Strasbourg v Brest — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Strasbourg

14:00 UTC

Brest

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 699h before kick-off

Strasbourg win

45.3%

model 44.4%

Draw

23.8%

model 22.7%

Brest win

30.9%

model 33.0%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.8%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.5%
2-2 6.8%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.8%	Under 2.5	35.2%
BTTS yes	65.5%	BTTS no	34.5%
Strasbourg 1+	83.5%	Strasbourg 2+	53.8%
Brest 1+	78.4%	Brest 2+	45.2%

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 87%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1508.
Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Brest have allowed 1.34.
At home Strasbourg average 1.27 xG a match.

Risk factors

Strasbourg have scored 2.00 a match from 1.39 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Strasbourg have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Brest and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.80 for Strasbourg and 1.53 for Brest.

Why Strasbourg

Strasbourg carry the stronger rating, 1593 Elo against 1508. Strasbourg have created 1.39 xG a match over their last five while Brest have allowed 1.34. At home Strasbourg average 1.27 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Brest can win

Brest have created 2.08 xG a match over their last five while Strasbourg have allowed 1.84. Away from home Brest average 1.37 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Strasbourg were missing 1.51 expected goal involvements a match against 0.51.

Key players

Strasbourg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Julio Enciso (0.42), Martial Godo (0.31), Sebastian Nanasi (0.29). Brest's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ludovic Ajorque (0.46), Kamory Doumbia (0.41), Romain Del Castillo (0.34).

Availability

3 of Strasbourg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 91% of Strasbourg's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Brest's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Strasbourg: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Brest: 44% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Strasbourg are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Strasbourg are finishing sharply above their chances — 6.2 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DWWLWWDLLL last 10 scored 20 from 13.9 xG conceded 21 from 18.4 xG

Brest are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LDDDWLLWDL last 10 scored 16 from 22.8 xG conceded 15 from 12.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442333	1.80–1.53	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442333	1.71–1.45	1-1 11%	61%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win	48.4%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
Brest to win	28.9%	27.9%	31.4%	0.89×	3.58
Draw	22.7%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & both teams score	27.3%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Strasbourg & not both score	21.2%	21.8%	23.6%	0.92×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Brest & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.57
Brest & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	15.6%	0.85×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	6.3%	0.77×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg & over 1.5	41.1%	40.2%	36.1%	1.11×	2.49
Strasbourg & over 2.5	34.3%	30.8%	28.8%	1.07×	3.25
Strasbourg & under 3.5	27.6%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Brest & over 1.5	23.4%	21.6%	25.4%	0.85×	4.63
Strasbourg & over 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	16.8%	1.29×	4.63
Brest & over 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Brest & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Strasbourg & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Brest & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	11.2%	1.14×	7.79
Brest & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	11.7%	0.68×	12.63
Strasbourg & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63
Brest & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1UP)	65.4%	70.0%	59.1%	1.18×	1.43
Brest (1UP)	49.0%	44.0%	48.9%	0.90×	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2UP)	48.4%	50.2%	48.2%	1.04×	1.99
Brest (2UP)	28.9%	25.3%	33.7%	0.75×	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.7%	41.9%	1.09×	2.19
2nd half drawn	32.0%	34.3%	31.3%	1.10×	2.91
Brest to win 2nd half	22.8%	24.1%	27.0%	0.89×	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	84.4%	82.2%	1.03×	1.19
Brest under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	52.3%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
Brest over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	47.7%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
Brest over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	15.6%	17.8%	0.88×	6.40

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.0%	70.7%	75.5%	0.94×	1.41
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	70.6%	62.1%	1.14×	1.42
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	29.4%	37.9%	0.78×	3.40
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.0%	29.3%	24.5%	1.19×	3.42

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (+2.5)	87.8%	88.5%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Brest (+1.5)	73.2%	73.7%	75.5%	0.98×	1.36
Strasbourg (+0.5)	71.1%	73.6%	68.6%	1.07×	1.36
Brest (+0.5)	51.6%	52.4%	53.8%	0.97×	1.91
Strasbourg (-0.5)	48.4%	47.6%	46.2%	1.03×	2.10
Brest (-0.5)	28.9%	26.4%	31.4%	0.84×	3.80
Strasbourg (-1.5)	26.8%	26.3%	24.5%	1.08×	3.80
Strasbourg (-2.5)	12.2%	11.5%	9.9%	1.17×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to concede	84.2%	81.6%	78.2%	1.04×	1.23
Brest clean sheet	15.8%	18.5%	21.8%	0.85×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to concede in 1st half	52.5%	50.7%	48.2%	1.05×	1.97
Brest clean sheet in 1st half	47.5%	49.3%	51.8%	0.95×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to concede in 2nd half	66.7%	65.7%	62.1%	1.06×	1.52
Brest clean sheet in 2nd half	33.3%	34.4%	37.9%	0.91×	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest under 6.5 corners	86.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Brest under 5.5 corners	78.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Brest under 4.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Brest over 2.5 corners	66.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Brest under 3.5 corners	51.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Brest over 3.5 corners	48.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Brest under 2.5 corners	33.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Brest over 4.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Brest over 5.5 corners	21.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Brest over 6.5 corners	13.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.4%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Brest under 2.5 goals	83.8%	81.5%	84.5%	0.96×	1.23
Brest over 0.5 goals	74.9%	71.9%	70.2%	1.02×	1.39
Brest under 1.5 goals	59.8%	59.4%	63.1%	0.94×	1.68
Brest over 1.5 goals	40.2%	40.6%	36.9%	1.10×	2.47
Brest under 0.5 goals	25.1%	28.1%	29.8%	0.94×	3.56
Brest over 2.5 goals	16.2%	18.5%	15.5%	1.20×	5.40
Brest over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	6.3%	1.21×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	83.4%	87.8%	0.95×	1.20
Brest over 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	55.5%	42.0%	1.32×	1.80
Brest under 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	44.5%	58.0%	0.77×	2.25
Brest over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	16.6%	12.2%	1.36×	6.02

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest scores equally in both	38.6%	37.4%	41.0%	0.91×	2.67
Brest scores more in 1st half	30.9%	33.4%	24.6%	1.35×	3.00
Brest scores more in 2nd half	30.5%	33.3%	34.5%	0.97×	3.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (away no bet)	68.1%	66.4%	67.2%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.9%	33.6%	32.8%	1.02×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest even goals	53.2%	52.6%	55.8%	0.94×	1.90
Brest odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.5%	81.2%	82.6%	0.98×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.5%	18.8%	17.4%	1.08×	5.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.0%	67.4%	65.9%	1.02×	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.0%	32.6%	34.1%	0.96×	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.5%	60.2%	60.6%	0.99×	1.66
Strasbourg to score 2+ in a row	44.8%	38.8%	38.6%	1.01×	2.58
Brest to score 2+ in a row	29.2%	25.2%	28.1%	0.90×	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.98
Strasbourg to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.3%	13.7%	1.18×	6.15
Brest to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.6%	9.2%	0.61×	17.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg corners (+3.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Strasbourg corners (+2.5)	84.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Strasbourg corners (+1.5)	77.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Brest corners (+3.5)	73.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Brest corners (+2.5)	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Brest corners (+1.5)	53.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Strasbourg corners (-1.5)	46.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Strasbourg corners (-2.5)	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Strasbourg corners (-3.5)	26.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Brest corners (-1.5)	22.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Brest corners (-2.5)	15.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Brest corners (-3.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 9.5 corners	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
1-0	7.3%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.51
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.51
0-1	5.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	6.0%	1.22×	13.51
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
1-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.31
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.30
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.81×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2nd half DNB)	66.5%	66.9%	60.8%	1.10×	1.50
Brest (2nd half DNB)	33.5%	33.1%	39.2%	0.85×	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg leading at HT (DNB)	52.4%	55.9%	54.2%	1.03×	1.79
Brest leading at HT (DNB)	47.6%	44.1%	45.8%	0.96×	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or Brest (12)	77.3%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Strasbourg or draw (1X)	71.1%	72.1%	68.6%	1.05×	1.39
Brest or draw (X2)	51.6%	52.6%	53.8%	0.98×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw at HT	70.3%	74.8%	71.7%	1.04×	1.34
Brest or draw at HT	67.3%	67.1%	66.5%	1.01×	1.49
Strasbourg or Brest at HT	62.3%	61.4%	61.7%	1.00×	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw (1UP)	71.1%	79.6%	73.1%	1.09×	1.26
Brest or draw (1UP)	51.6%	58.6%	61.6%	0.95×	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or draw in 2nd half	77.2%	75.9%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Strasbourg or Brest in 2nd half	68.0%	65.7%	68.7%	0.96×	1.52
Brest or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	54.3%	58.1%	0.94×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.6%	58.4%	56.9%	1.03×	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.4%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (DNB)	62.6%	62.7%	59.5%	1.05×	1.59
Brest (DNB)	37.4%	37.3%	40.5%	0.92×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score first	54.9%	53.5%	50.4%	1.06×	1.87
Brest to score first	41.1%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.0%	56.7%	54.7%	1.04×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.0%	43.3%	45.3%	0.96×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.9%	47.3%	45.0%	1.05×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.4%	33.3%	35.3%	0.95×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	10.2%	0.82×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.9%	79.7%	84.5%	0.94×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.1%	20.3%	15.5%	1.31×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.9%	67.4%	69.5%	0.97×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.1%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.3%	53.1%	57.2%	0.93×	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	24.4%	21.4%	24.2%	0.88×	4.68
Both score 1st half only	17.6%	15.0%	12.4%	1.21×	6.67
Both score in both halves	8.7%	6.8%	6.5%	1.05×	14.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.7%	79.6%	81.3%	0.98×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.3%	20.4%	18.7%	1.09×	4.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.5%	59.8%	59.7%	1.00×	1.67
A half without a goal	36.5%	40.2%	40.3%	1.00×	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.1%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.7%	35.1%	30.8%	1.14×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.8%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.94
7+ goals	4.6%	1.9%	3.7%	0.50×	54.04

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	33.5%	1.01×	2.95
Brest to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.4%	29.8%	0.92×	3.66
Brest to score exactly 2	24.0%	22.3%	21.5%	1.04×	4.48
Brest to score 3+	16.2%	19.6%	15.5%	1.26×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score exactly 1	29.2%	26.6%	31.9%	0.83×	3.77
Strasbourg to score 3+	28.1%	26.5%	22.6%	1.18×	3.77
Strasbourg to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	24.0%	1.10×	3.77
Strasbourg to score exactly 0	15.8%	18.8%	21.8%	0.86×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.7%	38.6%	38.3%	1.01×	2.59
Strasbourg leading at HT	32.7%	32.9%	33.5%	0.98×	3.04
Brest leading at HT	29.7%	25.2%	28.3%	0.89×	3.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg -1: 2	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Strasbourg -1: 1	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Strasbourg -1: X	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (0:1)	51.6%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Strasbourg (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	24.5%	1.10×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	21.8%	1.11×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (0:2)	73.2%	75.7%	75.5%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.7%	11.0%	14.7%	0.75×	9.09
Strasbourg (0:2)	12.2%	11.0%	9.9%	1.11×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (0:3)	87.8%	90.6%	90.1%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.6%	5.8%	5.9%	0.99×	17.21
Strasbourg (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (0:4)	95.4%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	2.8%	0.44×	81.76
Strasbourg (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1:0)	71.1%	72.4%	68.6%	1.06×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.2%	17.1%	14.7%	1.16×	5.85
Brest (1:0)	12.7%	12.7%	16.8%	0.76×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2:0)	87.3%	88.5%	83.2%	1.06×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.2%	6.4%	9.9%	0.65×	15.68
Brest (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.55

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.9%	48.7%	48.2%	1.01×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	31.2%	29.6%	26.0%	1.14×	3.38
Halves equal	23.0%	24.5%	26.0%	0.94×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede	74.9%	73.2%	70.2%	1.04×	1.37
Strasbourg clean sheet	25.1%	26.8%	29.8%	0.90×	3.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede in 1st half	50.0%	55.5%	42.0%	1.32×	1.80
Strasbourg clean sheet in 1st half	50.0%	44.5%	58.0%	0.77×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg clean sheet in 2nd half	50.3%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
Strasbourg to concede in 2nd half	49.7%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg over 2.5 corners	79.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Strasbourg under 6.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Strasbourg over 3.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Strasbourg under 5.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Strasbourg over 4.5 corners	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Strasbourg under 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Strasbourg over 5.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Strasbourg under 3.5 corners	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Strasbourg over 6.5 corners	27.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Strasbourg under 2.5 corners	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 3.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	91.6%	0.95×	1.15
Strasbourg over 0.5 goals	84.2%	82.2%	78.2%	1.05×	1.22
Strasbourg under 2.5 goals	71.9%	74.2%	77.4%	0.96×	1.35
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals	55.0%	53.2%	46.5%	1.15×	1.88
Strasbourg under 1.5 goals	45.0%	46.8%	53.5%	0.87×	2.14
Strasbourg over 2.5 goals	28.1%	25.8%	22.6%	1.14×	3.88
Strasbourg under 0.5 goals	15.8%	17.8%	21.8%	0.81×	5.62
Strasbourg over 3.5 goals	11.6%	12.7%	8.4%	1.51×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	84.0%	87.2%	0.96×	1.19
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 1st half	52.5%	50.5%	48.2%	1.05×	1.98
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 1st half	47.5%	49.5%	51.8%	0.96×	2.02
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	16.0%	12.8%	1.25×	6.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg scores more in 2nd half	43.7%	42.3%	40.9%	1.04×	2.37
Strasbourg scores equally in both	31.7%	33.1%	36.6%	0.91×	3.02
Strasbourg scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.3%	22.7%	0.94×	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest (home no bet)	56.0%	56.4%	58.2%	0.97×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.0%	43.6%	41.8%	1.04×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg even goals	51.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Strasbourg odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.7%	24.4%	28.5%	0.86×	4.10
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	21.5%	0.87×	5.37
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.6%	16.8%	1.11×	5.37
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.0%	9.4%	1.16×	9.11
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	4.6%	1.51×	14.47
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	6.8%	1.02×	14.48
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	5.2%	1.34×	14.50
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.4%	3.2%	0.73×	42.00
HT 1-2	4.3%	2.4%	4.4%	0.54×	42.02
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.4%	0.7%	3.21×	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg at HT / Strasbourg at FT	27.0%	27.4%	27.7%	0.99×	3.66
Brest at HT / Brest at FT	18.8%	16.8%	18.9%	0.89×	5.97
Draw at HT / Strasbourg at FT	17.0%	16.7%	15.0%	1.11×	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.7%	12.7%	1.00×	7.90
Draw at HT / Brest at FT	8.6%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.58
Brest at HT / Draw at FT	6.5%	6.0%	6.0%	0.99×	16.64
Brest at HT / Strasbourg at FT	4.4%	3.5%	3.7%	0.95×	28.63
Strasbourg at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	4.1%	0.85×	28.64
Strasbourg at HT / Brest at FT	1.5%	3.5%	1.9%	1.82×	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score last	54.9%	52.3%	52.9%	0.99×	1.91
Brest to score last	41.1%	40.0%	40.9%	0.98×	2.50
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	6.4%	0.68×	23.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Strasbourg to lead by 1 at any time	65.4%	69.3%	59.1%	1.17×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.97
Brest to lead by 1 at any time	49.0%	44.6%	48.9%	0.91×	2.24
Strasbourg to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	29.9%	30.0%	1.00×	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.7%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.10
Brest to lead by 2 at any time	19.5%	15.0%	21.7%	0.69×	6.68
Strasbourg to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	11.7%	1.28×	6.71
Brest to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.7%	8.3%	0.81×	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg most corners	57.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Brest most corners	32.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.6%	78.7%	74.0%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.7%	72.4%	76.8%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.3%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.9%	59.1%	51.5%	1.15×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.7%	59.1%	59.4%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.7%	53.2%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	43.4%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	38.2%	1.14×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.7%	39.2%	30.8%	1.27×	2.55
1-2 goals	33.5%	35.2%	38.8%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.5%	30.2%	26.0%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.8%	18.8%	13.4%	1.40×	5.31
7+ goals	4.6%	2.6%	3.7%	0.70×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg never behind	47.0%	56.7%	51.1%	1.11×	1.77
Brest never behind	30.6%	36.1%	40.9%	0.88×	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	47.8%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	52.2%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.6%	51.5%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.4%	48.5%	1.00×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	50.1%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.2%	82.3%	77.6%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	83.0%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.5%	61.7%	55.0%	1.12×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	65.6%	0.89×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	34.4%	1.20×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	38.3%	45.0%	0.85×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	17.0%	1.34×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.8%	17.7%	22.4%	0.79×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	8.6%	1.45×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.1%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.8%	86.7%	90.7%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.8%	75.9%	71.0%	1.07×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.8%	72.4%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.8%	51.9%	43.3%	1.20×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.2%	48.1%	56.7%	0.85×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.2%	27.6%	20.5%	1.34×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.2%	24.1%	29.0%	0.83×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.2%	13.3%	9.3%	1.42×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.9%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.4%	85.8%	87.5%	0.98×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.3%	78.3%	71.5%	1.09×	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.9%	63.8%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.1%	36.2%	33.5%	1.08×	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.7%	28.5%	0.76×	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.6%	14.2%	12.5%	1.13×	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.2%	83.3%	81.9%	1.02×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.6%	75.4%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.0%	49.9%	1.06×	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	47.0%	50.1%	0.94×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.4%	24.6%	0.91×	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.8%	16.7%	18.1%	0.92×	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.4%	77.9%	1.01×	1.28
Strasbourg not to score in both halves	65.0%	63.7%	67.8%	0.94×	1.57
Strasbourg to score in both halves	35.0%	36.3%	32.2%	1.13×	2.76
Brest to score in both halves	24.9%	21.6%	22.1%	0.98×	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.0%	60.3%	54.7%	1.10×	1.66
Only Strasbourg scores	21.2%	22.2%	23.6%	0.94×	4.50
Only Brest scores	11.9%	11.0%	15.6%	0.71×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	20.8%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.7%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.9%	17.5%	17.6%	0.99×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.8%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.70×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.1%	35.8%	38.2%	0.94×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.6%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	28.5%	0.75×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.6%	15.7%	12.5%	1.25×	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.2%	49.9%	1.03×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	29.3%	32.2%	0.91×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	16.8%	16.4%	18.1%	0.90×	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest not to win both halves	93.2%	94.1%	90.7%	1.04×	1.06
Strasbourg not to win both halves	85.2%	87.9%	83.6%	1.05×	1.14
Strasbourg to win both halves	14.8%	12.1%	16.4%	0.74×	8.25
Brest to win both halves	6.8%	5.9%	9.3%	0.63×	17.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to win either half	63.1%	65.1%	59.0%	1.10×	1.54
Brest to win neither half	54.3%	54.3%	54.0%	1.01×	1.84
Brest to win either half	45.7%	45.7%	46.0%	0.99×	2.19
Strasbourg to win neither half	36.9%	34.9%	41.0%	0.85×	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Brest not to win to nil	88.2%	88.1%	84.4%	1.04×	1.14
Strasbourg not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Strasbourg to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.58
Brest to win to nil	11.9%	11.9%	15.6%	0.76×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	22.6%	1.07×	4.15
Strasbourg by 1	21.6%	24.1%	21.8%	1.10×	4.15
Brest by 1	16.2%	17.0%	14.7%	1.16×	5.87
Strasbourg by 2	14.7%	11.8%	14.7%	0.80×	8.50
Strasbourg by 3+	12.2%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.51
Brest by 2	8.2%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.90
Brest by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.76