St Mirren v Heart of Midlothian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St Mirren

15:00 UTC

Heart of Midlothian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 964h before kick-off

St Mirren win

22.2%

model 22.7%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.0%

Heart of Midlothian win

51.1%

model 51.3%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.9%
1-1 12.1%
0-2 10.3%
1-2 9.1%
0-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.5%	Under 2.5	57.5%
BTTS yes	45.6%	BTTS no	54.4%
St Mirren 1+	59.0%	St Mirren 2+	22.5%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	77.4%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	43.8%

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St Mirren not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1438.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for St Mirren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.89 for St Mirren and 1.49 for Heart of Midlothian.

Why St Mirren

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Heart of Midlothian can win

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1438. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	232651	0.89–1.49	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	202554	0.84–1.56	0-1 14%	43%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win	54.3%	51.6%	31.0%	1.66×	1.94
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
St Mirren to win	20.5%	24.5%	45.9%	0.53×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	34.1%	29.6%	14.9%	1.99×	3.38
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	16.3%	1.33×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
St Mirren & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	27.5%	0.48×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.9%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00
St Mirren & both teams score	8.3%	8.3%	18.6%	0.45×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	40.2%	40.2%	22.5%	1.79×	2.49
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	40.0%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	29.0%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	25.3%	26.0%	10.7%	2.42×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
St Mirren & under 3.5	17.0%	18.0%	30.2%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	14.3%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	14.0%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
St Mirren & over 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	36.6%	0.35×	7.79
St Mirren & under 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
St Mirren & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	28.1%	0.28×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
St Mirren & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
St Mirren & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	15.9%	0.30×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	66.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
St Mirren (1UP)	35.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	54.3%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
St Mirren (2UP)	20.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
St Mirren to win 2nd half	18.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (+2.5)	98.5%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Heart of Midlothian (+1.5)	93.6%	92.1%	73.6%	1.25×	1.09
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	79.5%	78.5%	54.1%	1.45×	1.27
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	54.3%	52.4%	31.0%	1.69×	1.91
St Mirren (+0.5)	45.7%	47.6%	69.0%	0.69×	2.10
St Mirren (-0.5)	20.5%	21.5%	45.9%	0.47×	4.65
St Mirren (-1.5)	6.4%	7.9%	26.4%	0.30×	12.71
St Mirren (-2.5)	1.5%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.24

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede	57.0%	62.4%	79.5%	0.78×	1.60
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	43.0%	37.6%	20.5%	1.84×	2.66

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	69.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	30.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	86.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	69.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	56.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	43.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	30.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	14.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.4%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	85.5%	0.89×	1.31
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	78.9%	76.3%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.5%	63.2%	0.85×	1.87
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.5%	36.8%	1.26×	2.15
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	21.1%	23.7%	33.1%	0.72×	4.21
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	14.5%	1.64×	4.21
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	3.7%	2.06×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.2%	57.3%	33.7%	1.70×	1.75
St Mirren (away no bet)	44.8%	42.7%	66.3%	0.64×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	52.2%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	39.18

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	79.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	20.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	74.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	25.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.3%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-2	11.0%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.72
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
0-3	5.7%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.51
2-1	5.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
1-3	4.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.29
0-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-0	3.2%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	1.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB)	71.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	28.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	66.3%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	33.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (X2)	79.5%	75.5%	54.1%	1.40×	1.32
St Mirren or Heart of Midlothian (12)	74.8%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
St Mirren or draw (1X)	45.7%	48.4%	69.0%	0.70×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	81.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
St Mirren or draw at HT	64.4%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
St Mirren or Heart of Midlothian at HT	53.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	79.5%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	45.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	81.6%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
St Mirren or Heart of Midlothian in 2nd half	63.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.0%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.0%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	72.6%	71.4%	40.3%	1.77×	1.40
St Mirren (DNB)	27.4%	28.6%	59.7%	0.48×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first	59.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
St Mirren to score first	32.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.2%	55.0%	47.7%	1.15×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.8%	45.0%	52.3%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.3%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.0%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	10.0%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.5%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.5%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.50

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.9%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.1%	15.2%	—	—	6.57

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	47.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.0%	30.7%	21.7%	1.42×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.9%	22.9%	31.2%	0.73×	4.36
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	32.8%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.65
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.3%	33.1%	0.67×	4.49
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	20.5%	22.3%	14.5%	1.54×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 0	43.0%	35.2%	20.5%	1.72×	2.84
St Mirren to score exactly 2	15.3%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33
St Mirren to score 3+	5.4%	10.3%	23.8%	0.43×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	35.6%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
St Mirren leading at HT	18.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2	28.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Heart of Midlothian -1: X	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	79.5%	73.9%	54.1%	1.37×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	14.1%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.29
St Mirren (0:1)	6.4%	9.2%	26.4%	0.35×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	93.6%	90.8%	73.6%	1.23×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.9%	3.8%	14.5%	0.26×	26.61
St Mirren (0:2)	1.5%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	98.5%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.08
St Mirren (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
St Mirren (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.90
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (1:0)	45.7%	49.0%	69.0%	0.71×	2.04
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	28.5%	25.1%	13.4%	1.87×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	25.8%	25.0%	17.8%	1.41×	4.00

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2:0)	71.5%	76.4%	86.6%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	16.7%	15.8%	7.6%	2.07×	6.31
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	11.8%	10.3%	6.0%	1.72×	9.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	78.9%	76.1%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
St Mirren clean sheet	21.1%	23.9%	33.1%	0.72×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	60.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	39.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	81.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	49.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	18.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	98.9%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	94.6%	92.2%	76.2%	1.21×	1.08
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	79.3%	77.8%	51.4%	1.51×	1.29
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	79.5%	0.74×	1.71
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	20.5%	2.02×	2.42
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	20.7%	22.2%	48.6%	0.46×	4.50
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	5.4%	7.8%	23.8%	0.33×	12.85
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	1.1%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	5.1%	—	—	19.75

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	50.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	28.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (home no bet)	68.3%	64.2%	57.0%	1.13×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.7%	35.8%	43.0%	0.83×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	59.3%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
St Mirren odd goals	40.7%	44.7%	48.3%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 0-2	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-0	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	30.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
St Mirren at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Heart of Midlothian at HT / St Mirren at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
St Mirren to score last	32.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	66.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	35.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	33.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners	50.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
St Mirren most corners	38.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.5%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.0%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.8%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.4%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.4%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.1%	48.4%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.8%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.4%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.4%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.9%	24.4%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.5%	18.8%	25.6%	0.74×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.4%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind	55.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
St Mirren never behind	25.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.5%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.9%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	43.2%	1.36×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	56.8%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.1%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.2%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.1%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.1%	72.4%	56.8%	1.27×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.1%	55.8%	72.4%	0.77×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.9%	44.2%	27.6%	1.60×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.9%	27.6%	43.2%	0.64×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.9%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.8%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves	88.4%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
St Mirren to score in both halves	11.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.8%	46.6%	52.3%	0.89×	2.15
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	34.1%	33.3%	14.9%	2.24×	3.00
Only St Mirren scores	12.2%	11.0%	27.5%	0.40×	9.07
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.1%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.5%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	7.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	24.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves	96.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	83.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	16.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
St Mirren to win both halves	3.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.84

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win neither half	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	64.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	35.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
St Mirren to win either half	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil	87.8%	88.1%	72.5%	1.22×	1.14
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	65.9%	69.7%	85.1%	0.82×	1.44
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	34.1%	30.3%	14.9%	2.04×	3.30
St Mirren to win to nil	12.2%	11.9%	27.5%	0.43×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian by 1	25.8%	27.9%	17.8%	1.57×	3.59
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Heart of Midlothian by 2	16.7%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87
St Mirren by 1	14.1%	11.8%	19.6%	0.60×	8.50
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	11.8%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.51
St Mirren by 2	4.9%	2.7%	14.5%	0.19×	36.82
St Mirren by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.92