Sport Huancayo v Melgar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sport Huancayo

18:00 UTC

Melgar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Sport Huancayo win

36.3%

model 35.7%

Draw

22.0%

model 24.2%

Melgar win

41.7%

model 40.1%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
0-1 9.1%
1-2 8.6%
1-0 8.6%
2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.6%	Under 2.5	46.4%
BTTS yes	56.7%	BTTS no	43.3%
Sport Huancayo 1+	74.4%	Sport Huancayo 2+	39.5%
Melgar 1+	76.8%	Melgar 2+	42.9%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Melgar (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 34%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Melgar (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Melgar carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1440.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Melgar have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Sport Huancayo and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Sport Huancayo and 1.46 for Melgar.

Why Sport Huancayo

Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.36 to 1.46. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Melgar can win

Melgar carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1440.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Melgar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Melgar: 53% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Melgar are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362440	1.36–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352441	1.33–1.47	1-1 11%	53%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to win	41.1%	42.9%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
Sport Huancayo to win	34.7%	30.4%	49.8%	0.61×	3.29
Draw	24.3%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar & not both score	20.9%	21.8%	12.3%	1.77×	4.59
Melgar & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Sport Huancayo & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Sport Huancayo & not both score	17.4%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar & over 1.5	31.7%	30.7%	17.4%	1.77×	3.25
Melgar & under 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	19.4%	1.34×	3.84
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5	26.1%	26.1%	38.0%	0.68×	3.84
Melgar & over 2.5	25.1%	26.1%	14.5%	1.80×	3.84
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	33.7%	0.64×	4.63
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Melgar & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	11.1%	1.63×	5.56
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5	13.9%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Melgar & over 3.5	13.1%	12.8%	6.2%	2.08×	7.79
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	16.3%	0.79×	7.79
Melgar & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (1UP)	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Sport Huancayo (1UP)	52.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (2UP)	41.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Sport Huancayo (2UP)	34.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Melgar over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Melgar under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Melgar over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Melgar (+1.5)	84.8%	82.6%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Melgar (+0.5)	65.3%	68.7%	50.2%	1.37×	1.46
Sport Huancayo (+0.5)	58.9%	57.1%	74.6%	0.76×	1.75
Melgar (-0.5)	41.1%	42.9%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
Sport Huancayo (-0.5)	34.7%	31.3%	49.8%	0.63×	3.19
Sport Huancayo (-1.5)	15.2%	17.4%	24.6%	0.71×	5.74
Sport Huancayo (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to concede	73.5%	76.7%	80.1%	0.96×	1.30
Melgar clean sheet	26.5%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar clean sheet in 1st half	56.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Melgar to concede in 1st half	43.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to concede in 2nd half	53.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Melgar clean sheet in 2nd half	46.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Melgar under 6.5 corners	77.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Melgar under 5.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Melgar over 3.5 corners	63.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Melgar under 4.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Melgar over 4.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Melgar under 3.5 corners	36.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Melgar over 5.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Melgar over 6.5 corners	22.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Melgar under 2.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 3.5 goals	93.8%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Melgar under 2.5 goals	81.6%	81.5%	92.0%	0.89×	1.23
Melgar over 0.5 goals	77.0%	76.2%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Melgar under 1.5 goals	56.8%	59.4%	71.6%	0.83×	1.68
Melgar over 1.5 goals	43.2%	40.6%	28.4%	1.43×	2.46
Melgar under 0.5 goals	23.0%	23.8%	34.1%	0.70×	4.21
Melgar over 2.5 goals	18.4%	18.5%	8.0%	2.32×	5.41
Melgar over 3.5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	2.5%	3.01×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Melgar under 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Melgar over 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Melgar over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Melgar scores equally in both	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Melgar scores more in 1st half	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo (away no bet)	58.8%	57.4%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.2%	42.6%	33.4%	1.28×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar even goals	52.6%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Melgar odd goals	47.4%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Melgar to score 2+ in a row	34.4%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Melgar to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Melgar corners (+3.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5)	77.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Melgar corners (+2.5)	72.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5)	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Melgar corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Melgar corners (-1.5)	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5)	27.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Melgar corners (-2.5)	22.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Melgar corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (2nd half DNB)	55.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Sport Huancayo (2nd half DNB)	44.6%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar leading at HT (DNB)	50.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB)	49.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo or Melgar (12)	75.7%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
Melgar or draw (X2)	65.3%	69.6%	50.2%	1.39×	1.44
Sport Huancayo or draw (1X)	58.9%	57.1%	74.6%	0.77×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar or draw at HT	71.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT	70.8%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Sport Huancayo or Melgar at HT	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar or draw (1UP)	65.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP)	58.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sport Huancayo or Melgar in 2nd half	65.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (DNB)	54.2%	50.9%	33.7%	1.51×	1.96
Sport Huancayo (DNB)	45.8%	49.1%	66.3%	0.74×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to score first	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Sport Huancayo to score first	44.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.2%	55.0%	53.8%	1.02×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.8%	45.0%	46.2%	0.97×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.7%	41.6%	42.8%	0.97×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.5%	38.4%	37.7%	1.02×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.4%	82.6%	85.7%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.6%	17.4%	14.3%	1.21×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.0%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	6.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.4%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.6%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.8%	1.02×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to score exactly 1	33.8%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Melgar to score exactly 2	24.9%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
Melgar to score exactly 0	23.0%	22.3%	34.1%	0.65×	4.49
Melgar to score 3+	18.4%	19.5%	8.0%	2.45×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0	26.5%	26.6%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Sport Huancayo to score 3+	15.0%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Melgar leading at HT	29.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Sport Huancayo leading at HT	28.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar -1: 1	58.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Melgar -1: X	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Melgar -1: 2	19.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:1)	65.3%	65.2%	50.2%	1.30×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.61
Sport Huancayo (0:1)	15.2%	17.8%	24.6%	0.72×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:2)	84.8%	83.0%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	13.03
Sport Huancayo (0:2)	5.3%	7.6%	11.4%	0.67×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	41.97
Sport Huancayo (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.84
Sport Huancayo (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo (1:0)	58.9%	58.4%	74.6%	0.78×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Melgar (1:0)	19.6%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo (2:0)	80.4%	84.5%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.1%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.72
Melgar (2:0)	7.5%	6.4%	2.2%	2.94×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede	77.0%	76.1%	65.9%	1.15×	1.32
Sport Huancayo clean sheet	23.0%	23.9%	34.1%	0.70×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half	55.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half	44.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede in 2nd half	58.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 2nd half	41.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners	73.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners	26.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals	85.0%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals	73.5%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals	61.7%	63.6%	52.7%	1.21×	1.57
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals	38.3%	36.4%	47.3%	0.77×	2.75
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals	26.5%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals	15.0%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half	88.7%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half	11.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo scores equally in both	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sport Huancayo scores more in 2nd half	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Sport Huancayo scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (home no bet)	62.9%	60.0%	50.4%	1.19×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.1%	40.0%	49.6%	0.81×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals	53.5%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Sport Huancayo odd goals	46.5%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar at HT / Melgar at FT	22.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Melgar at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Melgar at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Sport Huancayo at HT / Melgar at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Melgar at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to score last	49.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Sport Huancayo to score last	44.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Melgar to lead by 1 at any time	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time	52.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Melgar to lead by 2 at any time	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Melgar to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time	7.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo most corners	47.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Melgar most corners	41.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.0%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.6%	63.3%	63.9%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.6%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.5%	48.4%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.3%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.4%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.3%	24.5%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.8%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.75
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar never behind	42.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Sport Huancayo never behind	36.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.8%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.8%	82.3%	85.7%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	76.4%	77.3%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.2%	66.3%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.5%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.8%	33.7%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.6%	22.7%	27.5%	0.82×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.2%	17.7%	14.3%	1.24×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.4%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.0%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.2%	67.5%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.4%	61.9%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.6%	38.1%	36.9%	1.03×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.8%	32.5%	34.9%	0.93×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.0%	18.9%	16.7%	1.13×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves	76.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Melgar not to score in both halves	73.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Melgar to score in both halves	26.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.2%	58.5%	53.8%	1.09×	1.71
Only Melgar scores	20.9%	22.2%	12.3%	1.81×	4.50
Only Sport Huancayo scores	17.4%	16.0%	26.4%	0.61×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.4%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.0%	17.5%	19.9%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Melgar not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Melgar to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Sport Huancayo to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to win either half	55.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Sport Huancayo to win neither half	50.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sport Huancayo to win either half	49.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Melgar to win neither half	45.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil	82.6%	83.1%	73.6%	1.13×	1.20
Melgar not to win to nil	79.1%	78.1%	87.7%	0.89×	1.28
Melgar to win to nil	20.9%	21.9%	12.3%	1.77×	4.58
Sport Huancayo to win to nil	17.4%	16.9%	26.4%	0.64×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.3%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Melgar by 1	21.5%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Sport Huancayo by 1	19.5%	17.1%	25.4%	0.67×	5.86
Melgar by 2	12.1%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
Sport Huancayo by 2	9.8%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.90
Melgar by 3+	7.5%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.91
Sport Huancayo by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.92