Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

Strasbourg

09:00

Paris Saint Germain

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 965h before kick-off

Strasbourg win

28.2%

model 27.9%

Draw

21.9%

model 23.1%

Paris Saint Germain win

49.9%

model 49.0%

282250

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 7.3%
2-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.8%	Under 2.5	40.2%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
Strasbourg 1+	72.8%	Strasbourg 2+	37.4%
Paris Saint Germain 1+	83.4%	Paris Saint Germain 2+	53.5%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Paris Saint Germain or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 54%

72.3% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1552 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Paris Saint Germain not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 91%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 589 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Paris Saint Germain carry the stronger rating, 1808 Elo against 1640.

Risk factors

Strasbourg have scored 3.00 a match from 1.73 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Paris Saint Germain have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.2% for Strasbourg and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Strasbourg and 1.79 for Paris Saint Germain.

Why Strasbourg

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Strasbourg average 1.61 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Paris Saint Germain can win

Paris Saint Germain carry the stronger rating, 1808 Elo against 1640.

Key players

Strasbourg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Emanuel Emegha (0.46), Julio Enciso (0.43), Sebastian Nanasi (0.36). Paris Saint Germain's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Bradley Barcola (0.47), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (0.46), Ousmane Dembélé (0.46).

Availability

2 of Strasbourg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 73% of Strasbourg's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Paris Saint Germain's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Strasbourg: 52% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.19 xG a match from set pieces. Paris Saint Germain: 68% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.44 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Paris Saint Germain are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Strasbourg are finishing sharply above their chances — 5.8 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WLWLDWWLWW last 10 scored 23 from 17.3 xG conceded 21 from 20.7 xG

Paris Saint Germain are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDWWLDDL last 10 scored 16 from 19.8 xG conceded 10 from 12.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282349	1.30–1.79	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	242055	1.39–2.18	1-2 9%	69%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win	53.1%	51.4%	31.8%	1.62×	1.94
Strasbourg to win	24.7%	24.5%	45.6%	0.54×	4.09
Draw	22.2%	24.5%	22.8%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain & both teams score	28.5%	25.2%	15.9%	1.58×	3.97
Paris Saint Germain & not both score	24.6%	21.9%	16.1%	1.36×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Strasbourg & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.54
Strasbourg & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	23.7%	0.56×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	6.6%	0.74×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain & over 1.5	45.0%	40.4%	25.6%	1.58×	2.48
Paris Saint Germain & over 2.5	37.2%	34.9%	20.0%	1.75×	2.87
Paris Saint Germain & under 3.5	30.6%	30.9%	20.7%	1.49×	3.24
Paris Saint Germain & over 3.5	22.5%	21.7%	11.2%	1.93×	4.62
Strasbourg & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	35.7%	0.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Strasbourg & over 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	28.2%	0.64×	5.56
Strasbourg & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	28.9%	0.62×	5.56
Paris Saint Germain & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	12.0%	1.50×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.9%	16.5%	0.78×	7.77
Strasbourg & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.69
Strasbourg & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Paris Saint Germain & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Strasbourg & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	6.6%	0.73×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (1UP)	68.6%	70.0%	49.6%	1.41×	1.43
Strasbourg (1UP)	44.5%	39.6%	58.0%	0.68×	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (2UP)	53.1%	55.7%	34.2%	1.63×	1.80
Strasbourg (2UP)	24.7%	23.8%	47.1%	0.51×	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win 2nd half	44.3%	41.2%	26.8%	1.53×	2.43
2nd half drawn	31.5%	34.5%	31.2%	1.11×	2.90
Strasbourg to win 2nd half	24.2%	23.2%	42.1%	0.55×	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Paris Saint Germain (+1.5)	89.9%	88.5%	75.0%	1.18×	1.13
Paris Saint Germain (+0.5)	75.3%	78.4%	54.4%	1.44×	1.28
Paris Saint Germain (-0.5)	53.1%	52.3%	31.8%	1.64×	1.91
Strasbourg (+0.5)	46.9%	47.7%	68.2%	0.70×	2.10
Strasbourg (-0.5)	24.7%	21.6%	45.6%	0.47×	4.63
Strasbourg (-1.5)	10.1%	11.5%	25.0%	0.46×	8.71
Strasbourg (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	10.0%	0.37×	26.86

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to concede	71.2%	76.4%	77.5%	0.99×	1.31
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet	28.8%	23.6%	22.5%	1.05×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	64.7%	52.3%	1.24×	1.55
Paris Saint Germain to concede in 1st half	39.7%	35.3%	47.7%	0.74×	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Paris Saint Germain over 3.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Paris Saint Germain under 6.5 corners	66.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Paris Saint Germain over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Paris Saint Germain under 5.5 corners	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Paris Saint Germain over 5.5 corners	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Paris Saint Germain under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Paris Saint Germain over 6.5 corners	33.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Paris Saint Germain under 2.5 corners	17.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.9%	93.4%	0.94×	1.14
Paris Saint Germain over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.9%	69.9%	1.26×	1.14
Paris Saint Germain under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	84.6%	0.80×	1.47
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals	57.1%	59.5%	36.8%	1.62×	1.68
Paris Saint Germain under 1.5 goals	42.9%	40.5%	63.2%	0.64×	2.47
Paris Saint Germain over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	15.4%	2.07×	3.12
Paris Saint Germain under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.1%	30.1%	0.40×	8.24
Paris Saint Germain over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	6.6%	1.85×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	82.9%	87.2%	0.95×	1.21
Paris Saint Germain over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	62.2%	42.7%	1.46×	1.61
Paris Saint Germain under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	37.8%	57.3%	0.66×	2.65
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.1%	12.8%	1.34×	5.84

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (away no bet)	52.6%	51.2%	66.7%	0.77×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.4%	48.8%	33.3%	1.46×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain even goals	51.1%	52.8%	56.3%	0.94×	1.89
Paris Saint Germain odd goals	48.9%	47.2%	43.7%	1.08×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.2%	82.3%	83.0%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.8%	17.7%	17.0%	1.04×	5.65

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.1%	67.3%	65.5%	1.03×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.9%	32.7%	34.5%	0.95×	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.1%	60.0%	60.2%	1.00×	1.67
Paris Saint Germain to score 2+ in a row	47.7%	45.9%	28.1%	1.63×	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.3%	25.0%	22.6%	1.11×	4.00
Strasbourg to score 2+ in a row	24.9%	19.6%	38.1%	0.51×	5.11
Paris Saint Germain to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	9.2%	2.12×	5.14
Strasbourg to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	14.0%	0.40×	17.76

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Paris Saint Germain corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Paris Saint Germain corners (+1.5)	83.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Strasbourg corners (+3.5)	66.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Strasbourg corners (+2.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Paris Saint Germain corners (-1.5)	54.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Strasbourg corners (+1.5)	45.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Paris Saint Germain corners (-2.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Paris Saint Germain corners (-3.5)	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Strasbourg corners (-1.5)	16.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Strasbourg corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Strasbourg corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
9-11 corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	10.1%	1.13×	8.73
1-2	9.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.48
0-2	7.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.48
2-1	6.3%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.48
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.48
1-0	5.3%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
1-3	6.2%	7.4%	3.4%	2.16×	13.48
0-3	5.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.46
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.47
2-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.6%	0.22×	58.47
2-3	3.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.47
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.48
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	6.2%	0.27×	58.47
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.49
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.49
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.49
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
0-4	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain leading at HT (DNB)	65.0%	66.2%	46.8%	1.41×	1.51
Strasbourg leading at HT (DNB)	35.0%	33.8%	53.2%	0.64×	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg or Paris Saint Germain (12)	77.8%	75.6%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Paris Saint Germain or draw (X2)	75.3%	75.5%	54.4%	1.39×	1.32
Strasbourg or draw (1X)	46.9%	48.6%	68.2%	0.71×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw at HT	78.7%	79.9%	67.2%	1.19×	1.25
Strasbourg or Paris Saint Germain at HT	60.8%	62.0%	61.5%	1.01×	1.61
Strasbourg or draw at HT	60.5%	62.0%	71.1%	0.87×	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw (1UP)	75.3%	83.8%	62.2%	1.35×	1.19
Strasbourg or draw (1UP)	46.9%	52.7%	72.5%	0.73×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain or draw in 2nd half	75.8%	76.8%	57.9%	1.33×	1.30
Strasbourg or Paris Saint Germain in 2nd half	68.5%	65.5%	68.8%	0.95×	1.53
Strasbourg or draw in 2nd half	55.7%	58.8%	73.2%	0.80×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.1%	56.8%	1.02×	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	43.2%	0.97×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (DNB)	68.3%	67.2%	41.1%	1.63×	1.49
Strasbourg (DNB)	31.7%	32.8%	58.9%	0.56×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score first	58.1%	62.0%	44.3%	1.40×	1.61
Strasbourg to score first	37.7%	32.9%	49.3%	0.67×	3.04
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	6.6%	0.66×	23.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.7%	56.5%	54.0%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.3%	43.5%	46.0%	0.95×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.6%	47.0%	44.0%	1.07×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	28.7%	33.6%	35.7%	0.94×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	10.6%	12.3%	10.5%	1.18×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	10.1%	1.22×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.8%	80.0%	84.7%	0.94×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.2%	20.0%	15.3%	1.31×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.9%	66.2%	69.9%	0.95×	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.1%	33.8%	30.1%	1.12×	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.7%	55.8%	57.4%	0.97×	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.4%	26.5%	23.7%	1.12×	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	12.6%	0.85×	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.8%	6.6%	1.04×	14.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.1%	81.5%	81.0%	1.01×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.9%	18.5%	19.0%	0.97×	5.41

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.5%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
A half without a goal	38.5%	41.2%	40.6%	1.02×	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	43.4%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.7%	30.8%	30.7%	1.00×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.6%	20.2%	22.6%	0.89×	4.96
7+ goals	4.2%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score 3+	30.1%	33.8%	15.4%	2.19×	2.96
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 1	28.2%	27.4%	33.2%	0.83×	3.65
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	21.5%	1.27×	3.65
Paris Saint Germain to score exactly 0	14.7%	12.8%	30.1%	0.43×	7.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Strasbourg to score exactly 0	28.8%	26.5%	22.5%	1.18×	3.77
Strasbourg to score exactly 2	22.3%	23.2%	23.1%	1.01×	4.30
Strasbourg to score 3+	13.0%	14.3%	22.9%	0.62×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain leading at HT	39.5%	38.0%	28.9%	1.32×	2.63
Draw at HT	39.2%	38.0%	38.5%	0.99×	2.64
Strasbourg leading at HT	21.3%	20.1%	32.8%	0.61×	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain -1: 1	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Paris Saint Germain -1: 2	30.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Paris Saint Germain -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:1)	75.3%	73.7%	54.4%	1.35×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.6%	13.9%	20.7%	0.67×	7.21
Strasbourg (0:1)	10.1%	13.8%	25.0%	0.55×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:2)	89.9%	87.0%	75.0%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	6.8%	7.7%	15.1%	0.51×	12.95
Strasbourg (0:2)	3.3%	3.8%	10.0%	0.38×	26.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.4%	2.4%	6.1%	0.39×	42.16
Strasbourg (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.7%	0.45×	83.61
Strasbourg (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.6%	0.77×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (1:0)	46.9%	49.6%	68.2%	0.73×	2.02
Paris Saint Germain (1:0)	30.6%	30.2%	16.8%	1.79×	3.31
Draw (1:0)	22.5%	21.8%	15.1%	1.44×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg (2:0)	69.4%	70.7%	83.2%	0.85×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	16.2%	15.7%	9.8%	1.59×	6.39
Paris Saint Germain (2:0)	14.4%	10.4%	7.2%	1.45×	9.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.2%	47.3%	1.06×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	26.8%	0.99×	3.77
Halves equal	22.7%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede	85.3%	85.9%	69.9%	1.23×	1.16
Strasbourg clean sheet	14.7%	14.1%	30.1%	0.47×	7.11

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg to concede in 1st half	55.2%	62.2%	42.7%	1.46×	1.61
Strasbourg clean sheet in 1st half	44.8%	37.8%	57.3%	0.66×	2.65

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 6.5 corners	90.3%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Strasbourg under 5.5 corners	83.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Strasbourg under 4.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Strasbourg over 2.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Strasbourg under 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Strasbourg over 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Strasbourg under 2.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Strasbourg over 4.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Strasbourg over 5.5 corners	16.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Strasbourg over 6.5 corners	9.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 3.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	91.7%	1.05×	1.04
Strasbourg under 2.5 goals	87.0%	87.3%	77.1%	1.13×	1.15
Strasbourg over 0.5 goals	71.2%	74.2%	77.5%	0.96×	1.35
Strasbourg under 1.5 goals	64.7%	63.5%	54.1%	1.17×	1.58
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals	35.3%	36.5%	45.9%	0.80×	2.74
Strasbourg under 0.5 goals	28.8%	25.8%	22.5%	1.15×	3.87
Strasbourg over 2.5 goals	13.0%	12.7%	22.9%	0.56×	7.85
Strasbourg over 3.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	8.3%	0.44×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	95.3%	87.4%	1.09×	1.05
Strasbourg under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	64.5%	52.3%	1.23×	1.55
Strasbourg over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	35.5%	47.7%	0.74×	2.82
Strasbourg over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	4.7%	12.6%	0.38×	21.07

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain (home no bet)	70.5%	66.3%	58.3%	1.14×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	29.5%	33.7%	41.7%	0.81×	2.97

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg even goals	54.2%	50.6%	51.3%	0.99×	1.97
Strasbourg odd goals	45.8%	49.4%	48.7%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.0%	28.8%	28.5%	1.01×	3.47
HT 0-1	21.7%	24.1%	16.8%	1.43×	4.15
HT 1-0	13.7%	10.9%	21.1%	0.52×	9.14
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.17
HT 0-2	8.7%	7.1%	5.5%	1.31×	14.03
Any other HT score	6.2%	7.1%	4.7%	1.52×	14.06
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.29
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.3%	6.6%	0.35×	43.36
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.41
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	0.8%	2.95×	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	32.4%	32.9%	19.3%	1.70×	3.04
Draw at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	17.4%	16.8%	11.1%	1.51×	5.97
Strasbourg at HT / Strasbourg at FT	13.2%	12.7%	27.5%	0.46×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.3%	12.7%	12.9%	0.98×	7.89
Draw at HT / Strasbourg at FT	9.5%	6.0%	14.8%	0.41×	16.61
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	6.2%	0.96×	16.74
Strasbourg at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	3.9%	0.89×	28.77
Strasbourg at HT / Paris Saint Germain at FT	3.3%	3.5%	1.7%	2.02×	28.83
Paris Saint Germain at HT / Strasbourg at FT	2.0%	3.5%	3.6%	0.96×	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to score last	58.1%	56.6%	40.4%	1.40×	1.77
Strasbourg to score last	37.7%	38.6%	53.2%	0.72×	2.59
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	6.6%	0.66×	23.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.6%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 1 at any time	68.6%	69.6%	49.6%	1.40×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.1%	50.7%	51.3%	0.99×	1.97
Strasbourg to lead by 1 at any time	44.5%	39.3%	58.0%	0.68×	2.54
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 2 at any time	38.3%	34.9%	22.0%	1.59×	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.6%	20.1%	0.97×	5.10
Paris Saint Germain to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	8.4%	1.77×	6.70
Strasbourg to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	29.5%	0.51×	6.72
Strasbourg to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	11.9%	0.14×	59.63

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain most corners	65.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Strasbourg most corners	24.8%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	9.8%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.2%	78.6%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.5%	72.4%	76.4%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.4%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.0%	59.2%	50.9%	1.16×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.9%	59.2%	59.4%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.1%	53.2%	45.9%	1.16×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.6%	35.4%	39.3%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	34.7%	35.4%	30.7%	1.15×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.8%	30.3%	25.7%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.0%	18.6%	13.7%	1.36×	5.37
7+ goals	4.2%	2.6%	3.6%	0.71×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain never behind	51.3%	61.8%	42.0%	1.47×	1.62
Strasbourg never behind	27.2%	30.0%	50.4%	0.60×	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	47.3%	1.08×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	52.7%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	51.6%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.3%	48.4%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	49.5%	1.05×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	50.5%	0.95×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.5%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.9%	87.7%	91.4%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.4%	77.4%	1.06×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.7%	77.4%	82.8%	0.93×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.2%	61.7%	54.3%	1.14×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	65.8%	0.94×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	34.2%	1.12×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.8%	38.3%	45.7%	0.84×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.3%	22.6%	17.2%	1.32×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.6%	22.6%	0.78×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.1%	12.3%	8.6%	1.44×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.5%	6.6%	0.69×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.5%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.6%	86.8%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.6%	75.9%	70.6%	1.08×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.2%	72.6%	79.3%	0.92×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.1%	51.8%	42.8%	1.21×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.9%	48.2%	57.2%	0.84×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.4%	24.1%	29.4%	0.82×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.4%	13.2%	9.4%	1.41×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.5%	2.8%	3.8%	0.73×	36.09

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.5%	88.9%	87.2%	1.02×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.0%	71.2%	71.5%	1.00×	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.6%	66.1%	0.96×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.6%	36.4%	33.9%	1.07×	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.0%	28.8%	28.5%	1.01×	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.5%	11.1%	12.8%	0.87×	9.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	82.9%	81.4%	1.02×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.6%	77.7%	75.4%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	54.8%	48.7%	1.12×	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	45.3%	51.3%	0.88×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.4%	22.3%	24.6%	0.91×	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.3%	68.0%	1.15×	1.28
Paris Saint Germain not to score in both halves	62.9%	63.5%	77.4%	0.82×	1.58
Paris Saint Germain to score in both halves	37.1%	36.5%	22.6%	1.62×	2.74
Strasbourg to score in both halves	20.7%	21.7%	32.0%	0.68×	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.7%	60.2%	54.0%	1.11×	1.66
Only Paris Saint Germain scores	24.6%	22.3%	16.1%	1.39×	4.47
Only Strasbourg scores	10.5%	10.9%	23.7%	0.46×	9.16
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	6.6%	0.70×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.6%	17.4%	17.2%	1.02×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	13.4%	12.1%	16.2%	0.75×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.2%	12.1%	8.7%	1.38×	8.28
6 or more goals	10.1%	12.1%	8.6%	1.41×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.4%	6.6%	0.67×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.3%	53.2%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	29.9%	32.9%	0.91×	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.7%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to win both halves	94.8%	94.0%	83.3%	1.13×	1.06
Paris Saint Germain not to win both halves	82.5%	84.2%	90.6%	0.93×	1.19
Paris Saint Germain to win both halves	17.5%	15.8%	9.4%	1.69×	6.33
Strasbourg to win both halves	5.2%	6.0%	16.7%	0.36×	16.69

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain to win either half	66.3%	67.8%	46.3%	1.46×	1.48
Strasbourg to win neither half	59.7%	59.6%	41.8%	1.42×	1.68
Strasbourg to win either half	40.3%	40.5%	58.2%	0.70×	2.47
Paris Saint Germain to win neither half	33.7%	32.2%	53.7%	0.60×	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Strasbourg not to win to nil	89.5%	88.2%	76.3%	1.16×	1.13
Paris Saint Germain not to win to nil	75.4%	78.0%	83.9%	0.93×	1.28
Paris Saint Germain to win to nil	24.6%	22.0%	16.1%	1.37×	4.55
Strasbourg to win to nil	10.5%	11.8%	23.7%	0.50×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Paris Saint Germain by 1	22.5%	24.1%	15.1%	1.60×	4.14
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.14
Paris Saint Germain by 2	16.2%	16.9%	9.8%	1.72×	5.91
Strasbourg by 1	14.6%	11.8%	20.7%	0.57×	8.47
Paris Saint Germain by 3+	14.4%	11.8%	7.2%	1.65×	8.47
Strasbourg by 2	6.8%	7.3%	15.1%	0.48×	13.78
Strasbourg by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	10.0%	0.27×	36.98