Southampton v Blackburn Rovers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Southampton

15:00 UTC

Blackburn Rovers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,348h before kick-off

Southampton win

66.9%

model 65.4%

Draw

22.5%

model 22.1%

Blackburn Rovers win

10.6%

model 12.5%

672211

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.1%
1-1 10.6%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 9.7%
3-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.8%	Under 2.5	45.2%
BTTS yes	49.5%	BTTS no	50.5%
Southampton 1+	87.3%	Southampton 2+	61.1%
Blackburn Rovers 1+	55.4%	Blackburn Rovers 2+	19.4%

Expected goals 2.06 – 0.81. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Southampton (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 43%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1407.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 66.9% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 10.6% for Blackburn Rovers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.06 for Southampton and 0.81 for Blackburn Rovers.

Why Southampton

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1407. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Blackburn Rovers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Blackburn Rovers.

Key players

Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Blackburn Rovers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Southampton: 57% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces. Blackburn Rovers: 50% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 66.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.1%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	652212	2.06–0.81	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	632314	1.96–0.84	2-0 12%	53%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	62.5%	58.2%	43.4%	1.34×	1.72
Draw	23.4%	24.4%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09
Blackburn Rovers to win	14.0%	13.5%	29.1%	0.47×	7.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & not both score	36.0%	33.3%	23.3%	1.43×	3.00
Southampton & both teams score	26.5%	25.2%	20.2%	1.24×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.01
Blackburn Rovers & both teams score	7.3%	8.3%	13.9%	0.60×	12.01
Blackburn Rovers & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	15.2%	0.55×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	51.8%	48.8%	32.5%	1.50×	2.05
Southampton & over 2.5	40.1%	40.2%	26.4%	1.52×	2.49
Southampton & under 3.5	39.9%	34.9%	32.4%	1.08×	2.86
Southampton & over 3.5	22.6%	21.6%	11.1%	1.94×	4.63
Southampton & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	17.1%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Southampton & under 1.5	10.7%	12.8%	11.0%	1.16×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & under 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	22.3%	0.57×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & over 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Blackburn Rovers & over 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.63
Blackburn Rovers & under 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Blackburn Rovers & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.81
Blackburn Rovers & over 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	74.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Blackburn Rovers (1UP)	31.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	62.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Blackburn Rovers (2UP)	14.0%	14.3%	—	—	7.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	50.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Blackburn Rovers to win 2nd half	16.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.9%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.5%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.5%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Southampton over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Southampton under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Southampton over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+0.5)	86.0%	88.5%	70.9%	1.25×	1.13
Blackburn Rovers (+2.5)	80.7%	82.5%	91.9%	0.90×	1.21
Southampton (-0.5)	62.5%	62.9%	43.4%	1.45×	1.59
Blackburn Rovers (+1.5)	61.1%	62.9%	80.7%	0.78×	1.59
Southampton (-1.5)	38.9%	37.1%	19.3%	1.92×	2.70
Blackburn Rovers (+0.5)	37.5%	37.1%	56.6%	0.66×	2.70
Southampton (-2.5)	19.3%	17.5%	8.1%	2.17×	5.72
Blackburn Rovers (-0.5)	14.0%	11.5%	29.1%	0.40×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede	85.9%	86.3%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	14.1%	13.7%	22.4%	0.61×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 1st half	57.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	43.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 2nd half	67.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Blackburn Rovers under 6.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Blackburn Rovers under 5.5 corners	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 corners	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Blackburn Rovers under 4.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Blackburn Rovers over 4.5 corners	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 corners	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Blackburn Rovers over 5.5 corners	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Blackburn Rovers over 6.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 goals	94.7%	92.4%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	70.0%	1.09×	1.31
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 goals	56.7%	59.4%	69.5%	0.85×	1.68
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 goals	43.3%	40.6%	30.5%	1.33×	2.46
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	30.0%	0.79×	4.22
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	9.4%	0.81×	13.08
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	95.5%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	71.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	28.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	4.5%	4.1%	—	—	24.58

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers scores equally in both	50.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 2nd half	30.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 1st half	18.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (away no bet)	72.7%	68.4%	61.1%	1.12×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.3%	31.6%	38.9%	0.81×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers even goals	59.4%	57.0%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Blackburn Rovers odd goals	40.6%	43.0%	47.6%	0.90×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	23.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Blackburn Rovers to score 2+ in a row	13.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	39.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton corners (+3.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Southampton corners (+2.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Southampton corners (+1.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Blackburn Rovers corners (+3.5)	65.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Blackburn Rovers corners (+2.5)	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Southampton corners (-1.5)	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Blackburn Rovers corners (+1.5)	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Southampton corners (-2.5)	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Southampton corners (-3.5)	34.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Blackburn Rovers corners (-1.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Blackburn Rovers corners (-2.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Blackburn Rovers corners (-3.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	45.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
0-8 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	25.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	62.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	62.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 12.5 corners	38.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
2-0	11.7%	11.5%	6.1%	1.87×	8.72
1-0	10.7%	11.5%	11.0%	1.04×	8.72
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.50
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
3-0	7.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	4.3%	1.71×	13.51
Any other score	5.1%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
0-1	3.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
0-2	2.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	3.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
4-1	3.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2nd half DNB)	75.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Blackburn Rovers (2nd half DNB)	24.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	76.9%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	23.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1X)	86.0%	86.5%	70.9%	1.22×	1.16
Southampton or Blackburn Rovers (12)	76.6%	75.6%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Blackburn Rovers or draw (X2)	37.5%	41.8%	56.6%	0.74×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	86.3%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Southampton or Blackburn Rovers at HT	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Blackburn Rovers or draw at HT	54.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	86.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1UP)	37.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	83.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Southampton or Blackburn Rovers in 2nd half	66.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Blackburn Rovers or draw in 2nd half	49.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.0%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.0%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	81.7%	80.2%	59.9%	1.34×	1.25
Blackburn Rovers (DNB)	18.3%	19.8%	40.1%	0.49×	5.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	65.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Blackburn Rovers to score first	27.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.1%	51.3%	45.6%	1.12×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.9%	48.7%	54.4%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	38.7%	38.4%	39.9%	0.96×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	35.8%	38.4%	37.1%	1.03×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	14.3%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.3%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.4%	26.6%	22.4%	1.19×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.9%	22.9%	25.9%	0.88×	4.37
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.36×	54.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 0	43.3%	37.3%	30.5%	1.22×	2.68
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 2	15.2%	19.6%	20.6%	0.95×	5.11
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+	5.3%	8.5%	9.4%	0.90×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score 3+	31.3%	32.5%	16.1%	2.02×	3.07
Southampton to score exactly 1	27.6%	26.5%	37.0%	0.72×	3.77
Southampton to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Southampton to score exactly 0	14.1%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT	45.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT	13.7%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	38.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Southampton -1: 2	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Southampton -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	38.9%	37.4%	19.3%	1.94×	2.68
Blackburn Rovers (0:1)	37.5%	37.3%	56.6%	0.66×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:2)	61.1%	67.0%	80.7%	0.83×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	19.6%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.53
Southampton (0:2)	19.3%	15.3%	8.1%	1.90×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:3)	80.7%	85.3%	91.9%	0.93×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.4%	9.9%	4.8%	2.09×	10.07
Southampton (0:3)	7.9%	5.8%	3.4%	1.71×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:4)	92.1%	94.5%	96.6%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.2%	4.6%	2.4%	1.93×	21.81
Southampton (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.80

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1:0)	86.0%	86.0%	70.9%	1.21×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.4%	6.9%	17.4%	0.40×	14.46
Blackburn Rovers (1:0)	4.7%	3.3%	11.7%	0.28×	30.38

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2:0)	95.3%	96.8%	88.3%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.61
Blackburn Rovers (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	56.7%	60.6%	69.5%	0.87×	1.65
Southampton clean sheet	43.3%	39.4%	30.5%	1.29×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	71.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Southampton to concede in 1st half	28.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 2nd half	60.5%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Southampton to concede in 2nd half	39.5%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 2.5 corners	87.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Southampton over 3.5 corners	78.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Southampton over 4.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Southampton over 5.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Southampton under 6.5 corners	54.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Southampton over 6.5 corners	45.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Southampton under 5.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Southampton under 4.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Southampton under 3.5 corners	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Southampton under 2.5 corners	12.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 3.5 goals	86.4%	87.3%	94.8%	0.92×	1.15
Southampton over 0.5 goals	85.9%	87.3%	77.6%	1.12×	1.15
Southampton under 2.5 goals	68.7%	68.0%	83.9%	0.81×	1.47
Southampton over 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	40.6%	1.44×	1.71
Southampton under 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	59.4%	0.70×	2.42
Southampton over 2.5 goals	31.3%	32.0%	16.1%	1.98×	3.12
Southampton under 0.5 goals	14.1%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.84
Southampton over 3.5 goals	13.6%	12.7%	5.2%	2.46×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	79.3%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	20.7%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton scores more in 2nd half	41.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Southampton scores equally in both	30.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Southampton scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.5%	60.0%	48.7%	1.23×	1.67
Blackburn Rovers (home no bet)	37.5%	40.0%	51.3%	0.78×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	51.0%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Southampton odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 1-0	25.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 2-0	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	40.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Draw at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Southampton at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Southampton at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	65.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Blackburn Rovers to score last	27.5%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	74.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	44.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	31.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton most corners	60.1%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Blackburn Rovers most corners	31.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	8.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.5%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.7%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.9%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.6%	53.2%	47.2%	1.13×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.5%	48.5%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.7%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.4%	30.2%	22.4%	1.35×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.3%	24.5%	19.8%	1.24×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.8%	14.8%	8.2%	1.82×	6.75
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	61.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Blackburn Rovers never behind	18.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.8%	82.3%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.1%	77.3%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.2%	66.3%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.0%	52.5%	48.4%	1.08×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.0%	47.5%	51.6%	0.92×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.8%	33.7%	23.7%	1.42×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.9%	22.7%	25.9%	0.88×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.2%	17.7%	9.4%	1.88×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	4.0%	1.93×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.4%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.0%	81.1%	89.0%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.7%	72.4%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.4%	61.9%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.6%	38.1%	31.5%	1.21×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.3%	27.6%	34.9%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.0%	18.9%	11.0%	1.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.6%	4.2%	1.80×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves	88.8%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Southampton not to score in both halves	61.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Southampton to score in both halves	38.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Blackburn Rovers to score in both halves	11.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.9%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Only Southampton scores	36.0%	39.9%	23.3%	1.71×	2.51
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.04
Only Blackburn Rovers scores	6.8%	7.1%	15.2%	0.47×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.6%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.2%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Southampton not to win both halves	76.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Southampton to win both halves	23.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Blackburn Rovers to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.85

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	72.8%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Blackburn Rovers to win neither half	72.4%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Blackburn Rovers to win either half	27.6%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Southampton to win neither half	27.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win to nil	93.2%	92.1%	84.8%	1.09×	1.09
Southampton not to win to nil	64.0%	66.6%	76.7%	0.87×	1.50
Southampton to win to nil	36.0%	33.4%	23.3%	1.43×	3.00
Blackburn Rovers to win to nil	6.8%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton by 1	23.6%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Draw	23.4%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Southampton by 2	19.6%	17.1%	11.3%	1.51×	5.87
Southampton by 3+	19.3%	17.1%	8.1%	2.11×	5.87
Blackburn Rovers by 1	9.4%	7.2%	17.4%	0.41×	13.90
Blackburn Rovers by 2	3.6%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.79
Blackburn Rovers by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.87