St Johnstone v Motherwell — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

St Johnstone

15:45

Motherwell

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,269h before kick-off

St Johnstone win

28.0%

model 26.0%

Draw

23.4%

model 24.5%

Motherwell win

48.6%

model 49.5%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
0-1 10.2%
1-2 9.5%
0-2 8.4%
1-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.6%	Under 2.5	47.4%
BTTS yes	54.8%	BTTS no	45.2%
St Johnstone 1+	67.7%	St Johnstone 2+	31.2%
Motherwell 1+	80.8%	Motherwell 2+	49.1%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1355.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for St Johnstone and 23.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for St Johnstone and 1.65 for Motherwell.

Why St Johnstone

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.4%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Motherwell can win

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1355. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Johnstone: 54% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	262450	1.14–1.68	1-1 11%	53%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	49.9%	47.5%	30.9%	1.54×	2.11
St Johnstone to win	25.8%	27.9%	45.9%	0.61×	3.59
Draw	24.3%	24.5%	23.4%	1.04×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	26.0%	25.2%	14.7%	1.71×	3.97
Motherwell & both teams score	23.9%	21.9%	16.4%	1.34×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.58
St Johnstone & both teams score	13.2%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.54
St Johnstone & not both score	12.6%	13.3%	27.4%	0.48×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	39.9%	34.9%	24.5%	1.43×	2.87
Motherwell & under 3.5	32.7%	30.9%	22.4%	1.38×	3.24
Motherwell & over 2.5	31.5%	30.9%	20.5%	1.50×	3.24
St Johnstone & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	36.7%	0.49×	5.56
St Johnstone & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	30.1%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Motherwell & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Motherwell & over 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	8.7%	2.06×	5.56
St Johnstone & over 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
St Johnstone & under 2.5	10.6%	12.9%	17.8%	0.72×	7.77
Motherwell & under 1.5	10.0%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.69
St Johnstone & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.70
St Johnstone & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
St Johnstone (1UP)	44.0%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	49.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
St Johnstone (2UP)	25.8%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win 2nd half	43.1%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	33.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	23.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+2.5)	96.9%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Motherwell (+1.5)	89.9%	88.5%	73.4%	1.21×	1.13
Motherwell (+0.5)	74.2%	73.7%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
St Johnstone (+0.5)	50.1%	52.3%	69.1%	0.76×	1.91
Motherwell (-0.5)	49.9%	47.7%	30.9%	1.54×	2.10
St Johnstone (-0.5)	25.8%	26.3%	45.9%	0.57×	3.81
St Johnstone (-1.5)	10.1%	11.5%	26.6%	0.43×	8.71
St Johnstone (-2.5)	3.1%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	26.87

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	68.0%	72.5%	79.7%	0.91×	1.38
Motherwell clean sheet	32.0%	27.5%	20.3%	1.35×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	61.3%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	38.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	75.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	61.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	24.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	81.3%	81.4%	67.0%	1.21×	1.23
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	76.3%	76.2%	85.5%	0.89×	1.31
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	50.0%	53.6%	63.1%	0.85×	1.86
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	50.0%	46.4%	36.9%	1.26×	2.16
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	23.7%	23.8%	14.5%	1.64×	4.21
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	18.7%	18.6%	33.0%	0.56×	5.38
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	3.7%	2.06×	13.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	85.4%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	14.6%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (away no bet)	51.5%	51.2%	66.2%	0.77×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	48.5%	48.8%	33.8%	1.44×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	51.7%	52.8%	57.7%	0.92×	1.89
Motherwell odd goals	48.3%	47.2%	42.3%	1.12×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	41.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.82

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	83.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	80.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	74.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	64.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	36.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	25.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	19.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	16.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	18.6%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.4%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	18.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	12.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-1	10.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
0-2	8.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.48
1-2	9.6%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.48
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
1-3	5.4%	7.4%	3.1%	2.38×	13.48
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.46
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.48
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.48
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.47
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.48
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.48
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.48
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.49
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.49
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.49
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.49
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	60.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	39.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or Motherwell (12)	75.7%	75.5%	76.6%	0.99×	1.32
Motherwell or draw (X2)	74.2%	72.1%	54.1%	1.33×	1.39
St Johnstone or draw (1X)	50.1%	52.5%	69.1%	0.76×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	77.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone or draw at HT	65.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
St Johnstone or Motherwell at HT	57.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	74.2%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	50.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	76.9%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
St Johnstone or Motherwell in 2nd half	66.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	56.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	65.9%	67.1%	40.3%	1.67×	1.49
St Johnstone (DNB)	34.1%	32.9%	59.7%	0.55×	3.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	56.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone to score first	38.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.3%	54.9%	52.5%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.7%	45.1%	47.5%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.8%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.1%	38.5%	33.8%	1.14×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	9.3%	1.32×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	83.1%	83.8%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	16.9%	16.2%	1.05×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.1%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	18.9%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.6%	26.5%	31.3%	0.84×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.8%	22.8%	21.4%	1.07×	4.38
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.55

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	31.4%	33.8%	30.3%	1.12×	2.96
Motherwell to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	22.6%	1.21×	3.65
Motherwell to score 3+	23.7%	22.4%	14.5%	1.54×	4.46
Motherwell to score exactly 0	18.7%	19.6%	33.0%	0.59×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	31.1%	1.14×	2.81
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	32.0%	32.6%	20.3%	1.61×	3.06
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	20.8%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
St Johnstone to score 3+	10.7%	14.3%	23.9%	0.60×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Motherwell leading at HT	34.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
St Johnstone leading at HT	22.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 1	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Motherwell -1: 2	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Motherwell -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:1)	74.2%	71.1%	54.1%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	19.5%	0.91×	5.63
St Johnstone (0:1)	10.1%	13.8%	26.6%	0.52×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:2)	89.9%	87.0%	73.4%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	12.95
St Johnstone (0:2)	3.1%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:3)	96.9%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.16
St Johnstone (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	4.8%	0.25×	83.61
St Johnstone (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.15×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1:0)	50.1%	54.0%	69.1%	0.78×	1.85
Motherwell (1:0)	26.7%	25.1%	13.5%	1.86×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.8%	17.6%	1.24×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2:0)	73.3%	76.5%	86.5%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.2%	15.6%	7.7%	2.04×	6.40
Motherwell (2:0)	11.5%	10.4%	6.0%	1.72×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	81.3%	80.8%	67.0%	1.21×	1.24
St Johnstone clean sheet	18.7%	19.2%	33.0%	0.58×	5.20

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	51.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	48.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	81.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	19.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	97.1%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.3%	76.1%	1.15×	1.15
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	68.5%	67.9%	51.2%	1.32×	1.47
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	68.0%	67.9%	79.7%	0.85×	1.47
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	32.0%	32.1%	20.3%	1.58×	3.11
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	31.5%	32.1%	48.8%	0.66×	3.11
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.7%	23.9%	0.53×	7.86
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	2.9%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	91.3%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	61.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	38.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	8.7%	4.7%	—	—	21.25

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (home no bet)	67.2%	63.9%	56.9%	1.12×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	32.8%	36.1%	43.1%	0.84×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	55.1%	55.4%	51.7%	1.07×	1.80
St Johnstone odd goals	44.9%	44.6%	48.3%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	21.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	15.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 0-2	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 2-0	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	28.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
St Johnstone at HT / Motherwell at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Motherwell at HT / St Johnstone at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	56.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
St Johnstone to score last	38.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	44.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	33.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	13.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	60.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone most corners	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Motherwell most corners	39.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.5%	78.6%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.7%	72.4%	77.0%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.6%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.8%	63.4%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.9%	53.2%	55.4%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.8%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.5%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.6%	30.3%	31.3%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.5%	24.5%	25.7%	0.95×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.0%	14.9%	13.1%	1.14×	6.72
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	50.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
St Johnstone never behind	29.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.5%	82.4%	85.3%	0.97×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	78.6%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	66.2%	67.0%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	42.9%	1.11×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	33.8%	33.0%	1.02×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	21.4%	1.06×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.5%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	7.5%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.33×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.5%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.7%	81.0%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.1%	72.5%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.9%	55.5%	56.6%	0.98×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.1%	44.5%	43.4%	1.03×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.9%	27.5%	27.2%	1.01×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.3%	19.0%	18.0%	1.05×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.5%	8.1%	0.94×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	2.0%	1.40×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	81.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell not to score in both halves	69.0%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Motherwell to score in both halves	31.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
St Johnstone to score in both halves	18.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.3%	58.3%	52.5%	1.11×	1.71
Only Motherwell scores	26.0%	26.1%	14.7%	1.77×	3.83
Only St Johnstone scores	12.6%	10.9%	27.4%	0.40×	9.15
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.7%	17.4%	15.8%	1.11×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves	94.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell not to win both halves	85.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Motherwell to win both halves	14.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
St Johnstone to win both halves	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	62.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
St Johnstone to win neither half	59.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
St Johnstone to win either half	40.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Motherwell to win neither half	37.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil	87.4%	88.2%	72.6%	1.21×	1.13
Motherwell not to win to nil	74.0%	75.3%	85.3%	0.88×	1.33
Motherwell to win to nil	26.0%	24.7%	14.7%	1.68×	4.05
St Johnstone to win to nil	12.6%	11.8%	27.4%	0.43×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.3%	24.2%	23.4%	1.03×	4.14
Motherwell by 1	23.2%	24.2%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
St Johnstone by 1	15.7%	16.9%	19.5%	0.87×	5.91
Motherwell by 2	15.2%	16.9%	7.7%	2.20×	5.91
Motherwell by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.48
St Johnstone by 2	7.0%	7.3%	14.5%	0.50×	13.78
St Johnstone by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.98