betaider.com
Sign in

SV Josko Ried v TSV Hartberg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
SV Josko Ried win
30.7%
model 34.7%
Draw
30.5%
model 30.2%
TSV Hartberg win
38.9%
model 35.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.4%
  2. 0-0 10.1%
  3. 0-1 9.3%
  4. 1-0 9.2%
  5. 1-2 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.544.0% Under 2.556.0%
BTTS yes51.1% BTTS no48.9%
SV Josko Ried 1+70.4% SV Josko Ried 2+34.3%
TSV Hartberg 1+70.6% TSV Hartberg 2+34.6%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
21/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 47%
57.2% fair odds 1.75
moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
TSV Hartberg (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • TSV Hartberg carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1440.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

TSV Hartberg have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 30.7% for SV Josko Ried and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for SV Josko Ried and 1.22 for TSV Hartberg.

Why SV Josko Ried

Nothing in the data singles out SV Josko Ried.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.22 to 1.22. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why TSV Hartberg can win

TSV Hartberg carry the stronger rating, 1488 Elo against 1440.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SV Josko Ried, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for TSV Hartberg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SV Josko Ried: 40% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. TSV Hartberg: 42% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

TSV Hartberg are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.22–1.22 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.10–1.32 1-1 14% 44% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg to win 40.3% 42.9% 31.4% 1.37× 2.33
Draw 30.1% 30.4% 25.4% 1.20× 3.29
SV Josko Ried to win 29.6% 27.9% 43.5% 0.64× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg & not both score 23.0% 21.8% 14.7% 1.48× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
TSV Hartberg & both teams score 17.3% 18.0% 16.9% 1.07× 5.57
SV Josko Ried & not both score 16.4% 18.0% 22.6% 0.80× 5.57
SV Josko Ried & both teams score 13.3% 13.3% 21.1% 0.63× 7.54
Draw & not both score 10.2% 13.3% 7.4% 1.80× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg & over 1.5 30.0% 26.1% 25.4% 1.03× 3.84
TSV Hartberg & under 3.5 30.0% 26.1% 22.1% 1.18× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 24.5% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 24.5% 21.6% 19.7% 1.10× 4.63
SV Josko Ried & under 3.5 22.8% 21.6% 30.4% 0.71× 4.63
TSV Hartberg & over 2.5 22.3% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
SV Josko Ried & over 1.5 21.3% 21.6% 34.7% 0.62× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
TSV Hartberg & under 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 11.6% 1.55× 5.56
SV Josko Ried & over 2.5 15.9% 18.0% 27.6% 0.65× 5.56
SV Josko Ried & under 2.5 13.7% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 10.2% 12.8% 7.4% 1.74× 7.79
TSV Hartberg & under 1.5 10.3% 12.8% 6.2% 2.08× 7.79
TSV Hartberg & over 3.5 10.3% 12.8% 9.5% 1.35× 7.79
SV Josko Ried & under 1.5 8.3% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.63
SV Josko Ried & over 3.5 6.8% 7.9% 13.3% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (1UP) 55.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
SV Josko Ried (1UP) 46.3% 43.8% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (2UP) 40.3% 47.0% — — 2.13
SV Josko Ried (2UP) 29.6% 25.3% — — 3.95
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.7% 36.0% — — 2.78
TSV Hartberg to win 2nd half 35.6% 35.9% — — 2.78
SV Josko Ried to win 2nd half 25.7% 25.8% — — 3.87
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.1% 84.1% — — 1.19
TSV Hartberg over 0.5 in 2nd half 54.8% 52.5% — — 1.91
TSV Hartberg under 0.5 in 2nd half 45.2% 47.5% — — 2.11
TSV Hartberg over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.9% 15.9% — — 6.31
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.9% 88.3% — — 1.13
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.3% 55.1% — — 1.81
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.7% 44.9% — — 2.23
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.1% 11.7% — — 8.55
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (+2.5) 96.3% 96.3% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
TSV Hartberg (+1.5) 87.8% 88.5% 77.0% 1.15× 1.13
TSV Hartberg (+0.5) 70.4% 73.6% 56.5% 1.30× 1.36
SV Josko Ried (+0.5) 59.7% 57.1% 68.6% 0.83× 1.75
TSV Hartberg (-0.5) 40.3% 42.9% 31.4% 1.37× 2.33
SV Josko Ried (-0.5) 29.6% 26.4% 43.5% 0.61× 3.79
SV Josko Ried (-1.5) 12.2% 11.5% 23.0% 0.50× 8.67
SV Josko Ried (-2.5) 3.7% 3.7% 9.3% 0.40× 27.07
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg to concede 66.8% 72.3% 78.1% 0.93× 1.38
TSV Hartberg clean sheet 33.2% 27.7% 21.9% 1.27× 3.61
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg clean sheet in 1st half 62.2% 64.9% — — 1.54
TSV Hartberg to concede in 1st half 37.8% 35.1% — — 2.85
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg clean sheet in 2nd half 53.3% 55.0% — — 1.82
TSV Hartberg to concede in 2nd half 46.7% 45.0% — — 2.22
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg under 6.5 corners 90.5% 89.9% — — 1.11
TSV Hartberg under 5.5 corners 83.1% 81.4% — — 1.23
TSV Hartberg under 4.5 corners 71.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
TSV Hartberg over 2.5 corners 63.2% 61.8% — — 1.62
TSV Hartberg under 3.5 corners 55.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
TSV Hartberg over 3.5 corners 44.3% 42.8% — — 2.33
TSV Hartberg under 2.5 corners 36.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
TSV Hartberg over 4.5 corners 28.4% 28.4% — — 3.52
TSV Hartberg over 5.5 corners 16.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
TSV Hartberg over 6.5 corners 9.5% 10.1% — — 9.88
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg under 3.5 goals 95.4% 97.5% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
TSV Hartberg under 2.5 goals 85.2% 87.8% 86.9% 1.01× 1.14
TSV Hartberg over 0.5 goals 73.4% 71.9% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
TSV Hartberg under 1.5 goals 61.8% 63.2% 64.8% 0.97× 1.58
TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 38.2% 36.8% 35.2% 1.05× 2.72
TSV Hartberg under 0.5 goals 26.6% 28.1% 29.7% 0.95× 3.56
TSV Hartberg over 2.5 goals 14.8% 12.2% 13.1% 0.93× 8.19
TSV Hartberg over 3.5 goals 4.6% 2.5% 3.1% 0.81× 39.80
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg under 1.5 in 1st half 90.1% 93.9% — — 1.07
TSV Hartberg under 0.5 in 1st half 58.9% 62.0% — — 1.61
TSV Hartberg over 0.5 in 1st half 41.1% 38.0% — — 2.63
TSV Hartberg over 1.5 in 1st half 9.9% 6.1% — — 16.46
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg scores equally in both 39.0% 37.4% — — 2.67
TSV Hartberg scores more in 2nd half 38.6% 37.4% — — 2.67
TSV Hartberg scores more in 1st half 22.4% 22.1% — — 4.52
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 50.4% 51.6% 36.9% 1.40× 1.94
SV Josko Ried (away no bet) 49.6% 48.4% 63.1% 0.77× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg even goals 53.5% 52.6% 53.4% 0.98× 1.90
TSV Hartberg odd goals 46.5% 47.4% 46.6% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.9% 87.9% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.1% 12.1% — — 8.28
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 57.8% 60.4% — — 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 42.2% 39.6% — — 2.53
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 49.6% 46.3% — — 2.16
TSV Hartberg to score 2+ in a row 31.1% 29.1% — — 3.43
SV Josko Ried to score 2+ in a row 23.2% 19.6% — — 5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.8% 16.2% — — 6.17
TSV Hartberg to score 3+ in a row 9.9% 5.6% — — 17.77
SV Josko Ried to score 3+ in a row 6.0% 5.5% — — 18.07
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried corners (+3.5) 95.6% 95.7% — — 1.05
SV Josko Ried corners (+2.5) 92.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
SV Josko Ried corners (+1.5) 87.4% 84.5% — — 1.18
SV Josko Ried corners (-1.5) 61.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
TSV Hartberg corners (+3.5) 59.2% 57.1% — — 1.75
SV Josko Ried corners (-2.5) 51.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
TSV Hartberg corners (+2.5) 48.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
SV Josko Ried corners (-3.5) 40.8% 42.9% — — 2.33
TSV Hartberg corners (+1.5) 38.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
TSV Hartberg corners (-1.5) 12.6% 15.5% — — 6.45
TSV Hartberg corners (-2.5) 7.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
TSV Hartberg corners (-3.5) 4.4% 4.3% — — 23.41
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 40.5% 38.3% — — 2.61
12+ corners 30.3% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.2% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 77.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 69.8% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 11.5 corners 69.7% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 60.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 59.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 51.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 49.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 40.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 10.5 corners 39.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 30.3% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 30.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 22.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.3% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.72
0-0 10.2% 11.5% 7.4% 1.56× 8.72
0-1 10.3% 11.5% 6.2% 1.86× 8.72
1-2 8.5% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.51
0-2 7.7% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.51
1-0 8.3% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.51
2-1 7.1% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.51
2-0 5.4% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
0-3 3.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
1-3 3.8% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.81× 58.31
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.29
2-3 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
2-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.32
3-0 2.0% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-1 2.6% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.31
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.32
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
Any other score 1.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (2nd half DNB) 58.1% 59.8% — — 1.67
SV Josko Ried (2nd half DNB) 41.9% 40.2% — — 2.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg leading at HT (DNB) 53.5% 56.0% — — 1.79
SV Josko Ried leading at HT (DNB) 46.5% 44.0% — — 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg or draw (X2) 70.4% 72.1% 56.5% 1.28× 1.39
SV Josko Ried or TSV Hartberg (12) 69.9% 69.6% 74.6% 0.93× 1.44
SV Josko Ried or draw (1X) 59.7% 57.1% 68.6% 0.83× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg or draw at HT 75.3% 79.2% — — 1.26
SV Josko Ried or draw at HT 71.6% 74.9% — — 1.34
SV Josko Ried or TSV Hartberg at HT 53.1% 47.9% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg or draw (1UP) 70.4% 79.5% — — 1.26
SV Josko Ried or draw (1UP) 59.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg or draw in 2nd half 74.3% 74.2% — — 1.35
SV Josko Ried or draw in 2nd half 64.4% 64.1% — — 1.56
SV Josko Ried or TSV Hartberg in 2nd half 61.3% 64.0% — — 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.0% 68.0% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 34.0% 32.0% — — 3.12
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (DNB) 57.6% 58.1% 41.9% 1.39× 1.72
SV Josko Ried (DNB) 42.4% 41.9% 58.1% 0.72× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg to score first 49.0% 46.1% — — 2.17
SV Josko Ried to score first 40.8% 41.6% — — 2.40
No goal scored 10.2% 9.3% — — 10.71
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 50.4% 51.3% 55.8% 0.92× 1.95
Not both teams to score 49.6% 48.7% 44.2% 1.10× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 42.0% 41.6% 34.7% 1.20× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 36.1% 38.4% 43.5% 0.88× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 14.3% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 7.6% 8.3% 9.7% 0.85× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.5% 85.6% 86.9% 0.98× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.5% 14.4% 13.1% 1.10× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.9% 73.8% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.1% 26.2% — — 3.81
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 62.1% 65.6% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.1% 21.3% — — 4.70
Both score 1st half only 11.8% 10.7% — — 9.32
Both score in both halves 4.0% 4.9% — — 20.24
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.2% 83.3% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 15.8% 16.7% — — 6.00
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 51.2% 52.7% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 48.8% 47.3% — — 2.12
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.5% 47.2% 49.9% 0.95× 2.12
0-1 goals 28.9% 26.6% 22.1% 1.21× 3.76
4-6 goals 21.5% 22.9% 26.6% 0.86× 4.37
7+ goals 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 0.97× 54.38
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg to score exactly 1 35.2% 35.9% 35.4% 1.02× 2.78
TSV Hartberg to score exactly 0 26.6% 27.4% 29.7% 0.92× 3.65
TSV Hartberg to score exactly 2 23.3% 22.3% 22.3% 1.00× 4.48
TSV Hartberg to score 3+ 14.8% 12.9% 13.1% 0.99× 7.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.6% 34.9% 1.02× 2.81
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 0 33.2% 32.6% 21.9% 1.49× 3.07
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 2 20.2% 23.3% 25.4% 0.92× 4.29
SV Josko Ried to score 3+ 10.0% 14.3% 18.3% 0.78× 7.00
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.9% 52.1% — — 1.92
TSV Hartberg leading at HT 28.4% 25.1% — — 3.98
SV Josko Ried leading at HT 24.7% 20.8% — — 4.80
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg -1: 1 59.7% 56.8% — — 1.76
TSV Hartberg -1: X 21.2% 23.5% — — 4.26
TSV Hartberg -1: 2 19.1% 17.5% — — 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (0:1) 70.4% 71.0% 56.5% 1.26× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 17.4% 17.8% 20.7% 0.86× 5.61
SV Josko Ried (0:1) 12.2% 13.7% 23.0% 0.60× 7.29
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (0:2) 87.8% 87.1% 77.0% 1.13× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.5% 7.7% 14.0% 0.55× 13.03
SV Josko Ried (0:2) 3.7% 3.8% 9.3% 0.41× 26.65
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (0:3) 96.3% 96.6% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.8% 2.4% 6.2% 0.38× 42.09
SV Josko Ried (0:3) 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.17
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (0:4) 99.1% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 82.02
SV Josko Ried (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 82.08
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (1:0) 59.7% 58.4% 68.6% 0.85× 1.71
Draw (1:0) 21.2% 21.7% 16.4% 1.32× 4.61
TSV Hartberg (1:0) 19.1% 17.1% 15.2% 1.13× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (2:0) 80.9% 84.6% 84.8% 1.00× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 12.3% 10.3% 10.2% 1.01× 9.72
TSV Hartberg (2:0) 6.8% 6.4% 5.2% 1.22× 15.69
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.5% 48.7% — — 2.05
Halves equal 28.8% 26.2% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 25.7% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to concede 73.4% 73.2% 70.3% 1.04× 1.37
SV Josko Ried clean sheet 26.6% 26.8% 29.7% 0.90× 3.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried clean sheet in 1st half 58.9% 62.0% — — 1.61
SV Josko Ried to concede in 1st half 41.1% 38.0% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to concede in 2nd half 54.8% 52.6% — — 1.90
SV Josko Ried clean sheet in 2nd half 45.2% 47.4% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried over 2.5 corners 89.6% 86.3% — — 1.16
SV Josko Ried over 3.5 corners 79.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
SV Josko Ried over 4.5 corners 67.9% 66.7% — — 1.50
SV Josko Ried under 6.5 corners 57.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
SV Josko Ried over 5.5 corners 54.9% 52.6% — — 1.90
SV Josko Ried under 5.5 corners 45.1% 47.4% — — 2.11
SV Josko Ried over 6.5 corners 42.6% 42.5% — — 2.35
SV Josko Ried under 4.5 corners 32.1% 33.3% — — 3.01
SV Josko Ried under 3.5 corners 20.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
SV Josko Ried under 2.5 corners 10.4% 13.7% — — 7.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 3.5 goals 97.4% 96.4% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
SV Josko Ried under 2.5 goals 90.0% 87.3% 81.7% 1.07× 1.15
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 goals 69.8% 68.0% 56.5% 1.20× 1.47
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 goals 66.8% 68.0% 78.1% 0.87× 1.47
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 goals 33.2% 32.0% 21.9% 1.47× 3.12
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 goals 30.2% 32.0% 43.5% 0.74× 3.12
SV Josko Ried over 2.5 goals 10.0% 12.7% 18.3% 0.70× 7.86
SV Josko Ried over 3.5 goals 2.6% 3.6% 7.6% 0.48× 27.55
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 in 1st half 91.7% 94.7% — — 1.06
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 64.6% — — 1.55
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 35.4% — — 2.83
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 in 1st half 8.3% 5.3% — — 18.75
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried scores equally in both 43.8% 42.3% — — 2.37
SV Josko Ried scores more in 2nd half 33.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
SV Josko Ried scores more in 1st half 23.0% 21.3% — — 4.70
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg (home no bet) 57.2% 56.4% 55.2% 1.02× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 42.8% 43.6% 44.8% 0.97× 2.30
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried even goals 55.5% 55.2% 52.0% 1.06× 1.81
SV Josko Ried odd goals 44.5% 44.8% 48.0% 0.93× 2.23
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.9% 39.1% — — 2.56
HT 0-1 19.2% 18.7% — — 5.36
HT 1-0 17.1% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-1 9.4% 6.9% — — 14.44
HT 0-2 5.1% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-0 4.1% 2.4% — — 42.03
Any other HT score 2.9% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 1-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg at HT / TSV Hartberg at FT 21.9% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.7% 16.8% — — 5.96
SV Josko Ried at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 16.7% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / TSV Hartberg at FT 15.9% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 11.4% 12.6% — — 7.91
SV Josko Ried at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% — — 16.66
TSV Hartberg at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.61
SV Josko Ried at HT / TSV Hartberg at FT 2.4% 3.5% — — 28.70
TSV Hartberg at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 1.6% 3.5% — — 28.73
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg to score last 49.0% 46.6% — — 2.15
SV Josko Ried to score last 40.7% 39.9% — — 2.50
No goal scored 10.2% 8.7% — — 11.45
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.8% 91.7% — — 1.09
TSV Hartberg to lead by 1 at any time 55.7% 54.8% — — 1.82
SV Josko Ried to lead by 1 at any time 46.3% 44.5% — — 2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.3% 39.1% — — 2.56
TSV Hartberg to lead by 2 at any time 24.5% 19.7% — — 5.08
SV Josko Ried to lead by 2 at any time 17.0% 14.9% — — 6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.3% 10.5% — — 9.55
TSV Hartberg to lead by 3 at any time 8.4% 6.7% — — 14.87
SV Josko Ried to lead by 3 at any time 4.9% 1.7% — — 60.06
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried most corners 72.0% 70.5% — — 1.42
TSV Hartberg most corners 19.4% 19.2% — — 5.20
Corners level 8.6% 8.4% — — 11.97
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.0% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.8% 78.7% 79.3% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 69.9% 68.8% 76.2% 0.90× 1.45
2-5 goals 67.4% 68.8% 71.5% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 67.1% 68.8% 64.6% 1.07× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.2% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.5% 48.5% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
1-2 goals 46.0% 48.5% 39.9% 1.21× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.5% 43.6% 51.3% 0.85× 2.29
3-5 goals 40.0% 43.6% 46.6% 0.94× 2.30
3-4 goals 33.8% 35.2% 39.7% 0.89× 2.84
4-6 goals 21.5% 24.5% 26.6% 0.92× 4.09
4-5 goals 19.0% 18.8% 21.9% 0.86× 5.31
5-6 goals 8.7% 8.9% 11.9% 0.75× 11.26
7+ goals 1.2% 2.6% 1.9% 1.34× 39.17
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Hartberg never behind 43.5% 48.6% — — 2.06
SV Josko Ried never behind 34.1% 36.3% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.8% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.2% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.2% 57.9% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.8% 42.1% — — 2.38
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.9% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.1% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 93.3% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 90.1% 92.3% 86.5% 1.07× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.8% 87.6% 92.6% 0.95× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 77.3% 77.3% 71.7% 1.08× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 71.1% 72.5% 77.9% 0.93× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 56.3% 58.6% 47.0% 1.25× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 43.7% 41.4% 53.0% 0.78× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 28.9% 27.5% 22.1% 1.25× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 22.7% 22.7% 28.3% 0.80× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 10.2% 12.4% 7.4% 1.68× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 9.9% 7.7% 13.5% 0.57× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 6.7% 0.69× 21.86
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.7% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.0% 97.2% 92.9% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.6% 86.7% 84.1% 1.03× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.3% 72.4% 62.5% 1.16× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 60.2% 61.9% 70.6% 0.88× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 39.8% 38.1% 29.4% 1.30× 2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.7% 27.6% 37.5% 0.74× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.4% 13.3% 15.9% 0.84× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.0% 2.8% 7.1% 0.39× 35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.9% 92.6% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.2% 71.6% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.8% 28.4% — — 3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.1% 7.4% — — 13.55
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.8% 83.2% — — 1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.4% 79.1% — — 1.27
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.9% 54.9% — — 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.1% 45.1% — — 2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.6% 20.9% — — 4.78
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.2% 16.8% — — 5.97
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to score in both halves 82.4% 84.3% — — 1.19
TSV Hartberg not to score in both halves 77.5% 78.5% — — 1.27
TSV Hartberg to score in both halves 22.5% 21.5% — — 4.65
SV Josko Ried to score in both halves 17.6% 15.7% — — 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 50.4% 53.8% 55.8% 0.96× 1.86
Only TSV Hartberg scores 23.0% 22.3% 14.7% 1.51× 4.49
Only SV Josko Ried scores 16.4% 16.0% 22.6% 0.71× 6.24
Neither team scores 10.2% 11.0% 7.4% 1.50× 9.07
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.4% 24.9% 25.2% 0.99× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 24.9% 0.90× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 18.6% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 12.8% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 10.2% 12.1% 7.4% 1.65× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.7% 4.5% 6.7% 0.67× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 36.9% 37.3% — — 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.3% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 18.7% 15.7% — — 6.37
3+ goals in 1st half 8.1% 7.4% — — 13.55
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.1% 45.4% — — 2.20
1 goal in 2nd half 33.3% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 24.6% 23.1% — — 4.34
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to win both halves 93.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
TSV Hartberg not to win both halves 89.7% 88.0% — — 1.14
TSV Hartberg to win both halves 10.3% 12.0% — — 8.36
SV Josko Ried to win both halves 6.5% 5.9% — — 17.05
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to win neither half 56.1% 59.1% — — 1.69
TSV Hartberg to win either half 53.7% 54.3% — — 1.84
TSV Hartberg to win neither half 46.3% 45.7% — — 2.19
SV Josko Ried to win either half 43.9% 40.9% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to win to nil 83.6% 83.1% 77.4% 1.07× 1.20
TSV Hartberg not to win to nil 77.1% 78.1% 85.3% 0.92× 1.28
TSV Hartberg to win to nil 23.0% 21.9% 14.7% 1.49× 4.57
SV Josko Ried to win to nil 16.4% 16.9% 22.6% 0.75× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.1% 27.6% 25.4% 1.09× 3.62
TSV Hartberg by 1 21.2% 24.1% 16.4% 1.47× 4.15
SV Josko Ried by 1 17.4% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.87
TSV Hartberg by 2 12.3% 11.8% 10.2% 1.15× 8.51
SV Josko Ried by 2 8.5% 7.2% 14.0% 0.51× 13.90
TSV Hartberg by 3+ 6.8% 7.2% 5.2% 1.38× 13.91
SV Josko Ried by 3+ 3.7% 2.7% 9.3% 0.29× 36.79
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide