Stoke City v Preston North End — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Stoke City

12:30 UTC

Preston North End

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,334h before kick-off

Stoke City win

38.9%

model 39.2%

Draw

32.7%

model 31.6%

Preston North End win

28.3%

model 29.2%

393328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.8%
0-0 11.9%
1-0 11.2%
0-1 9.2%
2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	47.1%	BTTS no	52.9%
Stoke City 1+	70.8%	Stoke City 2+	34.9%
Preston North End 1+	64.4%	Preston North End 2+	27.6%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Stoke City have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.7% for the draw and 28.3% for Preston North End. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Stoke City and 1.03 for Preston North End.

Why Stoke City

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 32.7%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.03. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Preston North End can win

Nothing in the data singles out Preston North End.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Stoke City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Preston North End, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stoke City: 42% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Preston North End: 46% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Stoke City are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	373231	1.16–1.04	1-1 15%	38%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to win	36.9%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
Draw	32.3%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Preston North End to win	30.9%	30.4%	29.0%	1.05×	3.30

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City & not both score	22.7%	21.9%	23.4%	0.94×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Preston North End & not both score	18.7%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.58
Stoke City & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55
Preston North End & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	13.8%	0.96×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City & under 3.5	29.4%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	27.7%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.7%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Stoke City & over 1.5	25.6%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Preston North End & under 3.5	25.0%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Preston North End & over 1.5	20.9%	21.7%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Stoke City & under 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Stoke City & over 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Preston North End & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	13.0%	1.39×	5.56
Preston North End & over 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	16.2%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.77
Stoke City & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Preston North End & under 1.5	10.0%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Stoke City & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.70
Preston North End & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (1UP)	51.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Preston North End (1UP)	46.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (2UP)	36.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Preston North End (2UP)	30.9%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.4%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Stoke City to win 2nd half	30.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Preston North End to win 2nd half	28.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (+2.5)	94.8%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Preston North End (+1.5)	83.9%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Stoke City (+0.5)	69.1%	68.7%	71.0%	0.97×	1.46
Preston North End (+0.5)	63.1%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
Stoke City (-0.5)	36.9%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.70
Preston North End (-0.5)	30.9%	31.3%	29.0%	1.08×	3.20
Stoke City (-1.5)	16.1%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.69
Stoke City (-2.5)	5.2%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede	68.6%	72.5%	77.5%	0.94×	1.38
Preston North End clean sheet	31.4%	27.5%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End clean sheet in 1st half	60.8%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Preston North End to concede in 1st half	39.2%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End over 2.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Preston North End under 6.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Preston North End under 5.5 corners	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Preston North End over 3.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Preston North End under 4.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Preston North End over 4.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Preston North End under 3.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Preston North End over 5.5 corners	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Preston North End over 6.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Preston North End under 2.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Preston North End under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Preston North End under 1.5 goals	72.2%	72.0%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
Preston North End over 0.5 goals	64.6%	63.0%	69.4%	0.91×	1.59
Preston North End under 0.5 goals	35.4%	37.0%	30.6%	1.21×	2.70
Preston North End over 1.5 goals	27.8%	28.0%	30.1%	0.93×	3.57
Preston North End over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.03
Preston North End over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	2.2%	1.10×	40.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Preston North End under 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Preston North End over 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Preston North End over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (away no bet)	53.3%	51.2%	61.2%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.7%	48.8%	38.8%	1.26×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End even goals	56.3%	56.9%	52.6%	1.08×	1.76
Preston North End odd goals	43.7%	43.1%	47.4%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.5%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Stoke City to score 2+ in a row	26.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Preston North End to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Stoke City to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.73
Preston North End to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.89

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Stoke City corners (+2.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Stoke City corners (+1.5)	83.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Stoke City corners (-1.5)	63.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City corners (-2.5)	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Preston North End corners (+3.5)	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Stoke City corners (-3.5)	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Preston North End corners (+2.5)	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Preston North End corners (+1.5)	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Preston North End corners (-1.5)	16.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Preston North End corners (-2.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Preston North End corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	58.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	21.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
0-8 corners	20.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	85.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 8.5 corners	79.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	73.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	66.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 11.5 corners	58.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 12.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	41.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	34.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 9.5 corners	26.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 8.5 corners	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	14.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.9%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.72
0-0	12.7%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
1-0	11.3%	11.5%	11.1%	1.03×	8.73
0-1	10.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.48
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.49
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.49
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.47
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City leading at HT (DNB)	55.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Preston North End leading at HT (DNB)	44.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or draw (1X)	69.1%	69.6%	71.0%	0.98×	1.44
Stoke City or Preston North End (12)	67.7%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Preston North End or draw (X2)	63.1%	63.6%	56.5%	1.12×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or draw at HT	77.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Preston North End or draw at HT	71.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Stoke City or Preston North End at HT	50.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or draw (1UP)	69.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Preston North End or draw (1UP)	63.1%	71.8%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City or draw in 2nd half	71.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Preston North End or draw in 2nd half	69.6%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Stoke City or Preston North End in 2nd half	58.6%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	31.3%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (DNB)	54.4%	51.0%	60.0%	0.85×	1.96
Preston North End (DNB)	45.6%	49.0%	40.0%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score first	46.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Preston North End to score first	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	12.7%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.1%	51.4%	45.8%	1.12×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.9%	48.6%	54.2%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.5%	44.3%	37.3%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.9%	34.3%	39.9%	0.86×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	14.9%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	6.7%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.0%	89.1%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.0%	10.9%	11.0%	0.99×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score in both halves	3.0%	5.0%	—	—	20.14

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.21

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	34.0%	30.8%	25.9%	1.19×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.2%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
Preston North End to score exactly 0	35.4%	36.0%	30.6%	1.18×	2.78
Preston North End to score exactly 2	19.1%	19.6%	20.7%	0.95×	5.11
Preston North End to score 3+	8.7%	8.5%	9.5%	0.90×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	36.9%	0.96×	2.81
Stoke City to score exactly 0	31.4%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.06
Stoke City to score exactly 2	21.0%	23.2%	24.6%	0.95×	4.31
Stoke City to score 3+	11.1%	14.3%	16.2%	0.89×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Stoke City leading at HT	28.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Preston North End leading at HT	22.4%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City -1: 2	63.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Stoke City -1: X	20.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Stoke City -1: 1	16.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:1)	63.1%	61.5%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12
Stoke City (0:1)	16.1%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:2)	83.9%	82.8%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.9%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.13
Stoke City (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:3)	94.8%	92.6%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.11
Stoke City (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.63
Stoke City (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (1:0)	69.1%	70.0%	71.0%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.5%	17.0%	17.3%	0.99×	5.87
Preston North End (1:0)	12.4%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (2:0)	87.6%	88.4%	88.1%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.8%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.48
Preston North End (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.16

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	30.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede	64.6%	63.5%	69.4%	0.91×	1.58
Stoke City clean sheet	35.4%	36.5%	30.6%	1.19×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 1st half	66.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Stoke City to concede in 1st half	34.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City over 2.5 corners	93.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Stoke City over 3.5 corners	87.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Stoke City over 4.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Stoke City over 5.5 corners	70.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Stoke City over 6.5 corners	61.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Stoke City under 6.5 corners	38.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Stoke City under 5.5 corners	29.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Stoke City under 4.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Stoke City under 3.5 corners	12.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.30
Stoke City under 2.5 corners	6.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Stoke City under 2.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Stoke City over 0.5 goals	68.6%	67.9%	77.5%	0.88×	1.47
Stoke City under 1.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	59.4%	1.14×	1.47
Stoke City over 1.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	40.6%	0.79×	3.11
Stoke City under 0.5 goals	31.4%	32.1%	22.5%	1.43×	3.11
Stoke City over 2.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	16.2%	0.79×	7.86
Stoke City over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Stoke City under 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Stoke City over 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Stoke City over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	4.7%	—	—	21.25

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.1%	51.6%	48.7%	1.06×	1.94
Preston North End (home no bet)	48.9%	48.4%	51.3%	0.94×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City even goals	54.9%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Stoke City odd goals	45.1%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
HT 1-0	19.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
Any other HT score	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Stoke City at HT / Stoke City at FT	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Preston North End at HT / Preston North End at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Stoke City at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Preston North End at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Stoke City at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Preston North End at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Stoke City at HT / Preston North End at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Preston North End at HT / Stoke City at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score last	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Preston North End to score last	41.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	12.7%	9.5%	—	—	10.51

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.3%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Stoke City to lead by 1 at any time	51.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Preston North End to lead by 1 at any time	46.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Stoke City to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Preston North End to lead by 2 at any time	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Stoke City to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Preston North End to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	—	—	59.90

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City most corners	71.2%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Preston North End most corners	22.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	6.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.5%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.5%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.3%	69.0%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.3%	68.9%	72.8%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.5%	63.4%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.2%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.7%	48.7%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.9%	39.1%	47.1%	0.83×	2.56
3-5 goals	35.1%	39.1%	44.5%	0.88×	2.56
3-4 goals	30.4%	35.4%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.2%	18.6%	22.4%	0.83×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.5%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.5%	8.7%	8.1%	1.08×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.4%	1.85×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City never behind	41.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Preston North End never behind	35.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.5%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.3%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.0%	82.4%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	66.0%	66.2%	74.1%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	62.4%	61.8%	51.6%	1.20×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.6%	38.2%	48.4%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.0%	33.8%	25.9%	1.30×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	18.0%	17.6%	23.7%	0.74×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	12.7%	12.4%	7.3%	1.69×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	9.4%	0.83×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.5%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.4%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.9%	92.5%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.6%	75.9%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.5%	51.8%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.5%	48.2%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.4%	24.1%	31.5%	0.77×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.1%	7.5%	10.9%	0.69×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.6%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.86

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.1%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.9%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to score in both halves	84.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Stoke City not to score in both halves	81.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Stoke City to score in both halves	18.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Preston North End to score in both halves	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.9%	50.5%	54.2%	0.93×	1.98
Only Stoke City scores	22.7%	22.3%	23.4%	0.96×	4.48
Only Preston North End scores	18.7%	16.1%	15.3%	1.05×	6.22
Neither team scores	12.7%	10.9%	7.3%	1.50×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	21.3%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.6%	17.4%	24.7%	0.70×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	12.7%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	10.8%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	4.7%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.5%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	28.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win both halves	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Stoke City not to win both halves	91.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Stoke City to win both halves	8.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Preston North End to win both halves	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to win neither half	55.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Stoke City to win neither half	50.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Stoke City to win either half	49.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Preston North End to win either half	44.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win to nil	81.3%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.20
Stoke City not to win to nil	77.3%	78.1%	76.6%	1.02×	1.28
Stoke City to win to nil	22.7%	21.9%	23.4%	0.94×	4.56
Preston North End to win to nil	18.7%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.3%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Stoke City by 1	20.8%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
Preston North End by 1	18.5%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.91
Stoke City by 2	10.9%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.48
Preston North End by 2	8.8%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.78
Stoke City by 3+	5.2%	7.2%	8.1%	0.90×	13.80
Preston North End by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	36.98