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Sport Huancayo v Sport Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Sport Huancayo win
46.5%
model 45.3%
Draw
26.8%
model 26.2%
Sport Boys win
26.8%
model 28.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 12.3%
  3. 0-1 9.3%
  4. 2-1 8.9%
  5. 2-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.544.5% Under 2.555.5%
BTTS yes48.8% BTTS no51.2%
Sport Huancayo 1+75.4% Sport Huancayo 2+41.0%
Sport Boys 1+65.0% Sport Boys 2+28.3%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
1-3 goals
Multi goal · usually 64%
68.3% fair odds 1.46
moderate signal · 2505 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Sport Boys not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 88%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1047 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sport Huancayo have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Sport Boys and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Sport Huancayo and 1.05 for Sport Boys.

Why Sport Huancayo

Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Boys can win

Sport Boys carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Boys: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sport Huancayo are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.38–1.08 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.33–1.08 1-1 13% 43% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win 42.7% 43.0% 50.0% 0.86× 2.33
Sport Boys to win 30.6% 30.4% 25.1% 1.21× 3.29
Draw 26.7% 27.8% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & not both score 25.2% 25.1% 26.5% 0.95× 3.98
Draw & both teams score 18.1% 17.9% 17.5% 1.03× 5.58
Sport Boys & not both score 17.7% 17.9% 12.2% 1.47× 5.58
Sport Huancayo & both teams score 17.5% 17.9% 23.6% 0.76× 5.58
Sport Boys & both teams score 12.9% 13.3% 13.1% 1.01× 7.54
Draw & not both score 8.6% 8.4% 7.8% 1.07× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5 32.2% 30.8% 33.8% 0.91× 3.24
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5 30.5% 30.8% 38.2% 0.81× 3.24
Sport Boys & under 3.5 24.0% 21.6% 19.1% 1.13× 4.63
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5 22.6% 21.6% 30.9% 0.70× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 21.3% 21.6% 18.9% 1.14× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 21.3% 21.6% 18.9% 1.14× 4.63
Sport Boys & over 1.5 20.7% 21.6% 17.3% 1.25× 4.63
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5 20.1% 21.6% 19.3% 1.12× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 18.1% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Sport Boys & over 2.5 15.4% 18.0% 14.4% 1.25× 5.56
Sport Boys & under 2.5 15.2% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5 12.2% 12.9% 12.0% 1.07× 7.76
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5 10.5% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.76
Sport Boys & under 1.5 9.9% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.65
Draw & under 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.65
Sport Boys & over 3.5 6.6% 7.9% 6.2% 1.28× 12.65
Draw & over 2.5 5.5% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.65
Draw & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.65
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1UP) 57.0% 58.1% 1.72
Sport Boys (1UP) 46.4% 43.2% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2UP) 42.7% 47.7% 2.10
Sport Boys (2UP) 30.6% 30.7% 3.26
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 37.9% 36.0% 2.78
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half 34.4% 34.5% 2.90
Sport Boys to win 2nd half 27.8% 26.4% 3.79
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (+2.5) 92.9% 92.1% 88.5% 1.04× 1.09
Sport Boys (+1.5) 80.4% 82.4% 75.3% 1.10× 1.21
Sport Huancayo (+0.5) 69.4% 68.7% 74.9% 0.92× 1.46
Sport Boys (+0.5) 57.3% 57.0% 50.0% 1.14× 1.75
Sport Huancayo (-0.5) 42.7% 43.0% 50.0% 0.86× 2.33
Sport Boys (-0.5) 30.6% 31.3% 25.1% 1.25× 3.20
Sport Huancayo (-1.5) 19.6% 17.6% 24.7% 0.71× 5.70
Sport Huancayo (-2.5) 7.1% 7.9% 11.5% 0.69× 12.60
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to concede 73.7% 76.6% 80.2% 0.96× 1.31
Sport Boys clean sheet 26.3% 23.4% 19.8% 1.18× 4.28
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys clean sheet in 1st half 56.3% 58.4% 1.71
Sport Boys to concede in 1st half 43.7% 41.6% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 6.5 corners 82.5% 80.9% 1.24
Sport Boys under 5.5 corners 72.8% 72.3% 1.38
Sport Boys over 2.5 corners 72.3% 72.3% 1.38
Sport Boys under 4.5 corners 59.9% 56.9% 1.76
Sport Boys over 3.5 corners 55.7% 56.9% 1.76
Sport Boys under 3.5 corners 44.3% 43.1% 2.32
Sport Boys over 4.5 corners 40.1% 43.1% 2.32
Sport Boys under 2.5 corners 27.7% 27.7% 3.62
Sport Boys over 5.5 corners 27.2% 27.7% 3.62
Sport Boys over 6.5 corners 17.5% 19.1% 5.25
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 3.5 goals 97.5% 97.5% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Sport Boys under 2.5 goals 90.4% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Sport Boys under 1.5 goals 70.5% 71.8% 71.6% 1.00× 1.39
Sport Boys over 0.5 goals 66.2% 68.0% 65.8% 1.03× 1.47
Sport Boys under 0.5 goals 33.8% 32.0% 34.2% 0.94× 3.12
Sport Boys over 1.5 goals 29.5% 28.2% 28.4% 0.99× 3.55
Sport Boys over 2.5 goals 9.6% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.98
Sport Boys over 3.5 goals 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 0.98× 40.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 1st half 92.9% 94.2% 1.06
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 1st half 64.8% 64.2% 1.56
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 1st half 35.2% 35.8% 2.80
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 1st half 7.1% 5.8% 17.23
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (away no bet) 61.5% 61.9% 66.6% 0.93× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 38.5% 38.1% 33.4% 1.14× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys even goals 55.7% 56.9% 56.9% 1.00× 1.76
Sport Boys odd goals 44.3% 43.1% 43.1% 1.00× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.0% 87.8% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.0% 12.2% 8.22
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 56.7% 60.1% 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 43.3% 39.9% 2.51
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 49.5% 46.0% 2.18
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row 31.5% 29.1% 3.44
Sport Boys to score 2+ in a row 22.5% 19.5% 5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.7% 16.3% 6.15
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row 10.1% 12.1% 8.28
Sport Boys to score 3+ in a row 5.8% 5.6% 17.87
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5) 88.7% 84.2% 1.19
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5) 82.8% 80.0% 1.25
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5) 75.2% 75.5% 1.33
Sport Boys corners (+3.5) 74.3% 69.9% 1.43
Sport Boys corners (+2.5) 65.4% 66.8% 1.50
Sport Boys corners (+1.5) 55.2% 56.8% 1.76
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5) 44.8% 43.2% 2.31
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5) 34.6% 33.2% 3.01
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5) 25.7% 30.1% 3.32
Sport Boys corners (-1.5) 24.8% 24.5% 4.08
Sport Boys corners (-2.5) 17.2% 20.0% 5.00
Sport Boys corners (-3.5) 11.3% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 43.4% 37.1% 2.70
9-11 corners 28.3% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 28.3% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.8% 76.6% 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.7% 72.5% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.9% 67.9% 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 63.3% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 56.6% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 53.7% 52.2% 1.91
Over 9.5 corners 46.3% 47.8% 2.09
Under 8.5 corners 43.4% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 36.7% 37.3% 2.68
Under 7.5 corners 33.1% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 28.3% 27.5% 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.2% 23.4% 4.28
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.6% 11.4% 11.3% 1.02× 8.74
1-0 12.2% 11.4% 12.0% 0.95× 8.74
0-0 8.6% 7.4% 7.8% 0.95× 13.50
0-1 9.9% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.50
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.50
1-2 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.50
2-0 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.50
0-2 5.2% 7.4% 3.1% 2.40× 13.50
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 9.43× 58.32
Any other score 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.31
0-3 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.31
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.14× 58.32
1-3 2.5% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.30
1-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 5.6% 0.30× 58.29
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
3-0 3.5% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.30
3-1 3.8% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.30
3-2 2.1% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.31
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.36× 58.32
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.31
4-1 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.67× 58.31
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.32
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.72× 58.32
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB) 58.7% 58.6% 1.71
Sport Boys leading at HT (DNB) 41.3% 41.4% 2.42
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or Sport Boys (12) 73.3% 72.2% 74.9% 0.96× 1.39
Sport Huancayo or draw (1X) 69.4% 69.6% 74.9% 0.93× 1.44
Sport Boys or draw (X2) 57.3% 57.0% 50.0% 1.14× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT 77.7% 80.0% 1.25
Sport Boys or draw at HT 68.3% 66.3% 1.51
Sport Huancayo or Sport Boys at HT 53.9% 47.8% 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP) 69.4% 76.1% 1.31
Sport Boys or draw (1UP) 57.3% 62.7% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half 72.2% 73.6% 1.36
Sport Boys or draw in 2nd half 65.6% 65.5% 1.53
Sport Huancayo or Sport Boys in 2nd half 62.1% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.8% 69.3% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.2% 30.7% 3.26
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (DNB) 58.2% 58.2% 66.6% 0.87× 1.72
Sport Boys (DNB) 41.8% 41.8% 33.4% 1.25× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score first 50.4% 53.7% 1.86
Sport Boys to score first 41.0% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 8.6% 7.5% 13.25
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.5% 51.3% 46.2% 1.11× 1.95
Both teams to score 48.5% 48.7% 53.8% 0.90× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 43.9% 41.7% 37.6% 1.11× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 35.9% 38.5% 42.7% 0.90× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.6% 12.3% 11.3% 1.09× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 0.96× 12.00
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.6% 85.6% 85.6% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.4% 14.4% 14.4% 1.00× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.6% 74.2% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.4% 25.8% 3.87
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.2% 66.5% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 21.5% 20.8% 4.81
Both score 1st half only 11.4% 10.7% 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.9% 5.0% 19.94
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.7% 82.5% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.3% 17.5% 5.72
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.1% 53.3% 1.88
A goal in each half 47.9% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.12
0-1 goals 30.7% 30.7% 27.5% 1.12× 3.25
4-6 goals 21.3% 22.8% 26.9% 0.85× 4.38
7+ goals 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.00× 54.77
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to score exactly 1 36.7% 36.0% 37.6% 0.96× 2.78
Sport Boys to score exactly 0 33.8% 33.8% 34.2% 0.99× 2.96
Sport Boys to score exactly 2 19.9% 19.6% 20.5% 0.96× 5.09
Sport Boys to score 3+ 9.6% 8.6% 8.0% 1.07× 11.69
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1 35.1% 35.6% 32.9% 1.08× 2.81
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0 26.3% 26.5% 19.8% 1.34× 3.77
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2 23.4% 23.2% 25.1% 0.93× 4.31
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ 15.1% 18.9% 22.5% 0.84× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.1% 52.2% 1.91
Sport Huancayo leading at HT 31.7% 33.7% 2.97
Sport Boys leading at HT 22.3% 20.0% 5.00
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo -1: 2 57.3% 56.7% 1.77
Sport Huancayo -1: X 23.1% 23.6% 4.24
Sport Huancayo -1: 1 19.6% 17.4% 5.73
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:1) 57.3% 55.8% 50.0% 1.12× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 23.1% 24.3% 25.5% 0.95× 4.12
Sport Huancayo (0:1) 19.6% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:2) 80.4% 82.9% 75.3% 1.10× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.5% 10.9% 13.5% 0.81× 9.16
Sport Huancayo (0:2) 7.1% 7.7% 11.5% 0.67× 12.98
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:3) 92.9% 92.6% 88.5% 1.05× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.0% 2.4% 7.6% 0.31× 42.01
Sport Huancayo (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 0.59× 42.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.5% 0.47× 83.57
Sport Huancayo (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 0.73× 83.70
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1:0) 69.4% 70.1% 74.9% 0.94× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.8% 17.0% 17.6% 0.96× 5.88
Sport Boys (1:0) 11.8% 12.8% 7.6% 1.67× 7.84
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2:0) 88.2% 88.4% 92.4% 0.96× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.3% 6.5% 5.6% 1.15× 15.49
Sport Boys (2:0) 3.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.05× 43.63
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.5% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 26.4% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede 66.2% 66.5% 65.8% 1.01× 1.50
Sport Huancayo clean sheet 33.8% 33.5% 34.2% 0.98× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half 64.8% 64.3% 1.56
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half 35.2% 35.7% 2.80
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners 82.6% 81.3% 1.23
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners 69.7% 67.8% 1.48
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners 69.5% 67.8% 1.48
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners 57.9% 57.4% 1.74
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners 55.5% 57.4% 1.74
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners 44.5% 42.6% 2.35
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners 42.1% 42.6% 2.35
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners 30.5% 32.2% 3.10
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners 30.3% 32.2% 3.10
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners 17.4% 18.7% 5.36
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals 95.3% 96.3% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals 84.9% 82.1% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals 73.7% 74.2% 80.2% 0.93× 1.35
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals 61.5% 63.5% 52.5% 1.21× 1.57
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals 38.5% 36.5% 47.5% 0.77× 2.74
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals 26.3% 25.8% 19.8% 1.30× 3.88
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals 15.1% 17.9% 22.5% 0.79× 5.59
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals 4.7% 3.7% 7.6% 0.48× 27.24
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half 88.7% 89.8% 1.11
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half 56.3% 58.1% 1.72
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half 43.7% 41.9% 2.39
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half 11.3% 10.2% 9.85
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (home no bet) 53.4% 51.5% 50.0% 1.03× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.6% 48.5% 50.0% 0.97× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals 53.5% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Sport Huancayo odd goals 46.5% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.5% 38.6% 2.59
HT 1-0 21.0% 24.1% 4.14
HT 0-1 15.9% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 9.0% 7.1% 14.00
HT 2-0 6.0% 7.1% 14.04
HT 0-2 3.4% 2.3% 43.45
Any other HT score 3.0% 2.3% 43.48
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.51
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.56
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 43.66
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 24.7% 21.8% 4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 16.0% 16.7% 5.98
Sport Boys at HT / Sport Boys at FT 15.8% 16.7% 5.98
Draw at HT / Sport Boys at FT 13.0% 12.7% 7.89
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.73
Sport Boys at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% 28.75
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Boys at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.85
Sport Boys at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.84
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score last 50.4% 51.9% 1.93
Sport Boys to score last 41.0% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 8.6% 7.5% 13.25
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.4% 92.6% 1.08
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time 57.0% 55.1% 1.82
Sport Boys to lead by 1 at any time 46.4% 43.9% 2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.2% 39.2% 2.55
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time 24.9% 19.6% 5.09
Sport Boys to lead by 2 at any time 16.5% 14.9% 6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.3% 10.5% 9.54
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time 8.6% 6.6% 15.04
Sport Boys to lead by 3 at any time 4.6% 1.7% 59.86
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo most corners 55.5% 55.4% 1.81
Sport Boys most corners 34.1% 33.8% 2.96
Corners level 10.4% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.7% 87.4% 87.1% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.6% 83.4% 78.0% 1.07× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.9% 68.9% 63.8% 1.08× 1.45
2-6 goals 68.1% 68.9% 70.9% 0.97× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.6% 68.9% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-4 goals 59.5% 59.1% 58.4% 1.01× 1.69
1-2 goals 47.9% 48.6% 41.1% 1.18× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.6% 44.2% 1.10× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.3% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.30
3-5 goals 39.8% 39.2% 46.2% 0.85× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.7% 35.3% 37.1% 0.95× 2.83
4-6 goals 21.3% 24.5% 26.9% 0.91× 4.08
4-5 goals 18.8% 18.7% 23.5% 0.80× 5.34
5-6 goals 8.6% 8.8% 12.7% 0.69× 11.31
7+ goals 1.2% 2.6% 1.8% 1.40× 39.19
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo never behind 45.0% 48.4% 2.07
Sport Boys never behind 34.3% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 46.9% 1.08× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 53.1% 0.93× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.6% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.4% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.8% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.2% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.4% 92.2% 92.2% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 90.2% 92.2% 85.6% 1.08× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 77.5% 77.4% 71.5% 1.08× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 69.3% 66.3% 72.5% 0.91× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 56.5% 58.7% 48.7% 1.20× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 43.5% 41.3% 51.3% 0.81× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 30.7% 33.7% 27.5% 1.23× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 22.5% 22.6% 28.5% 0.79× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 9.8% 7.8% 14.4% 0.54× 12.86
Under 0.5 goals 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 0.99× 12.87
Over 5.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 5.3% 0.87× 21.92
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.8% 97.2% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.1% 97.2% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.8% 86.7% 83.3% 1.04× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.5% 72.5% 63.1% 1.15× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 58.6% 55.6% 65.1% 0.85× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 41.4% 44.4% 34.9% 1.27× 2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.5% 27.5% 36.9% 0.74× 3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.2% 13.3% 16.7% 0.79× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.9% 2.8% 5.8% 0.48× 35.81
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.2% 2.8% 1.9% 1.48× 35.89
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.8% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.4% 71.3% 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.5% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.5% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.6% 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.2% 7.3% 13.64
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.1% 82.8% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.7% 79.7% 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 58.9% 54.8% 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 41.1% 45.2% 2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.3% 20.3% 4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.9% 17.2% 5.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to score in both halves 83.2% 84.4% 1.19
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves 76.8% 78.2% 1.28
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves 23.2% 21.8% 4.59
Sport Boys to score in both halves 16.8% 15.6% 6.41
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.5% 50.6% 53.8% 0.94× 1.98
Only Sport Huancayo scores 25.2% 26.0% 26.5% 0.98× 3.84
Only Sport Boys scores 17.7% 16.0% 12.2% 1.32× 6.24
Neither team scores 8.6% 7.2% 7.8% 0.92× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.8% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 22.1% 22.6% 19.8% 1.14× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 22.9% 0.99× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 12.7% 12.1% 14.4% 0.84× 8.27
Exactly 0 goals 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 0.98× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 6.1% 7.6% 9.3% 0.82× 13.09
6 or more goals 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 0.85× 22.42
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 41.1% 44.4% 2.25
1 goal in 2nd half 34.6% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 24.3% 23.1% 4.32
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win both halves 93.9% 94.0% 1.06
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves 89.2% 88.0% 1.14
Sport Huancayo to win both halves 10.8% 12.0% 8.32
Sport Boys to win both halves 6.1% 6.0% 16.69
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to win neither half 56.1% 59.4% 1.68
Sport Huancayo to win either half 55.2% 59.4% 1.68
Sport Huancayo to win neither half 44.8% 40.6% 2.46
Sport Boys to win either half 43.9% 40.6% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win to nil 82.3% 83.1% 87.8% 0.95× 1.20
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil 74.8% 75.4% 73.5% 1.03× 1.33
Sport Huancayo to win to nil 25.2% 24.6% 26.5% 0.93× 4.07
Sport Boys to win to nil 17.7% 16.9% 12.2% 1.39× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.7% 27.9% 25.1% 1.11× 3.59
Sport Huancayo by 1 23.1% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.14
Sport Boys by 1 18.8% 16.9% 17.6% 0.96× 5.91
Sport Huancayo by 2 12.5% 11.8% 13.5% 0.88× 8.49
Sport Boys by 2 8.3% 7.2% 5.6% 1.29× 13.80
Sport Huancayo by 3+ 7.1% 7.2% 11.5% 0.63× 13.81
Sport Boys by 3+ 3.5% 2.7% 2.2% 1.25× 36.65
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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