St Mirren v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St Mirren

15:00 UTC

Falkirk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,276h before kick-off

St Mirren win

47.0%

model 45.4%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.4%

Falkirk win

26.5%

model 28.2%

472727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 12.2%
0-1 9.1%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.7%	Under 2.5	55.3%
BTTS yes	49.0%	BTTS no	51.0%
St Mirren 1+	75.6%	St Mirren 2+	41.2%
Falkirk 1+	65.1%	Falkirk 2+	28.3%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St Mirren have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Falkirk and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for St Mirren and 1.05 for Falkirk.

Why St Mirren

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

St Mirren are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452628	1.41–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422831	1.28–1.05	1-1 13%	41%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win	41.7%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Falkirk to win	30.7%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren & not both score	25.3%	25.2%	27.5%	0.92×	3.97
Falkirk & not both score	18.3%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Mirren & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.57
Falkirk & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.5%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren & under 3.5	32.3%	30.8%	30.2%	1.02×	3.25
St Mirren & over 1.5	29.2%	26.1%	36.6%	0.71×	3.84
Falkirk & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
St Mirren & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
St Mirren & under 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Falkirk & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Falkirk & under 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Falkirk & over 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
St Mirren & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Falkirk & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (1UP)	55.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Falkirk (1UP)	46.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2UP)	41.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk (2UP)	30.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St Mirren to win 2nd half	33.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Falkirk to win 2nd half	27.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (+2.5)	93.5%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Falkirk (+1.5)	81.3%	82.6%	73.6%	1.12×	1.21
St Mirren (+0.5)	69.3%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	58.3%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
St Mirren (-0.5)	41.7%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Falkirk (-0.5)	30.7%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
St Mirren (-1.5)	18.7%	17.4%	26.4%	0.66×	5.74
St Mirren (-2.5)	6.5%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	72.2%	76.7%	79.5%	0.96×	1.30
Falkirk clean sheet	27.8%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	57.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	42.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	51.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	48.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	82.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	75.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	67.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	62.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	37.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	24.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	71.6%	71.8%	63.2%	1.14×	1.39
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	65.1%	68.0%	66.9%	1.02×	1.47
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.0%	33.1%	0.97×	3.12
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	28.4%	28.2%	36.8%	0.77×	3.55
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.06
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	44.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (away no bet)	60.2%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.8%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	56.1%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Falkirk odd goals	43.9%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.03
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	78.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	72.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	69.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	62.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	30.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	27.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	25.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.6%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-1	10.4%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
0-0	9.5%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	54.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	45.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	58.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	41.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or Falkirk (12)	72.4%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
St Mirren or draw (1X)	69.3%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Falkirk or draw (X2)	58.3%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw at HT	77.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Falkirk or draw at HT	69.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
St Mirren or Falkirk at HT	52.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	69.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	58.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	72.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	66.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
St Mirren or Falkirk in 2nd half	61.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.8%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.2%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (DNB)	57.6%	58.1%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
Falkirk (DNB)	42.4%	41.9%	40.3%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score first	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Falkirk to score first	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.09

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.1%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.9%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.8%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	34.0%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.8%	74.9%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	20.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.44

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.5%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.5%	15.3%	—	—	6.52

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	32.5%	30.7%	21.7%	1.42×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.8%	20.3%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Falkirk to score exactly 0	34.9%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
Falkirk to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Falkirk to score 3+	9.0%	8.6%	14.5%	0.59×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 0	27.8%	26.6%	20.5%	1.30×	3.77
St Mirren to score exactly 2	22.8%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
St Mirren to score 3+	13.8%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.1%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
St Mirren leading at HT	30.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Falkirk leading at HT	22.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren -1: 2	58.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
St Mirren -1: X	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
St Mirren -1: 1	18.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:1)	58.3%	55.9%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
St Mirren (0:1)	18.7%	17.8%	26.4%	0.67×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:2)	81.3%	82.9%	73.6%	1.13×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.2%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
St Mirren (0:2)	6.5%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:3)	93.5%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.93
St Mirren (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.81
St Mirren (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (1:0)	69.3%	70.2%	69.0%	1.02×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	19.0%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Falkirk (1:0)	11.7%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2:0)	88.3%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.65
Falkirk (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.9%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	65.1%	66.6%	66.9%	1.00×	1.50
St Mirren clean sheet	34.9%	33.4%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	65.6%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	34.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	53.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	46.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	72.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	70.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	57.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	42.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	29.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	28.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	95.9%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	86.2%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	72.2%	74.2%	79.5%	0.93×	1.35
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	63.4%	63.6%	51.4%	1.24×	1.57
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	36.6%	36.4%	48.6%	0.75×	2.75
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	27.8%	25.8%	20.5%	1.26×	3.88
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	13.8%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.85
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	4.1%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (home no bet)	52.7%	51.4%	57.0%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.3%	48.6%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	53.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
St Mirren odd goals	46.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	24.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
St Mirren at HT / Falkirk at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Falkirk at HT / St Mirren at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score last	49.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Falkirk to score last	40.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	9.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.09

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	55.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	23.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.6%	—	—	60.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren most corners	48.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.7%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.5%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.3%	63.3%	71.1%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.2%	48.5%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.3%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.1%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.5%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.8%	18.8%	31.2%	0.60×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.6%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.8%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren never behind	44.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Falkirk never behind	34.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.2%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	67.5%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.6%	43.2%	1.36×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.4%	56.8%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	32.5%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.8%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 4.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.0%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.9%	72.4%	56.8%	1.27×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.0%	55.8%	72.4%	0.77×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.0%	44.2%	27.6%	1.60×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.1%	27.6%	43.2%	0.64×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.0%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	83.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
St Mirren not to score in both halves	78.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
St Mirren to score in both halves	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Falkirk to score in both halves	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.9%	50.7%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only St Mirren scores	25.3%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
Only Falkirk scores	18.3%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.23
Neither team scores	9.5%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.98

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.9%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.0%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	9.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	25.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	93.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
St Mirren not to win both halves	89.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
St Mirren to win both halves	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Falkirk to win both halves	6.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win neither half	56.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
St Mirren to win either half	54.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
St Mirren to win neither half	45.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Falkirk to win either half	43.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	81.7%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
St Mirren not to win to nil	74.7%	75.3%	72.5%	1.04×	1.33
St Mirren to win to nil	25.3%	24.7%	27.5%	0.90×	4.05
Falkirk to win to nil	18.3%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
St Mirren by 1	23.0%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Falkirk by 1	19.0%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.86
St Mirren by 2	12.2%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
Falkirk by 2	8.3%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.91
St Mirren by 3+	6.5%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
Falkirk by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.86