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St Mirren v Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
St Mirren win
23.2%
model 22.3%
Draw
23.2%
model 23.7%
Rangers win
53.6%
model 54.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 11.5%
  2. 1-1 11.3%
  3. 1-2 9.7%
  4. 0-2 9.7%
  5. 1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.550.8% Under 2.549.2%
BTTS yes51.7% BTTS no48.3%
St Mirren 1+63.3% St Mirren 2+26.5%
Rangers 1+81.8% Rangers 2+50.9%

Expected goals 1.00 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Rangers (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
52.2% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Rangers not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1438.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.2% for St Mirren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.00 for St Mirren and 1.71 for Rangers.

Why St Mirren

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Rangers can win

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1438. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rangers: 56% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.00–1.71 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.99–1.58 0-1 12% 47% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 51.3% 51.5% 31.0% 1.66× 1.94
Draw 24.9% 24.5% 23.3% 1.05× 4.09
St Mirren to win 23.8% 24.5% 45.9% 0.53× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & not both score 29.7% 25.2% 14.9% 1.69× 3.97
Rangers & both teams score 21.6% 21.8% 16.3% 1.33× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 17.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.57
St Mirren & not both score 13.1% 13.3% 27.5% 0.48× 7.54
St Mirren & both teams score 10.8% 13.3% 18.6% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.5% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & over 1.5 39.0% 34.9% 24.4% 1.43× 2.87
Rangers & under 3.5 36.3% 34.9% 22.5% 1.55× 2.87
Rangers & over 2.5 29.5% 26.1% 20.5% 1.27× 3.84
Rangers & under 2.5 21.8% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 19.3% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
St Mirren & under 3.5 18.6% 18.0% 30.2% 0.60× 5.55
Draw & under 2.5 19.3% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 17.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
St Mirren & over 1.5 16.1% 18.0% 36.6% 0.49× 5.56
Rangers & over 3.5 15.0% 12.8% 8.7% 1.48× 7.79
St Mirren & over 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 28.1% 0.46× 7.79
Rangers & under 1.5 12.2% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
St Mirren & under 2.5 11.5% 12.8% 18.0% 0.71× 7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.5% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
St Mirren & over 3.5 5.2% 7.9% 15.9% 0.50× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (1UP) 64.7% 63.0% — — 1.59
St Mirren (1UP) 40.5% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2UP) 51.3% 55.2% — — 1.81
St Mirren (2UP) 23.8% 23.9% — — 4.19
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 2nd half 43.4% 42.0% — — 2.38
2nd half drawn 35.4% 36.4% — — 2.75
St Mirren to win 2nd half 21.2% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.5% 79.3% — — 1.26
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.3% 60.2% — — 1.66
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.7% 39.8% — — 2.52
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.5% 20.7% — — 4.84
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.0% 89.0% — — 1.12
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.9% 58.0% — — 1.73
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half 43.1% 42.0% — — 2.38
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.0% 11.0% — — 9.05
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (+2.5) 97.7% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Rangers (+1.5) 91.6% 92.1% 73.6% 1.25× 1.09
Rangers (+0.5) 76.2% 78.5% 54.1% 1.45× 1.27
Rangers (-0.5) 51.3% 52.4% 31.0% 1.69× 1.91
St Mirren (+0.5) 48.7% 47.6% 69.0% 0.69× 2.10
St Mirren (-0.5) 23.8% 21.5% 45.9% 0.47× 4.65
St Mirren (-1.5) 8.4% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.69
St Mirren (-2.5) 2.3% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.19
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to concede 62.8% 67.6% 79.5% 0.85× 1.48
Rangers clean sheet 37.2% 32.4% 20.5% 1.58× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 65.3% 71.0% — — 1.41
Rangers to concede in 1st half 34.7% 29.0% — — 3.45
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half 56.9% 57.3% — — 1.75
Rangers to concede in 2nd half 43.1% 42.7% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners 91.4% 89.9% — — 1.11
Rangers over 3.5 corners 82.3% 81.4% — — 1.23
Rangers over 4.5 corners 70.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Rangers over 5.5 corners 56.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers under 6.5 corners 56.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers over 6.5 corners 43.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Rangers under 5.5 corners 43.1% 42.8% — — 2.34
Rangers under 4.5 corners 29.7% 28.4% — — 3.52
Rangers under 3.5 corners 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.38
Rangers under 2.5 corners 8.6% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 3.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 96.3% 0.96× 1.08
Rangers over 0.5 goals 79.4% 76.3% 66.9% 1.14× 1.31
Rangers under 2.5 goals 78.8% 76.3% 85.5% 0.89× 1.31
Rangers under 1.5 goals 53.1% 53.5% 63.2% 0.85× 1.87
Rangers over 1.5 goals 46.9% 46.5% 36.8% 1.26× 2.15
Rangers over 2.5 goals 21.2% 23.7% 14.5% 1.64× 4.21
Rangers under 0.5 goals 20.6% 23.7% 33.1% 0.72× 4.21
Rangers over 3.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 3.7% 2.06× 13.07
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 86.7% 89.2% — — 1.12
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 53.1% 55.8% — — 1.79
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 46.9% 44.2% — — 2.26
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 13.3% 10.8% — — 9.27
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half 41.6% 43.7% — — 2.29
Rangers scores equally in both 34.9% 33.4% — — 3.00
Rangers scores more in 1st half 23.5% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 51.1% 51.7% 33.7% 1.53× 1.94
St Mirren (away no bet) 48.9% 48.4% 66.3% 0.73× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers even goals 52.1% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Rangers odd goals 47.9% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 87.2% 87.9% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 12.8% 12.1% — — 8.25
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 60.4% 57.3% — — 1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals 39.6% 42.7% — — 2.34
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 53.5% 51.0% — — 1.96
Rangers to score 2+ in a row 39.6% 36.6% — — 2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.0% 16.2% — — 6.18
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row 18.8% 16.2% — — 6.18
Rangers to score 3+ in a row 15.0% 12.2% — — 8.18
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row 4.3% 2.6% — — 38.38
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5) 91.5% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rangers corners (+2.5) 86.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Rangers corners (+1.5) 80.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
St Mirren corners (+3.5) 68.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
St Mirren corners (+2.5) 58.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers corners (-1.5) 51.9% 52.4% — — 1.91
St Mirren corners (+1.5) 48.1% 47.6% — — 2.10
Rangers corners (-2.5) 41.5% 42.8% — — 2.33
Rangers corners (-3.5) 31.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
St Mirren corners (-1.5) 19.8% 20.2% — — 4.94
St Mirren corners (-2.5) 13.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
St Mirren corners (-3.5) 8.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 41.2% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 30.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
0-8 corners 28.6% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 80.3% 80.7% — — 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 71.4% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 67.8% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 9.5 corners 61.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 58.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 51.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 10.5 corners 48.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 11.5 corners 41.2% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 38.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 32.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 28.6% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 19.7% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 12.2% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.71
1-1 11.8% 11.5% 9.3% 1.23× 8.71
0-2 9.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
1-2 9.5% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
0-0 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
1-0 7.7% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
0-3 5.0% 7.4% 3.3% 2.24× 13.51
2-1 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
1-3 5.0% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.29
0-4 2.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.31
1-4 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
2-0 3.7% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.30
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 1.2% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-1 2.0% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
Any other score 2.6% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB) 67.2% 67.0% — — 1.49
St Mirren (2nd half DNB) 32.8% 33.0% — — 3.03
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 62.3% 66.4% — — 1.51
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB) 37.7% 33.6% — — 2.98
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (X2) 76.2% 75.5% 54.1% 1.40× 1.32
St Mirren or Rangers (12) 75.1% 75.5% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
St Mirren or draw (1X) 48.7% 48.5% 69.0% 0.70× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw at HT 79.1% 79.7% — — 1.26
St Mirren or draw at HT 65.5% 67.1% — — 1.49
St Mirren or Rangers at HT 55.3% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (1UP) 76.2% 83.5% — — 1.20
St Mirren or draw (1UP) 48.7% 53.1% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half 78.8% 75.7% — — 1.32
St Mirren or Rangers in 2nd half 64.6% 63.6% — — 1.57
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half 56.6% 58.0% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.4% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 35.6% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (DNB) 68.3% 67.5% 40.3% 1.67× 1.48
St Mirren (DNB) 31.7% 32.5% 59.7% 0.55× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score first 56.9% 62.4% — — 1.60
St Mirren to score first 35.6% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 7.5% 7.6% — — 13.20
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.2% 51.3% 47.7% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.8% 48.7% 52.3% 0.93× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 40.8% 41.6% 34.1% 1.22× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 37.9% 38.5% 43.2% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 11.8% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.5% 8.3% 13.8% 0.60× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.8% 85.6% 83.9% 1.02× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.2% 14.4% 16.1% 0.89× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.6% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.4% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.7% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.1% 21.2% — — 4.71
Both score 1st half only 11.9% 10.7% — — 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.3% 4.9% — — 20.28
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.8% 83.5% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.2% 16.5% — — 6.06
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 50.8% 52.5% — — 1.91
A half without a goal 49.2% 47.5% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 27.5% 26.6% 21.7% 1.23× 3.76
4-6 goals 24.1% 22.9% 31.2% 0.74× 4.36
7+ goals 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.40
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score exactly 1 32.5% 33.8% 30.4% 1.11× 2.96
Rangers to score exactly 2 25.7% 27.4% 22.5% 1.22× 3.65
Rangers to score 3+ 21.2% 22.3% 14.5% 1.54× 4.49
Rangers to score exactly 0 20.6% 22.3% 33.1% 0.67× 4.49
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 0 37.2% 35.5% 20.5% 1.74× 2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
St Mirren to score exactly 2 18.2% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
St Mirren to score 3+ 7.8% 10.3% 23.8% 0.44× 9.66
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.7% 42.6% — — 2.35
Rangers leading at HT 34.5% 32.9% — — 3.04
St Mirren leading at HT 20.9% 20.3% — — 4.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers -1: 1 48.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Rangers -1: 2 26.7% 26.5% — — 3.77
Rangers -1: X 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:1) 76.2% 73.7% 54.1% 1.36× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 15.4% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.62
St Mirren (0:1) 8.4% 9.3% 26.4% 0.35× 10.81
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:2) 91.6% 90.7% 73.6% 1.23× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.1% 7.7% 14.5% 0.53× 13.07
St Mirren (0:2) 2.3% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.77
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:3) 97.7% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.8% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.06
St Mirren (0:3) 0.5% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:4) 99.5% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.92
St Mirren (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren (1:0) 48.7% 49.2% 69.0% 0.71× 2.03
Rangers (1:0) 26.7% 25.1% 13.4% 1.87× 3.99
Draw (1:0) 24.5% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren (2:0) 73.3% 76.5% 86.6% 0.88× 1.31
Draw (2:0) 15.6% 15.8% 7.6% 2.07× 6.32
Rangers (2:0) 11.1% 10.3% 6.0% 1.72× 9.73
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.9% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 25.5% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to concede 79.4% 76.1% 66.9% 1.14× 1.31
St Mirren clean sheet 20.6% 23.9% 33.1% 0.72× 4.19
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half 53.1% 55.8% — — 1.79
St Mirren to concede in 1st half 46.9% 44.2% — — 2.26
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half 61.3% 59.7% — — 1.68
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half 38.7% 40.3% — — 2.48
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 6.5 corners 79.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
St Mirren over 2.5 corners 79.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
St Mirren under 5.5 corners 68.0% 66.7% — — 1.50
St Mirren over 3.5 corners 63.2% 62.3% — — 1.61
St Mirren under 4.5 corners 53.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
St Mirren over 4.5 corners 46.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
St Mirren under 3.5 corners 36.8% 37.7% — — 2.65
St Mirren over 5.5 corners 32.0% 33.3% — — 3.01
St Mirren under 2.5 corners 20.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
St Mirren over 6.5 corners 20.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals 98.2% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
St Mirren under 2.5 goals 92.2% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.09
St Mirren under 1.5 goals 73.9% 74.2% 51.4% 1.44× 1.35
St Mirren over 0.5 goals 62.8% 63.6% 79.5% 0.80× 1.57
St Mirren under 0.5 goals 37.2% 36.4% 20.5% 1.78× 2.75
St Mirren over 1.5 goals 26.1% 25.8% 48.6% 0.53× 3.88
St Mirren over 2.5 goals 7.8% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.83
St Mirren over 3.5 goals 1.8% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.60
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half 93.1% 94.8% — — 1.06
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half 65.3% 69.2% — — 1.45
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half 34.7% 30.8% — — 3.25
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half 6.9% 5.2% — — 19.26
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both 46.6% 47.2% — — 2.12
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half 31.4% 33.2% — — 3.02
St Mirren scores more in 1st half 22.0% 21.0% — — 4.77
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (home no bet) 67.3% 64.2% 57.0% 1.13× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 32.7% 35.8% 43.0% 0.83× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren even goals 56.9% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
St Mirren odd goals 43.1% 44.7% 48.3% 0.92× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.7% 33.6% — — 2.98
HT 0-1 22.0% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 14.8% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 1-1 9.3% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 0-2 6.9% 6.9% — — 14.55
Any other HT score 3.6% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT 2-0 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT 1-2 3.0% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.29
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT 28.8% 27.4% — — 3.65
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT 19.5% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.6% 16.7% — — 5.97
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT 13.0% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT 9.5% 6.1% — — 16.42
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.86
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% — — 28.88
St Mirren at HT / Rangers at FT 2.9% 3.5% — — 28.93
Rangers at HT / St Mirren at FT 1.3% 3.5% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score last 56.9% 56.6% — — 1.77
St Mirren to score last 35.6% 38.6% — — 2.59
No goal scored 7.5% 7.6% — — 13.20
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.5% 92.5% — — 1.08
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 64.7% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time 40.5% 39.1% — — 2.56
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 32.6% 29.7% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.4% 14.8% — — 6.75
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 13.2% 10.6% — — 9.42
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time 12.8% 10.6% — — 9.43
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time 3.2% 1.6% — — 62.12
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers most corners 62.3% 60.6% — — 1.65
St Mirren most corners 28.1% 31.1% — — 3.22
Corners level 9.6% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.8% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.7% 83.4% 79.8% 1.05× 1.20
2-6 goals 70.9% 72.3% 76.7% 0.94× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.9% 68.8% 71.1% 0.97× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.7% 68.8% 61.6% 1.12× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.7% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-6 goals 45.8% 48.4% 55.2% 0.88× 2.06
1-2 goals 45.1% 48.4% 37.6% 1.29× 2.06
3-5 goals 42.7% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 35.6% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
4-6 goals 24.1% 24.5% 31.2% 0.78× 4.09
4-5 goals 21.1% 24.4% 25.6% 0.95× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.2% 14.8% 13.0% 1.14× 6.76
7+ goals 1.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.37× 39.20
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers never behind 52.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
St Mirren never behind 27.8% 29.9% — — 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 50.0% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.0% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.0% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.0% 42.3% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.3% 95.4% 92.6% 1.03× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 88.2% 87.6% 85.3% 1.03× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 74.2% 72.5% 67.1% 1.08× 1.38
Over 1.5 goals 72.5% 72.5% 78.3% 0.93× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 52.6% 52.5% 43.2% 1.22× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 47.4% 47.5% 56.8% 0.84× 2.11
Under 1.5 goals 27.5% 27.5% 21.7% 1.27× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 25.8% 27.5% 32.9% 0.84× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 11.8% 12.4% 14.7% 0.84× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 4.7% 4.6% 7.4% 0.62× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.3% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.0% 92.4% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 86.2% 86.7% 82.1% 1.06× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 67.1% 67.5% 56.8% 1.19× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 63.3% 61.9% 72.4% 0.86× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 36.7% 38.1% 27.6% 1.38× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 32.9% 32.5% 43.2% 0.75× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 13.8% 13.3% 17.9% 0.74× 7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.0% 7.6% 8.0% 0.94× 13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.7% 2.8% 2.0% 1.42× 35.65
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.9% 92.7% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 71.5% 71.3% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.3% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.7% 31.4% — — 3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half 28.5% 28.7% — — 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.1% 7.3% — — 13.69
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.6% 82.9% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.0% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 55.4% 55.2% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 44.6% 44.8% — — 2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.0% 20.4% — — 4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.4% 17.1% — — 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves 85.0% 85.4% — — 1.17
Rangers not to score in both halves 71.3% 73.8% — — 1.36
Rangers to score in both halves 28.7% 26.2% — — 3.82
St Mirren to score in both halves 15.0% 14.6% — — 6.87
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.8% 50.7% 52.3% 0.97× 1.97
Only Rangers scores 29.7% 26.1% 14.9% 1.75× 3.83
Only St Mirren scores 13.1% 11.0% 27.5% 0.40× 9.06
Neither team scores 7.5% 7.1% 5.8% 1.23× 14.00
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.1% 24.9% 21.7% 1.15× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.7% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.0% 17.5% 16.1% 1.08× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 13.9% 12.1% 18.4% 0.66× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 7.5% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 7.2% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.14
6 or more goals 4.7% 4.5% 7.4% 0.60× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 34.7% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 19.4% 15.7% — — 6.36
3+ goals in 1st half 9.1% 7.3% — — 13.69
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 44.6% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 33.4% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 22.0% 22.9% — — 4.37
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves 95.6% 97.2% — — 1.03
Rangers not to win both halves 85.0% 87.9% — — 1.14
Rangers to win both halves 15.0% 12.1% — — 8.24
St Mirren to win both halves 4.4% 2.8% — — 35.43
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win either half 63.0% 65.0% — — 1.54
St Mirren to win neither half 62.4% 65.0% — — 1.54
St Mirren to win either half 37.6% 35.0% — — 2.85
Rangers to win neither half 37.0% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil 86.9% 88.1% 72.5% 1.22× 1.14
Rangers not to win to nil 70.3% 75.3% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Rangers to win to nil 29.7% 24.7% 14.9% 1.66× 4.04
St Mirren to win to nil 13.1% 11.9% 27.5% 0.43× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.9% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Rangers by 1 24.5% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
St Mirren by 1 15.4% 17.0% 19.6% 0.87× 5.87
Rangers by 2 15.6% 17.0% 7.6% 2.23× 5.87
Rangers by 3+ 11.1% 11.8% 6.0% 1.96× 8.51
St Mirren by 2 6.1% 7.2% 14.5% 0.50× 13.92
St Mirren by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.90
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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