Stade Laval v Montpellier — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Stade Laval

20:00 UTC

Montpellier

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 705h before kick-off

Stade Laval win

23.1%

model 24.4%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.0%

Montpellier win

49.2%

model 47.5%

232849

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.4%
1-1 12.9%
0-0 10.8%
0-2 9.8%
1-0 9.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.5%	Under 2.5	61.5%
BTTS yes	43.4%	BTTS no	56.6%
Stade Laval 1+	58.6%	Stade Laval 2+	22.1%
Montpellier 1+	74.0%	Montpellier 2+	39.0%

Expected goals 0.88 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Montpellier (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

67.1% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Stade Laval not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Montpellier carry the stronger rating, 1510 Elo against 1385.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Montpellier have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.1% for Stade Laval. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.88 for Stade Laval and 1.35 for Montpellier.

Why Stade Laval

Nothing in the data singles out Stade Laval.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. A combined 2.23 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Montpellier can win

Montpellier carry the stronger rating, 1510 Elo against 1385. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Montpellier's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Andy Delort (0.32), Tanguy Coulibaly (0.28), Téji Savanier (0.24).

Availability

No lineup on record for Stade Laval, so availability is unknown. 1 of Montpellier's top three contributors did not start their last match. Montpellier changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stade Laval: 56% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Montpellier: 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.11 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Montpellier are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Montpellier are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LLLLLLDLLL last 10 scored 2 from 6.4 xG conceded 21 from 19.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242848	0.88–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	183151	0.59–1.22	0-1 20%	27%	32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to win	51.4%	51.5%	29.8%	1.73×	1.94
Draw	30.6%	30.4%	27.7%	1.10×	3.29
Stade Laval to win	18.0%	19.4%	42.7%	0.45×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & not both score	38.8%	33.3%	17.6%	1.89×	3.00
Draw & not both score	16.4%	18.0%	9.1%	1.97×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	18.7%	0.71×	7.53
Stade Laval & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	24.0%	0.55×	7.53
Montpellier & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Stade Laval & both teams score	4.8%	4.9%	18.8%	0.26×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & under 3.5	44.1%	40.3%	23.1%	1.74×	2.48
Montpellier & under 2.5	32.0%	30.8%	13.7%	2.25×	3.25
Montpellier & over 1.5	31.6%	30.8%	20.1%	1.53×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	28.3%	26.1%	20.7%	1.26×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.3%	26.1%	20.7%	1.26×	3.84
Montpellier & under 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	9.9%	1.82×	5.56
Montpellier & over 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56
Stade Laval & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	9.1%	1.97×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Stade Laval & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Stade Laval & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Stade Laval & over 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	29.9%	0.26×	12.63
Montpellier & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Stade Laval & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	24.2%	0.33×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.82
Stade Laval & over 3.5	1.4%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (1UP)	60.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Stade Laval (1UP)	29.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2UP)	51.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Stade Laval (2UP)	18.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Montpellier to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Stade Laval to win 2nd half	15.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Montpellier over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Montpellier under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Montpellier over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.4%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Stade Laval under 0.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Stade Laval over 0.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Stade Laval over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.6%	4.6%	—	—	21.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (+2.5)	99.2%	96.3%	92.2%	1.04×	1.04
Montpellier (+1.5)	95.6%	96.3%	81.0%	1.19×	1.04
Montpellier (+0.5)	82.0%	82.5%	57.3%	1.44×	1.21
Montpellier (-0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	29.8%	1.76×	1.91
Stade Laval (+0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	70.2%	0.68×	2.10
Stade Laval (-0.5)	18.0%	17.5%	42.7%	0.41×	5.72
Stade Laval (-1.5)	4.4%	3.7%	19.0%	0.19×	27.02
Stade Laval (-2.5)	0.8%	3.7%	7.8%	0.47×	27.25

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet	55.3%	62.3%	26.6%	2.34×	1.61
Montpellier to concede	44.7%	37.7%	73.4%	0.51×	2.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 1st half	77.5%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Montpellier to concede in 1st half	22.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 2nd half	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Montpellier to concede in 2nd half	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier over 2.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Montpellier under 6.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Montpellier over 3.5 corners	69.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Montpellier under 5.5 corners	59.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Montpellier over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Montpellier under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Montpellier over 5.5 corners	40.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Montpellier under 3.5 corners	30.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Montpellier over 6.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Montpellier under 2.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Montpellier under 2.5 goals	87.6%	87.8%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Montpellier over 0.5 goals	70.4%	71.9%	67.0%	1.07×	1.39
Montpellier under 1.5 goals	65.6%	68.0%	68.4%	0.99×	1.47
Montpellier over 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.0%	31.6%	1.01×	3.12
Montpellier under 0.5 goals	29.6%	28.1%	33.0%	0.85×	3.55
Montpellier over 2.5 goals	12.4%	12.2%	12.3%	0.99×	8.20
Montpellier over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	2.7%	0.92×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Montpellier under 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Montpellier over 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Montpellier over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier scores equally in both	41.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Montpellier scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Montpellier scores more in 1st half	21.8%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	63.0%	61.9%	39.3%	1.58×	1.62
Stade Laval (away no bet)	37.0%	38.1%	60.7%	0.63×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier even goals	54.4%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
Montpellier odd goals	45.6%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.1%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.75

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	58.9%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Not both halves under 1.5	41.1%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	37.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Montpellier to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Montpellier to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.76
Stade Laval to score 2+ in a row	8.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.84
Stade Laval to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Stade Laval corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Montpellier corners (+2.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Stade Laval corners (+2.5)	73.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Montpellier corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Stade Laval corners (+1.5)	64.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Montpellier corners (-1.5)	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Stade Laval corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Montpellier corners (-2.5)	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Stade Laval corners (-2.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Montpellier corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Stade Laval corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	74.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	19.8%	13.9%	9.9%	1.40×	7.22
0-0	16.4%	13.8%	9.1%	1.52×	7.23
0-2	12.1%	11.5%	4.0%	2.90×	8.72
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	12.9%	0.57×	13.50
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.29
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
2-1	3.5%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
2-2	2.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.31
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.32
3-1	0.7%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.32
3-2	0.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.32
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.32
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	11.28×	58.32
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2nd half DNB)	72.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Stade Laval (2nd half DNB)	27.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier leading at HT (DNB)	68.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Stade Laval leading at HT (DNB)	31.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw (X2)	82.0%	80.6%	57.3%	1.41×	1.24
Stade Laval or Montpellier (12)	69.4%	69.6%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Stade Laval or draw (1X)	48.6%	48.5%	70.2%	0.69×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw at HT	85.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Stade Laval or draw at HT	68.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Stade Laval or Montpellier at HT	46.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw (1UP)	82.0%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Stade Laval or draw (1UP)	48.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw in 2nd half	84.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Stade Laval or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Stade Laval or Montpellier in 2nd half	56.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	73.7%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Neither half drawn	26.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (DNB)	74.1%	71.6%	41.1%	1.74×	1.40
Stade Laval (DNB)	25.9%	28.4%	58.9%	0.48×	3.52

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score first	56.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Stade Laval to score first	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	16.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	68.4%	58.5%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Both teams to score	31.6%	41.5%	49.5%	0.84×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	60.9%	50.4%	41.2%	1.22×	1.99
Both score & over 2.5	19.7%	21.6%	38.0%	0.57×	4.63
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.9%	91.6%	85.6%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.1%	8.4%	14.4%	0.58×	11.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	85.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score in 2nd half	14.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	77.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Both score 2nd half only	13.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score 1st half only	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.69
Both score in both halves	1.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.3%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Both teams to score by HT	8.7%	8.3%	—	—	12.08

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
A goal in each half	34.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.9%	47.2%	31.6%	1.49×	2.12
2-3 goals	43.1%	42.1%	41.6%	1.01×	2.37
4-6 goals	10.8%	16.9%	25.1%	0.67×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	2.0%	0.93×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score exactly 1	36.0%	35.9%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Montpellier to score exactly 0	29.6%	27.4%	33.0%	0.83×	3.65
Montpellier to score exactly 2	21.9%	22.3%	19.5%	1.15×	4.49
Montpellier to score 3+	12.4%	12.9%	12.3%	1.05×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval to score exactly 0	55.3%	44.5%	26.6%	1.67×	2.25
Stade Laval to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.6%	33.9%	0.96×	3.07
Stade Laval to score exactly 2	9.7%	10.3%	22.0%	0.47×	9.68
Stade Laval to score 3+	2.2%	6.1%	17.8%	0.34×	16.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Montpellier leading at HT	31.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Stade Laval leading at HT	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier -1: 1	48.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Montpellier -1: X	27.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Montpellier -1: 2	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:1)	82.0%	77.9%	57.3%	1.36×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	13.6%	13.7%	23.9%	0.58×	7.28
Stade Laval (0:1)	4.4%	5.7%	19.0%	0.30×	17.39

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:2)	95.6%	94.1%	81.0%	1.16×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.6%	3.8%	11.4%	0.33×	26.65
Stade Laval (0:2)	0.8%	3.7%	7.8%	0.48×	26.82

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:3)	99.2%	96.7%	92.2%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	4.3%	0.56×	42.16
Stade Laval (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	3.6%	0.65×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Stade Laval (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.8%	1.60×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	3.0%	0.40×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval (1:0)	48.6%	49.2%	70.2%	0.70×	2.03
Draw (1:0)	27.9%	25.1%	17.6%	1.42×	3.99
Montpellier (1:0)	23.4%	21.7%	12.3%	1.76×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval (2:0)	76.6%	80.4%	87.7%	0.92×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	15.3%	15.8%	7.0%	2.26×	6.34
Montpellier (2:0)	8.1%	6.4%	5.5%	1.17×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	32.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
1st half highest scoring	25.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval to concede	70.4%	73.1%	67.0%	1.09×	1.37
Stade Laval clean sheet	29.6%	26.9%	33.0%	0.81×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval clean sheet in 1st half	61.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Stade Laval to concede in 1st half	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.74

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval to concede in 2nd half	51.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Stade Laval clean sheet in 2nd half	48.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Stade Laval under 6.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Stade Laval over 3.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Stade Laval under 5.5 corners	61.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Stade Laval over 4.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Stade Laval under 4.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Stade Laval over 5.5 corners	38.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Stade Laval under 3.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Stade Laval over 6.5 corners	26.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Stade Laval under 2.5 corners	17.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval under 3.5 goals	99.7%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Stade Laval under 2.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	82.2%	1.17×	1.04
Stade Laval under 1.5 goals	88.0%	87.3%	60.3%	1.45×	1.15
Stade Laval under 0.5 goals	55.3%	58.6%	26.6%	2.20×	1.71
Stade Laval over 0.5 goals	44.7%	41.4%	73.4%	0.56×	2.41
Stade Laval over 1.5 goals	12.0%	12.7%	39.7%	0.32×	7.85
Stade Laval over 2.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	17.8%	0.20×	27.56
Stade Laval over 3.5 goals	0.3%	3.6%	6.5%	0.55×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Stade Laval under 0.5 in 1st half	77.5%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Stade Laval over 0.5 in 1st half	22.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.43
Stade Laval over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.64

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval scores equally in both	60.1%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Stade Laval scores more in 2nd half	23.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Stade Laval scores more in 1st half	16.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.67

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (home no bet)	62.7%	60.0%	51.9%	1.16×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.3%	40.0%	48.1%	0.83×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval even goals	65.3%	65.1%	53.2%	1.22×	1.54
Stade Laval odd goals	34.7%	34.9%	46.8%	0.74×	2.87

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	47.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
HT 0-1	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
HT 1-0	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-0	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
Any other HT score	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier at HT / Montpellier at FT	27.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Montpellier at FT	22.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Stade Laval at HT / Stade Laval at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Draw at HT / Stade Laval at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Stade Laval at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Montpellier at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Stade Laval at HT / Montpellier at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
Montpellier at HT / Stade Laval at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score last	56.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Stade Laval to score last	27.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	16.4%	13.2%	—	—	7.57

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Montpellier to lead by 1 at any time	60.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Stade Laval to lead by 1 at any time	29.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Montpellier to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Montpellier to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Stade Laval to lead by 2 at any time	6.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.95
Stade Laval to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.67

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier most corners	45.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Stade Laval most corners	43.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.5%	83.4%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	78.7%	1.00×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.5%	72.4%	64.1%	1.13×	1.38
1-2 goals	56.3%	59.1%	43.8%	1.35×	1.69
2-6 goals	53.9%	53.2%	66.6%	0.80×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.1%	53.2%	62.3%	0.85×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.4%	53.2%	56.2%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.1%	43.6%	41.6%	1.05×	2.29
3-6 goals	27.0%	30.2%	45.4%	0.67×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.2%	30.2%	41.2%	0.73×	3.31
3-4 goals	23.5%	24.5%	35.1%	0.70×	4.08
4-6 goals	10.8%	14.8%	25.1%	0.59×	6.76
4-5 goals	10.0%	8.9%	20.8%	0.43×	11.25
5-6 goals	3.5%	2.6%	10.5%	0.24×	39.07
7+ goals	0.3%	2.6%	2.0%	1.29×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier never behind	54.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Stade Laval never behind	23.1%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 1st half	38.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	87.7%	1.09×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	73.1%	1.20×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.6%	82.3%	90.9%	0.91×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	52.7%	1.37×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.1%	52.5%	68.4%	0.77×	1.90
Under 1.5 goals	45.9%	47.5%	31.6%	1.50×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	47.3%	0.58×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	16.4%	17.7%	9.1%	1.94×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	26.9%	0.46×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.86
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.9%	97.2%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.0%	97.2%	85.6%	1.14×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.8%	86.7%	66.2%	1.31×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.8%	61.9%	40.1%	1.54×	1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.2%	38.1%	59.9%	0.64×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.2%	13.3%	33.8%	0.39×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.0%	2.8%	14.4%	0.20×	35.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.1%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	2.1%	1.36×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.8%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.05
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.9%	3.2%	—	—	31.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.7%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.54

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval not to score in both halves	93.5%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Montpellier not to score in both halves	80.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Montpellier to score in both halves	20.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
Stade Laval to score in both halves	6.5%	9.3%	—	—	10.72

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Montpellier scores	38.8%	39.9%	17.6%	2.26×	2.51
Both teams score	31.6%	33.3%	49.5%	0.67×	3.00
Neither team scores	16.4%	16.0%	9.1%	1.76×	6.24
Only Stade Laval scores	13.2%	11.0%	24.0%	0.46×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	29.5%	24.9%	22.6%	1.10×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	26.9%	24.9%	21.3%	1.17×	4.02
Exactly 0 goals	16.4%	17.5%	9.1%	1.91×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	16.2%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.3%	7.6%	14.7%	0.52×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	2.7%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.40
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	47.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	13.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.30
3+ goals in 1st half	3.9%	3.2%	—	—	31.03

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	34.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Montpellier not to win both halves	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Montpellier to win both halves	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Stade Laval to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.83

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval to win neither half	72.2%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Montpellier to win either half	59.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Montpellier to win neither half	40.3%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Stade Laval to win either half	27.8%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade Laval not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	76.0%	1.16×	1.14
Montpellier not to win to nil	61.2%	66.5%	82.4%	0.81×	1.50
Montpellier to win to nil	38.8%	33.5%	17.6%	1.90×	2.99
Stade Laval to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	24.0%	0.50×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier by 1	27.9%	27.9%	17.6%	1.58×	3.59
Draw	30.6%	27.6%	27.7%	1.00×	3.62
Montpellier by 2	15.3%	17.0%	7.0%	2.44×	5.87
Stade Laval by 1	13.6%	11.8%	23.9%	0.49×	8.51
Montpellier by 3+	8.1%	7.2%	5.5%	1.31×	13.90
Stade Laval by 2	3.6%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.79
Stade Laval by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	7.8%	0.35×	36.88