St Mirren v Kilmarnock — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

St Mirren

15:00 UTC

Kilmarnock

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 796h before kick-off

St Mirren win

49.2%

model 46.5%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.5%

Kilmarnock win

27.8%

model 29.0%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 7.8%
0-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.7%	Under 2.5	47.3%
BTTS yes	55.4%	BTTS no	44.6%
St Mirren 1+	79.5%	St Mirren 2+	47.1%
Kilmarnock 1+	69.8%	Kilmarnock 2+	33.7%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 80%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.4% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1272 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

St Mirren carry the stronger rating, 1438 Elo against 1393.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St Mirren have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Kilmarnock and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for St Mirren and 1.20 for Kilmarnock.

Why St Mirren

St Mirren carry the stronger rating, 1438 Elo against 1393. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Kilmarnock can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

St Mirren are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462529	1.59–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442531	1.54–1.26	1-1 12%	53%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win	44.0%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Kilmarnock to win	31.3%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	24.7%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren & not both score	22.5%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
St Mirren & both teams score	21.5%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Kilmarnock & both teams score	15.7%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.57
Kilmarnock & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren & over 1.5	34.4%	30.8%	36.6%	0.84×	3.25
St Mirren & under 3.5	29.6%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
St Mirren & over 2.5	27.2%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	23.4%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	17.7%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
St Mirren & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
St Mirren & over 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.62
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (1UP)	60.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Kilmarnock (1UP)	49.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2UP)	44.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Kilmarnock (2UP)	31.3%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win 2nd half	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	29.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (+2.5)	91.3%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Kilmarnock (+1.5)	78.1%	78.5%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
St Mirren (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
St Mirren (-0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
St Mirren (-1.5)	21.9%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.65
St Mirren (-2.5)	8.7%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	78.5%	78.8%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
Kilmarnock clean sheet	21.5%	21.2%	20.5%	1.04×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	51.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	48.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 2nd half	58.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 2nd half	41.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	78.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	62.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	54.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	45.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	37.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	21.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	86.7%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	71.5%	71.8%	66.9%	1.07×	1.39
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	64.3%	63.2%	63.2%	1.00×	1.58
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	35.8%	36.8%	36.8%	1.00×	2.72
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	28.5%	28.2%	33.1%	0.85×	3.55
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	13.3%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.20
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.31

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock scores equally in both	40.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Kilmarnock scores more in 2nd half	37.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Kilmarnock scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (away no bet)	64.0%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.0%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	54.1%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Kilmarnock odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	36.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	26.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.16

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	83.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	74.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	55.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	45.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	25.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	16.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	55.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Kilmarnock (2nd half DNB)	44.7%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	58.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	41.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or Kilmarnock (12)	75.3%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
St Mirren or draw (1X)	68.7%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Kilmarnock or draw (X2)	56.0%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw at HT	76.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	66.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
St Mirren or Kilmarnock at HT	57.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	56.0%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	70.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St Mirren or Kilmarnock in 2nd half	65.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	63.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (DNB)	58.4%	58.1%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
Kilmarnock (DNB)	41.6%	41.9%	40.3%	1.04×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score first	51.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Kilmarnock to score first	42.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.0%	55.0%	52.3%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.0%	45.0%	47.7%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.3%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.4%	38.4%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.8%	82.7%	83.9%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.2%	17.3%	16.1%	1.08×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.2%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.4%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	28.5%	27.4%	33.1%	0.83×	3.64
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	22.5%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Kilmarnock to score 3+	13.3%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 1	33.1%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
St Mirren to score exactly 2	25.4%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
St Mirren to score exactly 0	21.5%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29
St Mirren to score 3+	20.0%	23.3%	23.8%	0.98×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
St Mirren leading at HT	33.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Kilmarnock leading at HT	23.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren -1: 2	56.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
St Mirren -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
St Mirren -1: 1	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:1)	56.0%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
St Mirren (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:2)	78.1%	79.4%	73.6%	1.08×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.2%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
St Mirren (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:3)	91.3%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.27
St Mirren (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.67
St Mirren (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (1:0)	68.7%	70.2%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.1%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Kilmarnock (1:0)	13.2%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (2:0)	86.8%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.8%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.64
Kilmarnock (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	71.5%	73.0%	66.9%	1.09×	1.37
St Mirren clean sheet	28.5%	27.0%	33.1%	0.82×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	60.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	39.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	87.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	62.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	52.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	47.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	38.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	12.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	93.0%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	80.0%	77.8%	76.2%	1.02×	1.29
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	78.5%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	45.4%	46.8%	48.6%	0.96×	2.14
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	21.5%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	20.0%	22.2%	23.8%	0.94×	4.50
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	7.0%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	85.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	14.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
St Mirren scores equally in both	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	25.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (home no bet)	55.8%	56.4%	57.0%	0.99×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.2%	43.7%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	52.3%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
St Mirren odd goals	47.7%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	20.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	26.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Kilmarnock at HT / St Mirren at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
St Mirren at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score last	51.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Kilmarnock to score last	42.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	49.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	28.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren most corners	56.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Kilmarnock most corners	33.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.2%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.4%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.5%	53.1%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.1%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.2%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.2%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren never behind	44.9%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Kilmarnock never behind	34.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	85.3%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	76.6%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	67.1%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.9%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.1%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	32.9%	1.02×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.4%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	14.7%	1.21×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.1%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.4%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.6%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.4%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.7%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.9%	18.9%	17.9%	1.06×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	79.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
St Mirren not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St Mirren to score in both halves	28.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	20.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.0%	58.5%	52.3%	1.12×	1.71
Only St Mirren scores	22.5%	22.3%	27.5%	0.81×	4.49
Only Kilmarnock scores	15.5%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.7%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.4%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	11.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	93.1%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
St Mirren not to win both halves	87.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
St Mirren to win both halves	12.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Kilmarnock to win both halves	6.9%	5.8%	—	—	17.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win either half	57.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Kilmarnock to win neither half	54.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Kilmarnock to win either half	46.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
St Mirren to win neither half	42.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
St Mirren not to win to nil	77.5%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
St Mirren to win to nil	22.5%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.57
Kilmarnock to win to nil	15.5%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
St Mirren by 1	22.1%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Kilmarnock by 1	18.1%	17.0%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
St Mirren by 2	13.2%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.50
Kilmarnock by 2	8.8%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.90
St Mirren by 3+	8.7%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
Kilmarnock by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.83