Teteks v Osogovo — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · MKD-Second League · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 14.3%
- 0-1 11.8%
- 1-1 10.2%
- 2-1 8.8%
- 2-0 8.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 44.7% | Under 2.5 | 55.3% |
| BTTS yes | 47.0% | BTTS no | 53.0% |
| Teteks 1+ | 74.8% | Teteks 2+ | 40.0% |
| Osogovo 1+ | 66.2% | Osogovo 2+ | 29.6% |
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Teteks.
Risk factors
- The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.86).
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Teteks have only 1 matches on record.
- Osogovo have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Teteks have an estimated 46.1% win probability, against 32.1% for Osogovo and 21.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Teteks and 1.09 for Osogovo.
Why Teteks
Nothing in the data singles out Teteks.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.8%.
Why Osogovo can win
Nothing in the data singles out Osogovo.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Teteks, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Osogovo, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Teteks: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Osogovo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Teteks are the model's most likely outcome at 46.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.3%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.38–1.09 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.18–1.49 | 0-1 13% | 50% | 51% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.