Stade de Reims v Dijon FCO — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 16 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627
FRA-Ligue 2
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 10.9%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-0 10.3%
- 2-1 9.9%
- 3-0 6.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | Under 2.5 | 45.9% |
| BTTS yes | 52.8% | BTTS no | 47.2% |
| Stade de Reims 1+ | 84.7% | Stade de Reims 2+ | 56.0% |
| Dijon FCO 1+ | 61.9% | Dijon FCO 2+ | 25.2% |
Expected goals 1.88 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1461.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Dijon FCO have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Stade de Reims have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 18.6% for Dijon FCO. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for Stade de Reims and 0.97 for Dijon FCO.
Why Stade de Reims
Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.
Why Dijon FCO can win
Nothing in the data singles out Dijon FCO.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Stade de Reims, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dijon FCO, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Stade de Reims: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dijon FCO: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 14.5 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Stade de Reims are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 64/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.98–0.86 | 2-0 12% | 54% | 50% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.