Sporting Cristal v Alianza Lima — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sporting Cristal

18:00 UTC

Alianza Lima

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 31h before kick-off

Sporting Cristal win

29.5%

model 31.7%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.2%

Alianza Lima win

43.2%

model 43.1%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
0-1 11.1%
1-0 9.3%
1-2 8.8%
0-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.0%	Under 2.5	52.0%
BTTS yes	51.9%	BTTS no	48.1%
Sporting Cristal 1+	69.2%	Sporting Cristal 2+	32.9%
Alianza Lima 1+	75.8%	Alianza Lima 2+	41.4%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 34%

60.7% fair odds 1.65

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sporting Cristal not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 74%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1492.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for Sporting Cristal and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Sporting Cristal and 1.42 for Alianza Lima.

Why Sporting Cristal

Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Cristal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.18 to 1.42. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Alianza Lima can win

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1492.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322543	1.18–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	362638	1.23–1.27	1-1 12%	46%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	38.2%	36.4%	25.4%	1.43×	2.75
Sporting Cristal to win	35.9%	36.3%	49.8%	0.73×	2.75
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	21.7%	21.8%	12.3%	1.77×	4.59
Sporting Cristal & not both score	20.3%	21.8%	26.4%	0.82×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Alianza Lima & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.57
Sporting Cristal & both teams score	15.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.7%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	28.6%	26.1%	19.4%	1.34×	3.84
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	27.2%	26.1%	17.4%	1.50×	3.84
Sporting Cristal & under 3.5	27.1%	26.1%	33.7%	0.77×	3.84
Sporting Cristal & over 1.5	25.3%	26.0%	38.0%	0.68×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Sporting Cristal & over 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	30.8%	0.58×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	11.1%	1.63×	5.55
Sporting Cristal & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Sporting Cristal & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
Sporting Cristal & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	53.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sporting Cristal (1UP)	51.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Sporting Cristal (2UP)	35.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	33.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+2.5)	95.0%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Alianza Lima (+1.5)	84.9%	82.6%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	64.1%	63.0%	50.2%	1.25×	1.59
Sporting Cristal (+0.5)	61.8%	62.9%	74.6%	0.84×	1.59
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	38.2%	37.1%	25.4%	1.46×	2.70
Sporting Cristal (-0.5)	35.9%	37.0%	49.8%	0.74×	2.70
Sporting Cristal (-1.5)	15.1%	17.4%	24.6%	0.71×	5.74
Sporting Cristal (-2.5)	5.0%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede	70.7%	76.6%	80.1%	0.96×	1.31
Alianza Lima clean sheet	29.3%	23.4%	19.9%	1.17×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede in 2nd half	50.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 2nd half	49.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	85.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	71.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	62.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	28.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	15.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	95.9%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	86.3%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	72.0%	71.8%	65.9%	1.09×	1.39
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	63.6%	63.2%	71.6%	0.88×	1.58
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	36.4%	36.8%	28.4%	1.29×	2.72
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	28.0%	28.2%	34.1%	0.83×	3.55
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	8.0%	1.53×	8.19
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	4.1%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima scores equally in both	40.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Alianza Lima scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Alianza Lima scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (away no bet)	58.0%	57.4%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.0%	42.6%	33.4%	1.28×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	53.9%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Alianza Lima odd goals	46.1%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	28.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row	27.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	8.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.07
Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5)	80.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	72.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5)	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5)	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	19.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.4%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-1	11.0%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.72
1-0	10.6%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.72
0-0	7.7%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2nd half DNB)	53.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Sporting Cristal (2nd half DNB)	46.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB)	51.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima (12)	74.0%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Alianza Lima or draw (X2)	64.1%	63.7%	50.2%	1.27×	1.57
Sporting Cristal or draw (1X)	61.8%	63.6%	74.6%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw at HT	73.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	72.1%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima at HT	54.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	64.1%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP)	61.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half	66.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima in 2nd half	63.1%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.2%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.8%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	51.5%	50.9%	33.7%	1.51×	1.97
Sporting Cristal (DNB)	48.5%	49.1%	66.3%	0.74×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	47.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Sporting Cristal to score first	45.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	7.7%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.4%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.6%	48.7%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.1%	41.6%	37.7%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	38.1%	38.5%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.4%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.6%	14.4%	14.3%	1.01×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.26

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	16.5%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.2%	26.6%	27.5%	0.97×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.8%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	28.0%	27.4%	34.1%	0.81×	3.64
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	22.7%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
Alianza Lima to score 3+	13.7%	12.9%	8.0%	1.62×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1	36.0%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0	29.3%	26.6%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2	22.1%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Sporting Cristal to score 3+	12.6%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Sporting Cristal leading at HT	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Alianza Lima leading at HT	26.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	61.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Alianza Lima -1: X	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Alianza Lima -1: 2	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	64.1%	61.5%	50.2%	1.23×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13
Sporting Cristal (0:1)	15.1%	17.8%	24.6%	0.72×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:2)	84.9%	83.0%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.11
Sporting Cristal (0:2)	5.0%	7.6%	11.4%	0.67×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:3)	95.0%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	41.98
Sporting Cristal (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.79
Sporting Cristal (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1:0)	61.8%	65.3%	74.6%	0.87×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.6%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Alianza Lima (1:0)	16.6%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2:0)	83.4%	84.6%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.9%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.73
Alianza Lima (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	2.2%	2.93×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede	72.0%	73.0%	65.9%	1.11×	1.37
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	28.0%	27.0%	34.1%	0.79×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half	60.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half	39.9%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede in 2nd half	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 2nd half	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners	77.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners	61.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners	38.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals	96.4%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals	87.4%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals	70.7%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	52.7%	1.29×	1.47
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals	34.7%	32.1%	47.3%	0.68×	3.12
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals	29.3%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals	12.6%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.85
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals	3.6%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	5.4%	—	—	18.43

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal scores equally in both	41.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Sporting Cristal scores more in 2nd half	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sporting Cristal scores more in 1st half	24.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (home no bet)	59.5%	56.4%	50.4%	1.12×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.5%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal even goals	54.3%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Sporting Cristal odd goals	45.7%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Sporting Cristal at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Alianza Lima at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	47.0%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Sporting Cristal to score last	45.3%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	7.7%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.3%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	53.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time	51.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.05
Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal most corners	49.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima most corners	38.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.4%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.3%	68.8%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.1%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.6%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	46.7%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.2%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.4%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.8%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.0%	24.4%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.5%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	40.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Sporting Cristal never behind	38.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.8%	77.3%	71.6%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.2%	22.7%	28.4%	0.80×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	14.3%	0.87×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.4%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.2%	67.5%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.9%	61.9%	65.1%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.1%	38.1%	34.9%	1.09×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.8%	32.5%	36.9%	0.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.6%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves	79.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	78.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Sporting Cristal to score in both halves	20.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.4%	53.8%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Alianza Lima scores	21.7%	22.2%	12.3%	1.81×	4.50
Only Sporting Cristal scores	20.3%	22.2%	26.4%	0.84×	4.50
Neither team scores	7.7%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.5%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.4%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.7%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
3+ goals in 1st half	8.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	23.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	91.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima to win both halves	8.9%	5.9%	—	—	17.02
Sporting Cristal to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win either half	51.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sporting Cristal to win neither half	50.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sporting Cristal to win either half	49.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Alianza Lima to win neither half	48.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal not to win to nil	79.7%	78.2%	73.6%	1.06×	1.28
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	78.4%	78.1%	87.7%	0.89×	1.28
Alianza Lima to win to nil	21.7%	21.9%	12.3%	1.77×	4.57
Sporting Cristal to win to nil	20.3%	21.8%	26.4%	0.83×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.0%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Alianza Lima by 1	21.6%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Sporting Cristal by 1	20.8%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Alianza Lima by 2	10.9%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
Sporting Cristal by 2	10.1%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.51
Alianza Lima by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.92
Sporting Cristal by 3+	5.0%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.92