Sportivo San Lorenzo v 2 de Mayo — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000071 · 2627
FIFA:2000000071 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.7%
- 1-0 11.1%
- 0-1 9.2%
- 2-1 8.7%
- 0-0 8.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 46.1% | Under 2.5 | 53.9% |
| BTTS yes | 50.8% | BTTS no | 49.2% |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo 1+ | 74.9% | Sportivo San Lorenzo 2+ | 40.2% |
| 2 de Mayo 1+ | 67.9% | 2 de Mayo 2+ | 31.4% |
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- At home Sportivo San Lorenzo average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo have only 0 matches on record.
- 2 de Mayo have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Sportivo San Lorenzo have an estimated 42.5% win probability, against 30.9% for 2 de Mayo and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Sportivo San Lorenzo and 1.14 for 2 de Mayo.
Why Sportivo San Lorenzo
At home Sportivo San Lorenzo average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.38 to 1.14.
Why 2 de Mayo can win
2 de Mayo carry the stronger rating, 1527 Elo against 1500. They have had 30 days' rest to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 14.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Sportivo San Lorenzo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for 2 de Mayo, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Sportivo San Lorenzo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. 2 de Mayo: 41% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.5 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Sportivo San Lorenzo are the model's most likely outcome at 42.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.29–1.19 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.