Stoke City v Bristol City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Stoke City

14:00 UTC

Bristol City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,168h before kick-off

Stoke City win

37.3%

model 35.6%

Draw

31.4%

model 30.1%

Bristol City win

31.4%

model 34.3%

373131

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.4%
0-0 9.8%
1-0 8.9%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.4%	Under 2.5	54.6%
BTTS yes	52.2%	BTTS no	47.8%
Stoke City 1+	71.6%	Stoke City 2+	35.8%
Bristol City 1+	70.8%	Bristol City 2+	34.9%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Stoke City have an estimated 37.3% win probability, against 31.4% for Bristol City and 31.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Stoke City and 1.23 for Bristol City.

Why Stoke City

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.23. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Bristol City can win

Bristol City carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1330. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Stoke City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bristol City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stoke City: 42% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bristol City: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Stoke City are the model's most likely outcome at 37.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	342936	1.29–1.32	1-1 14%	48%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to win	36.1%	36.3%	29.1%	1.25×	2.75
Stoke City to win	34.5%	30.4%	43.4%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.58
Bristol City & not both score	18.7%	17.9%	15.2%	1.18×	5.58
Stoke City & not both score	17.7%	17.9%	23.2%	0.77×	5.58
Bristol City & both teams score	17.4%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
Stoke City & both teams score	16.8%	17.9%	20.3%	0.89×	5.58
Draw & not both score	8.9%	8.4%	7.3%	1.15×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City & over 1.5	28.0%	26.0%	21.5%	1.21×	3.84
Stoke City & over 1.5	26.6%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Bristol City & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Stoke City & under 3.5	24.7%	21.6%	32.4%	0.67×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.0%	21.6%	21.7%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	21.7%	0.99×	4.63
Bristol City & over 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	16.2%	1.33×	4.63
Stoke City & over 2.5	20.5%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Bristol City & under 2.5	14.6%	12.9%	12.9%	1.00×	7.76
Stoke City & under 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	17.1%	0.75×	7.76
Bristol City & over 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	6.8%	1.88×	7.76
Stoke City & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	7.3%	1.09×	12.65
Stoke City & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.65
Bristol City & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (1UP)	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Stoke City (1UP)	51.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2UP)	36.1%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Stoke City (2UP)	34.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Bristol City to win 2nd half	33.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Stoke City to win 2nd half	29.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Bristol City over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Bristol City under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Bristol City over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.2%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Stoke City over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Stoke City under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Stoke City over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (+2.5)	94.5%	92.1%	92.0%	1.00×	1.09
Bristol City (+1.5)	84.1%	82.5%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Bristol City (+0.5)	65.5%	68.7%	56.6%	1.21×	1.46
Stoke City (+0.5)	63.9%	62.9%	70.9%	0.89×	1.59
Bristol City (-0.5)	36.1%	37.1%	29.1%	1.28×	2.70
Stoke City (-0.5)	34.5%	31.3%	43.4%	0.72×	3.19
Stoke City (-1.5)	15.9%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.70
Stoke City (-2.5)	5.5%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede	72.4%	76.6%	77.6%	0.99×	1.31
Bristol City clean sheet	27.6%	23.4%	22.4%	1.05×	4.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City clean sheet in 1st half	57.4%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Bristol City to concede in 1st half	42.6%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to concede in 2nd half	52.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Bristol City clean sheet in 2nd half	48.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City over 2.5 corners	75.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Bristol City under 6.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Bristol City under 5.5 corners	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Bristol City over 3.5 corners	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Bristol City under 4.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Bristol City over 4.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Bristol City under 3.5 corners	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bristol City over 5.5 corners	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Bristol City under 2.5 corners	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Bristol City over 6.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Bristol City under 2.5 goals	85.2%	87.8%	90.5%	0.97×	1.14
Bristol City over 0.5 goals	73.4%	71.9%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Bristol City under 1.5 goals	61.8%	63.1%	69.9%	0.90×	1.59
Bristol City over 1.5 goals	38.2%	36.9%	30.1%	1.23×	2.71
Bristol City under 0.5 goals	26.6%	28.1%	30.4%	0.92×	3.56
Bristol City over 2.5 goals	14.8%	12.2%	9.5%	1.28×	8.22
Bristol City over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Bristol City under 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Bristol City over 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Bristol City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	5.9%	—	—	16.91

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City scores equally in both	39.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Bristol City scores more in 2nd half	38.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Bristol City scores more in 1st half	22.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (away no bet)	53.9%	51.6%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	46.1%	48.4%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City even goals	53.5%	52.8%	52.4%	1.01×	1.89
Bristol City odd goals	46.5%	47.2%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.7%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Bristol City to score 2+ in a row	30.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Stoke City to score 2+ in a row	28.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Bristol City to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Stoke City to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.64

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City corners (+3.5)	89.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Stoke City corners (+2.5)	85.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Stoke City corners (+1.5)	79.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Bristol City corners (+3.5)	60.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City corners (-1.5)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Bristol City corners (+2.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Stoke City corners (-2.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Bristol City corners (+1.5)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Stoke City corners (-3.5)	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bristol City corners (-1.5)	20.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Bristol City corners (-2.5)	15.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Bristol City corners (-3.5)	10.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
0-8 corners	26.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	41.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	26.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.1%	11.4%	14.5%	0.79×	8.74
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.50
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.50
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.50
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.50
0-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.50
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.50
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.01×	58.31
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.87×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.31
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.23×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	10.03×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.06×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (2nd half DNB)	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Stoke City (2nd half DNB)	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City leading at HT (DNB)	51.5%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Bristol City leading at HT (DNB)	48.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or Bristol City (12)	70.6%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Bristol City or draw (X2)	65.5%	69.6%	56.6%	1.23×	1.44
Stoke City or draw (1X)	63.9%	63.7%	70.9%	0.90×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or draw at HT	73.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Bristol City or draw at HT	71.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Stoke City or Bristol City at HT	55.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw (1UP)	65.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Stoke City or draw (1UP)	63.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City or draw in 2nd half	70.4%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Stoke City or draw in 2nd half	66.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Stoke City or Bristol City in 2nd half	62.6%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (DNB)	51.2%	50.9%	40.1%	1.27×	1.97
Stoke City (DNB)	48.8%	49.1%	59.9%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score first	46.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Stoke City to score first	44.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.7%	51.4%	54.4%	0.94×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.3%	48.6%	45.6%	1.07×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.7%	41.6%	40.0%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	37.4%	38.5%	37.1%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.3%	14.5%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.8%	8.3%	8.5%	0.98×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	5.1%	—	—	19.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.3%	50.5%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	24.9%	22.8%	25.8%	0.89×	4.38
4-6 goals	24.9%	22.8%	22.5%	1.02×	4.38
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Bristol City to score exactly 0	26.6%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.65
Bristol City to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.4%	20.7%	1.08×	4.47
Bristol City to score 3+	14.8%	12.9%	9.5%	1.36×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Stoke City to score exactly 0	27.6%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Stoke City to score exactly 2	22.9%	23.2%	24.6%	0.94×	4.31
Stoke City to score 3+	14.0%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.94

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Stoke City leading at HT	28.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.88
Bristol City leading at HT	26.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City -1: 1	63.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Bristol City -1: X	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.73
Bristol City -1: 2	17.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (0:1)	65.5%	65.2%	56.6%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.62
Stoke City (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (0:2)	84.1%	82.9%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.4%	10.9%	11.4%	0.96×	9.17
Stoke City (0:2)	5.5%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (0:3)	94.5%	92.7%	92.0%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.05
Stoke City (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.61
Stoke City (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (1:0)	63.9%	65.2%	70.9%	0.92×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.88
Bristol City (1:0)	17.0%	17.0%	11.8%	1.44×	5.89

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (2:0)	83.0%	84.6%	88.2%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.0%	10.4%	8.6%	1.20×	9.63
Bristol City (2:0)	6.0%	6.4%	3.2%	1.98×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede	73.4%	73.1%	69.6%	1.05×	1.37
Stoke City clean sheet	26.6%	26.9%	30.4%	0.88×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 1st half	58.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Stoke City to concede in 1st half	41.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede in 2nd half	54.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Stoke City clean sheet in 2nd half	45.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City over 2.5 corners	90.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Stoke City over 3.5 corners	81.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Stoke City over 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Stoke City over 5.5 corners	61.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Stoke City over 6.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Stoke City under 6.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Stoke City under 5.5 corners	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Stoke City under 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Stoke City under 3.5 corners	18.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Stoke City under 2.5 corners	10.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.3%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
Stoke City under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.2%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Stoke City over 0.5 goals	72.4%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Stoke City under 1.5 goals	63.1%	63.5%	59.3%	1.07×	1.57
Stoke City over 1.5 goals	36.9%	36.5%	40.7%	0.90×	2.74
Stoke City under 0.5 goals	27.6%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Stoke City over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.81
Stoke City over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.7%	5.1%	0.72×	27.26

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Stoke City under 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Stoke City over 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Stoke City over 1.5 in 1st half	10.7%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City scores equally in both	40.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Stoke City scores more in 2nd half	35.6%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Stoke City scores more in 1st half	24.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City (home no bet)	55.1%	56.6%	51.3%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.9%	43.4%	48.7%	0.89×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City even goals	53.8%	50.6%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Stoke City odd goals	46.2%	49.4%	49.6%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	18.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	5.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City at HT / Stoke City at FT	20.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Bristol City at HT / Bristol City at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Bristol City at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Stoke City at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Stoke City at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Bristol City at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Stoke City at HT / Bristol City at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Bristol City at HT / Stoke City at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City to score last	46.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Stoke City to score last	44.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.9%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Bristol City to lead by 1 at any time	53.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Stoke City to lead by 1 at any time	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Bristol City to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Stoke City to lead by 2 at any time	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Bristol City to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.09
Stoke City to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City most corners	64.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Bristol City most corners	27.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	7.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	88.9%	0.98×	1.15
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.3%	72.4%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.1%	72.4%	70.3%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	64.4%	63.4%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.4%	64.9%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.6%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.7%	48.6%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.5%	43.6%	44.6%	0.98×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.6%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.9%	24.5%	22.5%	1.09×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.7%	24.5%	19.9%	1.23×	4.08
5-6 goals	10.7%	14.8%	8.1%	1.83×	6.74
7+ goals	1.8%	2.6%	1.4%	1.87×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bristol City never behind	39.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Stoke City never behind	37.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.6%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.4%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	92.7%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.1%	77.3%	74.2%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	76.2%	0.95×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.5%	52.6%	51.5%	1.02×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.4%	48.5%	0.98×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	23.8%	1.16×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.9%	22.7%	25.8%	0.88×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	9.4%	1.32×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	7.3%	1.07×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	3.9%	1.16×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.5%	86.7%	89.0%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.0%	67.4%	65.2%	1.03×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.9%	67.4%	68.4%	0.99×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.1%	32.6%	31.6%	1.03×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.0%	32.6%	34.8%	0.94×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.5%	13.3%	11.0%	1.21×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	4.2%	1.83×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.4%	1.99×	35.87

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to score in both halves	77.9%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Bristol City not to score in both halves	77.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Bristol City to score in both halves	22.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Stoke City to score in both halves	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.7%	53.9%	54.4%	0.99×	1.85
Only Bristol City scores	18.7%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.23
Only Stoke City scores	17.7%	16.0%	23.2%	0.69×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.2%	7.3%	0.99×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.0%	17.4%	18.6%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	5.6%	1.38×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.0%	4.5%	3.9%	1.14×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	34.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	22.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win both halves	91.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Bristol City not to win both halves	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Bristol City to win both halves	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Stoke City to win both halves	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to win neither half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Bristol City to win either half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Bristol City to win neither half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Stoke City to win either half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win to nil	82.3%	83.1%	76.8%	1.08×	1.20
Bristol City not to win to nil	81.3%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Bristol City to win to nil	18.7%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.91
Stoke City to win to nil	17.7%	16.9%	23.2%	0.73×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Bristol City by 1	19.2%	16.9%	17.4%	0.98×	5.91
Stoke City by 1	18.6%	16.9%	24.2%	0.70×	5.91
Bristol City by 2	11.0%	11.8%	8.6%	1.36×	8.50
Stoke City by 2	10.4%	11.8%	11.4%	1.04×	8.50
Bristol City by 3+	6.0%	7.2%	3.2%	2.23×	13.81
Stoke City by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.82