Spartak Moscow v Akron Tolyatti — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Spartak Moscow

13:15 UTC

Akron Tolyatti

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 410h before kick-off

Spartak Moscow win

75.1%

model 74.1%

Draw

17.7%

model 16.3%

Akron Tolyatti win

7.2%

model 9.6%

75187

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.0%
3-0 8.8%
3-1 8.1%
1-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.7%	Under 2.5	30.3%
BTTS yes	56.6%	BTTS no	43.4%
Spartak Moscow 1+	93.2%	Spartak Moscow 2+	74.9%
Akron Tolyatti 1+	59.9%	Akron Tolyatti 2+	23.3%

Expected goals 2.69 – 0.91. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Spartak Moscow (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Akron Tolyatti not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1343.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Spartak Moscow have an estimated 75.1% win probability, against 17.7% for the draw and 7.2% for Akron Tolyatti. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.69 for Spartak Moscow and 0.91 for Akron Tolyatti.

Why Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1343. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.7%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Akron Tolyatti can win

Nothing in the data singles out Akron Tolyatti.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Spartak Moscow, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Akron Tolyatti, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Spartak Moscow: 63% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Akron Tolyatti: 55% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Spartak Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 75.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 9.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	741610	2.69–0.91	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	741610	2.83–1.01	2-1 9%	74%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win	74.3%	73.9%	44.1%	1.68×	1.35
Draw	15.7%	19.4%	28.0%	0.69×	5.16
Akron Tolyatti to win	10.0%	8.3%	28.0%	0.29×	12.11

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & both teams score	40.5%	40.0%	18.9%	2.12×	2.50
Spartak Moscow & not both score	33.8%	29.6%	25.4%	1.17×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	20.9%	0.63×	7.54
Akron Tolyatti & both teams score	6.9%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01
Akron Tolyatti & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	14.8%	0.33×	20.60
Draw & not both score	2.8%	4.9%	7.3%	0.66×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & over 1.5	68.8%	67.8%	33.5%	2.02×	1.47
Spartak Moscow & over 2.5	60.1%	54.6%	26.0%	2.10×	1.83
Spartak Moscow & over 3.5	43.2%	40.3%	13.4%	3.00×	2.48
Spartak Moscow & under 3.5	31.0%	30.8%	30.9%	1.00×	3.25
Spartak Moscow & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	18.3%	0.70×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	20.9%	0.61×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.63
Akron Tolyatti & over 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
Akron Tolyatti & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63
Akron Tolyatti & under 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
Spartak Moscow & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.8%	0.74×	12.63
Akron Tolyatti & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.82
Akron Tolyatti & under 2.5	2.6%	4.8%	11.8%	0.41×	20.82
Akron Tolyatti & under 1.5	1.5%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (1UP)	84.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Akron Tolyatti (1UP)	29.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.64

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2UP)	74.3%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Akron Tolyatti (2UP)	10.0%	9.0%	—	—	11.16

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win 2nd half	61.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	24.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Akron Tolyatti to win 2nd half	13.4%	11.5%	—	—	8.72

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (+0.5)	90.0%	92.1%	72.0%	1.28×	1.09
Spartak Moscow (-0.5)	74.3%	73.7%	44.1%	1.67×	1.36
Akron Tolyatti (+2.5)	65.6%	68.7%	89.6%	0.77×	1.46
Spartak Moscow (-1.5)	54.8%	52.4%	22.6%	2.32×	1.91
Akron Tolyatti (+1.5)	45.2%	47.6%	77.4%	0.61×	2.10
Spartak Moscow (-2.5)	34.4%	31.3%	10.4%	3.02×	3.19
Akron Tolyatti (+0.5)	25.7%	26.3%	55.9%	0.47×	3.80
Akron Tolyatti (-0.5)	10.0%	7.9%	28.0%	0.28×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede	94.1%	91.9%	78.0%	1.18×	1.09
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet	5.9%	8.1%	22.0%	0.37×	12.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 1st half	70.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 1st half	29.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 2nd half	80.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 2nd half	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 6.5 corners	95.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Akron Tolyatti under 5.5 corners	89.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Akron Tolyatti under 4.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 corners	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 corners	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 corners	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Akron Tolyatti over 4.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Akron Tolyatti over 5.5 corners	10.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Akron Tolyatti over 6.5 corners	4.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 goals	73.4%	71.9%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 goals	63.4%	63.2%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 goals	36.6%	36.8%	32.5%	1.13×	2.72
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 goals	26.6%	28.1%	29.9%	0.94×	3.56
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	11.2%	0.69×	13.05
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.26
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti scores equally in both	46.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 2nd half	33.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (away no bet)	82.5%	82.7%	61.1%	1.35×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	17.5%	17.3%	38.9%	0.45×	5.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti even goals	56.7%	56.9%	53.3%	1.07×	1.76
Akron Tolyatti odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	46.7%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.2%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Spartak Moscow to score 2+ in a row	70.1%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	43.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.57
Spartak Moscow to score 3+ in a row	41.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Akron Tolyatti to score 2+ in a row	15.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow corners (+3.5)	97.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Spartak Moscow corners (+2.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Spartak Moscow corners (+1.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Spartak Moscow corners (-1.5)	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Akron Tolyatti corners (+3.5)	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Spartak Moscow corners (-2.5)	51.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Akron Tolyatti corners (+2.5)	48.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Spartak Moscow corners (-3.5)	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Akron Tolyatti corners (+1.5)	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Akron Tolyatti corners (-1.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Akron Tolyatti corners (-2.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Akron Tolyatti corners (-3.5)	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.47

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	13.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	15.8%	13.8%	4.1%	3.40×	7.24
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
1-1	6.8%	7.4%	15.0%	0.49×	13.51
3-0	8.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.50
3-1	8.2%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.50
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
4-0	5.8%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.51
4-1	5.8%	7.4%	1.4%	5.20×	13.51
0-0	2.8%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
0-1	1.5%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.31
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.30
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2nd half DNB)	82.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Akron Tolyatti (2nd half DNB)	17.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	82.4%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT (DNB)	17.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (1X)	90.0%	91.7%	72.0%	1.28×	1.09
Spartak Moscow or Akron Tolyatti (12)	84.3%	80.6%	72.0%	1.12×	1.24
Akron Tolyatti or draw (X2)	25.7%	26.1%	55.9%	0.47×	3.83

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw at HT	87.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Spartak Moscow or Akron Tolyatti at HT	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Akron Tolyatti or draw at HT	43.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (1UP)	90.0%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Akron Tolyatti or draw (1UP)	29.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw in 2nd half	86.6%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Spartak Moscow or Akron Tolyatti in 2nd half	75.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Akron Tolyatti or draw in 2nd half	38.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	52.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	47.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (DNB)	88.2%	87.2%	61.1%	1.43×	1.15
Akron Tolyatti (DNB)	11.8%	12.8%	38.9%	0.33×	7.79

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score first	71.7%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Akron Tolyatti to score first	25.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.3%	56.6%	52.8%	1.07×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.7%	43.4%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.5%	47.3%	38.0%	1.24×	2.12
Not both score & over 2.5	20.1%	27.7%	10.4%	2.67×	3.61
Not both score & under 2.5	19.6%	21.6%	37.0%	0.58×	4.63
Both score & under 2.5	6.8%	8.3%	15.0%	0.55×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.4%	79.7%	86.8%	0.92×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	20.6%	20.3%	13.2%	1.54×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	71.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
A half without a goal	28.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.0%	42.1%	25.4%	1.66×	2.37
2-3 goals	37.0%	35.1%	48.0%	0.73×	2.85
0-1 goals	9.8%	7.7%	25.4%	0.30×	13.06
7+ goals	9.2%	7.6%	1.6%	4.70×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 0	36.6%	35.9%	32.5%	1.10×	2.78
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.6%	18.9%	1.04×	5.11
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+	8.1%	8.6%	11.2%	0.77×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score 3+	53.6%	43.3%	18.7%	2.31×	2.31
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 2	23.7%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 1	16.8%	18.8%	35.2%	0.53×	5.33
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 0	5.9%	10.3%	22.0%	0.47×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow leading at HT	56.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Draw at HT	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT	12.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow -1: 1	54.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Spartak Moscow -1: 2	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Spartak Moscow -1: X	19.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:1)	54.8%	51.3%	22.6%	2.28×	1.95
Akron Tolyatti (0:1)	25.7%	27.0%	55.9%	0.48×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	19.4%	17.8%	21.7%	0.82×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (0:2)	45.2%	50.9%	77.4%	0.66×	1.96
Spartak Moscow (0:2)	34.4%	29.0%	10.4%	2.79×	3.45
Draw (0:2)	20.4%	20.3%	12.4%	1.63×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (0:3)	65.6%	71.5%	89.6%	0.80×	1.40
Spartak Moscow (0:3)	18.5%	16.2%	4.7%	3.47×	6.17
Draw (0:3)	15.9%	16.1%	5.9%	2.73×	6.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (0:4)	81.5%	87.1%	95.3%	0.91×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.9%	4.7%	3.7%	1.28×	21.40
Spartak Moscow (0:4)	8.6%	4.6%	1.2%	3.81×	21.52

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (1:0)	90.0%	92.5%	72.0%	1.29×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.5%	6.9%	16.9%	0.41×	14.51
Akron Tolyatti (1:0)	3.5%	3.3%	11.4%	0.29×	30.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2:0)	96.5%	96.8%	88.6%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	7.3%	0.31×	43.67
Akron Tolyatti (2:0)	0.9%	2.3%	4.3%	0.54×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to concede	63.4%	63.7%	67.5%	0.94×	1.57
Spartak Moscow clean sheet	36.6%	36.3%	32.5%	1.12×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	66.9%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Spartak Moscow to concede in 1st half	33.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet in 2nd half	54.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Spartak Moscow to concede in 2nd half	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 corners	88.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Spartak Moscow over 4.5 corners	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Spartak Moscow under 6.5 corners	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Spartak Moscow under 5.5 corners	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Spartak Moscow over 5.5 corners	49.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Spartak Moscow under 4.5 corners	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Spartak Moscow over 6.5 corners	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 corners	11.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	78.0%	1.18×	1.08
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.7%	43.1%	1.80×	1.29
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 goals	68.8%	68.0%	92.7%	0.73×	1.47
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 goals	53.6%	53.2%	18.7%	2.85×	1.88
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 goals	46.4%	46.8%	81.3%	0.58×	2.14
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 goals	31.2%	32.0%	7.3%	4.38×	3.12
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.3%	56.9%	0.39×	4.49
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	22.0%	0.35×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow scores more in 2nd half	46.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Spartak Moscow scores more in 1st half	28.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Spartak Moscow scores equally in both	24.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.2%	60.0%	50.0%	1.20×	1.67
Akron Tolyatti (home no bet)	38.8%	40.0%	50.0%	0.80×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow even goals	50.2%	50.7%	50.6%	1.00×	1.97
Spartak Moscow odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	49.4%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 0-0	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 2-0	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
Any other HT score	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Draw at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	18.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Spartak Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Draw at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Spartak Moscow at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score last	71.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Akron Tolyatti to score last	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Spartak Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	84.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	69.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Spartak Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	62.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	40.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Spartak Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	38.7%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 1 at any time	29.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 2 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.89
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow most corners	74.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Akron Tolyatti most corners	16.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	9.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.9%	83.4%	73.2%	1.14×	1.20
1-5 goals	78.4%	78.7%	87.6%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.3%	63.3%	46.7%	1.35×	1.58
1-4 goals	63.5%	63.3%	79.7%	0.79×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.5%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	43.1%	1.23×	1.88
1-3 goals	44.0%	43.6%	66.1%	0.66×	2.29
4-6 goals	44.0%	43.6%	25.4%	1.72×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	35.2%	1.12×	2.55
2-3 goals	37.0%	39.2%	48.0%	0.82×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.4%	35.2%	21.7%	1.62×	2.84
5-6 goals	24.5%	24.5%	11.8%	2.08×	4.08
1-2 goals	23.6%	24.5%	44.7%	0.55×	4.08
7+ goals	9.2%	8.9%	1.6%	5.47×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow never behind	67.3%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Akron Tolyatti never behind	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	74.6%	1.24×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	81.2%	82.3%	94.7%	0.87×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	48.2%	1.50×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	86.8%	0.76×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	53.2%	52.5%	26.8%	1.96×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	46.8%	47.5%	73.2%	0.65×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	13.2%	2.55×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	51.8%	0.53×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	5.3%	3.35×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	25.4%	0.30×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	7.3%	0.62×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.8%	86.7%	98.3%	0.88×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.2%	86.7%	65.5%	1.32×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.0%	75.9%	94.3%	0.81×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.8%	67.4%	34.1%	1.98×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	58.2%	55.8%	84.7%	0.66×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	41.8%	44.2%	15.3%	2.89×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.2%	32.6%	65.9%	0.49×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.0%	24.1%	5.7%	4.20×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.8%	13.3%	34.5%	0.38×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.2%	13.3%	1.7%	7.86×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.1%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Spartak Moscow to score in both halves	56.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Spartak Moscow not to score in both halves	43.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Akron Tolyatti to score in both halves	15.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.3%	60.2%	52.8%	1.14×	1.66
Only Spartak Moscow scores	33.8%	33.3%	25.4%	1.31×	3.00
Only Akron Tolyatti scores	3.1%	4.6%	14.8%	0.31×	21.71
Neither team scores	2.8%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.73

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	13.8%	1.26×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.8%	17.5%	5.3%	3.30×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.6%	17.5%	26.6%	0.66×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.9%	12.1%	8.1%	1.49×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	7.0%	7.6%	18.3%	0.42×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	2.8%	4.5%	7.3%	0.61×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	31.9%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
3+ goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	20.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.0%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
1 goal in 2nd half	23.8%	22.8%	—	—	4.38
No goals in 2nd half	11.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti not to win both halves	98.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Spartak Moscow not to win both halves	64.8%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Spartak Moscow to win both halves	35.2%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Akron Tolyatti to win both halves	1.7%	2.8%	—	—	36.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win either half	83.2%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Akron Tolyatti to win neither half	76.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Akron Tolyatti to win either half	23.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Spartak Moscow to win neither half	16.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti not to win to nil	96.9%	96.2%	85.2%	1.13×	1.04
Spartak Moscow not to win to nil	66.2%	69.6%	74.6%	0.93×	1.44
Spartak Moscow to win to nil	33.8%	30.4%	25.4%	1.20×	3.29
Akron Tolyatti to win to nil	3.1%	3.9%	14.8%	0.26×	25.97

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow by 3+	34.4%	27.7%	10.4%	2.67×	3.61
Spartak Moscow by 2	20.4%	24.1%	12.4%	1.94×	4.15
Spartak Moscow by 1	19.4%	17.1%	21.7%	0.78×	5.86
Draw	15.7%	17.0%	28.0%	0.61×	5.87
Akron Tolyatti by 1	6.5%	7.2%	16.9%	0.43×	13.91
Akron Tolyatti by 2	2.6%	2.7%	7.3%	0.37×	36.82
Akron Tolyatti by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	4.3%	0.64×	36.88