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St Johnstone v Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
St Johnstone win
17.9%
model 18.1%
Draw
21.6%
model 21.3%
Rangers win
60.4%
model 60.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 10.8%
  2. 0-2 10.4%
  3. 1-1 10.1%
  4. 1-2 9.9%
  5. 0-3 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.555.4% Under 2.544.6%
BTTS yes52.6% BTTS no47.4%
St Johnstone 1+61.6% St Johnstone 2+24.8%
Rangers 1+85.7% Rangers 2+57.9%

Expected goals 0.96 – 1.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Rangers (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
63.6% fair odds 1.57
strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
St Johnstone not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1351.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for St Johnstone. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.96 for St Johnstone and 1.95 for Rangers.

Why St Johnstone

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Rangers can win

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1351. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rangers: 56% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.96–1.95 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.92–1.99 0-1 11% 56% 52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 62.3% 58.2% 31.0% 1.88× 1.72
Draw 20.8% 24.5% 23.3% 1.05× 4.09
St Johnstone to win 16.9% 19.4% 45.9% 0.42× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & not both score 34.4% 29.6% 14.9% 1.99× 3.37
Rangers & both teams score 27.9% 25.2% 16.3% 1.54× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 15.5% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.57
St Johnstone & both teams score 8.5% 8.3% 18.6% 0.45× 12.00
St Johnstone & not both score 8.4% 8.3% 27.5% 0.30× 12.00
Draw & not both score 5.3% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & over 1.5 51.3% 48.8% 24.4% 2.00× 2.05
Rangers & over 2.5 40.6% 40.2% 20.5% 1.97× 2.49
Rangers & under 3.5 38.7% 34.9% 22.5% 1.55× 2.87
Rangers & over 3.5 23.5% 21.6% 8.7% 2.49× 4.63
Rangers & under 2.5 21.7% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 15.5% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.2% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.2% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.56
St Johnstone & under 3.5 12.8% 12.8% 30.2% 0.43× 7.79
St Johnstone & over 1.5 11.8% 12.8% 36.6% 0.35× 7.79
Rangers & under 1.5 10.9% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
St Johnstone & over 2.5 9.5% 7.9% 28.1% 0.28× 12.63
St Johnstone & under 2.5 7.5% 7.9% 18.0% 0.44× 12.63
St Johnstone & under 1.5 5.1% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.3% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
St Johnstone & over 3.5 4.1% 4.8% 15.9% 0.30× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (1UP) 74.0% 75.3% — — 1.33
St Johnstone (1UP) 34.5% 33.2% — — 3.02
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2UP) 62.3% 68.3% — — 1.47
St Johnstone (2UP) 16.9% 16.9% — — 5.92
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 2nd half 52.6% 52.0% — — 1.92
2nd half drawn 31.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
St Johnstone to win 2nd half 16.4% 17.8% — — 5.63
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.7% 69.8% — — 1.43
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.5% 69.5% — — 1.44
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.5% 30.5% — — 3.28
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.3% 30.2% — — 3.31
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.2% 93.5% — — 1.07
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.1% 58.1% — — 1.72
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.9% 41.9% — — 2.39
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.8% 6.5% — — 15.37
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (+2.5) 98.6% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Rangers (+1.5) 94.5% 92.1% 73.6% 1.25× 1.09
Rangers (+0.5) 83.1% 82.6% 54.1% 1.53× 1.21
Rangers (-0.5) 62.3% 62.9% 31.0% 2.03× 1.59
St Johnstone (+0.5) 37.7% 37.1% 69.0% 0.54× 2.70
St Johnstone (-0.5) 16.9% 17.4% 45.9% 0.38× 5.74
St Johnstone (-1.5) 5.5% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.72
St Johnstone (-2.5) 1.4% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.25
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to concede 60.3% 67.5% 79.5% 0.85× 1.48
Rangers clean sheet 39.7% 32.5% 20.5% 1.59× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 67.2% 71.3% — — 1.40
Rangers to concede in 1st half 32.8% 28.7% — — 3.48
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half 59.1% 57.4% — — 1.74
Rangers to concede in 2nd half 40.9% 42.6% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners 91.7% 89.9% — — 1.11
Rangers over 3.5 corners 82.7% 81.4% — — 1.23
Rangers over 4.5 corners 70.9% 71.6% — — 1.40
Rangers over 5.5 corners 57.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers under 6.5 corners 55.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers over 6.5 corners 44.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Rangers under 5.5 corners 42.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Rangers under 4.5 corners 29.1% 28.4% — — 3.52
Rangers under 3.5 corners 17.3% 18.6% — — 5.38
Rangers under 2.5 corners 8.3% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 0.5 goals 86.3% 87.8% 66.9% 1.31× 1.14
Rangers under 3.5 goals 86.0% 87.8% 96.3% 0.91× 1.14
Rangers under 2.5 goals 68.0% 68.0% 85.5% 0.80× 1.47
Rangers over 1.5 goals 59.1% 59.4% 36.8% 1.62× 1.68
Rangers under 1.5 goals 40.9% 40.6% 63.2% 0.64× 2.47
Rangers over 2.5 goals 32.0% 32.0% 14.5% 2.21× 3.13
Rangers over 3.5 goals 14.0% 12.2% 3.7% 3.28× 8.19
Rangers under 0.5 goals 13.7% 12.2% 33.1% 0.37× 8.20
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 81.1% 82.4% — — 1.21
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 54.9% 55.9% — — 1.79
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 45.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 18.9% 17.6% — — 5.70
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half 45.3% 48.1% — — 2.08
Rangers scores equally in both 30.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
Rangers scores more in 1st half 24.6% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 55.2% 57.3% 33.7% 1.70× 1.75
St Johnstone (away no bet) 44.8% 42.7% 66.3% 0.64× 2.34
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers even goals 50.9% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Rangers odd goals 49.1% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.8% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.2% 16.8% — — 5.94
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 67.5% 67.9% — — 1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals 32.5% 32.1% — — 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.8% 60.0% — — 1.67
Rangers to score 2+ in a row 51.7% 50.9% — — 1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 26.7% 24.9% — — 4.01
Rangers to score 3+ in a row 23.8% 19.5% — — 5.12
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row 15.7% 16.1% — — 6.21
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row 3.1% 2.6% — — 39.04
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5) 95.0% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rangers corners (+2.5) 91.4% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rangers corners (+1.5) 86.1% 84.5% — — 1.18
St Johnstone corners (+3.5) 61.7% 61.9% — — 1.62
Rangers corners (-1.5) 59.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
St Johnstone corners (+2.5) 51.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Rangers corners (-2.5) 48.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
St Johnstone corners (+1.5) 40.3% 42.8% — — 2.33
Rangers corners (-3.5) 38.3% 38.1% — — 2.62
St Johnstone corners (-1.5) 13.9% 15.5% — — 6.45
St Johnstone corners (-2.5) 8.6% 10.4% — — 9.59
St Johnstone corners (-3.5) 5.0% 10.4% — — 9.61
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 34.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
0-8 corners 34.3% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.9% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.6% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 73.7% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 65.7% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 65.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 55.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 55.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 45.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 44.5% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 34.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 34.3% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 26.3% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 24.4% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 10.9% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.72
0-2 10.7% 11.5% 4.1% 2.78× 8.72
1-1 9.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
1-2 9.9% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
0-3 7.1% 7.4% 3.3% 2.24× 13.51
1-3 6.6% 7.4% 3.1% 2.39× 13.51
0-0 5.3% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
1-0 5.1% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
Any other score 5.4% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
0-4 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.30
1-4 3.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.30
2-0 2.3% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.31
2-1 4.6% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.29
2-2 4.6% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
2-3 3.0% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-4 1.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 0.7% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.32
3-1 1.4% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB) 76.2% 79.5% — — 1.26
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB) 23.8% 20.5% — — 4.87
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 71.1% 74.3% — — 1.35
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB) 28.9% 25.7% — — 3.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (X2) 83.1% 80.6% 54.1% 1.49× 1.24
St Johnstone or Rangers (12) 79.2% 75.5% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
St Johnstone or draw (1X) 37.7% 41.8% 69.0% 0.61× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw at HT 82.9% 84.1% — — 1.19
St Johnstone or Rangers at HT 59.3% 57.5% — — 1.74
St Johnstone or draw at HT 57.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (1UP) 83.1% 88.8% — — 1.13
St Johnstone or draw (1UP) 37.7% 41.5% — — 2.41
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half 83.6% 82.2% — — 1.22
St Johnstone or Rangers in 2nd half 69.0% 66.0% — — 1.51
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half 47.4% 48.0% — — 2.08
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.2% 58.9% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 40.8% 41.1% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (DNB) 78.6% 74.8% 40.3% 1.85× 1.34
St Johnstone (DNB) 21.4% 25.2% 59.7% 0.42× 3.97
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score first 64.6% 64.1% — — 1.56
St Johnstone to score first 30.0% 27.6% — — 3.63
No goal scored 5.3% 7.5% — — 13.33
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 51.9% 51.3% 52.3% 0.98× 1.95
Not both teams to score 48.1% 48.7% 47.7% 1.02× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 42.1% 41.6% 43.2% 0.96× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 34.5% 34.6% 34.1% 1.01× 2.89
Not both score & over 2.5 13.6% 12.4% 13.8% 0.89× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.9% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.0% 85.6% 83.9% 1.02× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 14.0% 14.4% 16.1% 0.89× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.5% 73.6% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.5% 26.4% — — 3.79
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 58.7% 60.2% — — 1.66
Both score 2nd half only 23.3% 21.3% — — 4.70
Both score 1st half only 12.8% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score in both halves 5.1% 6.7% — — 14.85
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.0% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 18.0% 16.6% — — 6.04
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.1% 57.0% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 42.9% 43.0% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.3% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
4-6 goals 30.4% 30.7% 31.2% 0.98× 3.26
0-1 goals 21.4% 22.9% 21.7% 1.06× 4.36
7+ goals 2.9% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.27
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score 3+ 32.0% 33.8% 14.5% 2.34× 2.96
Rangers to score exactly 1 27.2% 27.4% 30.4% 0.90× 3.64
Rangers to score exactly 2 27.1% 27.4% 22.5% 1.22× 3.64
Rangers to score exactly 0 13.7% 12.9% 33.1% 0.39× 7.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 0 39.7% 35.6% 20.5% 1.74× 2.81
St Johnstone to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
St Johnstone to score exactly 2 16.9% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
St Johnstone to score 3+ 6.7% 10.3% 23.8% 0.43× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers leading at HT 42.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Draw at HT 40.7% 42.5% — — 2.35
St Johnstone leading at HT 17.1% 15.9% — — 6.28
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers -1: 2 37.8% 37.4% — — 2.67
Rangers -1: 1 37.7% 37.4% — — 2.67
Rangers -1: X 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:1) 83.1% 78.0% 54.1% 1.44× 1.28
Draw (0:1) 11.4% 13.7% 19.6% 0.70× 7.31
St Johnstone (0:1) 5.5% 9.2% 26.4% 0.35× 10.89
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:2) 94.5% 90.8% 73.6% 1.23× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 4.1% 3.8% 14.5% 0.26× 26.66
St Johnstone (0:2) 1.4% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.82
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:3) 98.6% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.1% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.09
St Johnstone (0:3) 0.3% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:4) 99.7% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
St Johnstone (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.96
Draw (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.94
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (1:0) 37.8% 37.6% 13.4% 2.80× 2.66
St Johnstone (1:0) 37.7% 37.6% 69.0% 0.55× 2.66
Draw (1:0) 24.4% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone (2:0) 62.2% 66.3% 86.6% 0.77× 1.51
Draw (2:0) 19.0% 15.9% 7.6% 2.08× 6.29
Rangers (2:0) 18.8% 15.9% 6.0% 2.65× 6.29
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.8% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.6% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone to concede 86.3% 85.5% 66.9% 1.28× 1.17
St Johnstone clean sheet 13.7% 14.5% 33.1% 0.44× 6.90
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half 54.9% 55.9% — — 1.79
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half 45.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half 69.7% 67.1% — — 1.49
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half 30.3% 32.9% — — 3.04
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners 87.5% 86.2% — — 1.16
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners 78.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners 70.5% 71.9% — — 1.39
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners 65.0% 66.7% — — 1.50
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners 52.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners 48.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners 35.0% 33.3% — — 3.00
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners 29.5% 28.1% — — 3.56
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners 21.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners 12.5% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals 98.5% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals 93.3% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.08
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals 76.4% 77.8% 51.4% 1.51× 1.29
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals 60.3% 63.6% 79.5% 0.80× 1.57
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals 39.7% 36.4% 20.5% 1.78× 2.75
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals 23.6% 22.2% 48.6% 0.46× 4.50
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals 6.7% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.84
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals 1.5% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half 93.9% 94.9% — — 1.05
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half 67.2% 69.4% — — 1.44
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half 32.8% 30.6% — — 3.27
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half 6.1% 5.1% — — 19.48
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone scores equally in both 48.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half 30.2% 33.1% — — 3.02
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half 21.3% 20.9% — — 4.78
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (home no bet) 74.9% 67.1% 57.0% 1.18× 1.49
Draw (home no bet) 25.1% 32.9% 43.0% 0.77× 3.04
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone even goals 57.9% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
St Johnstone odd goals 42.1% 44.7% 48.3% 0.92× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.3% 33.4% — — 3.00
HT 0-1 24.2% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 12.1% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 0-2 9.6% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 1-1 9.6% 6.9% — — 14.51
Any other HT score 5.4% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 1-2 3.8% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 2-0 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.30
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.4% — — 42.37
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT 37.2% 41.3% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT 21.5% 21.6% — — 4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.5% 12.7% — — 7.89
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT 9.1% 6.1% — — 16.44
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT 6.7% 6.1% — — 16.50
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.87
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.89
St Johnstone at HT / Rangers at FT 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.91
Rangers at HT / St Johnstone at FT 1.1% 3.4% — — 29.00
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score last 64.6% 62.3% — — 1.61
St Johnstone to score last 30.1% 32.2% — — 3.10
No goal scored 5.3% 7.5% — — 13.33
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.7% 92.6% — — 1.08
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 74.0% 74.1% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.6% 50.7% — — 1.97
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 44.3% 39.3% — — 2.55
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time 34.5% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.8% 19.5% — — 5.12
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 21.6% 19.5% — — 5.13
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time 9.6% 6.7% — — 14.94
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time 2.2% 1.6% — — 63.14
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers most corners 70.0% 64.5% — — 1.55
St Johnstone most corners 21.0% 25.9% — — 3.87
Corners level 9.0% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.2% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.7% 78.7% 79.8% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.7% 78.7% 76.7% 1.03× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.1% 72.3% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
1-3 goals 61.4% 63.3% 61.6% 1.03× 1.58
2-4 goals 61.6% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
3-6 goals 52.8% 53.2% 55.2% 0.96× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.2% 48.4% 49.6% 0.98× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.3% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 39.0% 39.2% 37.6% 1.04× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.7% 39.2% 42.4% 0.93× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.4% 35.2% 31.2% 1.13× 2.84
4-5 goals 25.8% 30.2% 25.6% 1.18× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.1% 14.8% 13.0% 1.14× 6.75
7+ goals 2.9% 2.6% 1.9% 1.37× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers never behind 60.2% 68.0% — — 1.47
St Johnstone never behind 20.6% 24.9% — — 4.01
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.6% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.4% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.7% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 83.0% 82.3% 85.3% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 78.6% 77.3% 78.3% 0.99× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.7% 66.3% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 55.7% 58.6% 56.8% 1.03× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 44.3% 41.4% 43.2% 0.96× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 33.3% 33.7% 32.9% 1.03× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 21.4% 22.7% 21.7% 1.05× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 17.0% 17.7% 14.7% 1.21× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 1.04× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 5.3% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.0% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.7% 92.4% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.7% 75.9% 82.1% 0.92× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 72.2% 72.4% 72.4% 1.00× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.1% 55.8% 56.8% 0.98× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.9% 44.2% 43.2% 1.02× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 27.8% 27.6% 27.6% 1.00× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.3% 24.1% 17.9% 1.34× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.3% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.43× 35.61
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.1% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.7% 68.7% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.6% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.4% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.3% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.9% 10.9% — — 9.14
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.1% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.2% 79.5% — — 1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.2% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.8% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.8% 20.5% — — 4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.9% 17.1% — — 5.86
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves 86.6% 85.5% — — 1.17
Rangers not to score in both halves 61.8% 63.3% — — 1.58
Rangers to score in both halves 38.2% 36.7% — — 2.73
St Johnstone to score in both halves 13.4% 14.5% — — 6.92
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 51.9% 53.8% 52.3% 1.03× 1.86
Only Rangers scores 34.4% 33.3% 14.9% 2.24× 3.00
Only St Johnstone scores 8.4% 7.1% 27.5% 0.26× 14.00
Neither team scores 5.3% 7.1% 5.8% 1.23× 14.02
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.9% 22.6% 21.7% 1.04× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 16.1% 17.5% 16.1% 1.08× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 16.3% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.5% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 5.3% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.15
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 30.3% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.6% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 11.9% 10.8% — — 9.23
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.2% 51.1% — — 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 30.9% 33.8% — — 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 17.9% 16.8% — — 5.95
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves 97.2% 97.2% — — 1.03
Rangers not to win both halves 77.8% 75.6% — — 1.32
Rangers to win both halves 22.2% 24.4% — — 4.10
St Johnstone to win both halves 2.8% 2.8% — — 36.08
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win either half 72.6% 73.1% — — 1.37
St Johnstone to win neither half 69.3% 68.0% — — 1.47
St Johnstone to win either half 30.7% 32.0% — — 3.12
Rangers to win neither half 27.4% 26.9% — — 3.71
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil 91.6% 92.1% 72.5% 1.27× 1.09
Rangers not to win to nil 65.6% 69.6% 85.1% 0.82× 1.44
Rangers to win to nil 34.4% 30.4% 14.9% 2.04× 3.30
St Johnstone to win to nil 8.4% 7.9% 27.5% 0.29× 12.63
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers by 1 24.4% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
Draw 20.8% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Rangers by 2 19.0% 17.1% 7.6% 2.23× 5.86
Rangers by 3+ 18.8% 17.1% 6.0% 2.85× 5.86
St Johnstone by 1 11.4% 11.8% 19.6% 0.60× 8.51
St Johnstone by 2 4.1% 2.7% 14.5% 0.19× 36.84
St Johnstone by 3+ 1.4% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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