava odd goals	47.0%	49.2%	46.7%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-1	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk at HT / Shakhtar Donetsk at FT	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Shakhtar Donetsk at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Shakhtar Donetsk at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Slovan Bratislava at HT / Shakhtar Donetsk at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Shakhtar Donetsk at HT / Slovan Bratislava at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to score last	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Slovan Bratislava to score last	44.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.1%	4.4%	—	—	22.82

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Shakhtar Donetsk to lead by 1 at any time	61.4%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 1 at any time	51.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Shakhtar Donetsk to lead by 2 at any time	30.0%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 2 at any time	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Shakhtar Donetsk to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Slovan Bratislava to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	81.4%	1.07×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.5%	78.7%	67.3%	1.17×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.6%	78.7%	74.5%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.3%	72.3%	67.6%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.3%	53.6%	1.18×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	51.0%	1.16×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.3%	59.1%	58.7%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.0%	48.5%	51.8%	0.94×	2.06
2-3 goals	43.7%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	37.8%	1.04×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	29.8%	1.31×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.9%	35.2%	37.5%	0.94×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.6%	30.2%	30.6%	0.99×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.8%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
7+ goals	3.6%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk never behind	44.0%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Slovan Bratislava never behind	34.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	48.8%	50.9%	45.4%	1.12×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.2%	49.1%	54.6%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	80.6%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	81.1%	1.01×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.5%	61.7%	55.9%	1.10×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.9%	58.6%	65.3%	0.90×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.1%	41.4%	34.7%	1.19×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.5%	38.3%	44.1%	0.87×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	18.9%	0.94×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	19.4%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	13.8%	0.56×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.0%	86.8%	84.0%	1.03×	1.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.6%	75.9%	66.8%	1.14×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.9%	72.4%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.9%	51.9%	44.0%	1.18×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.1%	48.1%	56.0%	0.86×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.1%	27.6%	22.4%	1.23×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.4%	24.1%	33.2%	0.73×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.0%	13.2%	16.0%	0.83×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	7.4%	0.38×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Shakhtar Donetsk not to score in both halves	69.5%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Shakhtar Donetsk to score in both halves	30.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Slovan Bratislava to score in both halves	24.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.3%	60.2%	55.4%	1.09×	1.66
Only Shakhtar Donetsk scores	20.6%	22.2%	15.6%	1.43×	4.50
Only Slovan Bratislava scores	15.0%	16.0%	24.5%	0.65×	6.24
Neither team scores	4.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.91×	21.56

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.4%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.5%	14.0%	1.24×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.5%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
6 or more goals	9.0%	7.6%	13.8%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.1%	0.88×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	28.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to win both halves	92.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Shakhtar Donetsk not to win both halves	87.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Shakhtar Donetsk to win both halves	12.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Slovan Bratislava to win both halves	7.9%	5.9%	—	—	17.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shakhtar Donetsk to win either half	58.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Slovan Bratislava to win neither half	51.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Slovan Bratislava to win either half	48.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Shakhtar Donetsk to win neither half	41.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Bratislava not to win to nil	85.0%	83.1%	75.5%	1.10×	1.20
Shakhtar Donetsk not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	84.4%	0.93×	1.28
Shakhtar Donetsk to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	15.6%	1.40×	4.58
Slovan Bratislava to win to nil	15.0%	16.9%	24.5%	0.69×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.5%	24.1%	15.6%	1.55×	4.15
Shakhtar Donetsk by 1	21.7%	24.1%	16.8%	1.43×	4.15
Slovan Bratislava by 1	18.5%	17.1%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Shakhtar Donetsk by 2	13.1%	11.8%	7.9%	1.49×	8.50
Slovan Bratislava by 2	9.4%	7.2%	13.5%	0.53×	13.90
Shakhtar Donetsk by 3+	9.4%	7.2%	9.4%	0.76×	13.90
Slovan Bratislava by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	18.4%	0.39×	13.92