Stade Lausanne Ouchy v Wil — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · SUI-Challenge League · 2627

SUI-Challenge League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Stade Lausanne Ouchy

4–0

17:30 UTC

Wil

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 6h before kick-off

Stade Lausanne Ouchy win

56.4%

model 56.9%

Draw

26.3%

model 26.2%

Wil win

17.3%

model 16.8%

562617

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,262 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
2-0 10.7%
1-0 10.0%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.6%	Under 2.5	48.4%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Stade Lausanne Ouchy 1+	83.8%	Stade Lausanne Ouchy 2+	54.4%
Wil 1+	60.1%	Wil 2+	23.4%

Expected goals 1.82 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Draw (home no bet)

Home no bet · usually 41%

60.2% fair odds 1.66

strong signal · 3097 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Stade Lausanne Ouchy or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Stade Lausanne Ouchy have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Wil have allowed 1.35.
At home Stade Lausanne Ouchy average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Stade Lausanne Ouchy have only 0 matches on record.
Wil have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Stade Lausanne Ouchy have an estimated 56.4% win probability, against 26.3% for the draw and 17.3% for Wil. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for Stade Lausanne Ouchy and 0.92 for Wil.

Why Stade Lausanne Ouchy

Stade Lausanne Ouchy have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Wil have allowed 1.35. At home Stade Lausanne Ouchy average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.3%.

Why Wil can win

Wil have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Stade Lausanne Ouchy have allowed 1.35. Away from home Wil average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Stade Lausanne Ouchy, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Wil, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stade Lausanne Ouchy: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Wil: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Stade Lausanne Ouchy are the model's most likely outcome at 56.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	572617	1.82–0.92	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	632413	2.09–0.90	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	522919	1.61–0.90	1-1 14%	46%	49%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win	52.3%	51.0%	44.7%	1.14×	1.96
Draw	28.7%	27.7%	22.6%	1.23×	3.61
Wil to win	18.9%	19.4%	33.2%	0.58×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & not both score	30.8%	29.2%	22.6%	1.29×	3.42
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & both teams score	21.6%	21.8%	22.6%	0.96×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.55
Draw & not both score	10.1%	13.2%	6.5%	2.05×	7.55
Wil & not both score	9.8%	8.4%	14.3%	0.59×	11.96
Wil & both teams score	9.1%	8.4%	19.4%	0.43×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & over 1.5	41.1%	40.0%	36.4%	1.10×	2.50
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & under 3.5	37.0%	34.7%	30.4%	1.14×	2.89
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & over 2.5	30.6%	31.0%	30.4%	1.02×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	14.7%	1.47×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.7%	21.6%	14.7%	1.47×	4.63
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & under 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	14.7%	1.47×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & over 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	14.7%	1.22×	5.57
Wil & under 3.5	14.9%	12.9%	21.2%	0.61×	7.78
Wil & over 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	29.5%	0.44×	7.78
Stade Lausanne Ouchy & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	8.8%	1.47×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	6.5%	1.99×	7.78
Wil & over 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	23.0%	0.56×	7.78
Wil & under 2.5	8.6%	8.0%	10.6%	0.75×	12.57
Wil & under 1.5	5.3%	8.0%	4.1%	1.92×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	4.9%	8.3%	0.59×	20.57
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	4.9%	8.3%	0.59×	20.57
Wil & over 3.5	4.1%	4.9%	12.4%	0.39×	20.58

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (1UP)	65.7%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Wil (1UP)	36.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (2UP)	52.3%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Wil (2UP)	18.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win 2nd half	42.4%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	37.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Wil to win 2nd half	20.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Wil under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Wil over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Wil over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	13.2%	—	—	7.59

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil (+2.5)	87.6%	88.4%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (+0.5)	81.1%	82.6%	66.8%	1.24×	1.21
Wil (+1.5)	70.9%	73.7%	78.8%	0.93×	1.36
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (-0.5)	52.3%	52.1%	44.7%	1.16×	1.92
Wil (+0.5)	47.7%	47.9%	55.3%	0.87×	2.09
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (-1.5)	29.1%	26.3%	21.2%	1.24×	3.80
Wil (-0.5)	18.9%	17.4%	33.2%	0.52×	5.74
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (-2.5)	12.4%	11.7%	11.5%	1.01×	8.58

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil to concede	80.1%	81.3%	79.7%	1.02×	1.23
Wil clean sheet	19.9%	18.7%	20.3%	0.92×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil clean sheet in 1st half	50.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Wil to concede in 1st half	50.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil to concede in 2nd half	60.1%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Wil clean sheet in 2nd half	39.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.50

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.4%	93.5%	1.04×	1.03
Wil under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	82.9%	1.11×	1.09
Wil under 1.5 goals	77.4%	76.1%	56.7%	1.34×	1.31
Wil over 0.5 goals	59.2%	58.9%	71.4%	0.83×	1.70
Wil under 0.5 goals	40.8%	41.1%	28.6%	1.44×	2.44
Wil over 1.5 goals	22.6%	23.9%	43.3%	0.55×	4.19
Wil over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	17.1%	0.46×	12.83
Wil over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.6%	6.5%	0.40×	38.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil under 1.5 in 1st half	94.9%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Wil under 0.5 in 1st half	69.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Wil over 0.5 in 1st half	30.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Wil over 1.5 in 1st half	5.1%	5.7%	—	—	17.45

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil scores equally in both	49.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Wil scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Wil scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (away no bet)	64.5%	62.0%	66.4%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.5%	38.0%	33.6%	1.13×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil even goals	58.3%	56.9%	58.5%	0.97×	1.76
Wil odd goals	41.7%	43.1%	41.5%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.9%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.1%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.0%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.9%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score 2+ in a row	41.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Wil to score 2+ in a row	16.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Wil to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.59

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.7%	11.4%	8.8%	1.30×	8.80
1-0	11.2%	11.4%	8.8%	1.30×	8.80
2-0	10.6%	11.4%	6.5%	1.76×	8.80
0-0	10.1%	11.4%	6.5%	1.76×	8.80
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.52
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.78×	13.53
1-2	5.3%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.53
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.53
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	3.2%	2.29×	13.53
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	57.66
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.67
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.68
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	57.67
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.68
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	57.66
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.67
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	57.68
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.67
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	57.68
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.68
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.67
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.67
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.67
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	7.4%	0.24×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (2nd half DNB)	68.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Wil (2nd half DNB)	32.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy leading at HT (DNB)	70.0%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Wil leading at HT (DNB)	30.0%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or draw (1X)	81.1%	80.6%	66.8%	1.21×	1.24
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or Wil (12)	71.3%	72.3%	77.4%	0.93×	1.38
Wil or draw (X2)	47.7%	49.0%	55.3%	0.89×	2.04

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or draw at HT	83.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Wil or draw at HT	61.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or Wil at HT	55.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or draw (1UP)	81.1%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Wil or draw (1UP)	47.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or draw in 2nd half	80.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Stade Lausanne Ouchy or Wil in 2nd half	62.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Wil or draw in 2nd half	57.6%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (DNB)	73.4%	71.1%	57.4%	1.24×	1.41
Wil (DNB)	26.6%	28.9%	42.6%	0.68×	3.47

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score first	57.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Wil to score first	32.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	10.1%	9.4%	—	—	10.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.7%	51.6%	42.4%	1.22×	1.94
Both teams to score	49.3%	48.4%	57.6%	0.84×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.4%	41.7%	30.9%	1.35×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.6%	38.6%	49.3%	0.78×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	12.3%	8.8%	1.40×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	10.2%	12.3%	12.0%	1.02×	8.16

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.2%	85.5%	81.6%	1.05×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.8%	14.5%	18.4%	0.79×	6.88

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.7%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	21.9%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.8%	5.0%	—	—	19.97

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.0%	46.9%	47.5%	0.99×	2.13
0-1 goals	26.6%	26.9%	18.4%	1.46×	3.71
4-6 goals	23.0%	23.0%	30.4%	0.76×	4.34
7+ goals	1.4%	1.9%	4.6%	0.40×	54.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil to score exactly 0	40.8%	37.1%	28.6%	1.30×	2.69
Wil to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.8%	28.6%	1.25×	2.80
Wil to score exactly 2	16.4%	19.5%	26.7%	0.73×	5.13
Wil to score 3+	6.2%	8.7%	17.1%	0.51×	11.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.2%	26.3%	1.00×	3.82
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score 3+	22.0%	23.3%	22.6%	1.03×	4.28
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.2%	20.3%	0.95×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Stade Lausanne Ouchy leading at HT	38.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Wil leading at HT	16.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy -1: 2	47.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Stade Lausanne Ouchy -1: 1	29.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Stade Lausanne Ouchy -1: X	23.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil (0:1)	47.7%	46.0%	55.3%	0.83×	2.18
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (0:1)	29.1%	27.1%	21.2%	1.28×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	23.3%	24.4%	24.0%	1.02×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil (0:2)	70.9%	75.8%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.7%	15.0%	10.1%	1.48×	6.67
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (0:2)	12.4%	10.8%	11.5%	0.94×	9.23

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil (0:3)	87.6%	90.5%	88.5%	1.02×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	8.1%	5.9%	6.9%	0.86×	16.91
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	5.1%	0.47×	42.28

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	94.9%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.51
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	81.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (1:0)	81.1%	81.5%	66.8%	1.22×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.0%	12.7%	14.3%	0.89×	7.85
Wil (1:0)	6.9%	7.0%	19.4%	0.36×	14.33

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy (2:0)	93.1%	93.8%	80.6%	1.16×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.1%	6.5%	14.3%	0.46×	15.29
Wil (2:0)	1.7%	2.4%	5.5%	0.44×	41.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Halves equal	29.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to concede	59.2%	60.7%	71.4%	0.85×	1.65
Stade Lausanne Ouchy clean sheet	40.8%	39.3%	28.6%	1.38×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy clean sheet in 1st half	69.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to concede in 1st half	30.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy clean sheet in 2nd half	58.4%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to concede in 2nd half	41.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.1%	90.3%	1.02×	1.09
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.9%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 2.5 goals	78.0%	77.4%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 1.5 goals	52.0%	52.8%	51.6%	1.02×	1.90
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 1.5 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.4%	0.98×	2.12
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 2.5 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.43
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.1%	20.3%	0.89×	5.53
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Stade Lausanne Ouchy under 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Stade Lausanne Ouchy over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Stade Lausanne Ouchy scores equally in both	34.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Stade Lausanne Ouchy scores more in 1st half	26.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.3%	59.9%	40.5%	1.48×	1.67
Wil (home no bet)	39.7%	40.1%	59.5%	0.67×	2.49

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy even goals	52.0%	50.4%	51.2%	0.99×	1.98
Stade Lausanne Ouchy odd goals	48.0%	49.6%	48.8%	1.02×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	23.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 2-0	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy at HT / Stade Lausanne Ouchy at FT	32.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Stade Lausanne Ouchy at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Wil at HT / Wil at FT	9.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Draw at HT / Wil at FT	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Stade Lausanne Ouchy at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Wil at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Wil at HT / Stade Lausanne Ouchy at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Stade Lausanne Ouchy at HT / Wil at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score last	58.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Wil to score last	31.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.1%	8.8%	—	—	11.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to lead by 1 at any time	65.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Wil to lead by 1 at any time	36.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to lead by 2 at any time	34.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to lead by 3 at any time	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Wil to lead by 2 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Wil to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.94

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.5%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.3%	77.4%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.1%	68.9%	72.4%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.5%	68.8%	59.4%	1.16×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.2%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
2-3 goals	49.0%	48.5%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.4%	43.6%	56.7%	0.77×	2.29
1-2 goals	44.1%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.6%	43.6%	51.6%	0.84×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.9%	35.3%	44.2%	0.80×	2.83
4-6 goals	23.0%	24.8%	30.4%	0.81×	4.04
4-5 goals	20.2%	24.8%	25.3%	0.98×	4.04
5-6 goals	9.6%	9.0%	12.9%	0.70×	11.14
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	4.6%	0.56×	39.00

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Lausanne Ouchy never behind	53.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Wil never behind	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.8%	51.0%	49.3%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	54.2%	49.0%	50.7%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	90.3%	1.06×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.5%	93.5%	0.93×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	89.0%	87.5%	82.9%	1.05×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.5%	77.2%	65.4%	1.18×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	81.6%	0.89×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.1%	53.0%	39.2%	1.35×	1.89
Over 2.5 goals	45.9%	47.0%	60.8%	0.77×	2.13
Under 1.5 goals	26.6%	27.6%	18.4%	1.50×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.5%	22.8%	34.6%	0.66×	4.39
Over 4.5 goals	11.0%	12.5%	17.1%	0.74×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.5%	6.5%	1.94×	7.97
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	9.7%	0.48×	21.74

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	95.1%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.4%	97.1%	89.6%	1.08×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.3%	86.6%	79.3%	1.09×	1.16
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.9%	67.7%	53.1%	1.27×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.3%	61.6%	76.7%	0.80×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.7%	38.4%	23.3%	1.65×	2.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.1%	32.3%	46.9%	0.69×	3.09
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.7%	13.4%	20.7%	0.65×	7.47
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.6%	2.9%	10.4%	0.27×	35.08
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	4.9%	0.59×	35.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil not to score in both halves	87.5%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Stade Lausanne Ouchy not to score in both halves	69.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to score in both halves	30.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Wil to score in both halves	12.5%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.3%	50.4%	57.6%	0.88×	1.98
Only Stade Lausanne Ouchy scores	30.8%	33.1%	22.6%	1.47×	3.02
Neither team scores	10.1%	11.1%	6.5%	1.72×	9.02
Only Wil scores	9.8%	7.1%	14.3%	0.50×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.7%	21.2%	1.16×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.4%	26.7%	0.84×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	16.5%	17.5%	12.4%	1.41×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	13.4%	12.1%	18.0%	0.67×	8.30
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.0%	6.5%	1.87×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	7.8%	0.99×	12.86
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.5%	9.7%	0.46×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	35.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.3%	—	—	6.53
3+ goals in 1st half	9.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Stade Lausanne Ouchy not to win both halves	83.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win both halves	16.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Wil to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil to win neither half	67.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win either half	64.3%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win neither half	35.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Wil to win either half	33.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wil not to win to nil	90.2%	92.1%	85.7%	1.07×	1.09
Stade Lausanne Ouchy not to win to nil	69.2%	70.3%	77.4%	0.91×	1.42
Stade Lausanne Ouchy to win to nil	30.8%	29.7%	22.6%	1.31×	3.37
Wil to win to nil	9.8%	7.9%	14.3%	0.56×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.7%	27.7%	22.6%	1.23×	3.61
Stade Lausanne Ouchy by 1	23.3%	24.2%	24.0%	1.01×	4.14
Stade Lausanne Ouchy by 2	16.7%	16.9%	10.1%	1.67×	5.92
Stade Lausanne Ouchy by 3+	12.4%	11.7%	11.5%	1.02×	8.53
Wil by 1	12.0%	11.7%	14.3%	0.82×	8.53
Wil by 2	5.1%	7.3%	14.3%	0.51×	13.77
Wil by 3+	1.7%	2.8%	5.5%	0.51×	35.63

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.