St Johnstone v St Mirren — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St Johnstone

19:45 UTC

St Mirren

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 873h before kick-off

St Johnstone win

36.8%

model 38.2%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.8%

St Mirren win

36.6%

model 35.0%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-0 10.8%
0-1 10.3%
0-0 8.2%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.1%	Under 2.5	54.9%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
St Johnstone 1+	72.0%	St Johnstone 2+	36.4%
St Mirren 1+	70.1%	St Mirren 2+	34.0%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 67%

77.7% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St Mirren (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 74%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St Johnstone have an estimated 36.8% win probability, against 36.6% for St Mirren and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for St Johnstone and 1.21 for St Mirren.

Why St Johnstone

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.21. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Mirren can win

St Mirren carry the stronger rating, 1438 Elo against 1351. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

St Johnstone are the model's most likely outcome at 36.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382735	1.27–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	362836	1.14–1.13	1-1 13%	40%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to win	36.2%	36.3%	45.9%	0.79×	2.75
St Mirren to win	35.6%	36.3%	31.0%	1.17×	2.75
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone & not both score	22.2%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
St Mirren & not both score	21.8%	21.8%	14.9%	1.46×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Johnstone & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
St Mirren & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone & under 3.5	28.8%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
St Mirren & under 3.5	28.4%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
St Johnstone & over 1.5	24.2%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.3%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.3%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
St Mirren & over 1.5	23.8%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
St Johnstone & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.55
St Johnstone & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Mirren & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
St Mirren & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
St Johnstone & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	5.8%	2.22×	7.79
St Johnstone & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
St Mirren & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1UP)	50.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
St Mirren (1UP)	50.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2UP)	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
St Mirren (2UP)	35.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St Mirren to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	13.0%	—	—	7.69

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.1%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.9%	11.3%	—	—	8.82

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (+2.5)	95.3%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
St Mirren (+1.5)	85.2%	88.5%	73.6%	1.20×	1.13
St Johnstone (+0.5)	64.4%	63.0%	69.0%	0.91×	1.59
St Mirren (+0.5)	63.8%	63.0%	54.1%	1.16×	1.59
St Johnstone (-0.5)	36.2%	37.0%	45.9%	0.81×	2.70
St Mirren (-0.5)	35.6%	37.0%	31.0%	1.20×	2.70
St Johnstone (-1.5)	14.8%	11.6%	26.4%	0.44×	8.66
St Johnstone (-2.5)	4.7%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	68.1%	72.3%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
St Mirren clean sheet	31.9%	27.7%	20.5%	1.35×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	61.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	38.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	52.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	47.8%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	84.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.0%	63.2%	1.08×	1.47
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	66.9%	1.02×	1.47
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	33.1%	0.97×	3.13
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.0%	36.8%	0.87×	3.13
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.21
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	43.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	21.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (away no bet)	56.1%	57.3%	66.3%	0.87×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	43.9%	42.7%	33.7%	1.27×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	55.2%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
St Mirren odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.7%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.3%	8.7%	—	—	11.44

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.7%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	25.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	5.5%	—	—	18.22
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	83.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	75.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	65.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	34.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	24.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	17.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-1	11.8%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
1-0	11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
0-0	10.1%	11.5%	5.8%	1.98×	8.72
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	6.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	7.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	51.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB)	48.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	52.6%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	47.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or St Mirren (12)	71.7%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
St Johnstone or draw (1X)	64.4%	63.7%	69.0%	0.92×	1.57
St Mirren or draw (X2)	63.8%	63.7%	54.1%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or draw at HT	75.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
St Mirren or draw at HT	72.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
St Johnstone or St Mirren at HT	52.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	64.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	63.8%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
St Johnstone or St Mirren in 2nd half	60.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (DNB)	50.4%	50.8%	59.7%	0.85×	1.97
St Mirren (DNB)	49.6%	49.2%	40.3%	1.22×	2.03

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score first	45.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
St Mirren to score first	44.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	10.1%	9.3%	—	—	10.81

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.1%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.9%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.2%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.8%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.9%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.1%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.9%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.5%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	20.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.48

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.9%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.1%	15.3%	—	—	6.54

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.9%	30.7%	21.7%	1.42×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.6%	20.2%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
St Mirren to score exactly 0	32.3%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
St Mirren to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
St Mirren to score 3+	10.6%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	31.9%	32.6%	20.5%	1.59×	3.07
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	20.8%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
St Johnstone to score 3+	10.8%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
St Johnstone leading at HT	27.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
St Mirren leading at HT	24.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone -1: 2	63.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
St Johnstone -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
St Johnstone -1: 1	14.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:1)	63.8%	61.5%	54.1%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
St Johnstone (0:1)	14.8%	13.7%	26.4%	0.52×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:2)	85.2%	87.1%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.11
St Johnstone (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:3)	95.3%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.99
St Johnstone (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.86
St Johnstone (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1:0)	64.4%	65.3%	69.0%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61
St Mirren (1:0)	14.4%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2:0)	85.6%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.63
St Mirren (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	67.7%	66.7%	66.9%	1.00×	1.50
St Johnstone clean sheet	32.3%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	36.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	84.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	72.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	55.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	29.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	28.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	15.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	97.1%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	89.2%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	68.4%	67.9%	51.4%	1.32×	1.47
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	68.1%	67.9%	79.5%	0.85×	1.47
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	31.9%	32.1%	20.5%	1.57×	3.12
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.1%	48.6%	0.66×	3.12
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	10.8%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.86
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	2.9%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	91.3%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	61.2%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	38.8%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	8.8%	5.3%	—	—	18.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone scores equally in both	43.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (home no bet)	55.7%	56.3%	57.0%	0.99×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.3%	43.7%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	55.1%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
St Johnstone odd goals	44.9%	44.7%	48.3%	0.93×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	19.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	20.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	15.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
St Johnstone at HT / St Mirren at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
St Mirren at HT / St Johnstone at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score last	45.2%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
St Mirren to score last	44.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	10.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	50.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	50.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	19.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.11
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone most corners	44.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
St Mirren most corners	44.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.4%	72.3%	61.6%	1.17×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.2%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.3%	63.3%	71.1%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.1%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.2%	53.1%	37.6%	1.41×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.8%	39.2%	55.2%	0.71×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.8%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.6%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.6%	18.8%	31.2%	0.60×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.6%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.2%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.26
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone never behind	39.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
St Mirren never behind	39.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.6%	94.2%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	67.1%	1.23×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.1%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.3%	61.7%	43.2%	1.43×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.7%	38.3%	56.8%	0.67×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.9%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	32.9%	0.54×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.4%	5.8%	2.14×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.0%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.9%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.6%	75.9%	56.8%	1.34×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.9%	51.9%	72.4%	0.72×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.1%	48.1%	27.6%	1.74×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.4%	24.1%	43.2%	0.56×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.1%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.0%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	81.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
St Johnstone to score in both halves	18.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
St Mirren to score in both halves	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.9%	50.6%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only St Johnstone scores	22.2%	22.2%	27.5%	0.81×	4.50
Only St Mirren scores	21.8%	22.2%	14.9%	1.50×	4.50
Neither team scores	10.1%	11.0%	5.8%	1.91×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.8%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.4%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.1%	5.8%	2.09×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.97

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	26.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
St Johnstone not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
St Johnstone to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08
St Mirren to win both halves	7.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win neither half	51.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone to win neither half	51.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
St Johnstone to win either half	48.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
St Mirren to win either half	48.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil	78.2%	78.1%	85.1%	0.92×	1.28
St Johnstone not to win to nil	77.8%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
St Johnstone to win to nil	22.2%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.57
St Mirren to win to nil	21.8%	21.9%	14.9%	1.47×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
St Johnstone by 1	21.4%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
St Mirren by 1	21.1%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
St Johnstone by 2	10.1%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
St Mirren by 2	9.9%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.90
St Johnstone by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.83
St Mirren by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.83