Telstar v FC Utrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Telstar

13:30 UTC

FC Utrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 219h before kick-off

Telstar win

36.6%

model 35.5%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.9%

FC Utrecht win

36.7%

model 37.6%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 6.5%
0-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.1%	Under 2.5	42.9%
BTTS yes	61.1%	BTTS no	38.9%
Telstar 1+	76.8%	Telstar 2+	42.9%
FC Utrecht 1+	77.9%	FC Utrecht 2+	44.6%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

FC Utrecht (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 75%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1330 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Utrecht (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Utrecht carry the stronger rating, 1571 Elo against 1502.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Utrecht have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Telstar and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Telstar and 1.51 for FC Utrecht.

Why Telstar

Nothing in the data singles out Telstar.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.51. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Utrecht can win

FC Utrecht carry the stronger rating, 1571 Elo against 1502.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Telstar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Telstar: 44% possession, 7.2 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Utrecht: 44% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 19.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Utrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352738	1.46–1.51	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322642	1.49–1.72	1-1 12%	62%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win	42.1%	42.9%	30.1%	1.42×	2.33
Telstar to win	32.3%	30.4%	44.4%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	25.6%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & both teams score	24.7%	21.8%	17.2%	1.27×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	20.3%	21.8%	22.2%	0.98×	4.59
Telstar & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.56
FC Utrecht & not both score	17.4%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.57
Telstar & not both score	12.8%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & over 1.5	36.3%	34.9%	26.2%	1.33×	2.87
FC Utrecht & over 2.5	30.3%	30.8%	20.4%	1.51×	3.25
Telstar & over 1.5	27.4%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
FC Utrecht & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	19.9%	1.08×	4.63
Telstar & over 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	28.9%	0.75×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
Telstar & under 3.5	19.3%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
FC Utrecht & over 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	10.4%	1.74×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Telstar & over 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
FC Utrecht & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
Telstar & under 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	15.7%	0.51×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
FC Utrecht & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	4.1%	1.93×	12.63
Telstar & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (1UP)	60.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Telstar (1UP)	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2UP)	42.1%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Telstar (2UP)	32.3%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	38.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Telstar to win 2nd half	28.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.5%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.5%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Telstar over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Telstar under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Telstar over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	86.8%	1.06×	1.09
FC Utrecht (+1.5)	84.3%	82.5%	74.7%	1.10×	1.21
FC Utrecht (+0.5)	67.7%	68.7%	55.6%	1.24×	1.46
Telstar (+0.5)	57.9%	57.0%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75
FC Utrecht (-0.5)	42.1%	43.0%	30.1%	1.43×	2.33
Telstar (-0.5)	32.3%	31.3%	44.4%	0.70×	3.19
Telstar (-1.5)	15.7%	17.5%	25.3%	0.69×	5.73
Telstar (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	13.2%	0.59×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede	77.4%	78.8%	83.6%	0.94×	1.27
FC Utrecht clean sheet	22.6%	21.2%	16.4%	1.29×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	52.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	47.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede in 2nd half	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	70.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	29.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	82.0%	81.5%	73.2%	1.11×	1.23
FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	75.3%	76.2%	84.9%	0.90×	1.31
FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	51.1%	53.5%	41.9%	1.28×	1.87
FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.5%	58.1%	0.80×	2.15
FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	24.7%	23.8%	15.1%	1.58×	4.21
FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	18.0%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.39
FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	5.6%	1.36×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	84.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	50.4%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	15.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
FC Utrecht scores equally in both	33.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
FC Utrecht scores more in 1st half	23.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (away no bet)	55.9%	57.4%	63.5%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.1%	42.6%	36.5%	1.17×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht even goals	51.6%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
FC Utrecht odd goals	48.4%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	40.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Telstar to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Telstar to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar corners (+3.5)	82.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	80.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Telstar corners (+2.5)	75.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Telstar corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Telstar corners (-1.5)	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Telstar corners (-2.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	24.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Telstar corners (-3.5)	19.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	17.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
0-1	5.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.51
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	2.6%	2.86×	13.51
Any other score	4.8%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.29
1-0	4.9%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.29
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2nd half DNB)	57.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Telstar (2nd half DNB)	42.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	52.4%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Telstar leading at HT (DNB)	47.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar or FC Utrecht (12)	74.4%	72.1%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
FC Utrecht or draw (X2)	67.7%	69.6%	55.6%	1.25×	1.44
Telstar or draw (1X)	57.9%	57.1%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw at HT	71.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Telstar or draw at HT	68.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Telstar or FC Utrecht at HT	60.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	67.7%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Telstar or draw (1UP)	57.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Telstar or FC Utrecht in 2nd half	67.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Telstar or draw in 2nd half	61.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (DNB)	56.6%	58.0%	40.4%	1.44×	1.72
Telstar (DNB)	43.4%	42.0%	59.6%	0.70×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score first	50.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Telstar to score first	44.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.6%	56.7%	60.3%	0.94×	1.76
Not both teams to score	35.4%	43.3%	39.7%	1.09×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.1%	47.3%	48.7%	0.97×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.5%	33.3%	28.8%	1.16×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.6%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.4%	20.3%	19.6%	1.04×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	8.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	23.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.3%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.0%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.95
7+ goals	4.5%	1.9%	4.1%	0.45×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	30.9%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	26.5%	27.4%	26.9%	1.02×	3.65
FC Utrecht to score 3+	24.7%	22.3%	15.1%	1.48×	4.48
FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	18.0%	19.6%	26.8%	0.73×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to score exactly 1	33.6%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
Telstar to score exactly 2	25.0%	23.3%	26.9%	0.87×	4.29
Telstar to score exactly 0	22.6%	23.3%	16.4%	1.42×	4.29
Telstar to score 3+	18.8%	18.8%	23.7%	0.79×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
FC Utrecht leading at HT	31.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Telstar leading at HT	28.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht -1: 1	57.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Utrecht -1: 2	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Utrecht -1: X	19.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:1)	67.7%	65.2%	55.6%	1.17×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	16.7%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61
Telstar (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	25.3%	0.70×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:2)	84.3%	83.0%	74.7%	1.11×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.02
Telstar (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:3)	94.1%	92.7%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	42.03
Telstar (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.95
Telstar (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (1:0)	57.9%	58.3%	69.9%	0.84×	1.71
FC Utrecht (1:0)	22.7%	21.7%	15.5%	1.40×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	19.4%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (2:0)	77.3%	80.5%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.0%	10.3%	8.8%	1.17×	9.72
FC Utrecht (2:0)	9.7%	6.4%	6.8%	0.93×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to concede	82.0%	80.9%	73.2%	1.10×	1.24
Telstar clean sheet	18.0%	19.1%	26.8%	0.71×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar clean sheet in 1st half	50.4%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Telstar to concede in 1st half	49.6%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to concede in 2nd half	64.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Telstar clean sheet in 2nd half	35.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar over 2.5 corners	85.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Telstar over 3.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Telstar under 6.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Telstar over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Telstar under 5.5 corners	55.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Telstar over 5.5 corners	44.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Telstar under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Telstar over 6.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Telstar under 3.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Telstar under 2.5 corners	14.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 3.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Telstar under 2.5 goals	81.2%	82.2%	76.3%	1.08×	1.22
Telstar over 0.5 goals	77.4%	77.7%	83.6%	0.93×	1.29
Telstar under 1.5 goals	56.3%	58.6%	49.5%	1.18×	1.71
Telstar over 1.5 goals	43.7%	41.4%	50.5%	0.82×	2.41
Telstar under 0.5 goals	22.6%	22.3%	16.4%	1.35×	4.49
Telstar over 2.5 goals	18.8%	17.8%	23.7%	0.75×	5.62
Telstar over 3.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	10.8%	0.72×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Telstar under 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Telstar over 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Telstar over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar scores more in 2nd half	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Telstar scores equally in both	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Telstar scores more in 1st half	25.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (home no bet)	62.2%	60.0%	54.1%	1.11×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.8%	40.0%	45.9%	0.87×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar even goals	52.6%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Telstar odd goals	47.4%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	16.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
Any other HT score	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	23.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Telstar at HT / Telstar at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Telstar at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Telstar at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Telstar at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
FC Utrecht at HT / Telstar at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score last	50.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Telstar to score last	44.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Telstar to lead by 1 at any time	52.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	30.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Telstar to lead by 2 at any time	22.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Telstar to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.88

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar most corners	46.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Utrecht most corners	43.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.2%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.8%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.6%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.0%	59.1%	58.9%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.3%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.8%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.2%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.5%	18.8%	16.9%	1.11×	5.31
7+ goals	4.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht never behind	42.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Telstar never behind	34.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	84.3%	0.98×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.1%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.0%	61.7%	59.7%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	62.3%	0.99×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	37.7%	1.01×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.0%	38.3%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.9%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.3%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.1%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.5%	75.9%	79.2%	0.96×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.3%	72.4%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.1%	51.9%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.9%	48.1%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.7%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.5%	24.1%	20.8%	1.16×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.9%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.7%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to score in both halves	73.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	68.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Utrecht to score in both halves	31.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Telstar to score in both halves	27.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.6%	60.4%	60.3%	1.00×	1.66
Only FC Utrecht scores	17.4%	16.0%	13.1%	1.22×	6.24
Only Telstar scores	12.8%	11.0%	23.4%	0.47×	9.06
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.8%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.3%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	15.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to win both halves	91.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Utrecht not to win both halves	87.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Utrecht to win both halves	12.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Telstar to win both halves	8.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.91

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win either half	57.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Telstar to win neither half	51.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Telstar to win either half	49.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
FC Utrecht to win neither half	42.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to win to nil	87.2%	88.1%	76.6%	1.15×	1.14
FC Utrecht not to win to nil	82.6%	83.1%	86.9%	0.96×	1.20
FC Utrecht to win to nil	17.4%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.92
Telstar to win to nil	12.8%	11.9%	23.4%	0.51×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.6%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
FC Utrecht by 1	19.4%	17.1%	14.8%	1.15×	5.87
Telstar by 1	16.7%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
FC Utrecht by 2	13.0%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
Telstar by 2	9.8%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
FC Utrecht by 3+	9.7%	7.2%	6.8%	1.05×	13.90
Telstar by 3+	5.9%	7.2%	13.2%	0.54×	13.91