Spaeri v Dila Gori — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 21 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Spaeri

17:00 UTC

Dila Gori

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 321h before kick-off

Spaeri win

28.7%

Draw

26.6%

Dila Gori win

44.7%

292745

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 7.5%
2-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.0%	Under 2.5	46.0%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
Spaeri 1+	71.1%	Spaeri 2+	35.2%
Dila Gori 1+	79.8%	Dila Gori 2+	47.4%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Dila Gori (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 46%

61.7% fair odds 1.62

strong signal · 3446 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 87%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 6854 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Dila Gori average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Spaeri have only 1 matches on record.
Dila Gori have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dila Gori have an estimated 44.7% win probability, against 28.7% for Spaeri and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Spaeri and 1.60 for Dila Gori.

Why Spaeri

At home Spaeri average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%.

Why Dila Gori can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Dila Gori average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Spaeri, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dila Gori, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Spaeri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dila Gori: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Dila Gori are the model's most likely outcome at 44.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292745	1.24–1.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	282744	1.17–1.53	1-1 13%	51%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win	44.7%	41.7%	34.3%	1.22×	2.40
Spaeri to win	28.7%	27.3%	40.3%	0.68×	3.66
Draw	26.6%	27.3%	25.7%	1.06×	3.66

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori & both teams score	22.6%	21.5%	17.7%	1.22×	4.65
Dila Gori & not both score	22.1%	21.5%	17.0%	1.27×	4.65
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	18.2%	18.0%	1.01×	5.49
Spaeri & both teams score	15.3%	18.2%	19.3%	0.94×	5.49
Spaeri & not both score	13.4%	12.6%	21.3%	0.59×	7.91
Draw & not both score	6.8%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.05

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori & over 1.5	36.4%	36.6%	25.0%	1.46×	2.73
Dila Gori & under 3.5	29.1%	26.5%	24.3%	1.09×	3.78
Dila Gori & over 2.5	28.9%	26.5%	20.7%	1.28×	3.78
Spaeri & over 1.5	22.4%	21.8%	31.3%	0.70×	4.59
Spaeri & under 3.5	19.8%	17.7%	30.3%	0.58×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	17.7%	18.0%	0.98×	5.66
Draw & under 2.5	19.4%	17.7%	19.3%	0.91×	5.66
Draw & under 3.5	19.4%	17.7%	19.3%	0.91×	5.66
Spaeri & over 2.5	17.9%	17.7%	25.0%	0.71×	5.66
Dila Gori & under 2.5	15.8%	17.7%	14.0%	1.26×	5.66
Dila Gori & over 3.5	15.6%	17.7%	10.3%	1.71×	5.66
Spaeri & under 2.5	10.8%	12.5%	15.7%	0.80×	8.03
Spaeri & under 1.5	6.3%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.17
Spaeri & over 3.5	8.8%	7.6%	10.3%	0.73×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	6.8%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.17
Dila Gori & under 1.5	8.4%	7.6%	9.7%	0.79×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (1UP)	61.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Spaeri (1UP)	47.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (2UP)	44.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Spaeri (2UP)	28.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win 2nd half	39.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2nd half drawn	34.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Spaeri to win 2nd half	25.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (+2.5)	95.9%	96.6%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Dila Gori (+1.5)	87.6%	87.4%	81.7%	1.07×	1.14
Dila Gori (+0.5)	71.3%	72.8%	59.7%	1.22×	1.37
Spaeri (+0.5)	55.3%	58.3%	65.7%	0.89×	1.72
Dila Gori (-0.5)	44.7%	41.7%	34.3%	1.21×	2.40
Spaeri (-0.5)	28.7%	27.2%	40.3%	0.67×	3.68
Spaeri (-1.5)	12.4%	12.6%	18.3%	0.69×	7.93
Spaeri (-2.5)	4.1%	3.4%	9.0%	0.38×	29.51

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to concede	71.1%	75.5%	75.3%	1.00×	1.32
Dila Gori clean sheet	28.9%	24.5%	24.7%	0.99×	4.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori clean sheet in 1st half	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Dila Gori to concede in 1st half	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.1%	94.7%	0.97×	1.09
Dila Gori over 0.5 goals	79.8%	76.5%	71.0%	1.08×	1.31
Dila Gori under 2.5 goals	78.4%	76.4%	86.3%	0.89×	1.31
Dila Gori under 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.6%	66.0%	0.81×	1.87
Dila Gori over 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.4%	34.0%	1.36×	2.16
Dila Gori over 2.5 goals	21.6%	23.6%	13.7%	1.72×	4.25
Dila Gori under 0.5 goals	20.2%	23.6%	29.0%	0.81×	4.25
Dila Gori over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.9%	5.3%	1.49×	12.61

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Dila Gori under 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Dila Gori over 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Dila Gori over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (away no bet)	51.9%	52.1%	61.1%	0.85×	1.92
Draw (away no bet)	48.1%	47.9%	38.9%	1.23×	2.09

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori even goals	52.0%	53.5%	54.3%	0.99×	1.87
Dila Gori odd goals	48.0%	46.5%	45.7%	1.02×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.8%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.6%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Dila Gori to score 2+ in a row	38.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Spaeri to score 2+ in a row	26.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Dila Gori to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.81
Spaeri to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	7.8%	—	—	12.80

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.2%	11.7%	0.96×	8.90
0-0	6.8%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.49
0-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.48
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.48
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.49
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.48
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	11.3%	0.65×	13.48
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.49
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.10
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.11
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.10
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.11
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.10
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.10
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.11
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.11
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.10
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.10
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.11
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.58×	58.11
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.11
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.11
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.16×	58.11
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.11
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.16×	58.11
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.10

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori leading at HT (DNB)	55.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Spaeri leading at HT (DNB)	44.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri or Dila Gori (12)	73.4%	72.7%	74.3%	0.98×	1.38
Dila Gori or draw (X2)	71.3%	72.7%	59.7%	1.22×	1.38
Spaeri or draw (1X)	55.3%	58.3%	65.7%	0.89×	1.72

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw at HT	74.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Spaeri or draw at HT	68.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Spaeri or Dila Gori at HT	57.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw (1UP)	71.3%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Spaeri or draw (1UP)	55.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori or draw in 2nd half	74.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Spaeri or Dila Gori in 2nd half	65.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Spaeri or draw in 2nd half	60.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	38.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (DNB)	60.9%	61.7%	46.0%	1.34×	1.62
Spaeri (DNB)	39.1%	38.3%	54.0%	0.71×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score first	52.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Spaeri to score first	40.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
No goal scored	6.8%	6.3%	—	—	15.91

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.7%	55.7%	54.3%	1.02×	1.80
Not both teams to score	42.3%	44.3%	45.7%	0.97×	2.26

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.1%	45.2%	43.0%	1.05×	2.21
Not both score & under 2.5	33.5%	34.0%	37.0%	0.92×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	11.9%	11.7%	1.02×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.5%	9.0%	0.94×	11.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.3%	83.1%	87.0%	0.95×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.7%	16.9%	13.0%	1.30×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.6%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	25.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
Both score in both halves	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.10

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	46.6%	47.3%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	29.1%	27.3%	23.7%	1.15×	3.66
0-1 goals	21.5%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
7+ goals	2.6%	2.0%	3.3%	0.60×	50.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.5%	37.3%	0.87×	3.08
Dila Gori to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.66
Dila Gori to score 3+	21.6%	23.1%	13.7%	1.69×	4.32
Dila Gori to score exactly 0	20.2%	23.1%	29.0%	0.80×	4.33

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.5%	34.3%	1.06×	2.74
Spaeri to score exactly 0	28.9%	26.4%	24.7%	1.07×	3.79
Spaeri to score exactly 2	22.3%	22.9%	26.7%	0.86×	4.37
Spaeri to score 3+	12.9%	13.2%	15.0%	0.88×	7.58

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Dila Gori leading at HT	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Spaeri leading at HT	25.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori -1: 1	55.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Dila Gori -1: 2	23.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
Dila Gori -1: X	21.3%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:1)	71.3%	72.1%	59.7%	1.21×	1.39
Draw (0:1)	16.3%	18.2%	22.3%	0.81×	5.51
Spaeri (0:1)	12.4%	13.2%	18.3%	0.72×	7.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:2)	87.6%	86.7%	81.7%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	9.7%	0.80×	12.95
Spaeri (0:2)	4.1%	3.5%	9.0%	0.39×	28.78

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:3)	95.9%	96.7%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.96
Spaeri (0:3)	1.1%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (0:4)	98.9%	97.7%	96.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.4%	2.3%	0.61×	70.59
Spaeri (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	1.7%	0.85×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (1:0)	55.3%	59.2%	65.7%	0.90×	1.69
Dila Gori (1:0)	23.5%	21.9%	13.7%	1.60×	4.56
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	21.9%	21.0%	1.04×	4.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (2:0)	76.5%	78.1%	86.3%	0.91×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	11.5%	8.3%	1.38×	8.67
Dila Gori (2:0)	9.7%	6.7%	5.7%	1.18×	14.97

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to concede	79.8%	77.1%	71.0%	1.09×	1.30
Spaeri clean sheet	20.2%	22.9%	29.0%	0.79×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri clean sheet in 1st half	52.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Spaeri to concede in 1st half	47.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Spaeri under 2.5 goals	87.1%	87.5%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
Spaeri over 0.5 goals	71.1%	73.2%	75.3%	0.97×	1.37
Spaeri under 1.5 goals	64.8%	62.5%	58.7%	1.06×	1.60
Spaeri over 1.5 goals	35.2%	37.5%	41.3%	0.91×	2.66
Spaeri under 0.5 goals	28.9%	26.8%	24.7%	1.09×	3.73
Spaeri over 2.5 goals	12.9%	12.5%	15.0%	0.84×	7.98
Spaeri over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.4%	6.3%	0.54×	29.06

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Spaeri under 0.5 in 1st half	58.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Spaeri over 0.5 in 1st half	41.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Spaeri over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.93

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori (home no bet)	62.7%	60.4%	57.2%	1.06×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.3%	39.6%	42.8%	0.93×	2.53

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri even goals	54.2%	50.9%	55.7%	0.91×	1.96
Spaeri odd goals	45.8%	49.1%	44.3%	1.11×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 0-1	19.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
HT 1-0	16.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
HT 1-1	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 0-2	6.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.47
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.35
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.35
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.40
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.51

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori at HT / Dila Gori at FT	25.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Spaeri at HT / Spaeri at FT	16.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / Dila Gori at FT	16.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / Spaeri at FT	10.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Spaeri at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.4%	—	—	15.58
Dila Gori at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.7%	—	—	27.26
Spaeri at HT / Dila Gori at FT	3.1%	3.7%	—	—	27.31
Dila Gori at HT / Spaeri at FT	1.9%	3.7%	—	—	27.34

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to score last	52.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Spaeri to score last	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
No goal scored	6.8%	6.3%	—	—	15.91

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.2%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Dila Gori to lead by 1 at any time	61.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Spaeri to lead by 1 at any time	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Dila Gori to lead by 2 at any time	30.2%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Spaeri to lead by 2 at any time	18.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Dila Gori to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Spaeri to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.1%	86.7%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	77.3%	77.9%	79.0%	0.99×	1.28
2-6 goals	75.9%	77.9%	70.7%	1.10×	1.28
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.1%	68.3%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.7%	62.7%	60.7%	1.03×	1.60
1-3 goals	61.5%	62.7%	65.7%	0.95×	1.60
3-6 goals	51.4%	52.9%	48.7%	1.09×	1.89
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
3-5 goals	47.1%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
1-2 goals	39.2%	39.0%	40.7%	0.96×	2.56
3-4 goals	38.1%	39.0%	38.7%	1.01×	2.56
4-6 goals	29.1%	28.5%	23.7%	1.21×	3.50
4-5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	21.3%	1.12×	4.20
5-6 goals	13.2%	13.5%	10.3%	1.31×	7.40
7+ goals	2.6%	2.2%	3.3%	0.67×	44.57

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori never behind	45.8%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Spaeri never behind	32.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.1%	50.0%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.0%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.2%	81.7%	86.7%	0.94×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	77.0%	73.7%	1.05×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	68.3%	67.5%	73.3%	0.92×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	54.0%	52.2%	51.7%	1.01×	1.92
Under 2.5 goals	46.0%	47.8%	48.3%	0.99×	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	31.7%	32.5%	26.7%	1.22×	3.08
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	23.0%	26.3%	0.87×	4.35
Over 4.5 goals	15.8%	18.3%	13.3%	1.37×	5.47
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.7%	1.36×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.3%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.5%	92.0%	93.9%	0.98×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.2%	81.3%	84.6%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.5%	71.7%	66.2%	1.08×	1.40
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.3%	58.0%	64.4%	0.90×	1.73
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.7%	42.0%	35.6%	1.18×	2.38
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.5%	28.3%	33.8%	0.84×	3.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.8%	18.7%	15.4%	1.22×	5.35
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.5%	8.0%	6.1%	1.30×	12.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.5%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to score in both halves	79.1%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Dila Gori not to score in both halves	70.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Dila Gori to score in both halves	29.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Spaeri to score in both halves	20.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.7%	57.9%	54.3%	1.07×	1.73
Only Dila Gori scores	22.1%	21.3%	17.0%	1.25×	4.70
Only Spaeri scores	13.4%	11.1%	21.3%	0.52×	9.04
Neither team scores	6.8%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.97

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.48
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.3%	25.3%	0.88×	4.48
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.6%	13.7%	1.29×	5.69
Exactly 1 goals	14.6%	12.3%	18.7%	0.66×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.8%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.89
6 or more goals	6.8%	7.8%	5.7%	1.37×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	19.2%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win both halves	93.4%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Dila Gori not to win both halves	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Dila Gori to win both halves	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Spaeri to win both halves	6.6%	7.7%	—	—	12.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dila Gori to win either half	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Spaeri to win neither half	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Spaeri to win either half	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Dila Gori to win neither half	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win to nil	86.6%	88.1%	78.7%	1.12×	1.14
Dila Gori not to win to nil	77.9%	78.7%	83.0%	0.95×	1.27
Dila Gori to win to nil	22.1%	21.3%	17.0%	1.25×	4.70
Spaeri to win to nil	13.4%	11.9%	21.3%	0.56×	8.39

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.4%	25.7%	1.07×	3.65
Dila Gori by 1	21.3%	23.3%	21.0%	1.11×	4.29
Spaeri by 1	16.3%	17.3%	22.3%	0.78×	5.78
Dila Gori by 2	13.8%	11.8%	8.3%	1.42×	8.46
Dila Gori by 3+	9.7%	7.3%	5.7%	1.29×	13.65
Spaeri by 2	8.3%	7.3%	9.7%	0.76×	13.66
Spaeri by 3+	4.1%	3.0%	9.0%	0.33×	33.81