Strasbourg v Auxerre — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Strasbourg

14:00 UTC

Auxerre

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 195h before kick-off

Strasbourg win

53.6%

model 54.9%

Draw

23.2%

model 22.2%

Auxerre win

23.2%

model 22.9%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.8%
2-0 8.4%
3-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.5%	Under 2.5	40.5%
BTTS yes	58.7%	BTTS no	41.3%
Strasbourg 1+	85.3%	Strasbourg 2+	57.2%
Auxerre 1+	68.8%	Auxerre 2+	32.5%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

96/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Strasbourg or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 69%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Strasbourg not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 84%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1509.
Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Auxerre have allowed 1.97.
At home Strasbourg average 1.27 xG a match.

Risk factors

Strasbourg have scored 2.00 a match from 1.39 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Strasbourg have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for Auxerre and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.92 for Strasbourg and 1.17 for Auxerre.

Why Strasbourg

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1509. Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Auxerre have allowed 1.97. At home Strasbourg average 1.27 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Auxerre can win

Auxerre have created 1.41 xG a match over their last five while Strasbourg have allowed 1.84. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. Away from home Auxerre average 1.28 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Strasbourg were missing 1.52 expected goal involvements a match against 0.85.

Key players

Strasbourg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Julio Enciso (0.42), Martial Godo (0.31), Sebastian Nanasi (0.29). Auxerre's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Cameron Archer (0.54), Lassine Sinayoko (0.49), Danny Namaso (0.37).

Availability

3 of Strasbourg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 91% of Strasbourg's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Auxerre's top three contributors did not start their last match. Auxerre changed goalkeeper for their last match. 36% of Auxerre's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Strasbourg: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Auxerre: 42% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Strasbourg are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 96/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Strasbourg are finishing sharply above their chances — 6.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DWWLWWDLLL last 10 scored 20 from 13.9 xG conceded 21 from 18.4 xG

Auxerre are finishing above their chances — 3.9 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WWWLLLWWLW last 10 scored 18 from 14.1 xG conceded 19 from 19.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552223	1.92–1.17	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592219	1.87–0.94	1-0 11%	53%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win	56.1%	54.0%	46.2%	1.17×	1.85
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09
Auxerre to win	22.0%	24.4%	31.4%	0.78×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & both teams score	28.5%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Strasbourg & not both score	27.5%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.57
Auxerre & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.54
Auxerre & not both score	9.8%	8.3%	15.6%	0.53×	12.00
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	6.3%	0.77×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & over 1.5	47.1%	45.1%	36.1%	1.25×	2.22
Strasbourg & over 2.5	38.4%	34.9%	28.8%	1.21×	2.87
Strasbourg & under 3.5	33.2%	30.8%	29.5%	1.04×	3.25
Strasbourg & over 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	16.8%	1.29×	4.63
Strasbourg & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	17.6%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Auxerre & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.56
Auxerre & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.8%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Auxerre & over 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Strasbourg & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Auxerre & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	11.7%	0.68×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Auxerre & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	11.2%	0.71×	12.63
Auxerre & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1UP)	70.4%	75.3%	59.1%	1.27×	1.33
Auxerre (1UP)	41.2%	38.4%	48.9%	0.79×	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2UP)	56.1%	54.9%	48.2%	1.14×	1.82
Auxerre (2UP)	22.0%	23.3%	33.7%	0.69×	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win 2nd half	53.2%	51.3%	41.9%	1.22×	1.95
2nd half drawn	29.6%	25.9%	31.3%	0.83×	3.86
Auxerre to win 2nd half	17.2%	18.1%	27.0%	0.67×	5.52

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	87.1%	82.2%	1.06×	1.15
Auxerre under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	54.5%	49.7%	1.10×	1.84
Auxerre over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	45.5%	50.3%	0.91×	2.20
Auxerre over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	12.9%	17.8%	0.73×	7.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	74.0%	62.1%	1.19×	1.35
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	63.4%	75.5%	0.84×	1.58
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	36.6%	24.5%	1.50×	2.73
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	26.0%	37.9%	0.69×	3.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre (+2.5)	84.3%	82.5%	90.1%	0.92×	1.21
Strasbourg (+0.5)	78.0%	78.5%	68.6%	1.14×	1.27
Auxerre (+1.5)	67.2%	68.7%	75.5%	0.91×	1.46
Strasbourg (-0.5)	56.1%	57.0%	46.2%	1.24×	1.75
Auxerre (+0.5)	43.9%	43.0%	53.8%	0.80×	2.33
Strasbourg (-1.5)	32.8%	31.3%	24.5%	1.28×	3.19
Auxerre (-0.5)	22.0%	21.5%	31.4%	0.68×	4.65
Strasbourg (-2.5)	15.7%	17.5%	9.9%	1.77×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre to concede	85.6%	86.3%	78.2%	1.10×	1.16
Auxerre clean sheet	14.4%	13.7%	21.8%	0.63×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre clean sheet in 1st half	51.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Auxerre to concede in 1st half	48.7%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre to concede in 2nd half	71.9%	70.9%	62.1%	1.14×	1.41
Auxerre clean sheet in 2nd half	28.1%	29.1%	37.9%	0.77×	3.44

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre under 6.5 corners	78.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Auxerre over 2.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Auxerre under 5.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Auxerre over 3.5 corners	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Auxerre under 4.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Auxerre over 4.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Auxerre under 3.5 corners	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Auxerre over 5.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Auxerre under 2.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Auxerre over 6.5 corners	21.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	93.7%	1.04×	1.03
Auxerre under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	84.5%	1.04×	1.14
Auxerre under 1.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	63.1%	1.08×	1.47
Auxerre over 0.5 goals	67.8%	68.0%	70.2%	0.97×	1.47
Auxerre under 0.5 goals	32.2%	32.0%	29.8%	1.07×	3.12
Auxerre over 1.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	36.9%	0.87×	3.13
Auxerre over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	15.5%	0.79×	8.21
Auxerre over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	6.3%	0.40×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre under 1.5 in 1st half	89.6%	89.3%	87.8%	1.02×	1.12
Auxerre under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	62.0%	58.0%	1.07×	1.61
Auxerre over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	38.0%	42.0%	0.90×	2.63
Auxerre over 1.5 in 1st half	10.4%	10.7%	12.2%	0.88×	9.32

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre scores equally in both	43.4%	43.7%	41.0%	1.07×	2.29
Auxerre scores more in 2nd half	29.7%	26.3%	34.5%	0.76×	3.80
Auxerre scores more in 1st half	26.9%	26.2%	24.6%	1.06×	3.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (away no bet)	71.8%	68.4%	67.2%	1.02×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.2%	31.6%	32.8%	0.96×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre even goals	55.2%	56.9%	55.8%	1.02×	1.76
Auxerre odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	44.2%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.0%	82.9%	82.6%	1.00×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.0%	17.1%	17.4%	0.99×	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	67.3%	65.9%	1.02×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.3%	32.7%	34.1%	0.96×	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.1%	60.1%	60.6%	0.99×	1.66
Strasbourg to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	46.2%	38.6%	1.20×	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.98
Auxerre to score 2+ in a row	21.7%	19.6%	28.1%	0.70×	5.10
Strasbourg to score 3+ in a row	21.3%	19.6%	13.7%	1.43×	5.10
Auxerre to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	9.2%	0.60×	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg corners (+3.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Strasbourg corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Strasbourg corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Auxerre corners (+3.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Auxerre corners (+2.5)	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Auxerre corners (+1.5)	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Strasbourg corners (-1.5)	46.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Strasbourg corners (-2.5)	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Strasbourg corners (-3.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Auxerre corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Auxerre corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Auxerre corners (-3.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
1-0	9.0%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	3.5%	2.09×	13.51
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.0%	1.22×	13.51
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
4-1	3.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.81×	58.32
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2nd half DNB)	75.5%	79.5%	60.8%	1.31×	1.26
Auxerre (2nd half DNB)	24.5%	20.5%	39.2%	0.52×	4.88

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg leading at HT (DNB)	56.6%	57.1%	54.2%	1.05×	1.75
Auxerre leading at HT (DNB)	43.4%	42.9%	45.8%	0.94×	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw (1X)	78.0%	75.6%	68.6%	1.10×	1.32
Strasbourg or Auxerre (12)	78.0%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Auxerre or draw (X2)	43.9%	46.0%	53.8%	0.86×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw at HT	74.6%	75.0%	71.7%	1.05×	1.33
Auxerre or draw at HT	67.0%	67.1%	66.5%	1.01×	1.49
Strasbourg or Auxerre at HT	58.4%	57.2%	61.7%	0.93×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw (1UP)	78.0%	84.1%	73.1%	1.15×	1.19
Auxerre or draw (1UP)	43.9%	52.7%	61.6%	0.86×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw in 2nd half	82.8%	81.9%	73.0%	1.12×	1.22
Strasbourg or Auxerre in 2nd half	70.4%	74.1%	68.7%	1.08×	1.35
Auxerre or draw in 2nd half	46.8%	48.7%	58.1%	0.84×	2.05

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.9%	58.5%	56.9%	1.03×	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.1%	41.5%	43.1%	0.96×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (DNB)	71.9%	71.5%	59.5%	1.20×	1.40
Auxerre (DNB)	28.2%	28.5%	40.5%	0.70×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score first	60.2%	64.4%	50.4%	1.28×	1.55
Auxerre to score first	35.2%	32.6%	43.4%	0.75×	3.07
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.1%	55.0%	54.7%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.9%	45.0%	45.3%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.9%	44.3%	45.0%	0.99×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.5%	34.5%	35.3%	0.98×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.9%	82.6%	84.5%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.1%	17.4%	15.5%	1.12×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.0%	67.5%	69.5%	0.97×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.0%	32.5%	30.5%	1.07×	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.1%	54.8%	57.2%	0.96×	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.5%	27.1%	24.2%	1.12×	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	12.4%	0.87×	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	6.5%	1.05×	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.5%	81.1%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.5%	18.9%	18.7%	1.01×	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.3%	57.4%	59.7%	0.96×	1.74
A half without a goal	40.7%	42.6%	40.3%	1.06×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.2%	30.7%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.9%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.94
7+ goals	3.7%	1.8%	3.7%	0.50×	54.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	33.5%	1.07×	2.78
Auxerre to score exactly 0	32.2%	33.8%	29.8%	1.14×	2.96
Auxerre to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.3%	21.5%	1.04×	4.49
Auxerre to score 3+	10.7%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score 3+	30.6%	32.5%	22.6%	1.44×	3.07
Strasbourg to score exactly 1	27.9%	26.5%	31.9%	0.83×	3.77
Strasbourg to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	24.0%	1.10×	3.77
Strasbourg to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	21.8%	0.66×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.6%	42.8%	38.3%	1.12×	2.33
Strasbourg leading at HT	33.0%	32.9%	33.5%	0.98×	3.04
Auxerre leading at HT	25.4%	25.0%	28.3%	0.88×	4.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg -1: 2	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Strasbourg -1: 1	32.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Strasbourg -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre (0:1)	43.9%	42.7%	53.8%	0.79×	2.34
Strasbourg (0:1)	32.8%	30.1%	24.5%	1.23×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.2%	21.8%	1.11×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre (0:2)	67.2%	72.2%	75.5%	0.96×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	14.7%	1.04×	6.54
Strasbourg (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	9.9%	1.55×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre (0:3)	84.3%	85.4%	90.1%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.5%	5.8%	5.9%	0.99×	17.18
Strasbourg (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	4.1%	1.41×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre (0:4)	93.7%	94.5%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.64
Strasbourg (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1:0)	78.0%	78.7%	68.6%	1.15×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.7%	14.7%	0.86×	7.87
Auxerre (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2:0)	91.6%	94.0%	83.2%	1.13×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	9.9%	0.64×	15.71
Auxerre (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.5%	50.4%	48.2%	1.04×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	24.8%	24.5%	26.0%	0.94×	4.08
Halves equal	22.7%	24.5%	26.0%	0.94×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede	67.8%	66.7%	70.2%	0.95×	1.50
Strasbourg clean sheet	32.2%	33.3%	29.8%	1.12×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	62.0%	58.0%	1.07×	1.61
Strasbourg to concede in 1st half	42.1%	38.0%	42.0%	0.90×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg clean sheet in 2nd half	55.5%	54.9%	49.7%	1.10×	1.82
Strasbourg to concede in 2nd half	44.5%	45.1%	50.3%	0.90×	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg over 2.5 corners	84.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Strasbourg over 3.5 corners	72.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Strasbourg under 6.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Strasbourg over 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Strasbourg under 5.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Strasbourg over 5.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Strasbourg under 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Strasbourg over 6.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Strasbourg under 3.5 corners	27.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Strasbourg under 2.5 corners	15.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	91.6%	0.95×	1.15
Strasbourg over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	78.2%	1.12×	1.15
Strasbourg under 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	77.4%	0.88×	1.47
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	46.5%	1.26×	1.71
Strasbourg under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	53.5%	0.77×	2.42
Strasbourg over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	22.6%	1.42×	3.12
Strasbourg under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	21.8%	0.58×	7.84
Strasbourg over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	8.4%	1.52×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 1st half	85.6%	90.2%	87.2%	1.03×	1.11
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	50.4%	51.8%	0.97×	1.98
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	49.6%	48.2%	1.03×	2.02
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 1st half	14.4%	9.8%	12.8%	0.77×	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg scores more in 2nd half	51.0%	57.3%	40.9%	1.40×	1.75
Strasbourg scores equally in both	29.5%	27.8%	36.6%	0.76×	3.60
Strasbourg scores more in 1st half	19.5%	16.5%	22.7%	0.73×	6.07

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.0%	51.3%	41.8%	1.23×	1.95
Auxerre (home no bet)	50.0%	48.7%	58.2%	0.84×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg even goals	51.0%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Strasbourg odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.7%	28.3%	28.5%	0.99×	3.53
HT 1-0	19.8%	18.7%	21.5%	0.87×	5.36
HT 0-1	16.2%	18.6%	16.8%	1.11×	5.38
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	9.4%	1.16×	9.13
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	6.8%	1.02×	14.48
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	41.98
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.4%	5.2%	0.46×	42.01
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	3.2%	0.73×	42.06
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.10
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg at HT / Strasbourg at FT	28.6%	27.4%	27.7%	0.99×	3.64
Draw at HT / Strasbourg at FT	22.1%	21.6%	15.0%	1.44×	4.62
Auxerre at HT / Auxerre at FT	13.7%	12.7%	18.9%	0.67×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.3%	12.7%	12.7%	1.00×	7.90
Draw at HT / Auxerre at FT	7.2%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.62
Auxerre at HT / Draw at FT	6.3%	6.0%	6.0%	0.99×	16.64
Auxerre at HT / Strasbourg at FT	5.3%	6.0%	3.7%	1.63×	16.67
Strasbourg at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	4.1%	0.84×	28.67
Strasbourg at HT / Auxerre at FT	1.0%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score last	60.1%	62.0%	52.9%	1.17×	1.61
Auxerre to score last	35.2%	38.6%	40.9%	0.94×	2.59
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Strasbourg to lead by 1 at any time	70.4%	74.0%	59.1%	1.25×	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.97
Auxerre to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.1%	48.9%	0.80×	2.56
Strasbourg to lead by 2 at any time	40.2%	39.1%	30.0%	1.30×	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.09
Strasbourg to lead by 3 at any time	18.8%	15.0%	11.7%	1.28×	6.69
Auxerre to lead by 2 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	21.7%	0.48×	9.54
Auxerre to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	8.3%	0.20×	61.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg most corners	56.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Auxerre most corners	34.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.4%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.7%	78.7%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.5%	59.1%	59.4%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.6%	59.1%	51.5%	1.15×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.2%	53.2%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	43.4%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.2%	38.2%	1.03×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.1%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.2%	35.2%	30.8%	1.14×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.8%	30.2%	26.0%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.0%	18.8%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	3.7%	2.6%	3.7%	0.69×	39.06

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg never behind	54.2%	62.6%	51.1%	1.22×	1.60
Auxerre never behind	25.0%	29.8%	40.9%	0.73×	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.8%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.2%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	51.5%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	48.5%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	77.6%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.1%	61.7%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.3%	58.6%	55.0%	1.07×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.7%	41.4%	45.0%	0.92×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.9%	38.3%	34.4%	1.11×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	17.0%	1.04×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	22.4%	0.79×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	8.6%	0.90×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.1%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.8%	86.7%	90.7%	0.96×	1.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.2%	75.9%	79.5%	0.95×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.9%	75.9%	71.0%	1.07×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.5%	51.9%	56.7%	0.92×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.5%	48.1%	43.3%	1.11×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.1%	24.1%	29.0%	0.83×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.8%	24.1%	20.5%	1.18×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.2%	13.3%	9.3%	1.42×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.9%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.2%	87.5%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	71.5%	71.5%	1.00×	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.5%	66.5%	1.03×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.5%	33.5%	0.94×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	28.5%	28.5%	1.00×	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.8%	12.5%	0.86×	9.24

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	83.3%	81.9%	1.02×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.5%	75.4%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	54.8%	49.9%	1.10×	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	45.2%	50.1%	0.90×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.5%	24.6%	0.91×	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	16.7%	18.1%	0.92×	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre not to score in both halves	81.3%	84.2%	77.9%	1.08×	1.19
Strasbourg not to score in both halves	65.0%	63.7%	67.8%	0.94×	1.57
Strasbourg to score in both halves	35.0%	36.3%	32.2%	1.13×	2.76
Auxerre to score in both halves	18.7%	15.8%	22.1%	0.71×	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.1%	58.6%	54.7%	1.07×	1.71
Only Strasbourg scores	27.5%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Only Auxerre scores	9.8%	7.1%	15.6%	0.46×	14.02
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.8%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.1%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	6.3%	0.70×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	38.2%	0.98×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.7%	28.5%	28.5%	1.00×	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.3%	10.7%	12.5%	0.86×	9.32

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.5%	54.0%	49.9%	1.08×	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	29.3%	32.2%	0.91×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	15.6%	16.4%	18.1%	0.90×	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre not to win both halves	95.6%	97.1%	90.7%	1.07×	1.03
Strasbourg not to win both halves	82.4%	83.8%	83.6%	1.00×	1.19
Strasbourg to win both halves	17.6%	16.2%	16.4%	0.99×	6.17
Auxerre to win both halves	4.4%	2.9%	9.3%	0.31×	35.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win either half	68.6%	67.8%	59.0%	1.15×	1.48
Auxerre to win neither half	61.8%	65.1%	54.0%	1.21×	1.54
Auxerre to win either half	38.2%	34.9%	46.0%	0.76×	2.86
Strasbourg to win neither half	31.4%	32.2%	41.0%	0.79×	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Auxerre not to win to nil	90.2%	92.1%	84.4%	1.09×	1.09
Strasbourg not to win to nil	72.5%	75.3%	76.4%	0.99×	1.33
Strasbourg to win to nil	27.5%	24.7%	23.6%	1.05×	4.05
Auxerre to win to nil	9.8%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg by 1	23.2%	24.1%	21.8%	1.10×	4.15
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Strasbourg by 2	17.1%	17.0%	14.7%	1.16×	5.87
Strasbourg by 3+	15.7%	17.0%	9.9%	1.72×	5.87
Auxerre by 1	13.6%	11.8%	14.7%	0.80×	8.51
Auxerre by 2	5.9%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.91
Auxerre by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.83