St. Pauli v Mainz 05 — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425
Bundesliga
xG
Shots
19 – 8
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
15 – 4
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.23 – 0.01
Goals − xG
-0.81 – +1.70
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
St. Pauli 0.81 xGMainz 05 1.30 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
St. Pauli attacking right
Mainz 05 attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4' |
 Mainz 05 |
Jonathan Burkardt | 0.27 | Open Play | — | Goal | Philipp Mwene |
| 11' |
 St. Pauli |
Jackson Irvine | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Oladapo Afolayan |
| 12' |
St. Pauli |
Oladapo Afolayan | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Karol Mets |
| 15' |
Mainz 05 |
Armindo Sieb | 0.29 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Nadiem Amiri |
| 19' |
Mainz 05 |
Philipp Mwene | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Anthony Caci |
| 23' |
St. Pauli |
Johannes Eggestein | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Hauke Wahl |
| 26' |
St. Pauli |
Jackson Irvine | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Johannes Eggestein |
| 27' |
St. Pauli |
Oladapo Afolayan | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Johannes Eggestein |
| 28' |
Mainz 05 |
Anthony Caci | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Armindo Sieb |
| 29' |
St. Pauli |
Oladapo Afolayan | 0.08 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 31' |
St. Pauli |
Manolis Saliakas | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 31' |
St. Pauli |
Oladapo Afolayan | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Karol Mets |
| 42' |
St. Pauli |
Jackson Irvine | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Manolis Saliakas |
| 45' |
St. Pauli |
Johannes Eggestein | 0.04 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Elias Saad |
| 45' |
St. Pauli |
Johannes Eggestein | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Eric Smith |
| 45' |
St. Pauli |
Oladapo Afolayan | 0.04 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 46' |
St. Pauli |
Johannes Eggestein | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Karol Mets |
| 48' |
St. Pauli |
Philipp Treu | 0.03 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Elias Saad |
| 49' |
St. Pauli |
Philipp Treu | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Oladapo Afolayan |
| 56' |
Mainz 05 |
Dominik Kohr | 0.01 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 61' |
Mainz 05 |
Jonathan Burkardt | 0.52 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Nadiem Amiri |
| 69' |
Mainz 05 |
Philipp Mwene | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jonathan Burkardt |
| 71' |
St. Pauli |
Johannes Eggestein | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Philipp Treu |
| 77' |
Mainz 05 |
Nadiem Amiri | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Philipp Mwene |
| 80' |
St. Pauli |
Eric Smith | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Jackson Irvine |
| 83' |
St. Pauli |
Jackson Irvine | 0.12 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Lars Ritzka |
| 86' |
St. Pauli |
Elias Saad | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
Players
Mainz 05
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt FW | 90 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.07 | 0.87 |
| Philipp Mwene DML | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| Anthony Caci DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Dominik Kohr DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Jae-Sung Lee AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Kaishu Sano MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Maxim Leitsch DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| Moritz Jenz DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Robin Zentner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Nadiem Amiri MC | 86 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Armindo Sieb AMC | 68 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.83 |
| Paul Nebel Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Hong Hyun-Seok Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nelson Weiper Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
St. Pauli
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Irvine MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.40 |
| Eric Smith DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.32 |
| Manolis Saliakas DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
| Elias Saad AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Karol Mets DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.32 |
| Hauke Wahl DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| Nikola Vasilj GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Johannes Eggestein FW | 86 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| Philipp Treu DML | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| Oladapo Afolayan AMC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Robert Wagner MC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Morgan Guilavogui Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Danel Sinani Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Lars Ritzka Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Scott Banks Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Andreas Albers Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |