St Johnstone v Motherwell — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St Johnstone

19:45 UTC

Motherwell

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 33h before kick-off

St Johnstone win

26.7%

model 25.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 24.0%

Motherwell win

51.1%

model 50.9%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
0-1 10.7%
1-2 9.6%
0-2 8.8%
1-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.2%	Under 2.5	47.8%
BTTS yes	53.9%	BTTS no	46.1%
St Johnstone 1+	66.5%	St Johnstone 2+	29.9%
Motherwell 1+	81.2%	Motherwell 2+	49.7%

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Motherwell (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Motherwell not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1351.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for St Johnstone and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for St Johnstone and 1.67 for Motherwell.

Why St Johnstone

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Motherwell can win

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1351. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	252451	1.10–1.67	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262549	1.09–1.60	1-1 12%	50%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	49.4%	47.4%	31.0%	1.53×	2.11
St Johnstone to win	25.9%	27.9%	45.9%	0.61×	3.59
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	27.1%	25.2%	14.9%	1.69×	3.97
Motherwell & both teams score	22.3%	21.8%	16.3%	1.33×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Johnstone & not both score	13.5%	13.3%	27.5%	0.48×	7.54
St Johnstone & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.7%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	38.4%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Motherwell & under 3.5	33.9%	30.8%	22.5%	1.37×	3.25
Motherwell & over 2.5	29.7%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Motherwell & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.55
St Johnstone & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	30.2%	0.60×	5.55
St Johnstone & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	36.6%	0.49×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Motherwell & over 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	8.7%	2.07×	5.56
St Johnstone & over 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	28.1%	0.46×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
Motherwell & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
St Johnstone & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	63.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
St Johnstone (1UP)	43.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	49.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
St Johnstone (2UP)	25.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win 2nd half	42.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	22.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.1%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.9%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.2%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.8%	11.2%	—	—	8.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+2.5)	97.1%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Motherwell (+1.5)	90.2%	92.1%	73.6%	1.25×	1.09
Motherwell (+0.5)	74.1%	73.7%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
St Johnstone (+0.5)	50.6%	52.4%	69.0%	0.76×	1.91
Motherwell (-0.5)	49.4%	47.6%	31.0%	1.54×	2.10
St Johnstone (-0.5)	25.9%	26.3%	45.9%	0.57×	3.80
St Johnstone (-1.5)	9.8%	7.9%	26.4%	0.30×	12.68
St Johnstone (-2.5)	2.9%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.15

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	66.2%	72.3%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Motherwell clean sheet	33.8%	27.7%	20.5%	1.36×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	62.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	37.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	53.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	46.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	82.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	72.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	27.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	79.8%	76.3%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	78.3%	76.3%	85.5%	0.89×	1.31
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	52.5%	53.5%	63.2%	0.85×	1.87
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	47.5%	46.5%	36.8%	1.26×	2.15
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	21.7%	23.7%	14.5%	1.64×	4.21
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	20.2%	23.7%	33.1%	0.72×	4.21
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	3.7%	2.06×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	41.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Motherwell scores equally in both	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (away no bet)	51.3%	51.7%	66.3%	0.78×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.7%	48.3%	33.7%	1.43×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	52.0%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Motherwell odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	39.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	14.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.4%	—	—	18.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	78.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	76.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	68.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	31.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	23.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	21.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
0-2	8.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
0-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	64.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB)	35.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	60.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	40.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or Motherwell (12)	75.4%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Motherwell or draw (X2)	74.1%	72.1%	54.1%	1.33×	1.39
St Johnstone or draw (1X)	50.6%	52.6%	69.0%	0.76×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	77.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
St Johnstone or draw at HT	66.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
St Johnstone or Motherwell at HT	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	74.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	50.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
St Johnstone or Motherwell in 2nd half	65.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	57.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	65.6%	67.4%	40.3%	1.67×	1.48
St Johnstone (DNB)	34.4%	32.6%	59.7%	0.55×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	55.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone to score first	37.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.7%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.3%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.0%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.0%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.4%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.3%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.3%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	32.3%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Motherwell to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64
Motherwell to score 3+	21.7%	22.3%	14.5%	1.54×	4.49
Motherwell to score exactly 0	20.2%	22.3%	33.1%	0.67×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	33.8%	32.6%	20.5%	1.59×	3.07
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
St Johnstone to score 3+	9.7%	10.4%	23.8%	0.44×	9.64

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Motherwell leading at HT	33.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
St Johnstone leading at HT	22.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 1	50.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Motherwell -1: 2	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Motherwell -1: X	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:1)	74.1%	71.1%	54.1%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.1%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.62
St Johnstone (0:1)	9.8%	9.3%	26.4%	0.35×	10.77

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:2)	90.2%	90.7%	73.6%	1.23×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.06
St Johnstone (0:2)	2.9%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.73

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:3)	97.1%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.04
St Johnstone (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.91
St Johnstone (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1:0)	50.6%	54.0%	69.0%	0.78×	1.85
Motherwell (1:0)	25.7%	25.0%	13.4%	1.86×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	23.7%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2:0)	74.3%	76.6%	86.6%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.0%	15.8%	7.6%	2.07×	6.33
Motherwell (2:0)	10.7%	10.3%	6.0%	1.72×	9.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	79.8%	76.1%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
St Johnstone clean sheet	20.2%	23.9%	33.1%	0.72×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	52.7%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	47.3%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half	61.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half	38.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	81.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	77.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	70.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	60.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	39.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	29.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	18.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	76.2%	1.21×	1.09
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	70.4%	74.2%	51.4%	1.44×	1.35
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	79.5%	0.85×	1.47
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	20.5%	1.57×	3.12
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	29.6%	25.8%	48.6%	0.53×	3.88
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	23.8%	0.33×	12.82
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	5.3%	—	—	18.92

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone scores equally in both	44.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (home no bet)	66.7%	64.1%	57.0%	1.12×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	33.3%	35.9%	43.0%	0.83×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	55.7%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
St Johnstone odd goals	44.3%	44.7%	48.3%	0.93×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 0-1	21.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-0	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
St Johnstone at HT / Motherwell at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Motherwell at HT / St Johnstone at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	55.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
St Johnstone to score last	37.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	63.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	43.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	32.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	14.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone most corners	44.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Motherwell most corners	42.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.7%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.2%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.1%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.3%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.7%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.0%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.8%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.3%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.7%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.5%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	50.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
St Johnstone never behind	29.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.7%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	71.7%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.3%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.3%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.0%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.2%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.6%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.7%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.3%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.4%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.8%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.0%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell not to score in both halves	70.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Motherwell to score in both halves	29.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
St Johnstone to score in both halves	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.7%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Motherwell scores	27.1%	26.1%	14.9%	1.75×	3.84
Only St Johnstone scores	13.5%	11.0%	27.5%	0.40×	9.06
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.8%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.9%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell not to win both halves	85.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Motherwell to win both halves	14.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
St Johnstone to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.29

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	61.9%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
St Johnstone to win neither half	59.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
St Johnstone to win either half	40.3%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Motherwell to win neither half	38.1%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil	86.5%	88.1%	72.5%	1.21×	1.14
Motherwell not to win to nil	72.9%	75.3%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Motherwell to win to nil	27.1%	24.7%	14.9%	1.66×	4.05
St Johnstone to win to nil	13.5%	11.9%	27.5%	0.43×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Motherwell by 1	23.7%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
St Johnstone by 1	16.1%	17.0%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Motherwell by 2	15.0%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87
Motherwell by 3+	10.7%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.51
St Johnstone by 2	6.9%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.91
St Johnstone by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.88