Sporting Gijón v Granada — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Sporting Gijón

20:00 UTC

Granada

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,041h before kick-off

Sporting Gijón win

44.2%

model 44.7%

Draw

27.9%

model 26.1%

Granada win

27.9%

model 29.1%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-0 12.1%
0-1 9.3%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.9%	Under 2.5	55.1%
BTTS yes	49.3%	BTTS no	50.7%
Sporting Gijón 1+	75.3%	Sporting Gijón 2+	40.8%
Granada 1+	65.8%	Granada 2+	29.1%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 63%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Granada not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 87%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sporting Gijón carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1476.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sporting Gijón have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Granada and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Sporting Gijón and 1.07 for Granada.

Why Sporting Gijón

Sporting Gijón carry the stronger rating, 1543 Elo against 1476. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Granada can win

Nothing in the data singles out Granada.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Gijón, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Granada, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Gijón: 45% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Granada: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sporting Gijón are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452629	1.40–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442630	1.44–1.14	1-1 12%	48%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to win	44.3%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Granada to win	30.1%	30.4%	28.1%	1.08×	3.29
Draw	25.6%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón & not both score	24.8%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.58
Sporting Gijón & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Granada & not both score	16.4%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Granada & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.53
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón & over 1.5	33.1%	30.8%	32.6%	0.94×	3.25
Sporting Gijón & under 3.5	31.9%	30.8%	32.2%	0.96×	3.25
Sporting Gijón & over 2.5	25.2%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.84
Granada & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Granada & over 1.5	21.2%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Sporting Gijón & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Granada & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.7%	1.08×	5.56
Granada & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Sporting Gijón & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Sporting Gijón & under 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Granada & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Granada & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (1UP)	59.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Granada (1UP)	46.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (2UP)	44.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Granada (2UP)	30.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Sporting Gijón to win 2nd half	35.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Granada to win 2nd half	27.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Granada under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Granada over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Granada over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	13.1%	—	—	7.62

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Granada (+1.5)	78.7%	78.5%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
Sporting Gijón (+0.5)	69.9%	68.7%	71.9%	0.96×	1.46
Granada (+0.5)	55.7%	57.0%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75
Sporting Gijón (-0.5)	44.3%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Granada (-0.5)	30.1%	31.3%	28.1%	1.11×	3.19
Sporting Gijón (-1.5)	21.3%	21.5%	19.6%	1.10×	4.65
Sporting Gijón (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to concede	76.3%	78.8%	77.6%	1.02×	1.27
Granada clean sheet	23.7%	21.2%	22.4%	0.95×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada clean sheet in 1st half	53.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Granada to concede in 1st half	46.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to concede in 2nd half	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Granada clean sheet in 2nd half	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 6.5 corners	81.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Granada over 2.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Granada under 5.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Granada over 3.5 corners	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Granada under 4.5 corners	56.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Granada over 4.5 corners	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Granada under 3.5 corners	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Granada over 5.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Granada under 2.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Granada over 6.5 corners	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 3.5 goals	97.1%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Granada under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
Granada under 1.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Granada over 0.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	67.4%	1.01×	1.47
Granada under 0.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	32.6%	0.98×	3.13
Granada over 1.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	30.6%	1.05×	3.13
Granada over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	10.9%	1.12×	8.21
Granada over 3.5 goals	2.9%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Granada under 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Granada over 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Granada over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada scores equally in both	42.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Granada scores more in 2nd half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Granada scores more in 1st half	21.3%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (away no bet)	63.4%	61.9%	63.2%	0.98×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.6%	38.1%	36.8%	1.03×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada even goals	55.1%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Granada odd goals	44.9%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.8%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Sporting Gijón to score 2+ in a row	34.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Granada to score 2+ in a row	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Sporting Gijón to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Granada to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón corners (+3.5)	87.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Granada corners (+3.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sporting Gijón corners (+2.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Granada corners (+2.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Gijón corners (+1.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Granada corners (+1.5)	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Gijón corners (-1.5)	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sporting Gijón corners (-2.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Granada corners (-1.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Gijón corners (-3.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Granada corners (-2.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Granada corners (-3.5)	12.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	33.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	17.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
0-1	8.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.29
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	3.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.29
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (2nd half DNB)	56.4%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Granada (2nd half DNB)	43.6%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón leading at HT (DNB)	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Granada leading at HT (DNB)	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or Granada (12)	74.4%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Sporting Gijón or draw (1X)	69.9%	69.6%	71.9%	0.97×	1.44
Granada or draw (X2)	55.7%	57.0%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw at HT	77.6%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Granada or draw at HT	66.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Sporting Gijón or Granada at HT	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw (1UP)	69.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Granada or draw (1UP)	55.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Granada or draw in 2nd half	64.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Sporting Gijón or Granada in 2nd half	63.6%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (DNB)	59.6%	58.1%	61.8%	0.94×	1.72
Granada (DNB)	40.4%	41.9%	38.2%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score first	51.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Granada to score first	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.6%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.4%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.2%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	39.4%	38.4%	43.0%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.09

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.9%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.5%	26.6%	30.6%	0.87×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.3%	22.9%	26.7%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Granada to score exactly 0	32.1%	33.8%	32.6%	1.04×	2.96
Granada to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Granada to score 3+	10.7%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.6%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 2	24.6%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 0	23.7%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29
Sporting Gijón to score 3+	17.6%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sporting Gijón leading at HT	33.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Granada leading at HT	22.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón -1: 2	55.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Sporting Gijón -1: X	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sporting Gijón -1: 1	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:1)	55.7%	55.8%	54.5%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Sporting Gijón (0:1)	21.3%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:2)	78.7%	79.4%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.2%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.09
Sporting Gijón (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:3)	91.8%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	5.3%	1.09×	17.24
Sporting Gijón (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.89
Sporting Gijón (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	82.03

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (1:0)	69.9%	70.2%	71.9%	0.98×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Granada (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (2:0)	88.1%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.89×	15.68
Granada (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to concede	67.9%	66.7%	67.4%	0.99×	1.50
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	32.1%	33.3%	32.6%	1.02×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón clean sheet in 1st half	63.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Sporting Gijón to concede in 1st half	36.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sporting Gijón to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Gijón under 6.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 corners	67.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sporting Gijón under 5.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Gijón over 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Gijón under 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Sporting Gijón over 5.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Sporting Gijón over 6.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 goals	82.4%	82.2%	82.8%	0.99×	1.22
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 goals	76.3%	77.7%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	42.0%	0.99×	2.42
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 goals	23.7%	22.3%	22.4%	0.99×	4.49
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 goals	17.6%	17.8%	17.2%	1.04×	5.62
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.8%	6.3%	1.23×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 in 1st half	87.2%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 in 1st half	12.8%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón scores more in 2nd half	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sporting Gijón scores equally in both	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sporting Gijón scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (home no bet)	54.0%	51.4%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón even goals	52.8%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Sporting Gijón odd goals	47.2%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	26.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Granada at HT / Granada at FT	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Granada at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sporting Gijón at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Granada at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Granada at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Sporting Gijón at HT / Granada at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score last	51.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Granada to score last	40.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Sporting Gijón to lead by 1 at any time	59.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Granada to lead by 1 at any time	46.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Sporting Gijón to lead by 2 at any time	27.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Granada to lead by 2 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Sporting Gijón to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Granada to lead by 3 at any time	4.9%	1.7%	—	—	60.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón most corners	49.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Granada most corners	38.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.8%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.9%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.8%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.8%	68.8%	62.8%	1.10×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.0%	48.5%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.1%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	26.7%	0.92×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.5%	23.2%	1.06×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	11.4%	1.30×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón never behind	45.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Granada never behind	33.5%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	50.8%	1.03×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	49.2%	0.97×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	28.2%	0.98×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	84.8%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.9%	67.4%	64.3%	1.05×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.4%	61.9%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.6%	38.1%	38.4%	0.99×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.1%	32.6%	35.7%	0.91×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	5.6%	1.36×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to score in both halves	81.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Sporting Gijón not to score in both halves	74.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Gijón to score in both halves	25.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Granada to score in both halves	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.6%	53.8%	54.1%	1.00×	1.86
Only Sporting Gijón scores	24.8%	22.3%	23.6%	0.94×	4.49
Only Granada scores	16.4%	16.0%	13.4%	1.19×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.2%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to win both halves	93.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Sporting Gijón not to win both halves	88.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Sporting Gijón to win both halves	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Granada to win both halves	6.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to win either half	57.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Granada to win neither half	56.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Granada to win either half	44.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Sporting Gijón to win neither half	42.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to win to nil	83.6%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Sporting Gijón not to win to nil	75.2%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Sporting Gijón to win to nil	24.8%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Granada to win to nil	16.4%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.6%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Sporting Gijón by 1	23.0%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Granada by 1	18.2%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Sporting Gijón by 2	13.2%	11.8%	12.1%	0.98×	8.51
Granada by 2	8.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.90
Sporting Gijón by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.90
Granada by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.79