Sporting Cristal v FC Cajamarca — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sporting Cristal

18:00 UTC

FC Cajamarca

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 103h before kick-off

Sporting Cristal win

60.4%

model 60.3%

Draw

18.0%

model 19.0%

FC Cajamarca win

21.6%

model 20.8%

601822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.5%
1-1 8.0%
2-0 7.5%
3-1 7.2%
1-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.5%	Under 2.5	31.5%
BTTS yes	64.1%	BTTS no	35.9%
Sporting Cristal 1+	89.6%	Sporting Cristal 2+	66.1%
FC Cajamarca 1+	71.8%	FC Cajamarca 2+	36.1%

Expected goals 2.27 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 47%

69.0% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1446.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sporting Cristal have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.6% for FC Cajamarca and 18.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.27 for Sporting Cristal and 1.27 for FC Cajamarca.

Why Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1446.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Cajamarca can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Cajamarca.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Cajamarca, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cajamarca: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sporting Cristal are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	601921	2.27–1.27	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	671617	2.71–1.31	2-1 9%	76%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win	67.2%	64.7%	49.8%	1.30×	1.55
FC Cajamarca to win	16.7%	19.4%	25.4%	0.76×	5.16
Draw	16.2%	19.4%	25.0%	0.77×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & both teams score	41.7%	40.1%	23.6%	1.70×	2.50
Sporting Cristal & not both score	25.5%	25.2%	26.4%	0.95×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
FC Cajamarca & both teams score	11.5%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
FC Cajamarca & not both score	5.1%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.01
Draw & not both score	1.6%	4.9%	7.8%	0.62×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & over 2.5	55.4%	54.8%	30.8%	1.78×	1.83
Sporting Cristal & over 1.5	62.0%	54.7%	38.0%	1.44×	1.83
Sporting Cristal & over 3.5	40.8%	40.3%	16.3%	2.47×	2.48
Sporting Cristal & under 3.5	26.4%	26.1%	33.7%	0.77×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
FC Cajamarca & over 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
FC Cajamarca & over 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Sporting Cristal & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
FC Cajamarca & under 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.63
Sporting Cristal & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & under 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.82
FC Cajamarca & under 1.5	2.6%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	1.6%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1UP)	80.5%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
FC Cajamarca (1UP)	39.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2UP)	67.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
FC Cajamarca (2UP)	16.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half	55.3%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
2nd half drawn	25.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
FC Cajamarca to win 2nd half	19.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (+0.5)	83.3%	82.6%	74.6%	1.11×	1.21
FC Cajamarca (+2.5)	72.4%	73.7%	88.6%	0.83×	1.36
Sporting Cristal (-0.5)	67.2%	68.7%	49.8%	1.38×	1.46
FC Cajamarca (+1.5)	53.5%	52.4%	75.4%	0.70×	1.91
Sporting Cristal (-1.5)	46.5%	47.6%	24.6%	1.93×	2.10
FC Cajamarca (+0.5)	32.8%	31.3%	50.2%	0.62×	3.19
Sporting Cristal (-2.5)	27.6%	26.3%	11.4%	2.31×	3.80
FC Cajamarca (-0.5)	16.7%	17.4%	25.4%	0.69×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede	93.3%	91.7%	80.1%	1.15×	1.09
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	6.7%	8.3%	19.9%	0.42×	12.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede in 1st half	68.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 1st half	31.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede in 2nd half	78.6%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 2nd half	21.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 6.5 corners	94.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
FC Cajamarca under 5.5 corners	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Cajamarca under 4.5 corners	79.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 corners	64.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 corners	55.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 corners	44.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 corners	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Cajamarca over 4.5 corners	21.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
FC Cajamarca over 5.5 corners	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
FC Cajamarca over 6.5 corners	5.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 goals	85.5%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 goals	73.0%	71.8%	65.9%	1.09×	1.39
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 goals	62.4%	63.2%	71.6%	0.88×	1.58
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals	37.6%	36.8%	28.4%	1.29×	2.72
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 goals	27.0%	28.2%	34.1%	0.83×	3.55
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals	14.5%	12.2%	8.0%	1.53×	8.19
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca scores equally in both	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
FC Cajamarca scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
FC Cajamarca scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (away no bet)	80.6%	82.6%	66.6%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	19.4%	17.4%	33.4%	0.52×	5.73

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca even goals	53.6%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
FC Cajamarca odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	66.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both halves over 1.5 goals	33.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	83.7%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Both halves under 1.5 goals	16.3%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row	65.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	41.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Cajamarca to score 2+ in a row	23.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
FC Cajamarca to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5)	97.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5)	95.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5)	72.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5)	52.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Cajamarca corners (+3.5)	47.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Cajamarca corners (+2.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
FC Cajamarca corners (+1.5)	27.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
FC Cajamarca corners (-1.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
FC Cajamarca corners (-2.5)	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.46
FC Cajamarca corners (-3.5)	2.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	14.6%	11.5%	2.7%	4.22×	8.71
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
3-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-1	6.1%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
3-0	6.0%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-2	5.1%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.51
4-1	5.3%	7.4%	2.5%	2.92×	13.51
0-0	1.6%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.31
0-1	2.6%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
0-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	4.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-2	3.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
4-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2nd half DNB)	74.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
FC Cajamarca (2nd half DNB)	25.7%	28.3%	—	—	3.54

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB)	75.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Cajamarca leading at HT (DNB)	24.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or FC Cajamarca (12)	83.8%	80.6%	75.0%	1.08×	1.24
Sporting Cristal or draw (1X)	83.3%	80.6%	74.6%	1.08×	1.24
FC Cajamarca or draw (X2)	32.8%	35.3%	50.2%	0.70×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw at HT	83.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Sporting Cristal or FC Cajamarca at HT	68.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
FC Cajamarca or draw at HT	48.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP)	83.3%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
FC Cajamarca or draw (1UP)	39.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half	80.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Sporting Cristal or FC Cajamarca in 2nd half	74.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Cajamarca or draw in 2nd half	44.7%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	50.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	49.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (DNB)	80.1%	80.3%	66.3%	1.21×	1.25
FC Cajamarca (DNB)	19.9%	19.7%	33.7%	0.58×	5.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score first	66.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
FC Cajamarca to score first	32.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	1.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.9%	58.4%	53.8%	1.09×	1.71
Not both teams to score	32.1%	41.6%	46.2%	0.90×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.7%	50.4%	42.8%	1.18×	1.98
Not both score & under 2.5	17.5%	21.5%	37.7%	0.57×	4.65
Not both score & over 2.5	14.7%	12.4%	8.7%	1.42×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	71.7%	80.4%	85.7%	0.94×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	28.3%	19.6%	14.3%	1.37×	5.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.3%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.7%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	41.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	30.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	28.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	73.4%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
A half without a goal	26.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.8%	47.2%	26.8%	1.76×	2.12
2-3 goals	33.8%	30.7%	44.2%	0.70×	3.25
7+ goals	11.1%	16.9%	1.8%	9.34×	5.91
0-1 goals	9.3%	7.7%	27.5%	0.28×	13.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.79
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 0	27.0%	27.4%	34.1%	0.81×	3.64
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
FC Cajamarca to score 3+	14.5%	12.9%	8.0%	1.62×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score 3+	50.7%	43.0%	22.5%	1.91×	2.33
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1	18.1%	18.8%	33.0%	0.57×	5.32
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0	6.7%	10.3%	19.9%	0.52×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT	51.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Draw at HT	31.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
FC Cajamarca leading at HT	16.7%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal -1: 1	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Sporting Cristal -1: 2	32.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Sporting Cristal -1: X	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:1)	46.5%	46.1%	24.6%	1.87×	2.17
FC Cajamarca (0:1)	32.8%	30.1%	50.2%	0.60×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:2)	53.5%	58.2%	75.4%	0.77×	1.72
Sporting Cristal (0:2)	27.6%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.16
Draw (0:2)	18.8%	15.3%	13.4%	1.14×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:3)	72.4%	77.7%	88.6%	0.88×	1.29
Sporting Cristal (0:3)	14.1%	9.9%	4.0%	2.49×	10.09
Draw (0:3)	13.5%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:4)	85.9%	91.9%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.9%	4.7%	2.5%	1.83×	21.49
Sporting Cristal (0:4)	6.2%	4.6%	1.6%	2.83×	21.64

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1:0)	83.3%	81.4%	74.6%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.88
FC Cajamarca (1:0)	6.5%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2:0)	93.5%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.65
FC Cajamarca (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede	73.0%	73.0%	65.9%	1.11×	1.37
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	27.0%	27.0%	34.1%	0.79×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half	40.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners	92.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners	84.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners	74.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners	25.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners	15.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners	7.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	80.1%	1.15×	1.08
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	47.3%	1.64×	1.29
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals	71.4%	74.2%	92.4%	0.80×	1.35
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	22.5%	2.37×	1.88
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals	49.3%	46.8%	77.5%	0.60×	2.14
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals	28.6%	25.8%	7.6%	3.39×	3.88
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	52.7%	0.42×	4.49
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	19.9%	0.39×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal scores more in 2nd half	46.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Sporting Cristal scores more in 1st half	28.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Sporting Cristal scores equally in both	25.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (home no bet)	50.7%	51.4%	50.4%	1.02×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.3%	48.6%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal even goals	50.2%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Sporting Cristal odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Any other HT score	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-1	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	45.4%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
FC Cajamarca at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Draw at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
FC Cajamarca at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
FC Cajamarca at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Sporting Cristal at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score last	66.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
FC Cajamarca to score last	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	1.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time	80.5%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	67.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
FC Cajamarca to lead by 1 at any time	39.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time	32.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
FC Cajamarca to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
FC Cajamarca to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal most corners	81.1%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Cajamarca most corners	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	6.8%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
1-5 goals	76.8%	78.7%	87.1%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.1%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.3%	68.8%	49.6%	1.39×	1.45
1-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	78.1%	0.81×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.4%	53.2%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.8%	48.4%	26.8%	1.81×	2.06
1-3 goals	41.6%	43.6%	63.9%	0.68×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.1%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.3%	39.2%	23.4%	1.68×	2.55
2-3 goals	33.8%	35.2%	44.2%	0.80×	2.84
5-6 goals	26.2%	30.2%	12.7%	2.38×	3.31
1-2 goals	22.1%	24.4%	41.1%	0.59×	4.09
7+ goals	11.1%	14.8%	1.8%	8.17×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal never behind	59.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
FC Cajamarca never behind	18.0%	18.3%	—	—	5.45

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.4%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	72.5%	1.27×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	94.7%	0.82×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	76.4%	77.3%	51.3%	1.51×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	62.7%	61.7%	85.7%	0.72×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	56.9%	58.6%	28.4%	2.06×	1.71
Under 3.5 goals	43.1%	41.4%	71.6%	0.58×	2.42
Over 4.5 goals	37.3%	38.3%	14.3%	2.68×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	23.6%	22.7%	48.7%	0.47×	4.40
Over 5.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	5.3%	4.32×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	27.5%	0.28×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	1.6%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	89.1%	86.7%	65.1%	1.33×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	87.6%	86.7%	98.1%	0.88×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	74.4%	72.4%	94.2%	0.77×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.7%	72.3%	36.9%	1.96×	1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	53.6%	51.9%	83.3%	0.62×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	46.4%	48.1%	16.7%	2.89×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.3%	27.7%	63.1%	0.44×	3.62
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	25.6%	27.6%	5.8%	4.78×	3.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	12.4%	13.3%	1.9%	7.07×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	10.9%	13.3%	34.9%	0.38×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 1st half	50.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 1st half	49.8%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Over 2.5 in 1st half	23.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.5%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.3%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	58.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	41.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.7%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves	77.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Sporting Cristal to score in both halves	54.0%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves	46.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
FC Cajamarca to score in both halves	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.9%	59.9%	53.8%	1.11×	1.67
Only Sporting Cristal scores	25.5%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Only FC Cajamarca scores	5.1%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.02
Neither team scores	1.6%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	21.6%	22.6%	5.3%	4.30×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.7%	17.5%	9.2%	1.89×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	14.3%	12.1%	21.4%	0.57×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	7.8%	7.6%	19.9%	0.38×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	1.6%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	31.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	18.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	67.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
1 goal in 2nd half	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37
No goals in 2nd half	9.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.73

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Sporting Cristal not to win both halves	71.4%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Sporting Cristal to win both halves	28.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
FC Cajamarca to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win either half	78.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Cajamarca to win neither half	67.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
FC Cajamarca to win either half	32.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Sporting Cristal to win neither half	21.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win to nil	94.9%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Sporting Cristal not to win to nil	74.5%	75.3%	73.6%	1.02×	1.33
Sporting Cristal to win to nil	25.5%	24.7%	26.4%	0.93×	4.05
FC Cajamarca to win to nil	5.1%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal by 3+	27.6%	27.9%	11.4%	2.44×	3.59
Sporting Cristal by 1	20.7%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Sporting Cristal by 2	18.8%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.86
Draw	16.2%	17.0%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
FC Cajamarca by 1	10.2%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
FC Cajamarca by 2	4.4%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.83
FC Cajamarca by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.91