Sporting Gijón v Eldense — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Sporting Gijón

12:00 UTC

Eldense

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 148h before kick-off

Sporting Gijón win

59.1%

model 58.2%

Draw

21.5%

model 23.1%

Eldense win

19.4%

model 18.7%

592219

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.5%
2-0 11.3%
1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.2%	Under 2.5	52.8%
BTTS yes	46.6%	BTTS no	53.4%
Sporting Gijón 1+	82.0%	Sporting Gijón 2+	51.1%
Eldense 1+	57.2%	Eldense 2+	20.9%

Expected goals 1.71 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Sporting Gijón (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

58.6% fair odds 1.71

strong signal · 7710 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 638 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sporting Gijón carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1398.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sporting Gijón have an estimated 59.1% win probability, against 21.5% for the draw and 19.4% for Eldense. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Sporting Gijón and 0.85 for Eldense.

Why Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1398. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Eldense can win

Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Gijón, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Gijón: 45% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sporting Gijón are the model's most likely outcome at 59.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.5%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592318	1.76–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622215	1.78–0.74	1-0 15%	46%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to win	58.2%	58.4%	45.4%	1.29×	1.71
Draw	23.1%	22.9%	26.6%	0.86×	4.37
Eldense to win	18.7%	18.7%	28.1%	0.67×	5.36

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón & not both score	35.4%	36.7%	23.7%	1.55×	2.72
Sporting Gijón & both teams score	22.8%	21.9%	21.9%	1.00×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	15.7%	18.1%	17.6%	1.03×	5.54
Eldense & not both score	10.6%	12.6%	13.5%	0.94×	7.92
Eldense & both teams score	8.1%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.92
Draw & not both score	7.4%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón & over 1.5	44.7%	42.7%	32.5%	1.31×	2.34
Sporting Gijón & under 3.5	40.9%	42.7%	32.3%	1.32×	2.34
Sporting Gijón & over 2.5	33.4%	31.8%	26.2%	1.21×	3.15
Sporting Gijón & under 2.5	24.8%	21.9%	19.3%	1.13×	4.57
Sporting Gijón & over 3.5	17.3%	17.7%	13.2%	1.33×	5.66
Draw & under 2.5	18.3%	17.7%	20.3%	0.87×	5.66
Draw & under 3.5	18.3%	17.7%	20.3%	0.87×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	15.7%	17.7%	17.6%	1.01×	5.66
Eldense & under 3.5	15.2%	17.7%	19.7%	0.90×	5.66
Sporting Gijón & under 1.5	13.5%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.05
Eldense & over 1.5	11.8%	12.4%	19.5%	0.64×	8.05
Eldense & over 2.5	9.1%	7.6%	16.6%	0.46×	13.17
Eldense & under 2.5	9.6%	7.6%	11.6%	0.66×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.17
Eldense & under 1.5	6.8%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.3%	6.4%	0.66×	23.48
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.3%	6.4%	0.66×	23.48
Eldense & over 3.5	3.5%	4.3%	8.5%	0.50×	23.48

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (1UP)	69.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Eldense (1UP)	34.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (2UP)	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Eldense (2UP)	18.7%	20.6%	—	—	4.87

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to win 2nd half	46.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Eldense to win 2nd half	18.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (+2.5)	85.5%	87.8%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Sporting Gijón (+0.5)	81.3%	83.1%	71.9%	1.16×	1.20
Eldense (+1.5)	67.6%	67.9%	80.4%	0.84×	1.47
Sporting Gijón (-0.5)	58.2%	58.6%	45.4%	1.29×	1.71
Eldense (+0.5)	41.8%	41.4%	54.6%	0.76×	2.42
Sporting Gijón (-1.5)	32.4%	32.1%	19.6%	1.64×	3.12
Eldense (-0.5)	18.7%	16.9%	28.1%	0.60×	5.93
Sporting Gijón (-2.5)	14.5%	12.2%	7.7%	1.58×	8.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede	82.0%	82.8%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Eldense clean sheet	18.0%	17.2%	22.5%	0.76×	5.82

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 1st half	52.2%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Eldense clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.16

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense over 2.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Eldense over 3.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Eldense under 6.5 corners	66.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Eldense over 4.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Eldense under 5.5 corners	53.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Eldense over 5.5 corners	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Eldense under 4.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Eldense over 6.5 corners	33.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Eldense under 3.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Eldense under 2.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	97.0%	1.01×	1.02
Eldense under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.6%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Eldense under 1.5 goals	79.1%	76.5%	69.5%	1.10×	1.31
Eldense over 0.5 goals	57.2%	58.3%	67.3%	0.87×	1.72
Eldense under 0.5 goals	42.8%	41.7%	32.7%	1.27×	2.40
Eldense over 1.5 goals	20.9%	23.5%	30.5%	0.77×	4.25
Eldense over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.50
Eldense over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.4%	3.0%	0.78×	41.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half	71.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half	28.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	4.1%	—	—	24.68

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (away no bet)	71.6%	72.2%	63.1%	1.15×	1.39
Draw (away no bet)	28.4%	27.8%	36.9%	0.75×	3.60

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense even goals	59.2%	56.4%	54.7%	1.03×	1.77
Eldense odd goals	40.8%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.06

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sporting Gijón to score 2+ in a row	44.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Sporting Gijón to score 3+ in a row	18.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.64
Eldense to score 2+ in a row	14.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.79
Eldense to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	3.2%	—	—	31.61

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense corners (+3.5)	90.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Eldense corners (+2.5)	84.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Eldense corners (+1.5)	76.8%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Sporting Gijón corners (+3.5)	74.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Gijón corners (+2.5)	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Gijón corners (+1.5)	54.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Eldense corners (-1.5)	45.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Eldense corners (-2.5)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Eldense corners (-3.5)	25.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Gijón corners (-1.5)	23.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Sporting Gijón corners (-2.5)	15.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Sporting Gijón corners (-3.5)	10.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	31.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	27.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.5%	11.6%	13.0%	0.89×	8.62
2-0	11.3%	11.6%	6.4%	1.81×	8.62
1-1	10.9%	11.6%	11.3%	1.03×	8.62
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.46
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.46
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
3-0	6.5%	7.4%	3.0%	2.44×	13.46
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.5%	1.64×	13.46
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.56×	60.46
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.31×	60.46
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.25×	60.47
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.0%	0.23×	60.45
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.46×	60.46
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	1.97×	60.47
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.29×	60.45
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.72×	60.46
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.25×	60.47
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.61×	60.46
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.25×	60.46
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.86×	60.47
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.43×	60.46
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.87×	60.46
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.43×	60.46
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.24×	60.47
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.86×	60.47
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.61×	60.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón leading at HT (DNB)	72.8%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Eldense leading at HT (DNB)	27.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw (1X)	81.3%	81.3%	71.9%	1.13×	1.23
Sporting Gijón or Eldense (12)	76.9%	77.1%	73.4%	1.05×	1.30
Eldense or draw (X2)	41.8%	41.6%	54.6%	0.76×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw at HT	84.5%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Eldense or draw at HT	58.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Gijón or Eldense at HT	57.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw (1UP)	81.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Eldense or draw (1UP)	41.8%	51.2%	—	—	1.96

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw in 2nd half	81.2%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Sporting Gijón or Eldense in 2nd half	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Eldense or draw in 2nd half	54.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Neither half drawn	36.6%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (DNB)	75.7%	76.6%	61.8%	1.24×	1.31
Eldense (DNB)	24.3%	23.4%	38.2%	0.61×	4.27

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score first	61.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Eldense to score first	30.7%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
No goal scored	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.4%	51.7%	46.1%	1.12×	1.93
Both teams to score	46.6%	48.3%	53.9%	0.89×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.9%	41.9%	39.9%	1.05×	2.39
Both score & over 2.5	35.7%	38.2%	42.8%	0.89×	2.62
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.0%	6.3%	1.91×	8.31
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.0%	11.3%	1.07×	8.31

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.3%	85.7%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.7%	14.3%	14.3%	1.00×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Both score 2nd half only	21.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Both score in both halves	3.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.0%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Both teams to score by HT	15.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	49.1%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	46.8%	41.4%	1.13×	2.14
0-1 goals	27.8%	27.1%	30.7%	0.88×	3.70
4-6 goals	24.0%	22.9%	26.5%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.6%	1.14×	55.75

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to score exactly 0	42.8%	39.8%	32.7%	1.22×	2.52
Eldense to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.4%	36.9%	0.99×	2.75
Eldense to score exactly 2	15.4%	18.4%	19.8%	0.93×	5.43
Eldense to score 3+	5.5%	8.1%	10.8%	0.75×	12.37

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 1	30.9%	32.6%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Sporting Gijón to score 3+	24.7%	22.7%	17.0%	1.33×	4.40
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 0	18.0%	18.3%	22.5%	0.82×	5.45

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Sporting Gijón leading at HT	41.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Eldense leading at HT	15.5%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón -1: 2	41.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Sporting Gijón -1: 1	32.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Sporting Gijón -1: X	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:1)	41.8%	40.9%	54.6%	0.75×	2.44
Sporting Gijón (0:1)	32.4%	30.5%	19.6%	1.56×	3.28
Draw (0:1)	25.8%	27.9%	26.0%	1.08×	3.58

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:2)	67.6%	70.8%	80.4%	0.88×	1.41
Draw (0:2)	17.9%	15.9%	12.0%	1.32×	6.31
Sporting Gijón (0:2)	14.5%	11.2%	7.7%	1.46×	8.91

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:3)	85.5%	89.0%	92.3%	0.96×	1.12
Draw (0:3)	9.2%	6.3%	5.4%	1.17×	15.90
Sporting Gijón (0:3)	5.3%	6.3%	2.4%	2.59×	15.94

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (0:4)	94.7%	93.8%	97.6%	0.96×	1.07
Draw (0:4)	3.7%	1.3%	2.1%	0.61×	77.85
Sporting Gijón (0:4)	1.6%	1.3%	0.4%	3.05×	77.98

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (1:0)	81.3%	82.1%	71.9%	1.14×	1.22
Draw (1:0)	12.9%	12.2%	18.0%	0.68×	8.23
Eldense (1:0)	5.8%	7.0%	10.2%	0.69×	14.25

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (2:0)	94.2%	93.5%	89.8%	1.04×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	7.0%	0.33×	42.90
Eldense (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	3.3%	0.71×	43.01

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	25.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to concede	57.2%	59.1%	67.3%	0.88×	1.69
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	42.8%	40.9%	32.7%	1.25×	2.45

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón clean sheet in 1st half	71.2%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Sporting Gijón to concede in 1st half	28.8%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 6.5 corners	81.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 corners	76.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Gijón under 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 corners	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Gijón under 4.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Gijón over 4.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 corners	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sporting Gijón over 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 corners	23.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Sporting Gijón over 6.5 corners	18.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 goals	90.5%	92.7%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 goals	82.0%	82.6%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 goals	75.3%	78.0%	83.0%	0.94×	1.28
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 goals	51.1%	52.9%	42.0%	1.26×	1.89
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 goals	48.9%	47.1%	58.0%	0.81×	2.12
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 goals	24.7%	22.0%	17.0%	1.29×	4.54
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 goals	18.0%	17.4%	22.5%	0.77×	5.76
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 goals	9.5%	7.3%	6.3%	1.16×	13.66

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.3%	56.9%	48.7%	1.17×	1.76
Eldense (home no bet)	44.7%	43.1%	51.3%	0.84×	2.32

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón even goals	51.6%	50.8%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Sporting Gijón odd goals	48.4%	49.2%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.14
HT 1-0	25.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
HT 0-1	11.6%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
HT 2-0	9.3%	7.8%	—	—	12.83
HT 1-1	8.5%	7.8%	—	—	12.84
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.79
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	40.85
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	40.91
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	40.93
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	40.97

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	35.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Draw at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	20.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT	9.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.38
Draw at HT / Eldense at FT	8.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.40
Sporting Gijón at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.08
Eldense at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.7%	—	—	27.10
Eldense at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	2.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.14
Sporting Gijón at HT / Eldense at FT	1.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.17

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score last	61.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Eldense to score last	30.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
No goal scored	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Sporting Gijón to lead by 1 at any time	69.7%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Sporting Gijón to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Eldense to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
Sporting Gijón to lead by 3 at any time	16.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.62
Eldense to lead by 2 at any time	9.3%	7.7%	—	—	13.02
Eldense to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	2.7%	—	—	37.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense most corners	56.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Sporting Gijón most corners	32.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.9%	82.6%	78.1%	1.06×	1.21
2-6 goals	70.6%	72.5%	67.8%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.6%	68.7%	64.2%	1.07×	1.46
1-3 goals	67.0%	68.7%	63.0%	1.09×	1.46
2-4 goals	60.5%	62.9%	56.6%	1.11×	1.59
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
3-6 goals	45.6%	47.4%	47.5%	1.00×	2.11
1-2 goals	45.4%	47.4%	42.0%	1.13×	2.11
3-5 goals	42.6%	44.1%	44.0%	1.00×	2.27
3-4 goals	35.5%	39.0%	36.3%	1.07×	2.57
4-6 goals	24.0%	23.3%	26.5%	0.88×	4.29
4-5 goals	21.0%	23.3%	22.9%	1.02×	4.29
5-6 goals	10.1%	13.3%	11.4%	1.17×	7.53
7+ goals	1.6%	2.1%	1.6%	1.35×	46.86

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón never behind	58.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Eldense never behind	22.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.1%	48.5%	1.03×	2.00
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.9%	51.5%	0.97×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.4%	96.3%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.3%	88.2%	87.2%	1.01×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	74.4%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.2%	72.3%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.8%	51.1%	51.0%	1.00×	1.96
Over 2.5 goals	47.2%	48.9%	49.0%	1.00×	2.05
Under 1.5 goals	27.8%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.60
Over 3.5 goals	25.6%	27.7%	28.0%	0.99×	3.61
Over 4.5 goals	11.7%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.44
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	9.1%	0.84×	13.00
Over 5.5 goals	4.6%	3.7%	5.2%	0.72×	26.99

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.5%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.4%	87.4%	84.9%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.3%	66.7%	64.6%	1.03×	1.50
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.0%	62.3%	61.5%	1.01×	1.60
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.0%	37.7%	38.5%	0.98×	2.66
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.7%	33.3%	35.4%	0.94×	3.01
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.6%	12.6%	15.1%	0.83×	7.93
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	40.24
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.5%	1.6%	1.52×	40.31

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	8.1%	—	—	12.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to score in both halves	88.5%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Sporting Gijón not to score in both halves	67.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Sporting Gijón to score in both halves	32.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Eldense to score in both halves	11.5%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.6%	50.8%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only Sporting Gijón scores	35.4%	39.4%	23.7%	1.66×	2.54
Only Eldense scores	10.6%	11.0%	13.5%	0.81×	9.13
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.0%	9.1%	0.77×	14.28

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	25.4%	20.4%	1.24×	3.94
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	20.4%	22.4%	21.7%	1.03×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	13.9%	12.2%	15.2%	0.80×	8.19
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.21
Exactly 5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.8%	0.97×	13.21
6 or more goals	4.6%	3.8%	5.2%	0.75×	26.05

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	22.5%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win both halves	97.1%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Sporting Gijón not to win both halves	81.0%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Sporting Gijón to win both halves	19.0%	18.1%	—	—	5.51
Eldense to win both halves	2.9%	2.9%	—	—	35.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to win neither half	68.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Sporting Gijón to win either half	68.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Sporting Gijón to win neither half	31.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Eldense to win either half	31.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win to nil	89.4%	88.3%	86.5%	1.02×	1.13
Sporting Gijón not to win to nil	64.6%	63.5%	76.3%	0.83×	1.58
Sporting Gijón to win to nil	35.4%	36.5%	23.7%	1.54×	2.74
Eldense to win to nil	10.6%	11.7%	13.5%	0.87×	8.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón by 1	25.8%	28.2%	26.0%	1.09×	3.54
Draw	23.1%	23.5%	26.6%	0.88×	4.26
Sporting Gijón by 2	17.9%	17.5%	12.0%	1.46×	5.70
Sporting Gijón by 3+	14.5%	11.7%	7.7%	1.52×	8.58
Eldense by 1	12.9%	11.6%	18.0%	0.65×	8.59
Eldense by 2	4.4%	2.6%	7.0%	0.37×	38.28
Eldense by 3+	1.4%	2.6%	3.3%	0.80×	38.34