betaider.com
Sign in

St Mirren v Hibernian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
St Mirren win
29.5%
model 31.5%
Draw
27.4%
model 26.9%
Hibernian win
43.2%
model 41.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.7%
  2. 0-1 11.7%
  3. 1-0 9.9%
  4. 0-0 8.6%
  5. 1-2 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.544.1% Under 2.555.9%
BTTS yes49.2% BTTS no50.8%
St Mirren 1+67.2% St Mirren 2+30.7%
Hibernian 1+73.4% Hibernian 2+38.2%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
St Mirren under 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 51%
69.2% fair odds 1.45
strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
St Mirren not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 73%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1438.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for St Mirren and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for St Mirren and 1.32 for Hibernian.

Why St Mirren

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.12 to 1.32. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hibernian can win

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1438.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.12–1.33 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.00–1.31 0-1 13% 41% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 43.7% 42.9% 31.0% 1.39× 2.33
St Mirren to win 28.7% 27.9% 45.9% 0.61× 3.58
Draw 27.5% 27.9% 23.3% 1.20× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & not both score 26.9% 25.2% 14.9% 1.69× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
St Mirren & not both score 17.3% 18.0% 27.5% 0.65× 5.57
Hibernian & both teams score 16.8% 18.0% 16.3% 1.10× 5.57
St Mirren & both teams score 11.5% 13.3% 18.6% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 9.7% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 11.99
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & under 3.5 33.8% 30.8% 22.5% 1.37× 3.25
Hibernian & over 1.5 30.6% 30.7% 24.4% 1.26× 3.25
St Mirren & under 3.5 23.3% 21.6% 30.2% 0.72× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 22.6% 21.6% 14.9% 1.45× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 22.6% 21.6% 14.9% 1.45× 4.63
Hibernian & over 2.5 22.1% 21.6% 20.5% 1.06× 4.63
Hibernian & under 2.5 21.6% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
St Mirren & over 1.5 18.6% 18.0% 36.6% 0.49× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
St Mirren & under 2.5 15.1% 18.0% 18.0% 1.00× 5.56
St Mirren & over 2.5 13.6% 12.8% 28.1% 0.46× 7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5 13.1% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5 10.1% 12.8% 9.5% 1.35× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 9.7% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
Hibernian & over 3.5 9.9% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
St Mirren & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 15.9% 0.50× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 8.7% 0.55× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.9% 4.8% 8.7% 0.55× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1UP) 57.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
St Mirren (1UP) 44.0% 38.7% — — 2.58
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2UP) 43.7% 47.2% — — 2.12
St Mirren (2UP) 28.7% 25.3% — — 3.96
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.6% 36.5% — — 2.74
Hibernian to win 2nd half 37.2% 36.4% — — 2.75
St Mirren to win 2nd half 24.2% 24.4% — — 4.10
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.4% 84.1% — — 1.19
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half 54.4% 52.5% — — 1.91
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half 45.6% 47.5% — — 2.11
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.6% 15.9% — — 6.27
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.7% 88.9% — — 1.12
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half 43.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.3% 11.1% — — 9.03
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (+2.5) 97.0% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Hibernian (+1.5) 89.5% 88.5% 73.6% 1.20× 1.13
Hibernian (+0.5) 71.3% 73.7% 54.1% 1.36× 1.36
St Mirren (+0.5) 56.3% 57.0% 69.0% 0.83× 1.75
Hibernian (-0.5) 43.7% 43.0% 31.0% 1.39× 2.33
St Mirren (-0.5) 28.7% 26.4% 45.9% 0.57× 3.80
St Mirren (-1.5) 10.5% 11.5% 26.4% 0.44× 8.68
St Mirren (-2.5) 3.0% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.15
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to concede 63.3% 67.6% 79.5% 0.85× 1.48
Hibernian clean sheet 36.7% 32.4% 20.5% 1.58× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half 65.0% 64.7% — — 1.55
Hibernian to concede in 1st half 35.0% 35.3% — — 2.84
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half 56.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half 43.5% 42.8% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners 82.9% 81.4% — — 1.23
Hibernian under 6.5 corners 74.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Hibernian over 3.5 corners 68.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Hibernian under 5.5 corners 62.1% 61.7% — — 1.62
Hibernian over 4.5 corners 52.8% 53.1% — — 1.88
Hibernian under 4.5 corners 47.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Hibernian over 5.5 corners 37.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
Hibernian under 3.5 corners 31.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Hibernian over 6.5 corners 25.5% 28.4% — — 3.53
Hibernian under 2.5 corners 17.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals 95.6% 97.5% 96.3% 1.01× 1.03
Hibernian under 2.5 goals 85.5% 87.8% 85.5% 1.03× 1.14
Hibernian over 0.5 goals 73.0% 71.8% 66.9% 1.07× 1.39
Hibernian under 1.5 goals 62.4% 63.2% 63.2% 1.00× 1.58
Hibernian over 1.5 goals 37.6% 36.8% 36.8% 1.00× 2.72
Hibernian under 0.5 goals 27.0% 28.2% 33.1% 0.85× 3.55
Hibernian over 2.5 goals 14.5% 12.2% 14.5% 0.84× 8.19
Hibernian over 3.5 goals 4.4% 2.5% 3.7% 0.68× 39.74
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half 90.3% 93.9% — — 1.07
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half 59.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half 40.8% 37.5% — — 2.66
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half 9.7% 6.1% — — 16.27
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian scores equally in both 39.3% 37.4% — — 2.67
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half 38.4% 37.4% — — 2.68
Hibernian scores more in 1st half 22.3% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren (away no bet) 51.0% 51.6% 66.3% 0.78× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 49.0% 48.4% 33.7% 1.43× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian even goals 53.6% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Hibernian odd goals 46.4% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.3% 91.2% — — 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.7% 8.8% — — 11.32
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 54.3% 51.2% — — 1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals 45.7% 48.8% — — 2.05
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 47.3% 46.1% — — 2.17
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row 31.1% 28.9% — — 3.47
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row 20.2% 19.5% — — 5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.7% 12.2% — — 8.19
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row 10.0% 5.6% — — 17.98
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row 4.9% 2.6% — — 38.05
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren corners (+3.5) 87.1% 84.5% — — 1.18
St Mirren corners (+2.5) 80.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Hibernian corners (+3.5) 76.5% 74.8% — — 1.34
St Mirren corners (+1.5) 72.7% 70.8% — — 1.41
Hibernian corners (+2.5) 67.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Hibernian corners (+1.5) 57.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
St Mirren corners (-1.5) 42.1% 42.8% — — 2.33
St Mirren corners (-2.5) 32.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Hibernian corners (-1.5) 27.3% 29.2% — — 3.42
St Mirren corners (-3.5) 23.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
Hibernian corners (-2.5) 19.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Hibernian corners (-3.5) 12.9% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 39.4% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 30.6% 33.2% — — 3.01
0-8 corners 30.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 79.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 8.5 corners 70.0% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 12.5 corners 69.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 60.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 59.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 50.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 49.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 40.2% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 39.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 30.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 30.0% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 20.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 13.1% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.71
1-1 12.8% 11.5% 9.3% 1.23× 8.71
1-0 10.1% 11.5% 9.5% 1.21× 8.72
0-0 9.7% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
0-2 8.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
1-2 8.5% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
2-1 6.5% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-0 5.0% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.29
0-3 3.7% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.31
1-3 3.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.30
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
2-2 4.3% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.30
2-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
3-0 1.7% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-1 2.2% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
Any other score 1.5% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2nd half DNB) 60.5% 62.7% — — 1.59
St Mirren (2nd half DNB) 39.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB) 56.0% 55.4% — — 1.81
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB) 44.0% 44.6% — — 2.24
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren or Hibernian (12) 72.5% 72.1% 76.7% 0.94× 1.39
Hibernian or draw (X2) 71.3% 72.1% 54.1% 1.33× 1.39
St Mirren or draw (1X) 56.3% 57.1% 69.0% 0.83× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT 77.0% 79.6% — — 1.26
St Mirren or draw at HT 70.7% 74.4% — — 1.34
St Mirren or Hibernian at HT 52.4% 48.5% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP) 71.3% 79.5% — — 1.26
St Mirren or draw (1UP) 56.3% 62.9% — — 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half 75.8% 75.6% — — 1.32
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half 62.8% 63.6% — — 1.57
St Mirren or Hibernian in 2nd half 61.4% 63.5% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 68.0% 68.3% — — 1.46
Neither half drawn 32.0% 31.7% — — 3.15
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (DNB) 60.4% 62.6% 40.3% 1.55× 1.60
St Mirren (DNB) 39.6% 37.4% 59.7% 0.63× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score first 51.1% 53.3% — — 1.88
St Mirren to score first 39.2% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 9.7% 7.6% — — 13.08
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 53.9% 51.3% 47.7% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 46.1% 48.7% 52.3% 0.93× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 46.4% 44.3% 34.1% 1.30× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 33.2% 34.6% 43.2% 0.80× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 12.8% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.3% 13.8% 0.60× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.0% 89.0% 83.9% 1.06× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 10.0% 11.0% 16.1% 0.68× 9.08
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.4% 75.0% — — 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 23.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 65.5% 63.1% — — 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 20.3% 21.2% — — 4.72
Both score 1st half only 10.9% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.4% 4.9% — — 20.47
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.7% 84.7% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 14.3% 15.3% — — 6.53
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 54.4% 52.7% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 45.6% 47.3% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 33.0% 30.7% 21.7% 1.42× 3.25
4-6 goals 19.3% 20.2% 31.2% 0.65× 4.94
7+ goals 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.47
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score exactly 1 35.4% 35.9% 30.4% 1.18× 2.79
Hibernian to score exactly 0 27.0% 27.4% 33.1% 0.83× 3.64
Hibernian to score exactly 2 23.1% 22.3% 22.5% 0.99× 4.49
Hibernian to score 3+ 14.5% 12.9% 14.5% 0.89× 7.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 0 36.7% 35.5% 20.5% 1.74× 2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 2 18.4% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
St Mirren to score 3+ 8.1% 10.4% 23.8% 0.44× 9.66
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.6% 51.5% — — 1.94
Hibernian leading at HT 29.3% 25.6% — — 3.91
St Mirren leading at HT 23.0% 20.4% — — 4.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian -1: 1 56.3% 56.7% — — 1.76
Hibernian -1: X 23.7% 23.5% — — 4.25
Hibernian -1: 2 20.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:1) 71.3% 71.0% 54.1% 1.31× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 18.2% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.61
St Mirren (0:1) 10.5% 13.7% 26.4% 0.52× 7.31
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:2) 89.5% 87.1% 73.6% 1.18× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 7.6% 7.7% 14.5% 0.53× 13.05
St Mirren (0:2) 3.0% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.73
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:3) 97.0% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.3% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.04
St Mirren (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.11
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:4) 99.3% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.91
St Mirren (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren (1:0) 56.3% 58.3% 69.0% 0.84× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 23.7% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.61
Hibernian (1:0) 20.0% 21.7% 13.4% 1.61× 4.62
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren (2:0) 80.0% 80.5% 86.6% 0.93× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 12.9% 10.3% 7.6% 1.35× 9.71
Hibernian (2:0) 7.2% 6.4% 6.0% 1.07× 15.66
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.2% 48.5% — — 2.06
Halves equal 27.3% 26.2% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.2% — — 3.81
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to concede 73.0% 73.0% 66.9% 1.09× 1.37
St Mirren clean sheet 27.0% 27.0% 33.1% 0.82× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half 59.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
St Mirren to concede in 1st half 40.8% 37.5% — — 2.66
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half 54.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half 45.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners 88.5% 86.2% — — 1.16
St Mirren over 3.5 corners 77.4% 76.5% — — 1.31
St Mirren under 6.5 corners 63.9% 62.3% — — 1.61
St Mirren over 4.5 corners 63.7% 62.3% — — 1.61
St Mirren under 5.5 corners 50.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
St Mirren over 5.5 corners 49.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
St Mirren under 4.5 corners 36.3% 37.7% — — 2.65
St Mirren over 6.5 corners 36.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
St Mirren under 3.5 corners 22.6% 23.5% — — 4.26
St Mirren under 2.5 corners 11.5% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals 98.1% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
St Mirren under 2.5 goals 91.9% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.09
St Mirren under 1.5 goals 73.5% 74.2% 51.4% 1.44× 1.35
St Mirren over 0.5 goals 63.3% 63.6% 79.5% 0.80× 1.57
St Mirren under 0.5 goals 36.7% 36.4% 20.5% 1.78× 2.75
St Mirren over 1.5 goals 26.5% 25.8% 48.6% 0.53× 3.88
St Mirren over 2.5 goals 8.1% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.83
St Mirren over 3.5 goals 1.9% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.60
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half 93.0% 94.8% — — 1.06
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half 65.0% 64.5% — — 1.55
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half 35.0% 35.5% — — 2.82
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half 7.0% 5.2% — — 19.21
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both 46.3% 47.2% — — 2.12
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half 31.6% 33.2% — — 3.02
St Mirren scores more in 1st half 22.1% 21.0% — — 4.77
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (home no bet) 61.4% 60.0% 57.0% 1.05× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 38.6% 40.0% 43.0% 0.93× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren even goals 56.7% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
St Mirren odd goals 43.3% 44.7% 48.3% 0.93× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 38.5% 38.8% — — 2.58
HT 0-1 20.2% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 1-0 16.6% 18.5% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 8.7% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 0-2 5.3% 6.9% — — 14.58
HT 2-0 3.6% 2.4% — — 42.19
Any other HT score 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT 1-2 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.27
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.30
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.39
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT 23.6% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.2% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT 17.8% 16.8% — — 5.96
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT 15.7% 16.7% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT 11.6% 12.7% — — 7.90
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% — — 28.85
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
St Mirren at HT / Hibernian at FT 2.3% 3.5% — — 28.95
Hibernian at HT / St Mirren at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score last 51.1% 52.1% — — 1.92
St Mirren to score last 39.2% 38.8% — — 2.58
No goal scored 9.7% 7.6% — — 13.08
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.3% 92.5% — — 1.08
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time 57.4% 54.9% — — 1.82
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time 44.0% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.7% 34.9% — — 2.87
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time 25.1% 25.2% — — 3.97
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time 14.7% 10.6% — — 9.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.5% 10.6% — — 9.43
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time 8.6% 6.7% — — 14.99
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time 3.9% 1.6% — — 61.51
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren most corners 52.7% 51.7% — — 1.94
Hibernian most corners 36.8% 39.3% — — 2.54
Corners level 10.4% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.2% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.7% 83.4% 79.8% 1.05× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.9% 68.8% 61.6% 1.12× 1.45
2-6 goals 66.1% 68.8% 76.7% 0.90× 1.45
2-5 goals 64.0% 63.3% 71.1% 0.89× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.5% 59.1% 63.8% 0.93× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.5% 48.5% 37.6% 1.29× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-6 goals 39.8% 39.2% 55.2% 0.71× 2.55
3-5 goals 37.7% 39.2% 49.6% 0.79× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.2% 35.2% 42.4% 0.83× 2.84
4-6 goals 19.3% 18.8% 31.2% 0.60× 5.31
4-5 goals 17.2% 18.8% 25.6% 0.73× 5.31
5-6 goals 7.6% 8.9% 13.0% 0.68× 11.26
7+ goals 1.0% 2.5% 1.9% 1.37× 39.23
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian never behind 46.3% 56.7% — — 1.77
St Mirren never behind 32.9% 36.3% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.8% 50.9% 48.8% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.2% 49.1% 51.2% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.4% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.6% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.2% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.8% 48.0% — — 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.9% 95.4% 92.6% 1.03× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.5% 92.3% 85.3% 1.08× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 90.3% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 79.7% 77.3% 67.1% 1.15× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 67.0% 66.3% 78.3% 0.85× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 59.3% 58.6% 43.2% 1.36× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 40.7% 41.4% 56.8% 0.73× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 33.0% 33.7% 21.7% 1.55× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 20.3% 22.7% 32.9% 0.69× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 9.7% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.92
Over 4.5 goals 8.5% 7.7% 14.7% 0.53× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.1% 4.6% 7.4% 0.62× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.0% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.8% 97.2% 92.0% 1.06× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 90.3% 92.4% 82.1% 1.13× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 74.5% 72.4% 56.8% 1.27× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.3% 55.8% 72.4% 0.77× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.7% 44.2% 27.6% 1.60× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 25.5% 27.6% 43.2% 0.64× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 9.7% 7.6% 17.9% 0.42× 13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.2% 2.8% 8.0% 0.35× 35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.42× 35.67
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.8% 92.8% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 75.3% 78.0% — — 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 61.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 38.5% 36.8% — — 2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.7% 22.0% — — 4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.2% 7.2% — — 13.94
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.4% 83.0% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.3% 77.8% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.7% 61.3% — — 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.3% 38.7% — — 2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.7% 22.2% — — 4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.6% 17.0% — — 5.88
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves 84.7% 84.4% — — 1.19
Hibernian not to score in both halves 77.8% 78.5% — — 1.27
Hibernian to score in both halves 22.2% 21.5% — — 4.64
St Mirren to score in both halves 15.3% 15.6% — — 6.41
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 46.1% 50.6% 52.3% 0.97× 1.97
Only Hibernian scores 26.9% 26.1% 14.9% 1.75× 3.84
Only St Mirren scores 17.3% 16.0% 27.5% 0.58× 6.24
Neither team scores 9.7% 7.2% 5.8% 1.24× 13.98
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.3% 24.9% 21.7% 1.15× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 23.2% 22.6% 16.1% 1.40× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 20.4% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 11.8% 12.1% 18.4% 0.66× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 9.7% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 5.5% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.15
6 or more goals 3.1% 4.5% 7.4% 0.60× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 38.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 17.5% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 7.2% 7.2% — — 13.94
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.3% 40.1% — — 2.49
1 goal in 2nd half 35.0% 39.6% — — 2.53
No goals in 2nd half 25.7% 29.1% — — 3.44
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves 94.4% 94.2% — — 1.06
Hibernian not to win both halves 89.1% 88.0% — — 1.14
Hibernian to win both halves 10.9% 12.0% — — 8.34
St Mirren to win both halves 5.6% 5.8% — — 17.26
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to win neither half 58.3% 59.1% — — 1.69
Hibernian to win either half 55.7% 59.0% — — 1.70
Hibernian to win neither half 44.3% 41.0% — — 2.44
St Mirren to win either half 41.7% 40.9% — — 2.44
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil 82.7% 83.1% 72.5% 1.15× 1.20
Hibernian not to win to nil 73.1% 75.3% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Hibernian to win to nil 26.9% 24.7% 14.9% 1.66× 4.05
St Mirren to win to nil 17.3% 16.9% 27.5% 0.62× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.5% 27.9% 23.3% 1.19× 3.59
Hibernian by 1 23.7% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
St Mirren by 1 18.2% 17.1% 19.6% 0.87× 5.87
Hibernian by 2 12.9% 11.8% 7.6% 1.54× 8.50
St Mirren by 2 7.6% 7.2% 14.5% 0.50× 13.91
Hibernian by 3+ 7.2% 7.2% 6.0% 1.20× 13.91
St Mirren by 3+ 3.0% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.88
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide