Sporting Cristal v Comerciantes Unidos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Sporting Cristal

18:00 UTC

Comerciantes Unidos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Sporting Cristal win

56.1%

model 58.5%

Draw

22.0%

model 21.2%

Comerciantes Unidos win

22.0%

model 20.4%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.9%
1-0 9.6%
2-0 9.3%
3-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.6%	Under 2.5	41.4%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Sporting Cristal 1+	86.1%	Sporting Cristal 2+	58.6%
Comerciantes Unidos 1+	65.7%	Comerciantes Unidos 2+	29.0%

Expected goals 1.97 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1452.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sporting Cristal have an estimated 56.1% win probability, against 22.0% for the draw and 22.0% for Comerciantes Unidos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.97 for Sporting Cristal and 1.07 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Why Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1452.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Comerciantes Unidos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Comerciantes Unidos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Comerciantes Unidos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Comerciantes Unidos: 57% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sporting Cristal are the model's most likely outcome at 56.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	622018	2.10–1.04	2-1 10%	61%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win	62.0%	57.9%	50.0%	1.16×	1.73
Draw	20.0%	19.5%	25.1%	0.78×	5.14
Comerciantes Unidos to win	18.0%	19.4%	25.1%	0.77×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & not both score	31.4%	29.7%	26.5%	1.12×	3.37
Sporting Cristal & both teams score	30.6%	29.6%	23.6%	1.25×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	15.8%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Comerciantes Unidos & both teams score	9.9%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.93
Comerciantes Unidos & not both score	8.1%	8.4%	12.2%	0.69×	11.93
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	7.8%	0.63×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & over 1.5	52.7%	48.6%	38.2%	1.27×	2.06
Sporting Cristal & over 2.5	43.1%	40.3%	30.9%	1.30×	2.48
Sporting Cristal & under 3.5	35.6%	34.8%	33.8%	1.03×	2.87
Sporting Cristal & over 3.5	26.4%	26.0%	16.4%	1.59×	3.84
Sporting Cristal & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.8%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.76
Draw & under 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.76
Comerciantes Unidos & over 1.5	13.3%	12.9%	17.3%	0.75×	7.76
Comerciantes Unidos & under 3.5	12.7%	12.9%	19.1%	0.68×	7.76
Comerciantes Unidos & over 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	14.4%	0.90×	7.76
Sporting Cristal & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.65
Comerciantes Unidos & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.9%	0.72×	12.65
Comerciantes Unidos & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.65
Comerciantes Unidos & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.85
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1UP)	74.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Comerciantes Unidos (1UP)	36.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2UP)	62.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Comerciantes Unidos (2UP)	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	30.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Comerciantes Unidos to win 2nd half	19.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.21

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (+0.5)	82.0%	82.5%	74.9%	1.10×	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos (+2.5)	80.3%	82.4%	88.5%	0.93×	1.21
Sporting Cristal (-0.5)	62.0%	62.9%	50.0%	1.26×	1.59
Comerciantes Unidos (+1.5)	61.6%	62.9%	75.3%	0.84×	1.59
Sporting Cristal (-1.5)	38.4%	37.1%	24.7%	1.50×	2.70
Comerciantes Unidos (+0.5)	38.0%	37.1%	50.0%	0.74×	2.70
Sporting Cristal (-2.5)	19.7%	17.6%	11.5%	1.53×	5.70
Comerciantes Unidos (-0.5)	18.0%	17.5%	25.1%	0.70×	5.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede	87.8%	86.3%	80.2%	1.08×	1.16
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet	12.2%	13.7%	19.8%	0.69×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 1st half	59.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 1st half	40.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 6.5 corners	92.2%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Comerciantes Unidos under 5.5 corners	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Comerciantes Unidos under 4.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 corners	60.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 corners	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Comerciantes Unidos over 4.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Comerciantes Unidos over 5.5 corners	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Comerciantes Unidos over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.0%	—	—	9.95

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 goals	72.3%	71.9%	71.6%	1.00×	1.39
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 goals	64.5%	63.1%	65.8%	0.96×	1.59
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 goals	35.5%	36.9%	34.2%	1.08×	2.71
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 goals	27.7%	28.1%	28.4%	0.99×	3.55
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.99
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	2.5%	0.98×	40.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.29

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (away no bet)	75.6%	73.5%	66.6%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.4%	26.5%	33.4%	0.79×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos even goals	56.3%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Comerciantes Unidos odd goals	43.7%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.4%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.6%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Comerciantes Unidos to score 2+ in a row	18.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.18

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5)	67.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5)	57.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+3.5)	53.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5)	46.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+2.5)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+1.5)	32.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-1.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-2.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	9.3%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.50
1-1	9.3%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.50
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
3-0	6.7%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.50
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.50
Any other score	6.6%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.50
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.6%	1.31×	13.50
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.29
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.36×	58.32
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.72×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.43×	58.32
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.30
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.14×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB)	73.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT (DNB)	26.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw (1X)	82.0%	80.6%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
Sporting Cristal or Comerciantes Unidos (12)	80.0%	80.5%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (X2)	38.0%	42.1%	50.0%	0.84×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw at HT	83.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sporting Cristal or Comerciantes Unidos at HT	62.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Comerciantes Unidos or draw at HT	54.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP)	82.0%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1UP)	38.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half	80.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Cristal or Comerciantes Unidos in 2nd half	69.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Comerciantes Unidos or draw in 2nd half	49.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	43.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (DNB)	77.5%	74.5%	66.6%	1.12×	1.34
Comerciantes Unidos (DNB)	22.5%	25.5%	33.4%	0.76×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score first	64.2%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Comerciantes Unidos to score first	31.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.4%	54.9%	53.8%	1.02×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.6%	45.1%	46.2%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.1%	44.2%	42.7%	1.04×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.1%	34.4%	37.6%	0.91×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	13.5%	12.3%	8.7%	1.41×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	9.3%	8.3%	11.3%	0.74×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.8%	82.9%	85.6%	0.97×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.2%	17.1%	14.4%	1.19×	5.83

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.2%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	38.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.2%	30.8%	26.9%	1.14×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.2%	20.3%	27.5%	0.74×	4.93
7+ goals	4.1%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 0	35.5%	36.0%	34.2%	1.05×	2.78
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 2	19.0%	19.6%	20.5%	0.96×	5.10
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+	8.7%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score 3+	35.0%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1	25.7%	26.5%	32.9%	0.81×	3.78
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0	12.2%	14.4%	19.8%	0.73×	6.95

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT	46.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	37.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT	16.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal -1: 1	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Sporting Cristal -1: 2	38.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Sporting Cristal -1: X	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:1)	38.4%	37.4%	24.7%	1.51×	2.68
Comerciantes Unidos (0:1)	38.0%	37.4%	50.0%	0.75×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:2)	61.6%	67.2%	75.3%	0.89×	1.49
Sporting Cristal (0:2)	19.7%	15.3%	11.5%	1.33×	6.55
Draw (0:2)	18.7%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:3)	80.3%	85.2%	88.5%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.3%	10.0%	7.6%	1.30×	10.04
Sporting Cristal (0:3)	8.4%	5.8%	4.0%	1.45×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:4)	91.6%	94.7%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.4%	4.6%	2.5%	1.80×	21.79
Sporting Cristal (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.39

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1:0)	82.0%	81.4%	74.9%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.7%	12.8%	17.6%	0.72×	7.84
Comerciantes Unidos (1:0)	6.3%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2:0)	93.7%	93.9%	92.4%	1.02×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.56
Comerciantes Unidos (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede	64.5%	63.6%	65.8%	0.97×	1.57
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	35.5%	36.4%	34.2%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half	66.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half	33.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners	91.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners	71.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners	28.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners	17.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners	8.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals	87.8%	87.2%	80.2%	1.09×	1.15
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals	83.9%	82.1%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals	65.0%	63.5%	77.5%	0.82×	1.57
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.5%	47.5%	1.34×	1.57
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.5%	52.5%	0.69×	2.74
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals	35.0%	36.5%	22.5%	1.62×	2.74
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals	16.1%	17.9%	7.6%	2.34×	5.59
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals	12.2%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half	59.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half	40.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.6%	51.5%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Comerciantes Unidos (home no bet)	47.4%	48.5%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal even goals	50.8%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Sporting Cristal odd goals	49.2%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	24.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	10.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.98
Any other HT score	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	39.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Draw at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	7.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Sporting Cristal at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score last	64.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Comerciantes Unidos to score last	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time	74.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 1 at any time	36.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time	22.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 2 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 3 at any time	2.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.66

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal most corners	76.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Comerciantes Unidos most corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Corners level	7.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.8%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.1%	78.6%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.6%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.6%	59.1%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.8%	53.1%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.2%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.2%	35.3%	26.9%	1.31×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.5%	30.3%	23.5%	1.29×	3.30
5-6 goals	16.7%	18.7%	12.7%	1.47×	5.34
7+ goals	4.1%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.06

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal never behind	59.0%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Comerciantes Unidos never behind	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	53.1%	0.93×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	92.2%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.8%	82.3%	72.5%	1.13×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.2%	77.4%	85.6%	0.90×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.7%	61.7%	71.5%	0.86×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.3%	38.3%	28.5%	1.34×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.8%	22.6%	14.4%	1.58×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	18.2%	17.7%	27.5%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.8%	7.8%	5.3%	1.47×	12.86
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	7.8%	0.58×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.0%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.9%	75.9%	65.1%	1.16×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.8%	72.5%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.7%	51.9%	63.1%	0.82×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.3%	48.1%	36.9%	1.30×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.2%	27.5%	16.7%	1.64×	3.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.1%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.0%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	1.9%	1.48×	35.80

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.3%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.1%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.7%	11.1%	—	—	9.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to score in both halves	84.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Sporting Cristal to score in both halves	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Comerciantes Unidos to score in both halves	15.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.4%	58.4%	53.8%	1.09×	1.71
Only Sporting Cristal scores	31.4%	33.3%	26.5%	1.25×	3.01
Only Comerciantes Unidos scores	8.1%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.7%	7.8%	0.60×	21.43

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.28
6 or more goals	9.8%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.07
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Sporting Cristal not to win both halves	77.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Sporting Cristal to win both halves	23.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.04
Comerciantes Unidos to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.93

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win either half	73.1%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Comerciantes Unidos to win neither half	67.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Comerciantes Unidos to win either half	32.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Sporting Cristal to win neither half	26.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to win to nil	91.9%	92.0%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Sporting Cristal not to win to nil	68.6%	69.7%	73.5%	0.95×	1.43
Sporting Cristal to win to nil	31.4%	30.3%	26.5%	1.14×	3.31
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil	8.1%	8.0%	12.2%	0.66×	12.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal by 1	23.6%	24.2%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Draw	20.0%	16.9%	25.1%	0.68×	5.90
Sporting Cristal by 3+	19.7%	16.9%	11.5%	1.48×	5.90
Sporting Cristal by 2	18.7%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.91
Comerciantes Unidos by 1	11.7%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.50
Comerciantes Unidos by 2	4.6%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.61
Comerciantes Unidos by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.70