Spaeri v FC Rustavi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Spaeri

15:00 UTC

FC Rustavi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 31h before kick-off

Spaeri win

26.9%

Draw

29.8%

FC Rustavi win

43.3%

273043

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.0%
0-1 11.8%
0-0 10.8%
0-2 8.6%
1-2 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.3%	Under 2.5	58.7%
BTTS yes	47.6%	BTTS no	52.4%
Spaeri 1+	63.2%	Spaeri 2+	26.4%
FC Rustavi 1+	73.7%	FC Rustavi 2+	38.6%

Expected goals 1.00 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

FC Rustavi (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 46%

61.7% fair odds 1.62

strong signal · 3446 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Spaeri not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 79%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 12178 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Away from home FC Rustavi average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to Spaeri's 4.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Spaeri have only 1 matches on record.
FC Rustavi have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Rustavi have an estimated 43.3% win probability, against 29.8% for the draw and 26.9% for Spaeri. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.00 for Spaeri and 1.33 for FC Rustavi.

Why Spaeri

At home Spaeri average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.8%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why FC Rustavi can win

Away from home FC Rustavi average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Spaeri's 4.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Spaeri, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Rustavi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Spaeri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Rustavi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

FC Rustavi are the model's most likely outcome at 43.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	273043	1.00–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	243046	0.89–1.35	1-1 14%	39%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to win	43.3%	41.7%	34.3%	1.22×	2.40
Draw	29.8%	27.3%	25.7%	1.06×	3.66
Spaeri to win	26.9%	27.3%	40.3%	0.68×	3.66

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi & not both score	26.0%	26.5%	17.0%	1.56×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.2%	18.0%	1.01×	5.49
FC Rustavi & both teams score	17.3%	18.2%	17.7%	1.03×	5.49
Spaeri & not both score	15.5%	18.2%	21.3%	0.85×	5.49
Spaeri & both teams score	11.4%	12.6%	19.3%	0.65×	7.91
Draw & not both score	10.8%	12.6%	8.0%	1.58×	7.91

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi & under 3.5	32.9%	31.8%	24.3%	1.31×	3.15
FC Rustavi & over 1.5	31.4%	31.8%	25.0%	1.27×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	24.8%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.59
Draw & under 3.5	24.8%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.59
FC Rustavi & over 2.5	22.8%	21.8%	20.7%	1.06×	4.59
Spaeri & under 3.5	21.5%	21.8%	30.3%	0.72×	4.59
FC Rustavi & under 2.5	20.5%	21.8%	14.0%	1.56×	4.59
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	17.7%	18.0%	0.98×	5.66
Spaeri & over 1.5	18.3%	17.7%	31.3%	0.56×	5.66
Spaeri & over 2.5	13.5%	12.5%	25.0%	0.50×	8.03
Spaeri & under 2.5	13.4%	12.5%	15.7%	0.80×	8.03
FC Rustavi & under 1.5	11.8%	12.5%	9.7%	1.29×	8.03
Draw & under 1.5	10.8%	12.5%	8.0%	1.56×	8.03
FC Rustavi & over 3.5	10.3%	12.5%	10.3%	1.21×	8.03
Spaeri & under 1.5	8.6%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.17
Spaeri & over 3.5	5.4%	7.6%	10.3%	0.73×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (1UP)	57.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Spaeri (1UP)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (2UP)	43.3%	44.2%	—	—	2.27
Spaeri (2UP)	26.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
FC Rustavi to win 2nd half	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Spaeri to win 2nd half	23.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (+2.5)	97.1%	96.6%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
FC Rustavi (+1.5)	89.8%	87.4%	81.7%	1.07×	1.14
FC Rustavi (+0.5)	73.1%	72.8%	59.7%	1.22×	1.37
Spaeri (+0.5)	56.7%	58.3%	65.7%	0.89×	1.71
FC Rustavi (-0.5)	43.3%	41.7%	34.3%	1.21×	2.40
Spaeri (-0.5)	26.9%	27.2%	40.3%	0.67×	3.68
Spaeri (-1.5)	10.2%	12.6%	18.3%	0.69×	7.94
Spaeri (-2.5)	2.9%	3.4%	9.0%	0.38×	29.55

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to concede	63.2%	65.1%	75.3%	0.86×	1.54
FC Rustavi clean sheet	36.8%	34.9%	24.7%	1.42×	2.86

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi clean sheet in 1st half	65.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
FC Rustavi to concede in 1st half	34.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi under 3.5 goals	95.3%	97.3%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
FC Rustavi under 2.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	86.3%	0.96×	1.21
FC Rustavi over 0.5 goals	73.7%	71.3%	71.0%	1.00×	1.40
FC Rustavi under 1.5 goals	61.5%	63.7%	66.0%	0.97×	1.57
FC Rustavi over 1.5 goals	38.5%	36.3%	34.0%	1.07×	2.76
FC Rustavi under 0.5 goals	26.3%	28.7%	29.0%	0.99×	3.48
FC Rustavi over 2.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	13.7%	1.28×	5.70
FC Rustavi over 3.5 goals	4.7%	2.7%	5.3%	0.50×	37.43

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
FC Rustavi under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Rustavi over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Rustavi over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	52.6%	52.1%	38.9%	1.34×	1.92
Spaeri (away no bet)	47.4%	47.9%	61.1%	0.78×	2.09

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi even goals	53.5%	53.5%	54.3%	0.99×	1.87
FC Rustavi odd goals	46.5%	46.5%	45.7%	1.02×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.0%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.02

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
FC Rustavi to score 2+ in a row	32.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Spaeri to score 2+ in a row	20.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
FC Rustavi to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.86
Spaeri to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	3.1%	—	—	32.36

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.2%	11.7%	0.96×	8.90
0-0	10.8%	11.2%	8.0%	1.40×	8.90
0-1	11.8%	11.2%	9.7%	1.16×	8.90
0-2	8.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.48
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.48
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	11.3%	0.65×	13.49
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.10
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.11
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.10
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.11
2-0	4.8%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.10
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.10
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.11
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.11
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.11
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.11
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.11
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.11
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.58×	58.11
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.11
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.11
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.16×	58.11
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.16×	58.11
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi leading at HT (DNB)	56.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Spaeri leading at HT (DNB)	43.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw (X2)	73.1%	72.7%	59.7%	1.22×	1.38
Spaeri or FC Rustavi (12)	70.2%	72.7%	74.3%	0.98×	1.38
Spaeri or draw (1X)	56.7%	58.3%	65.7%	0.89×	1.72

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw at HT	77.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Spaeri or draw at HT	70.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Spaeri or FC Rustavi at HT	52.2%	54.0%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw (1UP)	73.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Spaeri or draw (1UP)	56.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi or draw in 2nd half	76.6%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Spaeri or draw in 2nd half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Spaeri or FC Rustavi in 2nd half	60.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Neither half drawn	32.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (DNB)	61.7%	61.7%	46.0%	1.34×	1.62
Spaeri (DNB)	38.3%	38.3%	54.0%	0.71×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score first	51.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Spaeri to score first	38.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	10.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.4%	51.8%	45.7%	1.13×	1.93
Both teams to score	47.6%	48.2%	54.3%	0.89×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.7%	41.7%	37.0%	1.13×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	33.6%	34.0%	43.0%	0.79×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	11.9%	11.7%	1.02×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.5%	9.0%	0.94×	11.82

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.8%	85.9%	87.0%	0.99×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	10.2%	14.1%	13.0%	1.08×	7.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Both score 2nd half only	20.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.30
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.6%	—	—	21.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	46.6%	47.3%	0.98×	2.15
0-1 goals	31.2%	30.8%	26.3%	1.17×	3.24
4-6 goals	19.7%	19.2%	23.7%	0.81×	5.21
7+ goals	1.0%	2.0%	3.3%	0.60×	50.29

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score exactly 1	35.1%	36.0%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
FC Rustavi to score exactly 0	26.3%	27.4%	29.0%	0.94×	3.66
FC Rustavi to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.1%	20.7%	1.12×	4.32
FC Rustavi to score 3+	15.1%	18.4%	13.7%	1.35×	5.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to score exactly 0	36.8%	36.5%	24.7%	1.48×	2.74
Spaeri to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.5%	34.3%	1.06×	2.74
Spaeri to score exactly 2	18.4%	18.3%	26.7%	0.69×	5.45
Spaeri to score 3+	8.0%	8.9%	15.0%	0.59×	11.28

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
FC Rustavi leading at HT	29.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Spaeri leading at HT	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi -1: 1	56.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
FC Rustavi -1: X	22.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
FC Rustavi -1: 2	20.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:1)	73.1%	72.1%	59.7%	1.21×	1.39
Draw (0:1)	16.7%	18.2%	22.3%	0.81×	5.51
Spaeri (0:1)	10.2%	13.2%	18.3%	0.72×	7.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:2)	89.8%	86.7%	81.7%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	9.7%	0.80×	12.95
Spaeri (0:2)	2.9%	3.5%	9.0%	0.39×	28.82

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:3)	97.1%	96.7%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.98
Spaeri (0:3)	0.6%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (0:4)	99.4%	97.7%	96.3%	1.01×	1.02
Spaeri (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.7%	0.85×	70.62
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.4%	2.3%	0.61×	70.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (1:0)	56.7%	59.2%	65.7%	0.90×	1.69
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.9%	21.0%	1.04×	4.56
FC Rustavi (1:0)	20.7%	21.9%	13.7%	1.60×	4.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri (2:0)	79.3%	78.2%	86.3%	0.91×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	13.2%	11.5%	8.3%	1.38×	8.67
FC Rustavi (2:0)	7.5%	6.7%	5.7%	1.18×	14.98

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	29.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to concede	73.7%	72.0%	71.0%	1.01×	1.39
Spaeri clean sheet	26.3%	28.0%	29.0%	0.97×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Spaeri to concede in 1st half	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Spaeri under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	85.0%	1.09×	1.08
Spaeri under 1.5 goals	73.6%	73.2%	58.7%	1.25×	1.37
Spaeri over 0.5 goals	63.2%	62.4%	75.3%	0.83×	1.60
Spaeri under 0.5 goals	36.8%	37.6%	24.7%	1.52×	2.66
Spaeri over 1.5 goals	26.4%	26.8%	41.3%	0.65×	3.73
Spaeri over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	15.0%	0.51×	13.04
Spaeri over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.4%	6.3%	0.54×	29.10

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Spaeri under 0.5 in 1st half	65.1%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Spaeri over 0.5 in 1st half	34.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Spaeri over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi (home no bet)	59.2%	56.1%	57.2%	0.98×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	40.8%	43.9%	42.8%	1.03×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri even goals	56.8%	55.5%	55.7%	1.00×	1.80
Spaeri odd goals	43.2%	44.5%	44.3%	1.00×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
HT 0-1	20.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
HT 1-0	16.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
HT 1-1	8.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.45
HT 0-2	5.4%	8.0%	—	—	12.48
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.44
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	23.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
Draw at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	17.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Spaeri at HT / Spaeri at FT	14.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Draw at HT / Spaeri at FT	10.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Spaeri at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.59
FC Rustavi at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.7%	—	—	27.27
Spaeri at HT / FC Rustavi at FT	2.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.33
FC Rustavi at HT / Spaeri at FT	1.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.36

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi to score last	51.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Spaeri to score last	38.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.64
No goal scored	10.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Rustavi to lead by 1 at any time	57.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Spaeri to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.1%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
FC Rustavi to lead by 2 at any time	25.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Spaeri to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
FC Rustavi to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.13
Spaeri to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.22

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.1%	86.7%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.4%	82.0%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
1-3 goals	68.5%	68.2%	65.7%	1.04×	1.47
2-6 goals	67.8%	68.2%	70.7%	0.96×	1.47
2-5 goals	65.6%	68.2%	68.3%	1.00×	1.47
2-4 goals	60.0%	62.7%	60.7%	1.03×	1.60
1-2 goals	47.9%	47.4%	40.7%	1.16×	2.11
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
3-6 goals	40.3%	43.7%	48.7%	0.90×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.1%	39.0%	46.3%	0.84×	2.56
3-4 goals	32.5%	34.6%	38.7%	0.89×	2.89
4-6 goals	19.7%	18.8%	23.7%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.6%	18.8%	21.3%	0.88×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.8%	8.9%	10.3%	0.87×	11.19
7+ goals	1.0%	2.2%	3.3%	0.67×	44.62

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Rustavi never behind	46.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Spaeri never behind	31.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.7%	50.0%	46.3%	1.08×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.0%	53.7%	0.93×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	96.0%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.7%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.3%	77.0%	73.3%	1.05×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	68.8%	67.5%	73.7%	0.92×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	58.7%	57.5%	48.3%	1.19×	1.74
Over 2.5 goals	41.3%	42.5%	51.7%	0.82×	2.35
Under 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.5%	26.3%	1.23×	3.08
Over 3.5 goals	20.8%	23.0%	26.7%	0.86×	4.35
Under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.14
Over 4.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.0%	5.7%	0.70×	25.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.3%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.0%	92.0%	84.6%	1.09×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.9%	71.7%	64.4%	1.11×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.9%	58.0%	66.2%	0.87×	1.73
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.1%	42.0%	33.8%	1.25×	2.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.1%	28.3%	35.6%	0.80×	3.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.0%	8.0%	15.4%	0.52×	12.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.7%	6.1%	0.44×	36.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.71

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.7%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	8.3%	—	—	12.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to score in both halves	84.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Rustavi not to score in both halves	77.2%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
FC Rustavi to score in both halves	22.8%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Spaeri to score in both halves	15.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.6%	50.6%	54.3%	0.93×	1.98
Only FC Rustavi scores	26.0%	25.5%	17.0%	1.50×	3.93
Only Spaeri scores	15.5%	17.1%	21.3%	0.80×	5.84
Neither team scores	10.8%	11.1%	8.0%	1.38×	9.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	25.0%	22.3%	1.12×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	20.4%	22.3%	18.7%	1.19×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.3%	25.3%	0.88×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	12.0%	12.3%	13.7%	0.90×	8.13
Exactly 0 goals	10.8%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.1%	5.7%	0.72×	24.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
1 goal in 2nd half	34.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	25.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win both halves	94.6%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
FC Rustavi not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Rustavi to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Spaeri to win both halves	5.4%	7.7%	—	—	12.98

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri to win neither half	59.4%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
FC Rustavi to win either half	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Rustavi to win neither half	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Spaeri to win either half	40.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spaeri not to win to nil	84.5%	82.7%	78.7%	1.05×	1.21
FC Rustavi not to win to nil	74.0%	74.8%	83.0%	0.90×	1.34
FC Rustavi to win to nil	26.0%	25.2%	17.0%	1.48×	3.97
Spaeri to win to nil	15.5%	17.3%	21.3%	0.81×	5.77

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.8%	27.4%	25.7%	1.07×	3.65
FC Rustavi by 1	22.6%	23.3%	21.0%	1.11×	4.29
Spaeri by 1	16.7%	17.3%	22.3%	0.78×	5.78
FC Rustavi by 2	13.2%	11.8%	8.3%	1.42×	8.46
Spaeri by 2	7.4%	7.3%	9.7%	0.76×	13.66
FC Rustavi by 3+	7.5%	7.3%	5.7%	1.29×	13.66
Spaeri by 3+	2.9%	3.0%	9.0%	0.33×	33.82