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Talleres (Córdoba) v Estudiantes de La Plata — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Talleres (Córdoba) win
27.4%
model 27.6%
Draw
29.4%
model 30.6%
Estudiantes de La Plata win
43.2%
model 41.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.9%
  2. 0-1 13.8%
  3. 0-0 12.7%
  4. 1-0 10.5%
  5. 0-2 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.535.4% Under 2.564.6%
BTTS yes42.5% BTTS no57.5%
Talleres (Córdoba) 1+60.1% Talleres (Córdoba) 2+23.4%
Estudiantes de La Plata 1+69.8% Estudiantes de La Plata 2+33.6%

Expected goals 0.92 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
23/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 58%
72.6% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Talleres (Córdoba) not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Estudiantes de La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1458.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Estudiantes de La Plata have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for the draw and 27.4% for Talleres (Córdoba). Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.92 for Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.20 for Estudiantes de La Plata.

Why Talleres (Córdoba)

Nothing in the data singles out Talleres (Córdoba).

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. A combined 2.12 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Estudiantes de La Plata can win

Estudiantes de La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1458.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Talleres (Córdoba), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Estudiantes de La Plata, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Talleres (Córdoba): 53% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 21.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Estudiantes de La Plata: 64% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Estudiantes de La Plata are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.92–1.20 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.82–0.95 0-0 18% 26% 35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to win 36.5% 36.3% 27.6% 1.32× 2.75
Draw 34.3% 30.4% 30.7% 0.99× 3.29
Talleres (Córdoba) to win 29.2% 27.9% 41.8% 0.67× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata & not both score 26.5% 25.2% 17.1% 1.47× 3.97
Talleres (Córdoba) & not both score 21.0% 21.8% 27.7% 0.79× 4.59
Draw & not both score 17.6% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 16.7% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.57
Estudiantes de La Plata & both teams score 10.0% 13.3% 10.6% 1.25× 7.54
Talleres (Córdoba) & both teams score 8.2% 8.3% 14.3% 0.58× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 3.5 32.1% 30.8% 23.5% 1.31× 3.25
Draw & under 2.5 31.5% 30.7% 28.2% 1.09× 3.25
Draw & under 3.5 31.5% 30.7% 28.2% 1.09× 3.25
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 3.5 26.0% 26.1% 34.8% 0.75× 3.84
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 2.5 23.3% 21.6% 14.6% 1.48× 4.63
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 1.5 20.9% 21.6% 17.4% 1.24× 4.63
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 2.5 19.0% 18.0% 23.6% 0.76× 5.55
Draw & under 1.5 17.6% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.56
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 1.5 15.9% 18.0% 27.8% 0.65× 5.56
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 1.5 15.6% 18.0% 10.3% 1.75× 5.56
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 1.5 13.3% 12.8% 14.1% 0.91× 7.79
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 2.5 13.2% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.79
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 2.5 10.1% 12.8% 18.4% 0.70× 7.79
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 3.5 4.4% 4.8% 4.2% 1.14× 20.81
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 3.5 3.2% 4.8% 7.2% 0.67× 20.82
Draw & over 2.5 2.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
Draw & over 3.5 2.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (1UP) 48.0% 43.9% — — 2.28
Talleres (Córdoba) (1UP) 41.3% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (2UP) 36.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
Talleres (Córdoba) (2UP) 29.2% 25.3% — — 3.95
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 45.9% 45.0% — — 2.22
Estudiantes de La Plata to win 2nd half 30.5% 34.0% — — 2.95
Talleres (Córdoba) to win 2nd half 23.6% 24.4% — — 4.10
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.7% 87.2% — — 1.15
Estudiantes de La Plata under 0.5 in 2nd half 56.5% 54.4% — — 1.84
Estudiantes de La Plata over 0.5 in 2nd half 43.5% 45.6% — — 2.19
Estudiantes de La Plata over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.3% 12.8% — — 7.81
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 2nd half 92.0% 94.1% — — 1.06
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 2nd half 62.7% 63.1% — — 1.58
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 2nd half 37.3% 36.9% — — 2.71
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.0% 5.9% — — 16.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (+2.5) 97.7% 96.3% 95.0% 1.01× 1.04
Estudiantes de La Plata (+1.5) 90.3% 92.1% 82.3% 1.12× 1.09
Estudiantes de La Plata (+0.5) 70.8% 73.6% 58.2% 1.27× 1.36
Talleres (Córdoba) (+0.5) 63.5% 63.0% 72.4% 0.87× 1.59
Estudiantes de La Plata (-0.5) 36.5% 37.0% 27.6% 1.34× 2.70
Talleres (Córdoba) (-0.5) 29.2% 26.4% 41.8% 0.63× 3.80
Talleres (Córdoba) (-1.5) 9.7% 7.9% 17.7% 0.45× 12.68
Talleres (Córdoba) (-2.5) 2.3% 3.7% 5.0% 0.73× 27.19
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to concede 55.9% 62.3% 68.2% 0.91× 1.60
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet 44.1% 37.7% 31.8% 1.18× 2.66
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet in 1st half 70.3% 75.3% — — 1.33
Estudiantes de La Plata to concede in 1st half 29.7% 24.7% — — 4.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet in 2nd half 62.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Estudiantes de La Plata to concede in 2nd half 37.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 6.5 corners 84.4% 81.4% — — 1.23
Estudiantes de La Plata under 5.5 corners 74.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Estudiantes de La Plata over 2.5 corners 73.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Estudiantes de La Plata under 4.5 corners 60.8% 61.7% — — 1.62
Estudiantes de La Plata over 3.5 corners 55.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Estudiantes de La Plata under 3.5 corners 44.1% 42.8% — — 2.34
Estudiantes de La Plata over 4.5 corners 39.2% 38.3% — — 2.61
Estudiantes de La Plata under 2.5 corners 26.6% 28.4% — — 3.53
Estudiantes de La Plata over 5.5 corners 25.6% 28.4% — — 3.53
Estudiantes de La Plata over 6.5 corners 15.6% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 3.5 goals 98.4% 97.5% 98.9% 0.99× 1.03
Estudiantes de La Plata under 2.5 goals 92.8% 92.4% 93.4% 0.99× 1.08
Estudiantes de La Plata under 1.5 goals 75.3% 76.2% 78.2% 0.97× 1.31
Estudiantes de La Plata over 0.5 goals 61.4% 63.2% 57.6% 1.10× 1.58
Estudiantes de La Plata under 0.5 goals 38.6% 36.8% 42.4% 0.87× 2.72
Estudiantes de La Plata over 1.5 goals 24.7% 23.8% 21.8% 1.09× 4.21
Estudiantes de La Plata over 2.5 goals 7.2% 7.6% 6.6% 1.16× 13.07
Estudiantes de La Plata over 3.5 goals 1.6% 2.5% 1.1% 2.20× 39.89
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 1.5 in 1st half 94.4% 94.0% — — 1.06
Estudiantes de La Plata under 0.5 in 1st half 68.3% 70.4% — — 1.42
Estudiantes de La Plata over 0.5 in 1st half 31.7% 29.6% — — 3.37
Estudiantes de La Plata over 1.5 in 1st half 5.6% 6.0% — — 16.66
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata scores equally in both 47.5% 48.2% — — 2.08
Estudiantes de La Plata scores more in 2nd half 32.8% 33.3% — — 3.00
Estudiantes de La Plata scores more in 1st half 19.8% 18.2% — — 5.49
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 54.0% 51.7% 42.3% 1.22× 1.93
Talleres (Córdoba) (away no bet) 46.0% 48.3% 57.7% 0.84× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata even goals 57.4% 56.9% 58.4% 0.97× 1.76
Estudiantes de La Plata odd goals 42.6% 43.1% 41.6% 1.04× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 95.3% 95.5% — — 1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals 4.7% 4.5% — — 22.02
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 59.8% 60.7% — — 1.65
Not both halves under 1.5 40.2% 39.3% — — 2.54
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 34.6% 29.0% — — 3.45
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 2+ in a row 20.6% 19.5% — — 5.14
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row 15.9% 16.1% — — 6.21
Either team to score 3+ in a row 8.5% 5.5% — — 18.10
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 3+ in a row 5.1% 5.4% — — 18.37
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row 3.4% 2.6% — — 38.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+3.5) 89.0% 84.5% — — 1.18
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+2.5) 82.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+3.5) 78.9% 74.8% — — 1.34
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+1.5) 74.3% 70.8% — — 1.41
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+2.5) 69.9% 65.9% — — 1.52
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+1.5) 59.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-1.5) 40.8% 42.8% — — 2.33
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-2.5) 30.1% 34.1% — — 2.93
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-1.5) 25.7% 29.2% — — 3.42
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-3.5) 21.1% 25.2% — — 3.97
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-2.5) 17.3% 20.2% — — 4.95
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-3.5) 11.0% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.5% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 22.9% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.8% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 77.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.9% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.4% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.1% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 31.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 22.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 16.2% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 17.6% 13.8% 14.8% 0.93× 7.23
0-1 15.6% 13.8% 10.3% 1.35× 7.24
1-1 13.9% 11.5% 13.5% 0.85× 8.71
1-0 13.3% 11.5% 14.1% 0.81× 8.71
0-2 7.7% 7.4% 4.4% 1.66× 13.51
1-2 6.3% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-0 5.7% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.51
2-1 5.4% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
0-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.32
1-3 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
1-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
2-2 2.6% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.31
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
3-0 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.31
3-1 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.32
3-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
4-0 0.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.15× 58.32
4-2 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
4-3 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
Any other score 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (2nd half DNB) 56.4% 59.4% — — 1.68
Talleres (Córdoba) (2nd half DNB) 43.6% 40.6% — — 2.46
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata leading at HT (DNB) 52.3% 56.1% — — 1.78
Talleres (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB) 47.7% 43.9% — — 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw (X2) 70.8% 72.1% 58.2% 1.24× 1.39
Talleres (Córdoba) or Estudiantes de La Plata (12) 65.7% 69.6% 69.3% 1.00× 1.44
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw (1X) 63.5% 63.7% 72.4% 0.88× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw at HT 78.5% 79.7% — — 1.26
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw at HT 76.4% 79.6% — — 1.26
Talleres (Córdoba) or Estudiantes de La Plata at HT 45.1% 50.9% — — 1.96
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw (1UP) 70.8% 79.5% — — 1.26
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw (1UP) 63.5% 71.7% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw in 2nd half 76.4% 75.6% — — 1.32
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half 69.5% 66.0% — — 1.51
Talleres (Córdoba) or Estudiantes de La Plata in 2nd half 54.1% 55.0% — — 1.82
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 75.0% 75.6% — — 1.32
Neither half drawn 25.0% 24.4% — — 4.11
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (DNB) 55.6% 58.0% 39.7% 1.46× 1.72
Talleres (Córdoba) (DNB) 44.4% 42.0% 60.3% 0.70× 2.38
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score first 44.3% 41.8% — — 2.39
Talleres (Córdoba) to score first 38.1% 32.7% — — 3.05
No goal scored 17.6% 17.8% — — 5.63
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 65.1% 58.3% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Both teams to score 34.9% 41.7% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 60.0% 47.5% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Both score & over 2.5 21.1% 27.9% 27.3% 1.02× 3.59
Both score & under 2.5 13.9% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 1.23× 12.08
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 95.1% 91.6% 94.1% 0.97× 1.09
Both teams to score 2+ 4.9% 8.4% 5.9% 1.42× 11.87
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 83.6% 74.2% — — 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 16.4% 25.8% — — 3.87
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 75.6% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both score 2nd half only 14.9% 10.8% — — 9.28
Both score 1st half only 8.0% 6.8% — — 14.71
Both score in both halves 1.5% 4.8% — — 20.87
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 90.5% 90.7% — — 1.10
Both teams to score by HT 9.5% 9.3% — — 10.79
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 66.2% 65.3% — — 1.53
A goal in each half 33.8% 34.7% — — 2.89
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 goals 46.6% 47.2% 39.0% 1.21× 2.12
2-3 goals 43.0% 42.2% 47.3% 0.89× 2.37
4-6 goals 10.2% 16.9% 13.5% 1.26× 5.92
7+ goals 0.2% 1.8% 0.5% 4.02× 54.54
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 0 38.6% 35.9% 42.4% 0.85× 2.78
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.9% 35.9% 1.00× 2.78
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 2 17.5% 19.5% 15.3% 1.28× 5.12
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 3+ 7.2% 8.5% 6.6% 1.29× 11.71
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.5% 36.5% 0.97× 2.81
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 0 44.1% 35.2% 31.8% 1.11× 2.84
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 2 14.8% 14.3% 21.8% 0.66× 6.98
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 3+ 5.0% 10.3% 10.1% 1.02× 9.70
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 54.9% 49.1% — — 2.04
Estudiantes de La Plata leading at HT 23.6% 20.4% — — 4.89
Talleres (Córdoba) leading at HT 21.5% 20.3% — — 4.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: 1 63.5% 62.6% — — 1.60
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: X 22.8% 23.5% — — 4.25
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: 2 13.7% 14.0% — — 7.16
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:1) 70.8% 71.0% 58.2% 1.22× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 19.5% 17.8% 24.3% 0.73× 5.61
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:1) 9.7% 9.3% 17.7% 0.53× 10.78
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:2) 90.3% 90.7% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 7.3% 7.7% 12.8% 0.60× 13.06
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:2) 2.3% 3.7% 5.0% 0.74× 26.77
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:3) 97.7% 96.6% 95.0% 1.02× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 0.70× 42.06
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:3) 0.4% 2.4% 1.7% 1.39× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:4) 99.6% 98.1% 98.3% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 0.97× 81.93
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 0.6% 2.14× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (1:0) 63.5% 65.3% 72.4% 0.90× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 22.8% 21.7% 18.6% 1.17× 4.61
Estudiantes de La Plata (1:0) 13.7% 12.7% 9.1% 1.39× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (2:0) 86.3% 88.5% 90.9% 0.97× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.9% 6.4% 6.3% 1.02× 15.63
Estudiantes de La Plata (2:0) 3.8% 2.3% 3.0% 0.77× 43.69
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 41.5% 44.9% — — 2.23
Halves equal 33.5% 32.9% — — 3.04
1st half highest scoring 24.9% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede 61.4% 63.6% 57.6% 1.10× 1.57
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet 38.6% 36.4% 42.4% 0.86× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half 68.3% 70.7% — — 1.41
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half 31.7% 29.3% — — 3.41
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet in 2nd half 56.5% 54.8% — — 1.83
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede in 2nd half 43.5% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners 81.4% 81.0% — — 1.24
Talleres (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners 75.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
Talleres (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners 66.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
Talleres (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners 63.4% 62.3% — — 1.61
Talleres (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners 51.1% 52.6% — — 1.90
Talleres (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners 48.9% 47.4% — — 2.11
Talleres (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners 36.6% 37.7% — — 2.65
Talleres (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners 33.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
Talleres (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners 24.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Talleres (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners 18.6% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals 99.0% 96.4% 97.1% 0.99× 1.04
Talleres (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals 95.0% 92.2% 89.9% 1.03× 1.08
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals 80.2% 82.2% 68.2% 1.21× 1.22
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals 55.9% 58.6% 68.2% 0.86× 1.71
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals 44.1% 41.4% 31.8% 1.30× 2.42
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals 19.8% 17.8% 31.8% 0.56× 5.61
Talleres (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals 5.0% 7.8% 10.1% 0.77× 12.86
Talleres (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals 1.0% 3.6% 2.9% 1.27× 27.64
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half 95.1% 96.4% — — 1.04
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half 70.3% 79.0% — — 1.27
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half 29.7% 21.0% — — 4.77
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half 4.9% 3.6% — — 27.96
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) scores equally in both 51.6% 58.4% — — 1.71
Talleres (Córdoba) scores more in 2nd half 28.3% 27.9% — — 3.59
Talleres (Córdoba) scores more in 1st half 20.1% 20.9% — — 4.79
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (home no bet) 51.6% 51.4% 47.4% 1.09× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 48.4% 48.6% 52.6% 0.92× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) even goals 59.7% 55.3% 55.6% 0.99× 1.81
Talleres (Córdoba) odd goals 40.3% 44.7% 44.4% 1.01× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 48.2% 48.3% — — 2.07
HT 0-1 18.2% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-0 16.8% 18.6% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 6.5% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT 2-0 3.0% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 1-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.34
Any other HT score 1.3% 2.4% — — 42.34
HT 2-1 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT 2-2 0.2% 2.4% — — 42.41
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 25.8% 27.3% — — 3.67
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT 18.6% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT 16.4% 16.8% — — 5.97
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 15.5% 16.7% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 12.7% 12.7% — — 7.89
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.87
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.5% — — 28.89
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.99
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 1.0% 3.4% — — 29.00
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score last 44.3% 40.1% — — 2.49
Talleres (Córdoba) to score last 38.1% 38.7% — — 2.59
No goal scored 17.6% 13.8% — — 7.24
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 82.4% 87.6% — — 1.14
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 1 at any time 48.0% 44.3% — — 2.26
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time 41.3% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 29.3% 25.3% — — 3.95
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 2 at any time 16.9% 14.8% — — 6.75
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time 12.5% 10.6% — — 9.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 7.3% 6.6% — — 15.04
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 3 at any time 4.5% 1.6% — — 60.96
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time 2.9% 1.6% — — 62.48
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) most corners 52.4% 51.7% — — 1.94
Estudiantes de La Plata most corners 36.1% 39.3% — — 2.54
Corners level 11.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 81.4% 83.4% 84.3% 0.99× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.0% 78.7% 79.9% 0.98× 1.27
1-3 goals 72.0% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
1-2 goals 56.2% 59.1% 51.4% 1.15× 1.69
2-6 goals 53.2% 53.2% 60.7% 0.88× 1.88
2-5 goals 52.5% 53.2% 60.1% 0.88× 1.88
2-4 goals 50.0% 53.1% 55.8% 0.95× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.0% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-6 goals 25.9% 30.2% 33.5% 0.90× 3.31
3-5 goals 25.2% 30.2% 33.0% 0.92× 3.31
3-4 goals 22.7% 24.5% 28.6% 0.85× 4.09
4-6 goals 10.2% 14.8% 13.5% 1.10× 6.76
4-5 goals 9.4% 8.9% 12.9% 0.69× 11.25
5-6 goals 3.2% 2.6% 5.0% 0.51× 39.13
7+ goals 0.2% 2.5% 0.5% 5.58× 39.26
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata never behind 41.1% 48.7% — — 2.06
Talleres (Córdoba) never behind 34.3% 36.4% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.4% 50.9% 48.9% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.6% 49.1% 51.1% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 61.7% 59.3% — — 1.69
Odd goals in 1st half 38.3% 40.7% — — 2.46
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 56.7% 59.7% — — 1.67
Odd goals in 2nd half 43.3% 40.3% — — 2.48
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 99.0% 95.4% 99.0% 0.96× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 96.6% 95.4% 94.6% 1.01× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 89.6% 87.6% 86.2% 1.02× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 82.4% 82.3% 85.2% 0.97× 1.22
Under 2.5 goals 73.8% 72.5% 66.1% 1.10× 1.38
Over 1.5 goals 53.4% 52.5% 61.0% 0.86× 1.90
Under 1.5 goals 46.6% 47.5% 39.0% 1.22× 2.11
Over 2.5 goals 26.2% 27.5% 33.9% 0.81× 3.63
Under 0.5 goals 17.6% 17.7% 14.8% 1.19× 5.65
Over 3.5 goals 10.4% 12.4% 13.8% 0.90× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 3.4% 4.6% 5.4% 0.86× 21.82
Over 5.5 goals 1.0% 4.6% 1.0% 4.46× 21.86
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.8% 97.2% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 99.0% 97.2% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 96.3% 97.2% 94.1% 1.03× 1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 87.6% 86.7% 82.7% 1.05× 1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 64.0% 61.9% 53.5% 1.16× 1.62
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 36.0% 38.1% 46.5% 0.82× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 12.4% 13.3% 17.3% 0.77× 7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 3.7% 2.8% 5.9% 0.48× 35.59
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.0% 2.8% 1.1% 2.61× 35.67
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.2% 2.8% 0.5% 6.11× 35.69
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 96.2% 96.9% — — 1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half 83.2% 85.7% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 51.8% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 0.5 in 1st half 48.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 1.5 in 1st half 16.8% 14.3% — — 7.01
Over 2.5 in 1st half 3.8% 3.1% — — 32.01
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 91.3% 90.1% — — 1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 72.0% 77.7% — — 1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 64.4% 61.6% — — 1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 35.6% 38.4% — — 2.60
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 28.0% 22.3% — — 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 8.7% 9.9% — — 10.15
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to score in both halves 88.9% 85.7% — — 1.17
Estudiantes de La Plata not to score in both halves 86.2% 85.5% — — 1.17
Estudiantes de La Plata to score in both halves 13.8% 14.5% — — 6.91
Talleres (Córdoba) to score in both halves 11.1% 14.3% — — 7.00
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 34.9% 33.3% 40.6% 0.82× 3.00
Only Estudiantes de La Plata scores 26.5% 26.1% 17.1% 1.52× 3.84
Only Talleres (Córdoba) scores 21.0% 22.2% 27.7% 0.80× 4.50
Neither team scores 17.6% 16.0% 14.8% 1.08× 6.23
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 28.9% 24.9% 24.3% 1.02× 4.02
Exactly 2 goals 27.3% 24.9% 27.3% 0.91× 4.02
Exactly 0 goals 17.6% 17.5% 14.8% 1.18× 5.73
Exactly 3 goals 15.8% 17.5% 20.2% 0.86× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 2.5% 4.5% 4.4% 1.01× 22.36
6 or more goals 1.0% 4.5% 1.0% 4.35× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 48.2% 48.3% — — 2.07
1 goal in 1st half 35.0% 37.2% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 13.0% 10.9% — — 9.20
3+ goals in 1st half 3.8% 3.1% — — 32.01
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 36.4% 39.7% — — 2.52
No goals in 2nd half 35.6% 39.6% — — 2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half 28.0% 29.1% — — 3.43
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to win both halves 94.9% 94.2% — — 1.06
Estudiantes de La Plata not to win both halves 92.7% 94.2% — — 1.06
Estudiantes de La Plata to win both halves 7.3% 5.8% — — 17.13
Talleres (Córdoba) to win both halves 5.1% 5.8% — — 17.29
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to win neither half 60.1% 64.9% — — 1.54
Estudiantes de La Plata to win neither half 53.2% 54.4% — — 1.84
Estudiantes de La Plata to win either half 46.8% 45.6% — — 2.19
Talleres (Córdoba) to win either half 39.9% 35.1% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to win to nil 79.0% 78.1% 72.3% 1.08× 1.28
Estudiantes de La Plata not to win to nil 73.5% 75.3% 82.9% 0.91× 1.33
Estudiantes de La Plata to win to nil 26.5% 24.7% 17.1% 1.44× 4.05
Talleres (Córdoba) to win to nil 21.0% 21.9% 27.7% 0.79× 4.58
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 34.3% 27.7% 30.7% 0.90× 3.60
Estudiantes de La Plata by 1 22.8% 24.1% 18.6% 1.30× 4.15
Talleres (Córdoba) by 1 19.5% 17.1% 24.3% 0.70× 5.86
Estudiantes de La Plata by 2 9.9% 7.2% 6.3% 1.15× 13.90
Talleres (Córdoba) by 2 7.3% 7.2% 12.8% 0.56× 13.91
Estudiantes de La Plata by 3+ 3.8% 2.7% 3.0% 0.92× 36.85
Talleres (Córdoba) by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.90
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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