Tenerife v Cádiz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Tenerife

16:30 UTC

Cádiz

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 441h before kick-off

Tenerife win

51.0%

model 50.4%

Draw

27.2%

model 26.6%

Cádiz win

21.8%

model 23.0%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 10.4%
0-0 10.1%
0-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	43.1%	BTTS no	56.9%
Tenerife 1+	75.6%	Tenerife 2+	41.2%
Cádiz 1+	57.3%	Cádiz 2+	21.0%

Expected goals 1.41 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Tenerife under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 83%

82.4% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1274 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Tenerife carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1348.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tenerife have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 27.2% for the draw and 21.8% for Cádiz. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for Tenerife and 0.85 for Cádiz.

Why Tenerife

Tenerife carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1348.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.2%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Cádiz can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cádiz.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tenerife, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cádiz, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tenerife: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cádiz: 50% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Tenerife are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.0%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502723	1.41–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512723	1.41–0.84	1-0 15%	39%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to win	50.4%	51.7%	45.5%	1.14×	1.94
Draw	26.6%	27.6%	26.6%	1.04×	3.63
Cádiz to win	23.0%	22.1%	28.0%	0.79×	4.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife & not both score	32.5%	32.8%	23.6%	1.39×	3.05
Tenerife & both teams score	17.9%	17.8%	22.0%	0.81×	5.63
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	17.7%	17.5%	1.01×	5.64
Cádiz & not both score	14.3%	12.2%	13.4%	0.91×	8.21
Draw & not both score	10.1%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Cádiz & both teams score	8.7%	7.3%	14.7%	0.50×	13.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife & under 3.5	39.0%	37.6%	32.2%	1.16×	2.66
Tenerife & over 1.5	35.4%	37.5%	32.6%	1.15×	2.67
Tenerife & under 2.5	25.3%	25.5%	19.3%	1.32×	3.93
Tenerife & over 2.5	25.1%	25.5%	26.3%	0.97×	3.93
Draw & under 2.5	22.3%	21.5%	20.3%	1.06×	4.65
Draw & under 3.5	22.3%	21.5%	20.3%	1.06×	4.65
Cádiz & under 3.5	19.3%	17.6%	19.6%	0.89×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.70
Tenerife & under 1.5	15.0%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.86
Cádiz & over 1.5	13.8%	12.7%	19.4%	0.65×	7.86
Cádiz & under 2.5	12.9%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.86
Tenerife & over 3.5	11.4%	12.7%	13.3%	0.95×	7.87
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.7%	9.1%	1.39×	7.87
Cádiz & over 2.5	10.1%	12.7%	16.6%	0.77×	7.87
Cádiz & under 1.5	9.1%	7.5%	8.7%	0.86×	13.40
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.71×	21.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.6%	6.4%	0.71×	21.92
Cádiz & over 3.5	3.7%	4.6%	8.5%	0.54×	21.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (1UP)	62.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Cádiz (1UP)	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (2UP)	50.4%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Cádiz (2UP)	23.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to win 2nd half	39.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
2nd half drawn	38.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Cádiz to win 2nd half	21.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (+2.5)	90.5%	92.2%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Tenerife (+0.5)	77.0%	78.6%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Cádiz (+1.5)	75.3%	78.5%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
Tenerife (-0.5)	50.4%	51.5%	45.5%	1.13×	1.94
Cádiz (+0.5)	49.6%	48.5%	54.5%	0.89×	2.06
Tenerife (-1.5)	24.7%	21.5%	19.5%	1.10×	4.65
Cádiz (-0.5)	23.0%	21.5%	28.0%	0.76×	4.66
Tenerife (-2.5)	9.5%	7.8%	7.7%	1.01×	12.89

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to concede	75.6%	75.9%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
Cádiz clean sheet	24.4%	24.1%	22.5%	1.07×	4.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz clean sheet in 1st half	54.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Cádiz to concede in 1st half	45.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 6.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cádiz under 5.5 corners	79.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cádiz over 2.5 corners	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cádiz under 4.5 corners	66.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Cádiz over 3.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cádiz under 3.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cádiz over 4.5 corners	33.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Cádiz under 2.5 corners	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Cádiz over 5.5 corners	20.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Cádiz over 6.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.4%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Cádiz under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.7%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Cádiz under 1.5 goals	79.0%	75.3%	69.4%	1.09×	1.33
Cádiz over 0.5 goals	57.3%	57.7%	67.3%	0.86×	1.73
Cádiz under 0.5 goals	42.7%	42.3%	32.7%	1.30×	2.36
Cádiz over 1.5 goals	21.0%	24.7%	30.6%	0.81×	4.06
Cádiz over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.3%	10.8%	0.68×	13.68
Cádiz over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.6%	3.0%	0.87×	37.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Cádiz under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Cádiz over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Cádiz over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	4.0%	—	—	25.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (away no bet)	65.4%	71.4%	63.1%	1.13×	1.40
Draw (away no bet)	34.6%	28.6%	36.9%	0.78×	3.50

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz even goals	59.1%	58.0%	54.7%	1.06×	1.72
Cádiz odd goals	40.9%	42.0%	45.3%	0.93×	2.38

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.7%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.54

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Tenerife to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Cádiz to score 2+ in a row	15.4%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
Tenerife to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Cádiz to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.59

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Tenerife corners (+2.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Tenerife corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cádiz corners (+3.5)	72.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Cádiz corners (+2.5)	62.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cádiz corners (+1.5)	50.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Tenerife corners (-1.5)	49.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tenerife corners (-2.5)	37.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Tenerife corners (-3.5)	27.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Cádiz corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cádiz corners (-2.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cádiz corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.0%	11.6%	13.0%	0.89×	8.62
1-1	12.2%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.63
2-0	10.4%	11.6%	6.4%	1.81×	8.64
0-0	10.1%	11.6%	9.1%	1.27×	8.64
0-1	9.1%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.74
2-1	8.8%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.74
1-2	5.3%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.75
0-2	3.8%	1.8%	2.9%	0.61×	55.41
2-2	3.8%	1.8%	5.7%	0.32×	55.41
3-0	4.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.59×	55.39
3-1	4.2%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.40
1-3	1.5%	1.8%	3.6%	0.50×	55.47
3-2	1.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.46
4-0	1.7%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.47
4-1	1.5%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.47
Any other score	1.7%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.47
0-3	1.1%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.48
0-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
1-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.8%	2.14×	55.50
2-3	1.1%	1.8%	2.3%	0.78×	55.48
2-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
3-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
3-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51
4-2	0.6%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.49
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.72×	55.50
4-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife leading at HT (DNB)	67.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Cádiz leading at HT (DNB)	32.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife or draw (1X)	77.0%	77.9%	72.0%	1.08×	1.28
Tenerife or Cádiz (12)	73.4%	72.4%	73.4%	0.99×	1.38
Cádiz or draw (X2)	49.6%	48.3%	54.5%	0.89×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife or draw at HT	82.6%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Cádiz or draw at HT	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Tenerife or Cádiz at HT	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife or draw (1UP)	77.0%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Cádiz or draw (1UP)	49.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife or draw in 2nd half	78.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Tenerife or Cádiz in 2nd half	61.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Cádiz or draw in 2nd half	60.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.0%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Neither half drawn	32.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (DNB)	68.7%	68.5%	61.9%	1.11×	1.46
Cádiz (DNB)	31.3%	31.5%	38.1%	0.83×	3.17

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to score first	56.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cádiz to score first	33.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
No goal scored	10.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.59

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.9%	56.7%	46.0%	1.23×	1.76
Both teams to score	43.1%	43.3%	54.0%	0.80×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.4%	45.4%	39.8%	1.14×	2.21
Both score & over 2.5	30.9%	34.4%	42.9%	0.80×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	11.7%	11.2%	1.04×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.7%	6.3%	1.39×	11.46

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.3%	88.8%	85.6%	1.04×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	8.7%	11.2%	14.4%	0.78×	8.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.8%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	19.1%	18.3%	—	—	5.47
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	11.5%	—	—	8.68
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.91

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.3%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
A goal in each half	44.7%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	45.9%	41.4%	1.11×	2.18
0-1 goals	34.2%	31.7%	30.7%	1.03×	3.16
4-6 goals	18.5%	20.7%	26.6%	0.78×	4.82
7+ goals	0.9%	1.9%	1.6%	1.22×	52.01

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to score exactly 0	42.7%	41.5%	32.7%	1.27×	2.41
Cádiz to score exactly 1	36.3%	34.6%	36.9%	0.94×	2.89
Cádiz to score exactly 2	15.5%	18.3%	19.9%	0.92×	5.46
Cádiz to score 3+	5.5%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.24

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to score exactly 1	34.4%	30.6%	35.6%	0.86×	3.27
Tenerife to score exactly 0	24.4%	23.0%	22.5%	1.02×	4.35
Tenerife to score exactly 2	24.3%	23.0%	25.0%	0.92×	4.35
Tenerife to score 3+	16.9%	18.5%	17.1%	1.08×	5.41

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09
Tenerife leading at HT	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Cádiz leading at HT	17.4%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife -1: 2	49.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Tenerife -1: X	25.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Tenerife -1: 1	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (0:1)	49.6%	48.4%	54.5%	0.89×	2.07
Draw (0:1)	25.7%	26.2%	26.1%	1.01×	3.82
Tenerife (0:1)	24.7%	24.5%	19.5%	1.25×	4.09

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (0:2)	75.3%	77.3%	80.5%	0.96×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	15.2%	16.2%	12.0%	1.36×	6.16
Tenerife (0:2)	9.5%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.83

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (0:3)	90.5%	92.5%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	6.9%	5.4%	1.29×	14.50
Tenerife (0:3)	2.9%	2.3%	2.4%	0.96×	42.95

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	97.6%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	80.23
Tenerife (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	0.4%	2.94×	80.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (1:0)	77.0%	78.0%	72.0%	1.08×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	15.7%	16.3%	18.0%	0.91×	6.13
Cádiz (1:0)	7.3%	8.6%	10.2%	0.84×	11.69

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (2:0)	92.7%	91.7%	89.8%	1.02×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	5.5%	6.6%	7.0%	0.93×	15.24
Cádiz (2:0)	1.8%	2.7%	3.3%	0.82×	37.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to concede	57.3%	59.6%	67.3%	0.89×	1.68
Tenerife clean sheet	42.7%	40.4%	32.7%	1.24×	2.48

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Tenerife to concede in 1st half	28.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Tenerife over 3.5 corners	72.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Tenerife under 6.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Tenerife over 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Tenerife under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Tenerife over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tenerife under 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tenerife over 6.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Tenerife under 3.5 corners	27.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Tenerife under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 3.5 goals	94.5%	92.1%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Tenerife under 2.5 goals	83.1%	82.4%	82.9%	0.99×	1.21
Tenerife over 0.5 goals	75.6%	76.7%	77.5%	0.99×	1.30
Tenerife under 1.5 goals	58.8%	55.8%	58.0%	0.96×	1.79
Tenerife over 1.5 goals	41.2%	44.2%	42.0%	1.05×	2.26
Tenerife under 0.5 goals	24.4%	23.3%	22.5%	1.04×	4.29
Tenerife over 2.5 goals	16.9%	17.6%	17.1%	1.03×	5.69
Tenerife over 3.5 goals	5.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.73

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Tenerife under 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Tenerife over 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Tenerife over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (home no bet)	46.3%	51.3%	51.3%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	53.7%	48.7%	48.7%	1.00×	2.05

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife even goals	53.0%	50.3%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Tenerife odd goals	47.0%	49.7%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
HT 1-0	23.6%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 0-1	13.3%	11.2%	—	—	8.92
HT 1-1	8.0%	7.7%	—	—	12.99
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.01
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.84
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.86
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.92
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife at HT / Tenerife at FT	29.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Tenerife at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cádiz at HT / Cádiz at FT	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Draw at HT / Cádiz at FT	10.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Tenerife at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Cádiz at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.34
Cádiz at HT / Tenerife at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.43
Tenerife at HT / Cádiz at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.46

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to score last	56.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Cádiz to score last	33.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goal scored	10.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Tenerife to lead by 1 at any time	62.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Cádiz to lead by 1 at any time	37.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Tenerife to lead by 2 at any time	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
Tenerife to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	11.3%	—	—	8.85
Cádiz to lead by 2 at any time	10.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.85
Cádiz to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.45

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife most corners	60.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Cádiz most corners	28.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.9%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	81.6%	78.0%	1.04×	1.23
1-3 goals	70.6%	73.6%	62.9%	1.17×	1.36
2-6 goals	64.9%	62.3%	67.9%	0.92×	1.61
2-5 goals	63.0%	62.3%	64.3%	0.97×	1.61
2-4 goals	57.8%	58.8%	56.5%	1.04×	1.70
1-2 goals	50.5%	52.3%	41.9%	1.25×	1.91
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.0%	41.4%	1.16×	2.08
3-6 goals	38.6%	38.9%	47.6%	0.82×	2.57
3-5 goals	36.6%	38.8%	44.0%	0.88×	2.58
3-4 goals	31.5%	34.1%	36.2%	0.94×	2.93
4-6 goals	18.5%	18.1%	26.6%	0.68×	5.52
4-5 goals	16.5%	18.1%	23.0%	0.79×	5.53
5-6 goals	7.1%	8.8%	11.5%	0.77×	11.38
7+ goals	0.9%	2.0%	1.6%	1.27×	49.95

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife never behind	52.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Cádiz never behind	27.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.1%	48.4%	1.04×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.9%	51.6%	0.97×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.4%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	42.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	95.7%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.0%	92.9%	87.1%	1.07×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	88.8%	90.9%	0.98×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	80.7%	80.9%	72.0%	1.12×	1.24
Over 1.5 goals	65.8%	65.4%	69.3%	0.94×	1.53
Under 2.5 goals	60.6%	61.5%	50.9%	1.21×	1.63
Over 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.5%	49.1%	0.79×	2.60
Under 1.5 goals	34.2%	34.6%	30.7%	1.13×	2.89
Over 3.5 goals	19.3%	19.1%	28.0%	0.68×	5.24
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	11.2%	9.1%	1.22×	8.93
Over 4.5 goals	8.0%	7.1%	12.9%	0.55×	14.17
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.4%	5.1%	0.85×	22.99

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.0%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.0%	92.7%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.8%	76.4%	64.5%	1.19×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.5%	53.1%	61.5%	0.86×	1.88
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.5%	46.9%	38.5%	1.22×	2.13
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.2%	23.6%	35.5%	0.66×	4.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.0%	7.3%	15.2%	0.48×	13.68
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.0%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	36.00
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	1.6%	1.68×	36.33

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.9%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.5%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.7%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.1%	7.8%	—	—	12.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.2%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.7%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to score in both halves	88.4%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Tenerife not to score in both halves	74.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Tenerife to score in both halves	25.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Cádiz to score in both halves	11.6%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.1%	45.7%	54.0%	0.85×	2.19
Only Tenerife scores	32.5%	36.1%	23.6%	1.53×	2.77
Only Cádiz scores	14.3%	10.9%	13.4%	0.81×	9.21
Neither team scores	10.1%	10.7%	9.1%	1.18×	9.31

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.7%	20.4%	1.21×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	24.1%	21.6%	21.6%	1.00×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	20.1%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.65
Exactly 4 goals	11.4%	12.4%	15.2%	0.81×	8.10
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.11
Exactly 5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.17
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.3%	5.1%	0.84×	23.01

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goals in 2nd half	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to win both halves	96.3%	96.7%	—	—	1.04
Tenerife not to win both halves	86.0%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Tenerife to win both halves	14.0%	12.5%	—	—	7.99
Cádiz to win both halves	3.7%	3.3%	—	—	29.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to win neither half	64.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Tenerife to win either half	61.1%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Tenerife to win neither half	38.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Cádiz to win either half	35.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to win to nil	85.7%	88.2%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Tenerife not to win to nil	67.5%	64.8%	76.4%	0.85×	1.54
Tenerife to win to nil	32.5%	35.2%	23.6%	1.49×	2.84
Cádiz to win to nil	14.3%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	28.0%	26.6%	1.05×	3.57
Tenerife by 1	25.7%	28.0%	26.1%	1.07×	3.57
Cádiz by 1	15.7%	17.0%	18.0%	0.94×	5.90
Tenerife by 2	15.2%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.90
Tenerife by 3+	9.5%	7.1%	7.7%	0.93×	14.06
Cádiz by 2	5.5%	7.1%	7.0%	1.00×	14.15
Cádiz by 3+	1.8%	2.8%	3.3%	0.86×	35.53