Slovan Liberec v Mladá Boleslav — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CZE-First League · 2627

CZE-First League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Slovan Liberec

2–0

13:00 UTC

Mladá Boleslav

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 25h before kick-off

Slovan Liberec win

41.5%

model 41.3%

Draw

31.4%

model 30.0%

Mladá Boleslav win

27.1%

model 28.7%

413127

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,406 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
1-0 11.4%
0-0 10.8%
0-1 8.9%
2-1 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.3%	Under 2.5	58.7%
BTTS yes	48.1%	BTTS no	51.9%
Slovan Liberec 1+	72.7%	Slovan Liberec 2+	37.2%
Mladá Boleslav 1+	64.6%	Mladá Boleslav 2+	27.9%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

A half without a goal

Goal in both halves · usually 41%

52.5% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1355 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Mladá Boleslav (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 78%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13611 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Slovan Liberec have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Mladá Boleslav have allowed 1.35.
At home Slovan Liberec average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Slovan Liberec have only 0 matches on record.
Mladá Boleslav have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Slovan Liberec have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for the draw and 27.1% for Mladá Boleslav. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Slovan Liberec and 1.04 for Mladá Boleslav.

Why Slovan Liberec

Slovan Liberec have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Mladá Boleslav have allowed 1.35. At home Slovan Liberec average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.4%. A combined 2.34 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Mladá Boleslav can win

Mladá Boleslav have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Slovan Liberec have allowed 1.35. Away from home Mladá Boleslav average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Slovan Liberec, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Mladá Boleslav, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Slovan Liberec: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Mladá Boleslav: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Slovan Liberec are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	413029	1.30–1.04	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	383032	1.23–1.10	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	433126	1.24–0.91	1-1 14%	36%	43%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec to win	42.6%	42.9%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
Draw	31.3%	30.6%	25.0%	1.23×	3.27
Mladá Boleslav to win	26.1%	27.7%	30.6%	0.91×	3.61

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec & not both score	27.5%	25.5%	24.4%	1.04×	3.93
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.55
Mladá Boleslav & not both score	16.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.55
Slovan Liberec & both teams score	15.2%	18.0%	20.1%	0.90×	5.55
Draw & not both score	12.8%	13.3%	7.3%	1.82×	7.55
Mladá Boleslav & both teams score	9.9%	8.4%	14.6%	0.57×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec & under 3.5	34.1%	31.1%	30.3%	1.03×	3.22
Slovan Liberec & over 1.5	29.3%	25.9%	34.1%	0.76×	3.85
Draw & under 2.5	27.1%	25.9%	18.8%	1.38×	3.85
Draw & under 3.5	27.1%	25.9%	18.8%	1.38×	3.85
Slovan Liberec & under 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	17.5%	1.23×	4.63
Mladá Boleslav & under 3.5	21.8%	21.6%	21.6%	1.00×	4.63
Slovan Liberec & over 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	26.9%	0.80×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.57
Mladá Boleslav & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.57
Mladá Boleslav & under 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	12.2%	1.05×	7.78
Slovan Liberec & under 1.5	13.4%	12.9%	10.4%	1.24×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	12.8%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.78
Mladá Boleslav & over 2.5	11.7%	12.9%	18.4%	0.70×	7.78
Mladá Boleslav & under 1.5	9.5%	8.0%	7.5%	1.06×	12.57
Slovan Liberec & over 3.5	8.5%	8.0%	14.2%	0.56×	12.57
Mladá Boleslav & over 3.5	4.3%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.58
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.58
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.58

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (1UP)	55.9%	58.0%	59.8%	0.97×	1.73
Mladá Boleslav (1UP)	41.0%	39.2%	50.4%	0.78×	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (2UP)	42.6%	47.6%	45.2%	1.05×	2.10
Mladá Boleslav (2UP)	26.1%	24.7%	34.2%	0.72×	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.5%	41.1%	32.7%	1.26×	2.44
Slovan Liberec to win 2nd half	34.2%	34.5%	37.7%	0.92×	2.90
Mladá Boleslav to win 2nd half	24.3%	23.2%	29.7%	0.78×	4.32

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	86.8%	82.3%	1.05×	1.15
Mladá Boleslav under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	55.5%	46.6%	1.19×	1.80
Mladá Boleslav over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	44.5%	53.4%	0.83×	2.25
Mladá Boleslav over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	13.2%	17.7%	0.75×	7.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	82.6%	77.4%	1.07×	1.21
Slovan Liberec over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	53.2%	58.7%	0.91×	1.88
Slovan Liberec under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	46.8%	41.4%	1.13×	2.14
Slovan Liberec over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.4%	22.6%	0.77×	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav (+2.5)	93.3%	92.1%	90.1%	1.02×	1.09
Mladá Boleslav (+1.5)	80.5%	82.6%	77.7%	1.06×	1.21
Slovan Liberec (+0.5)	73.9%	73.7%	69.4%	1.06×	1.36
Mladá Boleslav (+0.5)	57.4%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.76
Slovan Liberec (-0.5)	42.6%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.32
Mladá Boleslav (-0.5)	26.1%	26.3%	30.6%	0.86×	3.80
Slovan Liberec (-1.5)	19.5%	17.4%	22.3%	0.78×	5.74
Slovan Liberec (-2.5)	6.7%	7.9%	9.9%	0.79×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav to concede	70.9%	77.1%	76.7%	1.00×	1.30
Mladá Boleslav clean sheet	29.1%	22.9%	23.3%	0.98×	4.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	58.6%	51.8%	1.13×	1.71
Mladá Boleslav to concede in 1st half	41.2%	41.4%	48.2%	0.86×	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav to concede in 2nd half	50.6%	52.7%	58.7%	0.90×	1.90
Mladá Boleslav clean sheet in 2nd half	49.4%	47.3%	41.4%	1.14×	2.12

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Mladá Boleslav under 2.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	87.0%	1.06×	1.09
Mladá Boleslav under 1.5 goals	76.9%	76.1%	66.3%	1.15×	1.31
Mladá Boleslav over 0.5 goals	59.7%	58.9%	68.3%	0.86×	1.70
Mladá Boleslav under 0.5 goals	40.3%	41.1%	31.7%	1.30×	2.44
Mladá Boleslav over 1.5 goals	23.1%	23.9%	33.7%	0.71×	4.19
Mladá Boleslav over 2.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	13.0%	0.60×	12.83
Mladá Boleslav over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	94.3%	89.4%	1.05×	1.06
Mladá Boleslav under 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	68.7%	59.0%	1.16×	1.46
Mladá Boleslav over 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	31.3%	41.0%	0.76×	3.20
Mladá Boleslav over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	5.7%	10.6%	0.54×	17.44

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav scores equally in both	48.7%	48.5%	40.6%	1.20×	2.06
Mladá Boleslav scores more in 2nd half	31.9%	34.1%	36.5%	0.93×	2.93
Mladá Boleslav scores more in 1st half	19.4%	18.1%	22.9%	0.79×	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (away no bet)	57.7%	57.4%	64.0%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.3%	42.6%	36.0%	1.18×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav even goals	58.1%	56.9%	55.7%	1.02×	1.76
Mladá Boleslav odd goals	41.9%	43.1%	44.3%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.0%	92.5%	82.7%	1.12×	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.0%	7.5%	17.3%	0.43×	13.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.3%	50.1%	33.8%	1.48×	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	50.7%	49.9%	66.2%	0.75×	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.8%	38.3%	58.6%	0.65×	2.61
Slovan Liberec to score 2+ in a row	29.3%	25.1%	36.9%	0.68×	3.98
Mladá Boleslav to score 2+ in a row	17.6%	16.3%	28.6%	0.57×	6.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	22.9%	0.53×	8.22
Slovan Liberec to score 3+ in a row	9.1%	5.7%	14.2%	0.40×	17.60
Mladá Boleslav to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	9.1%	0.29×	38.21

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.3%	11.4%	11.5%	0.99×	8.80
1-0	13.4%	11.4%	10.4%	1.10×	8.80
0-0	12.8%	11.4%	7.3%	1.56×	8.80
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.52
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.53
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.53
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.53
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.65
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.67
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.95×	57.68
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.67
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.68
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.66
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	57.67
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	57.68
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	57.66
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	4.2%	0.42×	57.66
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.67
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.68
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	57.68
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.99×	57.67
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.67
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.68
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.68
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.37×	57.68
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (2nd half DNB)	58.5%	60.7%	55.9%	1.09×	1.65
Mladá Boleslav (2nd half DNB)	41.5%	39.3%	44.1%	0.89×	2.54

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec leading at HT (DNB)	61.6%	65.4%	56.7%	1.15×	1.53
Mladá Boleslav leading at HT (DNB)	38.4%	34.6%	43.3%	0.80×	2.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec or draw (1X)	73.9%	72.3%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Slovan Liberec or Mladá Boleslav (12)	68.7%	69.4%	75.0%	0.92×	1.44
Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2)	57.4%	57.1%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec or draw at HT	80.6%	84.3%	74.1%	1.14×	1.19
Mladá Boleslav or draw at HT	68.9%	66.3%	66.2%	1.00×	1.51
Slovan Liberec or Mladá Boleslav at HT	50.5%	47.5%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec or draw (1UP)	73.9%	80.3%	74.2%	1.08×	1.25
Mladá Boleslav or draw (1UP)	57.4%	62.7%	63.9%	0.98×	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec or draw in 2nd half	75.7%	76.8%	70.3%	1.09×	1.30
Mladá Boleslav or draw in 2nd half	65.8%	65.5%	62.3%	1.05×	1.53
Slovan Liberec or Mladá Boleslav in 2nd half	58.5%	58.9%	67.3%	0.88×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.3%	69.6%	58.9%	1.18×	1.44
Neither half drawn	30.7%	30.4%	41.1%	0.74×	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (DNB)	62.0%	62.9%	59.2%	1.06×	1.59
Mladá Boleslav (DNB)	38.0%	37.1%	40.8%	0.91×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec to score first	50.2%	53.7%	51.2%	1.05×	1.86
Mladá Boleslav to score first	36.9%	32.8%	42.9%	0.76×	3.05
No goal scored	12.8%	10.2%	5.9%	1.72×	9.85

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.5%	54.8%	47.6%	1.15×	1.83
Both teams to score	43.5%	45.2%	52.4%	0.86×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.5%	44.3%	37.1%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.2%	33.4%	40.9%	0.82×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	7.0%	8.4%	10.6%	0.79×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.9%	88.9%	86.0%	1.03×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	8.1%	11.1%	14.0%	0.79×	9.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.4%	75.3%	70.2%	1.07×	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.6%	24.7%	29.8%	0.83×	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.3%	62.4%	57.8%	1.08×	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	19.0%	15.7%	23.8%	0.66×	6.35
Both score 1st half only	10.1%	10.7%	12.5%	0.86×	9.36
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.9%	6.0%	0.82×	20.20

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.2%	86.3%	81.5%	1.06×	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.8%	13.7%	18.5%	0.74×	7.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.3%	57.3%	41.1%	1.39×	1.75
A goal in each half	42.7%	42.7%	58.9%	0.72×	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	46.9%	45.4%	1.03×	2.13
0-1 goals	35.7%	34.9%	25.2%	1.39×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.3%	20.2%	27.0%	0.75×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	2.4%	0.76×	54.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav to score exactly 0	40.3%	37.1%	31.7%	1.17×	2.69
Mladá Boleslav to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.8%	34.6%	1.03×	2.80
Mladá Boleslav to score exactly 2	16.6%	19.5%	20.8%	0.94×	5.13
Mladá Boleslav to score 3+	6.4%	8.7%	13.0%	0.67×	11.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.5%	33.1%	1.07×	2.82
Slovan Liberec to score exactly 0	29.1%	26.2%	23.3%	1.13×	3.82
Slovan Liberec to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.3%	24.0%	0.97×	4.28
Slovan Liberec to score 3+	12.8%	14.3%	19.7%	0.73×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.5%	52.5%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Slovan Liberec leading at HT	31.1%	33.7%	33.8%	0.99×	2.97
Mladá Boleslav leading at HT	19.4%	15.7%	25.9%	0.61×	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec -1: 2	57.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Slovan Liberec -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.23
Slovan Liberec -1: 1	19.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav (0:1)	57.4%	55.7%	55.6%	1.00×	1.80
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10
Slovan Liberec (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav (0:2)	80.5%	83.1%	77.7%	1.07×	1.20
Draw (0:2)	12.8%	10.8%	12.3%	0.88×	9.22
Slovan Liberec (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	9.9%	0.77×	13.01

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav (0:3)	93.3%	92.7%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.25
Slovan Liberec (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.38

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.68
Slovan Liberec (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	81.78

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (1:0)	73.9%	72.6%	69.4%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	17.0%	1.00×	5.86
Mladá Boleslav (1:0)	9.3%	7.0%	13.6%	0.52×	14.29

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec (2:0)	90.7%	93.7%	86.4%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.6%	8.1%	0.81×	15.27
Mladá Boleslav (2:0)	2.4%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.42

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.6%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
Halves equal	30.6%	29.0%	25.2%	1.15×	3.45
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec to concede	59.7%	60.7%	68.3%	0.89×	1.65
Slovan Liberec clean sheet	40.3%	39.3%	31.7%	1.24×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec clean sheet in 1st half	69.5%	69.0%	59.0%	1.17×	1.45
Slovan Liberec to concede in 1st half	30.5%	31.0%	41.0%	0.76×	3.23

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec clean sheet in 2nd half	58.0%	55.6%	46.6%	1.19×	1.80
Slovan Liberec to concede in 2nd half	42.0%	44.4%	53.4%	0.83×	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.3%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Slovan Liberec under 2.5 goals	87.2%	87.2%	80.3%	1.09×	1.15
Slovan Liberec over 0.5 goals	70.9%	74.3%	76.7%	0.97×	1.35
Slovan Liberec under 1.5 goals	65.0%	63.3%	56.3%	1.12×	1.58
Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals	35.0%	36.7%	43.7%	0.84×	2.73
Slovan Liberec under 0.5 goals	29.1%	25.7%	23.3%	1.11×	3.89
Slovan Liberec over 2.5 goals	12.8%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.82
Slovan Liberec over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.7%	7.6%	0.49×	26.98

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	95.2%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Slovan Liberec under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	58.2%	51.8%	1.12×	1.72
Slovan Liberec over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	41.8%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
Slovan Liberec over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	4.8%	14.1%	0.34×	20.88

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec scores equally in both	41.0%	42.4%	37.1%	1.14×	2.36
Slovan Liberec scores more in 2nd half	34.9%	32.9%	38.0%	0.87×	3.04
Slovan Liberec scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.6%	24.9%	0.87×	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.5%	51.5%	44.9%	1.15×	1.94
Mladá Boleslav (home no bet)	45.5%	48.5%	55.1%	0.88×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec even goals	54.2%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Slovan Liberec odd goals	45.8%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.0%	40.7%	29.3%	1.39×	2.46
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.1%	20.7%	1.17×	4.14
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.0%	16.3%	0.67×	9.13
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	10.2%	0.70×	14.01
HT 2-0	5.8%	7.1%	7.1%	1.00×	14.05
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.51
Any other HT score	2.3%	2.3%	4.7%	0.49×	43.54
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.55
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.3%	2.8%	0.83×	43.60
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.68

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec at HT / Slovan Liberec at FT	24.5%	21.8%	25.8%	0.85×	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.7%	21.7%	14.1%	1.54×	4.60
Draw at HT / Slovan Liberec at FT	16.4%	16.7%	14.7%	1.14×	5.97
Mladá Boleslav at HT / Mladá Boleslav at FT	13.2%	12.7%	17.4%	0.73×	7.89
Draw at HT / Mladá Boleslav at FT	11.4%	12.7%	11.6%	1.09×	7.90
Slovan Liberec at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	5.1%	1.16×	16.74
Mladá Boleslav at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.75
Mladá Boleslav at HT / Slovan Liberec at FT	1.7%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.85
Slovan Liberec at HT / Mladá Boleslav at FT	1.5%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec to score last	50.3%	51.9%	51.4%	1.01×	1.93
Mladá Boleslav to score last	36.9%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
No goal scored	12.8%	9.5%	5.9%	1.62×	10.48

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.2%	90.5%	94.1%	0.96×	1.10
Slovan Liberec to lead by 1 at any time	55.9%	55.0%	59.8%	0.92×	1.82
Mladá Boleslav to lead by 1 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	50.4%	0.78×	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.9%	34.8%	48.2%	0.72×	2.87
Slovan Liberec to lead by 2 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	28.2%	0.70×	5.10
Mladá Boleslav to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	20.3%	0.52×	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	19.5%	0.54×	9.58
Slovan Liberec to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.6%	12.1%	0.55×	15.08
Mladá Boleslav to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	7.4%	0.22×	61.26

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.9%	83.3%	86.4%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.3%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.3%	63.3%	1.14×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.6%	63.2%	72.4%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.1%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.6%	59.3%	60.1%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.9%	53.4%	41.2%	1.30×	1.87
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.6%	39.3%	49.1%	0.80×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.0%	35.3%	45.1%	0.78×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.6%	30.6%	36.8%	0.83×	3.27
4-6 goals	16.3%	18.8%	27.0%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.8%	15.0%	23.0%	0.65×	6.65
5-6 goals	6.0%	9.0%	12.3%	0.73×	11.16
7+ goals	0.7%	2.6%	2.4%	1.06×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slovan Liberec never behind	46.2%	56.5%	49.6%	1.14×	1.77
Mladá Boleslav never behind	31.3%	35.5%	40.2%	0.88×	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	51.0%	50.2%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.0%	49.8%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.7%	57.5%	53.7%	1.07×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.3%	42.5%	46.3%	0.92×	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.1%	51.1%	1.02×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	47.9%	48.9%	0.98×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.0%	82.2%	70.6%	1.16×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.3%	62.0%	74.8%	0.83×	1.61
Under 2.5 goals	63.8%	62.0%	48.5%	1.28×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	36.3%	38.0%	51.5%	0.74×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	35.7%	38.0%	25.2%	1.51×	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	17.0%	17.8%	29.4%	0.61×	5.61
Under 0.5 goals	12.8%	12.6%	7.3%	1.72×	7.97
Over 4.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.84
Over 5.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.78

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.7%	97.2%	93.1%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.6%	92.4%	82.8%	1.12×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.0%	75.9%	62.3%	1.22×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.4%	52.3%	67.1%	0.78×	1.91
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.6%	47.7%	32.9%	1.45×	2.10
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.0%	24.1%	37.7%	0.64×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.4%	7.6%	17.2%	0.44×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.3%	2.8%	6.9%	0.41×	35.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	2.5%	1.13×	35.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.8%	88.4%	1.05×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.2%	78.8%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.8%	70.7%	0.89×	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.2%	29.3%	1.27×	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.8%	21.2%	33.7%	0.63×	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.2%	11.6%	0.62×	13.91

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.9%	85.4%	77.5%	1.10×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.6%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.1%	61.8%	50.2%	1.23×	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.9%	38.2%	49.8%	0.77×	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.4%	17.7%	1.26×	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.6%	22.5%	0.65×	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.8%	77.6%	1.11×	1.17
Slovan Liberec not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	70.5%	1.11×	1.28
Slovan Liberec to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	29.5%	0.73×	4.61
Mladá Boleslav to score in both halves	12.8%	14.2%	22.4%	0.63×	7.04

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.5%	46.7%	52.4%	0.89×	2.14
Only Slovan Liberec scores	27.5%	26.1%	24.4%	1.07×	3.83
Only Mladá Boleslav scores	16.2%	16.0%	16.0%	1.00×	6.26
Neither team scores	12.8%	11.1%	7.3%	1.52×	9.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.7%	23.3%	1.06×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	22.9%	22.4%	17.9%	1.25×	4.46
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.6%	22.1%	0.79×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	12.8%	12.1%	7.3%	1.65×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	10.3%	12.0%	14.7%	0.82×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	4.4%	4.5%	8.4%	0.54×	22.22
6 or more goals	2.2%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.25

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.0%	41.4%	29.3%	1.41×	2.42
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.1%	37.0%	1.00×	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.2%	22.2%	0.69×	6.57
3+ goals in 1st half	6.2%	7.2%	11.6%	0.62×	13.91

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.9%	39.9%	49.8%	0.80×	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.7%	32.5%	1.22×	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	29.0%	29.8%	17.7%	1.68×	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav not to win both halves	95.2%	97.2%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Slovan Liberec not to win both halves	89.2%	88.0%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
Slovan Liberec to win both halves	10.8%	12.0%	13.2%	0.91×	8.32
Mladá Boleslav to win both halves	4.8%	2.8%	8.2%	0.35×	35.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav to win neither half	61.2%	65.0%	52.6%	1.23×	1.54
Slovan Liberec to win either half	54.5%	54.9%	58.3%	0.94×	1.82
Slovan Liberec to win neither half	45.5%	45.1%	41.7%	1.08×	2.22
Mladá Boleslav to win either half	38.8%	35.0%	47.4%	0.74×	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mladá Boleslav not to win to nil	83.8%	83.2%	84.0%	0.99×	1.20
Slovan Liberec not to win to nil	72.5%	75.2%	75.6%	0.99×	1.33
Slovan Liberec to win to nil	27.5%	24.8%	24.4%	1.02×	4.03
Mladá Boleslav to win to nil	16.2%	16.8%	16.0%	1.06×	5.94

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.3%	27.6%	25.0%	1.11×	3.62
Slovan Liberec by 1	23.2%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Mladá Boleslav by 1	16.7%	16.9%	17.0%	0.99×	5.92
Slovan Liberec by 2	12.8%	11.7%	12.3%	0.95×	8.53
Mladá Boleslav by 2	6.9%	7.3%	8.1%	0.89×	13.77
Slovan Liberec by 3+	6.7%	7.3%	9.9%	0.73×	13.77
Mladá Boleslav by 3+	2.4%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.61

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.