Taraz v Khan Tengri — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · KAZ-First League · 2627

KAZ-First League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Taraz

13:00 UTC

Khan Tengri

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 11 Sep, 11:38 · 1h before kick-off

Taraz win

59.4%

model 60.7%

Draw

17.5%

model 19.3%

Khan Tengri win

23.1%

model 20.0%

591723

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,309 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.3%
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.1%
0-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.4%	Under 2.5	45.6%
BTTS yes	51.1%	BTTS no	48.9%
Taraz 1+	85.0%	Taraz 2+	56.5%
Khan Tengri 1+	61.7%	Khan Tengri 2+	25.0%

Expected goals 1.90 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Taraz (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 56%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

strong signal · 2436 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Taraz or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Taraz have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Khan Tengri have allowed 1.35.
At home Taraz average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Taraz have only 0 matches on record.
Khan Tengri have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Taraz have an estimated 59.4% win probability, against 23.1% for Khan Tengri and 17.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.90 for Taraz and 0.96 for Khan Tengri.

Why Taraz

Taraz have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Khan Tengri have allowed 1.35. At home Taraz average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%.

Why Khan Tengri can win

Khan Tengri have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Taraz have allowed 1.35. Away from home Khan Tengri average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Taraz, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Khan Tengri, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Taraz: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Khan Tengri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Taraz are the model's most likely outcome at 59.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.3%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	611920	1.90–0.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622018	1.81–0.82	1-0 14%	49%	45%
deep	432532	1.50–1.25	1-1 12%	52%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to win	43.0%	43.0%	47.7%	0.90×	2.33
Khan Tengri to win	31.6%	30.4%	37.6%	0.81×	3.29
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	15.2%	1.83×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz & not both score	22.3%	21.9%	27.0%	0.81×	4.58
Taraz & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	21.1%	1.04×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	12.7%	1.42×	5.58
Khan Tengri & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	19.0%	0.94×	5.58
Khan Tengri & not both score	15.9%	17.9%	19.0%	0.94×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.4%	3.0%	2.83×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz & over 1.5	33.5%	30.8%	38.8%	0.79×	3.24
Taraz & under 3.5	29.4%	26.1%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Taraz & over 2.5	26.3%	26.0%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
Khan Tengri & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	31.2%	0.69×	4.63
Khan Tengri & under 3.5	22.6%	21.6%	24.1%	0.90×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	12.7%	1.42×	5.56
Khan Tengri & over 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	26.2%	0.69×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.5%	1.70×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.5%	1.70×	5.56
Taraz & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.56
Taraz & over 3.5	13.7%	12.9%	24.5%	0.53×	7.77
Khan Tengri & under 2.5	13.0%	12.9%	11.8%	1.09×	7.77
Taraz & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.65
Khan Tengri & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.65
Khan Tengri & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	3.0%	2.68×	12.66
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.66
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.66

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (1UP)	59.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Khan Tengri (1UP)	49.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (2UP)	43.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Khan Tengri (2UP)	31.6%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to win 2nd half	35.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2nd half drawn	35.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Khan Tengri to win 2nd half	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Khan Tengri over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Khan Tengri under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Khan Tengri over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Taraz over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Taraz under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Taraz over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	79.7%	1.15×	1.09
Khan Tengri (+1.5)	78.8%	78.5%	68.4%	1.15×	1.28
Taraz (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	62.4%	1.10×	1.46
Khan Tengri (+0.5)	57.0%	57.0%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75
Taraz (-0.5)	43.0%	43.0%	47.7%	0.90×	2.33
Khan Tengri (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	37.6%	0.83×	3.20
Taraz (-1.5)	21.2%	21.5%	31.6%	0.68×	4.64
Taraz (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede	77.7%	78.9%	78.5%	1.01×	1.27
Khan Tengri clean sheet	22.3%	21.1%	21.5%	0.98×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede in 1st half	47.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Khan Tengri clean sheet in 1st half	52.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to concede in 2nd half	57.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Khan Tengri clean sheet in 2nd half	42.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	90.3%	1.08×	1.03
Khan Tengri under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.9%	78.9%	1.11×	1.14
Khan Tengri over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.9%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Khan Tengri under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.1%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
Khan Tengri over 1.5 goals	35.5%	36.9%	39.7%	0.93×	2.71
Khan Tengri under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.1%	29.5%	0.95×	3.56
Khan Tengri over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	21.1%	0.58×	8.23
Khan Tengri over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	9.7%	0.26×	40.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Khan Tengri under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Khan Tengri over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Khan Tengri over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.01

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri scores equally in both	40.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Khan Tengri scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Khan Tengri scores more in 1st half	22.0%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (away no bet)	63.0%	62.0%	75.8%	0.82×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.0%	38.0%	24.2%	1.57×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri even goals	54.1%	52.8%	54.0%	0.98×	1.90
Khan Tengri odd goals	45.9%	47.2%	46.0%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Taraz to score 2+ in a row	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Khan Tengri to score 2+ in a row	26.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Taraz to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Khan Tengri to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.72

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.4%	8.0%	1.43×	8.74
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.49
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	5.5%	1.35×	13.49
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.10×	13.49
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.49
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	4.2%	1.76×	13.49
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	3.0%	2.51×	13.49
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	3.0%	2.51×	13.49
0-2	5.0%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.39
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.41
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.42
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.40
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.42
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.41
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.42
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.40
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.40
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.41
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.41
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.42
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.41
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.41
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.42
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.42
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.06×	58.42
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	12.2%	0.14×	58.41

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (2nd half DNB)	54.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Khan Tengri (2nd half DNB)	45.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz leading at HT (DNB)	58.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Khan Tengri leading at HT (DNB)	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz or Khan Tengri (12)	74.7%	72.1%	84.8%	0.85×	1.39
Taraz or draw (1X)	68.4%	69.6%	62.4%	1.11×	1.44
Khan Tengri or draw (X2)	57.0%	57.0%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz or draw at HT	76.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Khan Tengri or draw at HT	66.8%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Taraz or Khan Tengri at HT	57.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Khan Tengri or draw (1UP)	57.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz or draw in 2nd half	70.6%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Taraz or Khan Tengri in 2nd half	64.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Khan Tengri or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (DNB)	57.6%	58.1%	55.9%	1.04×	1.72
Khan Tengri (DNB)	42.4%	41.9%	44.1%	0.95×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to score first	51.1%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Khan Tengri to score first	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.4%	54.9%	51.9%	1.06×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.6%	45.1%	48.1%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.4%	41.7%	44.3%	0.94×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.2%	38.4%	27.0%	1.42×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	21.5%	0.39×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	82.9%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	17.1%	13.9%	1.23×	5.85

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.3%	39.7%	1.19×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.5%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.0%	22.8%	18.1%	1.26×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	10.1%	0.18×	54.75

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri to score exactly 1	35.8%	36.0%	31.2%	1.15×	2.78
Khan Tengri to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.4%	29.5%	0.93×	3.65
Khan Tengri to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.4%	19.0%	1.18×	4.47
Khan Tengri to score 3+	13.2%	12.8%	21.1%	0.61×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to score exactly 1	33.5%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
Taraz to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	16.0%	1.65×	3.77
Taraz to score exactly 0	22.3%	23.2%	21.5%	1.08×	4.31
Taraz to score 3+	19.1%	18.9%	32.9%	0.57×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Taraz leading at HT	33.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Khan Tengri leading at HT	23.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz -1: 2	57.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Taraz -1: X	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Taraz -1: 1	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (0:1)	57.0%	55.8%	52.3%	1.07×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.3%	16.5%	1.47×	4.12
Taraz (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	31.6%	0.77×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (0:2)	78.8%	79.5%	68.4%	1.16×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	10.9%	11.8%	0.92×	9.17
Taraz (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	20.3%	0.38×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (0:3)	91.7%	92.6%	79.7%	1.16×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	9.7%	0.60×	17.31
Taraz (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	11.0%	0.22×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	89.0%	1.10×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	6.3%	0.19×	83.39
Taraz (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	5.1%	0.24×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (1:0)	68.4%	70.0%	62.4%	1.12×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.0%	17.3%	0.98×	5.88
Khan Tengri (1:0)	13.4%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz (2:0)	86.6%	88.4%	79.3%	1.11×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.4%	9.7%	0.66×	15.52
Khan Tengri (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	11.4%	0.20×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to concede	71.3%	73.1%	70.5%	1.04×	1.37
Taraz clean sheet	28.7%	26.9%	29.5%	0.91×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Taraz to concede in 1st half	39.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Taraz clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Taraz under 2.5 goals	80.9%	82.1%	67.1%	1.22×	1.22
Taraz over 0.5 goals	77.7%	77.8%	78.5%	0.99×	1.29
Taraz under 1.5 goals	55.8%	58.8%	51.5%	1.14×	1.70
Taraz over 1.5 goals	44.2%	41.2%	48.5%	0.85×	2.43
Taraz under 0.5 goals	22.3%	22.2%	21.5%	1.03×	4.50
Taraz over 2.5 goals	19.1%	17.9%	32.9%	0.54×	5.59
Taraz over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	16.9%	0.46×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Taraz over 0.5 in 1st half	47.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Taraz under 0.5 in 1st half	52.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Taraz over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Taraz scores equally in both	36.4%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Taraz scores more in 1st half	25.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri (home no bet)	55.6%	56.6%	71.2%	0.79×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.4%	43.4%	28.8%	1.51×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz even goals	52.5%	50.6%	48.5%	1.04×	1.98
Taraz odd goals	47.5%	49.4%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz at HT / Taraz at FT	25.4%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Khan Tengri at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Taraz at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Taraz at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Khan Tengri at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Khan Tengri at HT / Taraz at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Taraz at HT / Khan Tengri at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to score last	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Khan Tengri to score last	42.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Taraz to lead by 1 at any time	59.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Khan Tengri to lead by 1 at any time	49.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.5%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Taraz to lead by 2 at any time	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Khan Tengri to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Taraz to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Khan Tengri to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.17

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	81.4%	1.07×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.8%	72.4%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.9%	66.2%	1.04×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.9%	63.4%	54.9%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.6%	48.6%	55.7%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.6%	39.7%	1.23×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.8%	48.6%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.8%	43.6%	32.1%	1.36×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.4%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.5%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.6%	24.5%	27.0%	0.91×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.2%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.74
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	10.1%	0.25×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz never behind	44.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Khan Tengri never behind	34.5%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	53.2%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	46.8%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	84.0%	1.10×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.5%	87.6%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	77.4%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	72.5%	57.4%	1.26×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.9%	52.6%	65.4%	0.80×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.1%	47.4%	34.6%	1.37×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	27.5%	42.6%	0.65×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	22.6%	18.1%	1.25×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.5%	12.4%	22.4%	0.55×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	3.0%	2.62×	12.90
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	16.0%	0.48×	12.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.4%	82.9%	1.12×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.9%	81.0%	72.0%	1.13×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.4%	67.5%	78.3%	0.86×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.9%	61.9%	44.8%	1.38×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.1%	38.1%	55.2%	0.69×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.6%	32.5%	21.7%	1.49×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.1%	19.0%	28.0%	0.68×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.6%	17.1%	0.44×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.91

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.2%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.7%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Taraz not to score in both halves	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Taraz to score in both halves	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Khan Tengri to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.4%	58.5%	51.9%	1.13×	1.71
Only Taraz scores	22.3%	22.3%	27.0%	0.82×	4.49
Only Khan Tengri scores	15.9%	16.0%	19.0%	0.84×	6.25
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	22.6%	16.9%	1.34×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.4%	15.6%	1.12×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.4%	20.7%	0.84×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	6.8%	1.13×	13.11
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	3.0%	2.58×	13.11
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	16.0%	0.48×	13.11

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	31.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	10.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to win both halves	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Taraz not to win both halves	88.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Taraz to win both halves	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Khan Tengri to win both halves	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Taraz to win either half	56.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Khan Tengri to win neither half	53.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Khan Tengri to win either half	46.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Taraz to win neither half	43.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Khan Tengri not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	81.0%	1.03×	1.20
Taraz not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	73.0%	1.07×	1.28
Taraz to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	27.0%	0.81×	4.57
Khan Tengri to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	19.0%	0.89×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.8%	15.2%	1.83×	3.59
Taraz by 1	21.9%	24.2%	16.5%	1.47×	4.14
Khan Tengri by 1	18.2%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.90
Taraz by 2	12.9%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.50
Khan Tengri by 2	8.9%	7.2%	9.7%	0.75×	13.83
Taraz by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	20.3%	0.36×	13.83
Khan Tengri by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.68