St. Louis City v Portland Timbers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St. Louis City

00:30 UTC

Portland Timbers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 62h before kick-off

St. Louis City win

49.2%

model 47.8%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.8%

Portland Timbers win

27.7%

model 28.4%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.3%
1-2 7.0%
1-0 6.9%
2-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.2%	Under 2.5	37.8%
BTTS yes	63.3%	BTTS no	36.7%
St. Louis City 1+	84.0%	St. Louis City 2+	54.7%
Portland Timbers 1+	74.7%	Portland Timbers 2+	40.0%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.4% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 3256 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

St. Louis City carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1489.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St. Louis City have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for Portland Timbers and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.83 for St. Louis City and 1.38 for Portland Timbers.

Why St. Louis City

St. Louis City carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1489. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Portland Timbers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Portland Timbers.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St. Louis City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Portland Timbers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St. Louis City: 50% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Portland Timbers: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

St. Louis City are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482428	1.84–1.38	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492328	1.93–1.42	1-1 10%	65%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win	49.0%	47.4%	45.3%	1.05×	2.11
Portland Timbers to win	27.9%	27.9%	30.0%	0.93×	3.58
Draw	23.1%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & both teams score	28.8%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
St. Louis City & not both score	20.1%	21.8%	21.1%	1.03×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Portland Timbers & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
Portland Timbers & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	12.1%	1.10×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.50

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & over 1.5	42.7%	40.3%	37.2%	1.08×	2.48
St. Louis City & over 2.5	36.2%	34.9%	31.0%	1.12×	2.87
St. Louis City & under 3.5	26.3%	26.0%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Portland Timbers & over 1.5	23.4%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
St. Louis City & over 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Portland Timbers & over 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.55
Portland Timbers & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.2%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
St. Louis City & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
Portland Timbers & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	11.3%	1.14×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Portland Timbers & under 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
St. Louis City & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Portland Timbers & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1UP)	66.4%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Portland Timbers (1UP)	48.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2UP)	49.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Portland Timbers (2UP)	27.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win 2nd half	40.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	31.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Portland Timbers to win 2nd half	27.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.0%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (+2.5)	86.9%	88.5%	89.4%	0.99×	1.13
St. Louis City (+0.5)	72.1%	73.7%	70.0%	1.05×	1.36
Portland Timbers (+1.5)	71.9%	73.7%	76.8%	0.96×	1.36
Portland Timbers (+0.5)	51.0%	52.4%	54.7%	0.96×	1.91
St. Louis City (-0.5)	49.0%	47.6%	45.3%	1.05×	2.10
St. Louis City (-1.5)	28.1%	26.3%	23.2%	1.13×	3.80
Portland Timbers (-0.5)	27.9%	26.3%	30.0%	0.88×	3.80
St. Louis City (-2.5)	13.1%	11.5%	10.6%	1.09×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede	85.5%	86.2%	82.3%	1.05×	1.16
Portland Timbers clean sheet	14.5%	13.8%	17.7%	0.78×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede in 1st half	56.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 1st half	43.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede in 2nd half	66.7%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 2nd half	33.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 6.5 corners	79.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Portland Timbers over 2.5 corners	76.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Portland Timbers under 5.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Portland Timbers over 3.5 corners	61.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Portland Timbers under 4.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Portland Timbers over 4.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Portland Timbers under 3.5 corners	39.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Portland Timbers over 5.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Portland Timbers under 2.5 corners	23.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Portland Timbers over 6.5 corners	20.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Portland Timbers under 2.5 goals	82.9%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Portland Timbers over 0.5 goals	75.8%	76.2%	73.3%	1.04×	1.31
Portland Timbers under 1.5 goals	58.5%	59.4%	61.2%	0.97×	1.68
Portland Timbers over 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.6%	38.8%	1.05×	2.47
Portland Timbers under 0.5 goals	24.2%	23.8%	26.7%	0.89×	4.21
Portland Timbers over 2.5 goals	17.1%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.41
Portland Timbers over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	6.0%	1.28×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers scores more in 2nd half	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Portland Timbers scores equally in both	37.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Portland Timbers scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (away no bet)	67.9%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.1%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers even goals	52.9%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Portland Timbers odd goals	47.1%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.58

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
St. Louis City to score 2+ in a row	46.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Portland Timbers to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
St. Louis City to score 3+ in a row	19.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Portland Timbers to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City corners (+3.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
St. Louis City corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
St. Louis City corners (+1.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Portland Timbers corners (+3.5)	67.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Portland Timbers corners (+2.5)	58.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St. Louis City corners (-1.5)	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Portland Timbers corners (+1.5)	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
St. Louis City corners (-2.5)	41.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St. Louis City corners (-3.5)	32.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Portland Timbers corners (-1.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Portland Timbers corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Portland Timbers corners (-3.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	68.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	60.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	40.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	31.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.72
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
3-1	6.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
Any other score	6.1%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.30
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2nd half DNB)	59.5%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Portland Timbers (2nd half DNB)	40.5%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City leading at HT (DNB)	62.6%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
Portland Timbers leading at HT (DNB)	37.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or Portland Timbers (12)	76.9%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
St. Louis City or draw (1X)	72.1%	72.1%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Portland Timbers or draw (X2)	51.0%	52.6%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw at HT	76.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
St. Louis City or Portland Timbers at HT	62.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Portland Timbers or draw at HT	61.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw (1UP)	72.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Portland Timbers or draw (1UP)	51.0%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St. Louis City or Portland Timbers in 2nd half	68.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Portland Timbers or draw in 2nd half	59.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (DNB)	63.7%	62.7%	60.2%	1.04×	1.60
Portland Timbers (DNB)	36.3%	37.3%	39.8%	0.94×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score first	55.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Portland Timbers to score first	40.7%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.80

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.3%	58.3%	61.3%	0.95×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.7%	41.7%	38.7%	1.08×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.2%	47.4%	51.1%	0.93×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.9%	27.9%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.2%	79.7%	79.5%	1.00×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.8%	20.3%	20.5%	0.99×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Both score in both halves	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	35.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.2%	42.2%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.6%	35.0%	33.0%	1.06×	2.86
0-1 goals	14.8%	17.0%	20.2%	0.84×	5.89
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Portland Timbers to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Portland Timbers to score exactly 0	24.2%	22.3%	26.7%	0.83×	4.49
Portland Timbers to score 3+	17.1%	19.5%	16.7%	1.17×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score 3+	30.4%	32.6%	25.0%	1.30×	3.07
St. Louis City to score exactly 1	28.0%	26.6%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
St. Louis City to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
St. Louis City to score exactly 0	14.5%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City leading at HT	38.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Draw at HT	38.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Portland Timbers leading at HT	23.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City -1: 2	51.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
St. Louis City -1: 1	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
St. Louis City -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:1)	51.0%	51.3%	54.7%	0.94×	1.95
St. Louis City (0:1)	28.1%	27.0%	23.2%	1.16×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	20.9%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:2)	71.9%	75.6%	76.8%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.0%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.09
St. Louis City (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:3)	86.9%	90.6%	89.4%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.0%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.23
St. Louis City (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	4.1%	1.43×	17.28

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (0:4)	94.9%	94.6%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.52
St. Louis City (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1:0)	72.1%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.3%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
Portland Timbers (1:0)	12.6%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2:0)	87.4%	88.5%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.1%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.65
Portland Timbers (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede	75.8%	76.0%	73.3%	1.04×	1.32
St. Louis City clean sheet	24.2%	24.0%	26.7%	0.90×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
St. Louis City to concede in 1st half	43.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
St. Louis City clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City over 2.5 corners	89.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
St. Louis City over 3.5 corners	79.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
St. Louis City over 4.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St. Louis City under 6.5 corners	57.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St. Louis City over 5.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
St. Louis City under 5.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
St. Louis City over 6.5 corners	42.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St. Louis City under 4.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
St. Louis City under 3.5 corners	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
St. Louis City under 2.5 corners	10.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 3.5 goals	87.0%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
St. Louis City over 0.5 goals	85.5%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
St. Louis City under 2.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	75.0%	0.91×	1.47
St. Louis City over 1.5 goals	57.4%	58.6%	51.3%	1.14×	1.71
St. Louis City under 1.5 goals	42.6%	41.4%	48.7%	0.85×	2.42
St. Louis City over 2.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	25.0%	1.28×	3.12
St. Louis City under 0.5 goals	14.5%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.85
St. Louis City over 3.5 goals	13.0%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 1st half	79.8%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 1st half	56.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 1st half	43.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 1st half	20.2%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
St. Louis City scores equally in both	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
St. Louis City scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (home no bet)	54.7%	51.5%	54.7%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.3%	48.5%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City even goals	51.1%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
St. Louis City odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	20.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City at HT / St. Louis City at FT	30.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / St. Louis City at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Portland Timbers at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
St. Louis City at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Portland Timbers at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Portland Timbers at HT / St. Louis City at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
St. Louis City at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score last	55.3%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Portland Timbers to score last	40.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.80

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
St. Louis City to lead by 1 at any time	66.4%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Portland Timbers to lead by 1 at any time	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
St. Louis City to lead by 2 at any time	36.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Portland Timbers to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
St. Louis City to lead by 3 at any time	16.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Portland Timbers to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City most corners	61.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Portland Timbers most corners	29.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.7%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.8%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.4%	72.3%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.6%	59.1%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.0%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.2%	43.6%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.6%	39.2%	33.0%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.0%	35.2%	34.2%	1.03×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.7%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.2%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	5.4%	8.9%	4.1%	2.19×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City never behind	47.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Portland Timbers never behind	29.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.0%	66.3%	60.2%	1.10×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	63.0%	0.93×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	37.0%	1.12×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.0%	33.7%	39.8%	0.85×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	20.2%	0.61×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.0%	86.7%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.5%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.8%	67.5%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.1%	55.8%	48.2%	1.16×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.9%	44.2%	51.8%	0.85×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.2%	32.5%	25.2%	1.29×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.5%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.0%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.4%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.2%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.6%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
St. Louis City not to score in both halves	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
St. Louis City to score in both halves	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Portland Timbers to score in both halves	24.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.3%	59.7%	61.3%	0.97×	1.67
Only St. Louis City scores	20.1%	22.2%	21.1%	1.05×	4.50
Only Portland Timbers scores	10.5%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.81×	21.55

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.26
6 or more goals	12.3%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.26
Exactly 1 goals	10.8%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	24.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.2%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers not to win both halves	93.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
St. Louis City not to win both halves	84.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
St. Louis City to win both halves	16.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
Portland Timbers to win both halves	6.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win either half	63.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Portland Timbers to win neither half	55.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Portland Timbers to win either half	44.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
St. Louis City to win neither half	36.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers not to win to nil	89.5%	88.1%	87.9%	1.00×	1.14
St. Louis City not to win to nil	79.9%	78.2%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
St. Louis City to win to nil	20.1%	21.8%	21.1%	1.04×	4.58
Portland Timbers to win to nil	10.5%	11.9%	12.1%	0.98×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.1%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
St. Louis City by 1	20.9%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Portland Timbers by 1	15.3%	17.0%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
St. Louis City by 2	15.0%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.50
St. Louis City by 3+	13.1%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.50
Portland Timbers by 2	8.1%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.91
Portland Timbers by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.83