Sporting Cristal v Cienciano del Cusco — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sporting Cristal

20:00 UTC

Cienciano del Cusco

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 465h before kick-off

Sporting Cristal win

51.2%

model 52.7%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.6%

Cienciano del Cusco win

26.7%

model 25.7%

512227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.8%
2-1 9.7%
1-0 8.5%
2-0 7.7%
1-2 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.0%	Under 2.5	39.0%
BTTS yes	60.4%	BTTS no	39.6%
Sporting Cristal 1+	85.0%	Sporting Cristal 2+	56.5%
Cienciano del Cusco 1+	71.5%	Cienciano del Cusco 2+	35.8%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 50%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sporting Cristal not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Cristal.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sporting Cristal have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for Cienciano del Cusco and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.89 for Sporting Cristal and 1.26 for Cienciano del Cusco.

Why Sporting Cristal

Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Cristal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cienciano del Cusco can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cienciano del Cusco.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cienciano del Cusco, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cienciano del Cusco: 55% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sporting Cristal are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532226	1.89–1.26	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	602021	2.14–1.18	2-1 10%	64%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win	59.6%	54.0%	49.8%	1.08×	1.85
Cienciano del Cusco to win	20.7%	24.5%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09
Draw	19.7%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & both teams score	32.1%	29.6%	23.6%	1.26×	3.38
Sporting Cristal & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	26.4%	0.95×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Cienciano del Cusco & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
Cienciano del Cusco & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	7.8%	0.63×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & over 1.5	51.5%	48.8%	38.0%	1.28×	2.05
Sporting Cristal & over 2.5	43.2%	40.3%	30.8%	1.31×	2.48
Sporting Cristal & under 3.5	32.1%	30.7%	33.7%	0.91×	3.25
Sporting Cristal & over 3.5	27.5%	26.1%	16.3%	1.60×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Sporting Cristal & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Cienciano del Cusco & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Cienciano del Cusco & over 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Cienciano del Cusco & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Sporting Cristal & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.63
Cienciano del Cusco & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1UP)	73.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Cienciano del Cusco (1UP)	40.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2UP)	59.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Cienciano del Cusco (2UP)	20.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half	48.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Cienciano del Cusco to win 2nd half	21.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.4%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (+2.5)	81.2%	82.6%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
Sporting Cristal (+0.5)	79.3%	78.5%	74.6%	1.05×	1.27
Cienciano del Cusco (+1.5)	63.4%	63.0%	75.4%	0.84×	1.59
Sporting Cristal (-0.5)	59.6%	57.1%	49.8%	1.15×	1.75
Cienciano del Cusco (+0.5)	40.4%	42.9%	50.2%	0.86×	2.33
Sporting Cristal (-1.5)	36.6%	37.0%	24.6%	1.50×	2.70
Cienciano del Cusco (-0.5)	20.7%	21.5%	25.4%	0.85×	4.65
Sporting Cristal (-2.5)	18.8%	17.4%	11.4%	1.53×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede	88.2%	86.3%	80.1%	1.08×	1.16
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet	11.8%	13.7%	19.9%	0.69×	7.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 1st half	60.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 1st half	39.9%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 2nd half	70.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 2nd half	29.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco under 5.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 corners	61.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Cienciano del Cusco under 4.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Cienciano del Cusco over 4.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 corners	38.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Cienciano del Cusco over 5.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Cienciano del Cusco over 6.5 corners	20.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	65.9%	1.03×	1.47
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 goals	67.0%	68.0%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.0%	28.4%	1.13×	3.13
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	34.1%	0.94×	3.13
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.2%	8.0%	1.53×	8.20
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 1st half	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.40

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco scores equally in both	41.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 1st half	21.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (away no bet)	75.1%	73.3%	66.6%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.9%	26.7%	33.4%	0.80×	3.75

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco even goals	54.7%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Cienciano del Cusco odd goals	45.3%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row	25.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Cienciano del Cusco to score 2+ in a row	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+3.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+2.5)	65.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+1.5)	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5)	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5)	34.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-2.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
Any other score	7.2%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.30
0-1	4.6%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.29
0-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-1	3.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
4-2	2.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2nd half DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Cienciano del Cusco (2nd half DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB)	71.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT (DNB)	29.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or Cienciano del Cusco (12)	80.3%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Sporting Cristal or draw (1X)	79.3%	75.5%	74.6%	1.01×	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (X2)	40.4%	46.0%	50.2%	0.92×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw at HT	81.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Sporting Cristal or Cienciano del Cusco at HT	63.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Cienciano del Cusco or draw at HT	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP)	79.3%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1UP)	40.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half	78.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Sporting Cristal or Cienciano del Cusco in 2nd half	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Cienciano del Cusco or draw in 2nd half	51.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (DNB)	74.2%	71.5%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Cienciano del Cusco (DNB)	25.8%	28.5%	33.7%	0.85×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score first	62.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Cienciano del Cusco to score first	34.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	3.3%	4.4%	—	—	22.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.8%	56.6%	53.8%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.2%	43.4%	46.2%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.0%	47.2%	42.8%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.8%	33.3%	37.7%	0.88×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	8.7%	1.42×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.2%	79.8%	85.7%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.8%	20.2%	14.3%	1.41×	4.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	27.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	22.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	36.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.6%	42.2%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.2%	35.0%	26.8%	1.31×	2.86
0-1 goals	16.0%	20.2%	27.5%	0.73×	4.95
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	1.8%	4.19×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 0	30.7%	33.8%	34.1%	0.99×	2.96
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 2	21.4%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+	11.6%	12.9%	8.0%	1.62×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score 3+	36.0%	35.5%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1	25.2%	26.5%	33.0%	0.81×	3.77
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0	11.8%	14.3%	19.9%	0.72×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	36.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT	18.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal -1: 2	40.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Sporting Cristal -1: 1	36.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Sporting Cristal -1: X	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:1)	40.4%	42.5%	50.2%	0.85×	2.35
Sporting Cristal (0:1)	36.6%	37.3%	24.6%	1.52×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	25.4%	0.96×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:2)	63.4%	67.1%	75.4%	0.89×	1.49
Sporting Cristal (0:2)	18.8%	15.3%	11.4%	1.34×	6.56
Draw (0:2)	17.8%	15.2%	13.4%	1.14×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:3)	81.2%	85.3%	88.6%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.7%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.14
Sporting Cristal (0:3)	8.1%	5.8%	4.0%	1.46×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:4)	91.9%	94.5%	96.0%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.1%	4.6%	2.5%	1.82×	21.72
Sporting Cristal (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1:0)	79.3%	78.6%	74.6%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.9%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.87
Cienciano del Cusco (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2:0)	92.1%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	5.6%	1.14×	15.68
Cienciano del Cusco (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede	69.3%	66.7%	65.9%	1.01×	1.50
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	30.7%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half	37.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede in 2nd half	50.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 2nd half	49.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners	85.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners	66.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners	14.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.3%	80.1%	1.09×	1.15
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals	83.2%	82.2%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals	64.0%	63.6%	77.5%	0.82×	1.57
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals	63.0%	63.6%	47.3%	1.35×	1.57
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals	37.0%	36.4%	52.7%	0.69×	2.75
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals	36.0%	36.4%	22.5%	1.62×	2.75
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals	16.8%	17.8%	7.6%	2.34×	5.62
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals	11.8%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half	76.6%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half	60.1%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half	39.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half	23.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal scores more in 2nd half	43.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Sporting Cristal scores equally in both	29.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Sporting Cristal scores more in 1st half	27.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (home no bet)	51.2%	51.4%	50.4%	1.02×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.8%	48.6%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal even goals	50.7%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Sporting Cristal odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	22.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-1	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.33

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	38.1%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Sporting Cristal at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score last	62.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cienciano del Cusco to score last	34.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	3.3%	4.4%	—	—	22.92

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time	73.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time	44.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 1 at any time	40.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 2 at any time	13.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.58

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal most corners	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Cienciano del Cusco most corners	34.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.4%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.7%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	59.2%	59.1%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.4%	53.2%	63.9%	0.83×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.6%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.2%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.3%	35.2%	41.1%	0.86×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.4%	35.2%	23.4%	1.51×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.8%	12.7%	1.49×	5.31
7+ goals	5.2%	8.9%	1.8%	4.90×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal never behind	56.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cienciano del Cusco never behind	23.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	72.5%	1.14×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	76.0%	77.3%	85.7%	0.90×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	71.6%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	28.4%	1.45×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.0%	22.7%	14.3%	1.59×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	27.5%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	5.3%	2.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.5%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.1%	81.1%	65.1%	1.25×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.6%	72.3%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.3%	51.9%	36.9%	1.41×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.7%	48.1%	63.1%	0.76×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.4%	27.7%	16.7%	1.66×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.9%	18.9%	34.9%	0.54×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.5%	13.3%	5.8%	2.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.6%	1.9%	4.04×	13.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.5%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.5%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to score in both halves	80.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves	57.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Sporting Cristal to score in both halves	42.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Cienciano del Cusco to score in both halves	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.8%	60.2%	53.8%	1.12×	1.66
Only Sporting Cristal scores	27.4%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Only Cienciano del Cusco scores	8.5%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	13.99
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	17.5%	21.4%	0.82×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.8%	12.1%	19.9%	0.61×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.26
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	5.3%	2.31×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	24.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
2 goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.2%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Sporting Cristal not to win both halves	78.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Sporting Cristal to win both halves	21.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Cienciano del Cusco to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win either half	71.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Cienciano del Cusco to win neither half	63.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Cienciano del Cusco to win either half	36.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Sporting Cristal to win neither half	28.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win to nil	91.5%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Sporting Cristal not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	73.6%	1.02×	1.33
Sporting Cristal to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	26.4%	0.93×	4.05
Cienciano del Cusco to win to nil	8.5%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal by 1	23.0%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Draw	19.7%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Sporting Cristal by 3+	18.8%	17.0%	11.4%	1.49×	5.87
Sporting Cristal by 2	17.8%	17.0%	13.4%	1.27×	5.87
Cienciano del Cusco by 1	12.9%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.50
Cienciano del Cusco by 2	5.4%	7.2%	5.6%	1.28×	13.92
Cienciano del Cusco by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.90