SV Darmstadt 98 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

SV Darmstadt 98

20:00 UTC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,353h before kick-off

SV Darmstadt 98 win

49.3%

model 50.0%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win

27.7%

model 26.8%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 7.1%
2-0 7.1%
1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.5%	Under 2.5	37.5%
BTTS yes	63.0%	BTTS no	37.0%
SV Darmstadt 98 1+	84.8%	SV Darmstadt 98 2+	56.3%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1+	73.7%	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2+	38.6%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

20/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

91%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

SV Darmstadt 98 carry the stronger rating, 1467 Elo against 1439.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

SV Darmstadt 98 have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.89 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.34 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Why SV Darmstadt 98

SV Darmstadt 98 carry the stronger rating, 1467 Elo against 1439.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why SpVgg Greuther Fürth can win

Nothing in the data singles out SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SV Darmstadt 98, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SV Darmstadt 98: 42% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 44% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

SV Darmstadt 98 are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502327	1.89–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592021	2.27–1.31	2-1 9%	69%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to win	58.8%	54.1%	43.2%	1.25×	1.85
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win	20.8%	24.4%	31.0%	0.79×	4.09
Draw	20.4%	24.4%	26.0%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 & both teams score	34.9%	29.6%	22.3%	1.33×	3.37
SV Darmstadt 98 & not both score	24.0%	21.8%	21.1%	1.04×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.57
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & both teams score	13.6%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.53
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & not both score	7.2%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.01
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	6.3%	0.76×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 & over 1.5	52.8%	48.9%	34.5%	1.42×	2.05
SV Darmstadt 98 & over 2.5	45.6%	45.0%	28.0%	1.61×	2.22
SV Darmstadt 98 & over 3.5	30.7%	30.8%	15.3%	2.01×	3.25
SV Darmstadt 98 & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	28.0%	0.93×	3.84
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	25.7%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.56
SV Darmstadt 98 & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	11.7%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 3.5	12.1%	12.8%	20.9%	0.61×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
SV Darmstadt 98 & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	8.8%	0.90×	12.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	5.4%	0.89×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (1UP)	74.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1UP)	42.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (2UP)	58.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2UP)	20.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to win 2nd half	48.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	29.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 2nd half	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
SV Darmstadt 98 under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
SV Darmstadt 98 under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+2.5)	80.2%	82.5%	90.6%	0.91×	1.21
SV Darmstadt 98 (+0.5)	79.2%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+1.5)	62.6%	62.9%	77.7%	0.81×	1.59
SV Darmstadt 98 (-0.5)	58.8%	57.0%	43.2%	1.32×	1.75
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+0.5)	41.2%	43.0%	56.8%	0.76×	2.33
SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)	37.4%	37.1%	22.3%	1.66×	2.70
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-0.5)	20.8%	21.5%	31.0%	0.69×	4.65
SV Darmstadt 98 (-2.5)	19.8%	17.5%	9.4%	1.85×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede	89.7%	86.4%	80.7%	1.07×	1.16
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet	10.3%	13.6%	19.4%	0.71×	7.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede in 1st half	62.4%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet in 1st half	37.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede in 2nd half	72.6%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet in 2nd half	27.4%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 2.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 6.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 3.5 corners	66.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 5.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 4.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 5.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 3.5 corners	33.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 6.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 2.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	94.6%	1.03×	1.03
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 2.5 goals	85.6%	87.8%	83.7%	1.05×	1.14
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 goals	72.9%	71.9%	72.8%	0.99×	1.39
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 goals	62.5%	63.2%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals	37.5%	36.8%	39.6%	0.93×	2.72
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 goals	27.1%	28.1%	27.2%	1.03×	3.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 2.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	16.3%	0.75×	8.19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	5.4%	0.46×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 in 1st half	59.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 in 1st half	40.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.49

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores equally in both	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (away no bet)	74.3%	68.5%	62.4%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.7%	31.5%	37.6%	0.84×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth even goals	53.7%	52.6%	54.0%	0.97×	1.90
SpVgg Greuther Fürth odd goals	46.3%	47.4%	46.0%	1.03×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.8%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.2%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
SV Darmstadt 98 to score 2+ in a row	56.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
SV Darmstadt 98 to score 3+ in a row	27.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.03

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (+3.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (+2.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (+3.5)	77.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (+1.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (+2.5)	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (+1.5)	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (-1.5)	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (-2.5)	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (-1.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
SV Darmstadt 98 corners (-3.5)	22.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (-2.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners (-3.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	35.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.50
Any other score	9.0%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
1-0	6.0%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.51
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.0%	1.84×	13.51
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-1	3.3%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
3-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.29
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.30
4-1	4.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.30
4-2	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.54×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (2nd half DNB)	68.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2nd half DNB)	31.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
SpVgg Greuther Fürth leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (12)	79.6%	75.6%	74.0%	1.02×	1.32
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw (1X)	79.2%	75.6%	69.0%	1.09×	1.32
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (X2)	41.2%	45.9%	56.8%	0.81×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw at HT	80.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
SV Darmstadt 98 or SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT	64.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw at HT	54.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw (1UP)	79.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1UP)	42.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw in 2nd half	77.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
SV Darmstadt 98 or SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2nd half	71.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw in 2nd half	51.5%	54.0%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.2%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (DNB)	73.9%	71.6%	58.2%	1.23×	1.40
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (DNB)	26.2%	28.5%	41.8%	0.68×	3.52

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to score first	61.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score first	35.4%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.7%	58.4%	59.8%	0.98×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.3%	41.6%	40.2%	1.03×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.1%	47.6%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	22.0%	27.8%	30.5%	0.91×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	10.7%	0.78×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.1%	79.6%	80.5%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.9%	20.4%	19.5%	1.05×	4.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.4%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	29.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	10.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	25.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	31.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.9%	42.1%	30.5%	1.38×	2.37
2-3 goals	39.5%	35.1%	45.4%	0.78×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.4%	16.9%	20.3%	0.83×	5.92
7+ goals	7.1%	7.6%	4.2%	1.82×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	33.3%	1.08×	2.78
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 0	27.1%	27.4%	27.2%	1.00×	3.65
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.3%	23.5%	0.95×	4.48
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 3+	14.4%	12.9%	16.3%	0.79×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to score 3+	39.7%	35.6%	22.6%	1.57×	2.81
SV Darmstadt 98 to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
SV Darmstadt 98 to score exactly 1	23.4%	23.3%	31.7%	0.73×	4.29
SV Darmstadt 98 to score exactly 0	10.3%	14.3%	19.4%	0.74×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 leading at HT	45.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	35.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth leading at HT	19.1%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 -1: 2	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
SV Darmstadt 98 -1: 1	37.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
SV Darmstadt 98 -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:1)	41.2%	42.6%	56.8%	0.75×	2.35
SV Darmstadt 98 (0:1)	37.4%	37.3%	22.3%	1.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:2)	62.6%	67.1%	77.7%	0.86×	1.49
SV Darmstadt 98 (0:2)	19.8%	15.3%	9.4%	1.62×	6.53
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	13.0%	1.18×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:3)	80.2%	85.3%	90.6%	0.94×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.9%	9.9%	6.0%	1.64×	10.07
SV Darmstadt 98 (0:3)	8.9%	5.8%	3.6%	1.63×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:4)	91.1%	94.5%	96.4%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.6%	2.0%	2.28×	21.79
SV Darmstadt 98 (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	1.7%	0.72×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (1:0)	79.2%	78.7%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.2%	12.7%	18.0%	0.71×	7.87
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1:0)	8.7%	6.9%	13.2%	0.53×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 (2:0)	91.3%	94.0%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	7.1%	0.89×	15.71
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	6.2%	0.37×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to concede	72.9%	73.2%	72.8%	1.01×	1.37
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet	27.1%	26.8%	27.2%	0.98×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet in 1st half	59.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
SV Darmstadt 98 to concede in 1st half	40.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to concede in 2nd half	54.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet in 2nd half	45.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 over 2.5 corners	86.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
SV Darmstadt 98 over 3.5 corners	74.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
SV Darmstadt 98 under 6.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
SV Darmstadt 98 over 4.5 corners	60.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
SV Darmstadt 98 under 5.5 corners	54.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
SV Darmstadt 98 over 5.5 corners	45.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
SV Darmstadt 98 under 4.5 corners	39.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
SV Darmstadt 98 over 6.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
SV Darmstadt 98 under 3.5 corners	25.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
SV Darmstadt 98 under 2.5 corners	13.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.3%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
SV Darmstadt 98 under 3.5 goals	80.5%	82.2%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals	66.3%	68.0%	49.1%	1.38×	1.47
SV Darmstadt 98 under 2.5 goals	60.3%	63.6%	77.4%	0.82×	1.57
SV Darmstadt 98 over 2.5 goals	39.7%	36.4%	22.6%	1.61×	2.75
SV Darmstadt 98 under 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.0%	50.9%	0.63×	3.12
SV Darmstadt 98 over 3.5 goals	19.5%	17.8%	7.6%	2.35×	5.62
SV Darmstadt 98 under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.7%	19.4%	0.66×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
SV Darmstadt 98 over 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
SV Darmstadt 98 under 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 in 1st half	25.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 scores more in 2nd half	43.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
SV Darmstadt 98 scores more in 1st half	28.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
SV Darmstadt 98 scores equally in both	28.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home no bet)	50.6%	51.3%	54.3%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.4%	48.7%	45.7%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 even goals	50.5%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
SV Darmstadt 98 odd goals	49.5%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-1	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 at HT / SV Darmstadt 98 at FT	38.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / SV Darmstadt 98 at FT	16.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
SV Darmstadt 98 at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / SV Darmstadt 98 at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
SV Darmstadt 98 at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to score last	61.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score last	35.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
SV Darmstadt 98 to lead by 1 at any time	74.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
SV Darmstadt 98 to lead by 2 at any time	46.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 1 at any time	42.5%	39.1%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
SV Darmstadt 98 to lead by 3 at any time	23.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 2 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 most corners	51.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth most corners	37.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.6%	83.4%	84.7%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.4%	75.7%	1.10×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.0%	68.8%	75.7%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.2%	63.3%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.1%	61.8%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.1%	53.2%	50.0%	1.06×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.9%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06
4-6 goals	40.9%	43.6%	30.5%	1.43×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.5%	39.2%	45.4%	0.86×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.7%	35.2%	25.5%	1.38×	2.84
1-2 goals	27.5%	30.2%	34.8%	0.87×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.8%	24.5%	14.1%	1.74×	4.09
7+ goals	7.1%	8.9%	4.2%	2.12×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 never behind	54.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
SpVgg Greuther Fürth never behind	22.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	50.6%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	49.4%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	79.7%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	90.9%	0.91×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	71.1%	72.5%	81.9%	0.88×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	69.3%	66.3%	59.0%	1.12×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	52.0%	52.5%	65.5%	0.80×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	48.0%	47.5%	34.5%	1.38×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	30.7%	33.7%	41.0%	0.82×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	28.9%	27.5%	18.1%	1.52×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	15.3%	17.7%	9.1%	1.94×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	20.3%	0.61×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.3%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.8%	81.1%	74.4%	1.09×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.3%	81.1%	90.0%	0.90×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.3%	61.9%	78.3%	0.79×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.0%	61.9%	45.7%	1.35×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.0%	38.1%	54.3%	0.70×	2.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.7%	38.1%	21.7%	1.76×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	17.7%	18.9%	10.0%	1.88×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.2%	18.9%	25.6%	0.74×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.7%	7.6%	4.4%	1.73×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.6%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.1%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.6%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.4%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to score in both halves	77.9%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
SV Darmstadt 98 not to score in both halves	54.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
SV Darmstadt 98 to score in both halves	45.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score in both halves	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.7%	59.9%	59.8%	1.00×	1.67
Only SV Darmstadt 98 scores	24.0%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Only SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores	7.2%	7.1%	13.2%	0.54×	14.04
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.72

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.6%	0.92×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.1%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.2%	17.5%	20.9%	0.84×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.3%	17.5%	9.1%	1.91×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	13.7%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	9.3%	7.6%	14.1%	0.54×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.5%	6.3%	0.70×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	19.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	12.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to win both halves	95.7%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
SV Darmstadt 98 not to win both halves	77.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
SV Darmstadt 98 to win both halves	22.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win both halves	4.3%	2.9%	—	—	35.04

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 to win either half	71.9%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win neither half	62.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win either half	37.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
SV Darmstadt 98 to win neither half	28.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to win to nil	92.8%	92.1%	86.8%	1.06×	1.09
SV Darmstadt 98 not to win to nil	76.0%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
SV Darmstadt 98 to win to nil	24.0%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win to nil	7.2%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SV Darmstadt 98 by 1	21.4%	24.1%	21.1%	1.14×	4.15
Draw	20.4%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
SV Darmstadt 98 by 3+	19.8%	17.1%	9.4%	1.81×	5.86
SV Darmstadt 98 by 2	17.6%	17.0%	13.0%	1.31×	5.87
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 1	12.2%	11.8%	18.0%	0.65×	8.51
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 2	5.8%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	6.2%	0.44×	36.82