Stade de Reims v Sochaux — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 30 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627
FRA-Ligue 2
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 19.0%
- 0-0 15.4%
- 1-1 12.1%
- 2-0 11.9%
- 0-1 9.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 29.0% | Under 2.5 | 71.0% |
| BTTS yes | 33.4% | BTTS no | 66.6% |
| Stade de Reims 1+ | 71.2% | Stade de Reims 2+ | 35.4% |
| Sochaux 1+ | 46.7% | Sochaux 2+ | 13.2% |
Expected goals 1.25 – 0.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1496.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Sochaux have only 5 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Stade de Reims have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 30.1% for the draw and 18.7% for Sochaux. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Stade de Reims and 0.63 for Sochaux.
Why Stade de Reims
Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1496. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 30.1%. A combined 1.88 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.
Why Sochaux can win
Nothing in the data singles out Sochaux.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Stade de Reims, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sochaux, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Stade de Reims: 46% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sochaux: 41% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Stade de Reims are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 19.0%. Confidence 72/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.25–0.63 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.09–0.48 | 1-0 23% | 21% | 25% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.