Tijuana v Santos Laguna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 26 October 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Tijuana

03:00 UTC

Santos Laguna

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,205h before kick-off

Tijuana win

59.1%

model 60.2%

Draw

22.5%

model 23.5%

Santos Laguna win

18.3%

model 16.3%

592318

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.2%
2-0 11.0%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.4%	Under 2.5	46.6%
BTTS yes	51.6%	BTTS no	48.4%
Tijuana 1+	85.2%	Tijuana 2+	57.0%
Santos Laguna 1+	59.5%	Santos Laguna 2+	22.9%

Expected goals 1.91 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

35/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1414.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tijuana have an estimated 59.1% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 18.3% for Santos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.91 for Tijuana and 0.90 for Santos.

Why Tijuana

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1414. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Santos Laguna can win

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tijuana, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tijuana: 42% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Santos: 52% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Tijuana are the model's most likely outcome at 59.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 35/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	672113	2.17–0.86	2-0 11%	58%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win	66.5%	65.0%	47.1%	1.38×	1.54
Draw	20.6%	24.5%	23.8%	1.03×	4.08
Santos Laguna to win	12.9%	13.4%	29.3%	0.46×	7.47

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & not both score	36.7%	33.2%	22.7%	1.46×	3.01
Tijuana & both teams score	29.8%	25.2%	24.5%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.0%	17.9%	17.4%	1.03×	5.58
Santos Laguna & both teams score	7.0%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.94
Santos Laguna & not both score	5.8%	8.4%	11.7%	0.71×	11.94
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.4%	6.6%	1.27×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & over 1.5	56.8%	55.0%	37.3%	1.48×	1.82
Tijuana & over 2.5	45.4%	45.1%	30.4%	1.48×	2.22
Tijuana & under 3.5	39.1%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.87
Tijuana & over 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	16.3%	1.59×	3.84
Tijuana & under 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	16.9%	1.28×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Tijuana & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.65
Santos Laguna & over 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.65
Santos Laguna & under 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	19.7%	0.40×	12.65
Santos Laguna & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.65
Santos Laguna & under 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.65
Santos Laguna & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.86
Santos Laguna & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	9.8%	0.49×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1UP)	77.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Santos Laguna (1UP)	30.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2UP)	66.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Santos Laguna (2UP)	12.9%	13.4%	—	—	7.46

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
2nd half drawn	30.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Santos Laguna to win 2nd half	15.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.5%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Santos Laguna under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Santos Laguna over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Santos Laguna over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.5%	8.1%	—	—	12.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Tijuana under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.0%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Tijuana over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.44
Tijuana under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (+0.5)	87.1%	88.5%	70.7%	1.25×	1.13
Santos Laguna (+2.5)	76.9%	78.4%	90.9%	0.86×	1.28
Tijuana (-0.5)	66.5%	68.7%	47.1%	1.46×	1.46
Santos Laguna (+1.5)	56.6%	57.0%	77.1%	0.74×	1.75
Tijuana (-1.5)	43.4%	43.0%	22.9%	1.88×	2.33
Santos Laguna (+0.5)	33.5%	31.3%	52.9%	0.59×	3.20
Tijuana (-2.5)	23.1%	21.6%	9.1%	2.38×	4.63
Santos Laguna (-0.5)	12.9%	11.5%	29.3%	0.39×	8.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede	88.5%	86.3%	81.9%	1.05×	1.16
Santos Laguna clean sheet	11.5%	13.7%	18.1%	0.76×	7.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede in 1st half	60.6%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Santos Laguna clean sheet in 1st half	39.4%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to concede in 2nd half	70.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Santos Laguna clean sheet in 2nd half	29.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna over 2.5 corners	81.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Santos Laguna under 6.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Santos Laguna over 3.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Santos Laguna under 5.5 corners	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Santos Laguna over 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Santos Laguna under 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Santos Laguna over 5.5 corners	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santos Laguna under 3.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Santos Laguna over 6.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Santos Laguna under 2.5 corners	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Santos Laguna under 2.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	86.7%	1.07×	1.08
Santos Laguna under 1.5 goals	78.7%	76.2%	64.8%	1.18×	1.31
Santos Laguna over 0.5 goals	57.6%	59.4%	70.9%	0.84×	1.68
Santos Laguna under 0.5 goals	42.4%	40.6%	29.1%	1.39×	2.46
Santos Laguna over 1.5 goals	21.3%	23.8%	35.2%	0.68×	4.21
Santos Laguna over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	13.02
Santos Laguna over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	40.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Santos Laguna under 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Santos Laguna over 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Santos Laguna over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.72

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna scores equally in both	50.2%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Santos Laguna scores more in 2nd half	30.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
Santos Laguna scores more in 1st half	18.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (away no bet)	76.3%	73.5%	66.4%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.7%	26.5%	33.6%	0.79×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna even goals	59.0%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Santos Laguna odd goals	41.0%	43.1%	45.6%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.9%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Tijuana to score 2+ in a row	56.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Tijuana to score 3+ in a row	28.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Santos Laguna to score 2+ in a row	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Santos Laguna to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	39.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna corners (+3.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Santos Laguna corners (+2.5)	79.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Tijuana corners (+3.5)	78.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Santos Laguna corners (+1.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Tijuana corners (+2.5)	70.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Tijuana corners (+1.5)	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Santos Laguna corners (-1.5)	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santos Laguna corners (-2.5)	30.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Tijuana corners (-1.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Santos Laguna corners (-3.5)	21.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Tijuana corners (-2.5)	20.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Tijuana corners (-3.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.4%	11.4%	7.1%	1.61×	8.74
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	11.5%	0.64×	13.50
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.50
Any other score	7.0%	7.4%	3.2%	2.32×	13.50
3-0	8.2%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.50
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	5.7%	1.30×	13.50
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.50
0-1	3.4%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.30
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.32
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.30
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.32
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.32
4-0	4.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.29
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.30
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.83×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2nd half DNB)	78.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Santos Laguna (2nd half DNB)	22.0%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana leading at HT (DNB)	78.8%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Santos Laguna leading at HT (DNB)	21.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1X)	87.1%	86.6%	70.7%	1.23×	1.15
Tijuana or Santos Laguna (12)	79.4%	75.5%	76.2%	0.99×	1.32
Santos Laguna or draw (X2)	33.5%	35.0%	52.9%	0.66×	2.86

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw at HT	86.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Tijuana or Santos Laguna at HT	62.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Santos Laguna or draw at HT	51.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1UP)	87.1%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Santos Laguna or draw (1UP)	33.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw in 2nd half	84.8%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Tijuana or Santos Laguna in 2nd half	69.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Santos Laguna or draw in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (DNB)	83.8%	80.5%	61.6%	1.31×	1.24
Santos Laguna (DNB)	16.2%	19.5%	38.4%	0.51×	5.14

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score first	67.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Santos Laguna to score first	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.8%	51.3%	59.3%	0.87×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.2%	48.7%	40.7%	1.20×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.0%	41.7%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	31.9%	34.4%	32.7%	1.05×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	16.2%	21.6%	8.2%	2.65×	4.62
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	11.5%	0.72×	11.98

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.5%	85.6%	82.6%	1.04×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.5%	14.4%	17.4%	0.83×	6.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.2%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.8%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.90

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.3%	46.2%	1.02×	2.12
4-6 goals	32.4%	30.7%	29.1%	1.06×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.8%	20.3%	22.2%	0.91×	4.93
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna to score exactly 0	42.4%	37.1%	29.1%	1.27×	2.69
Santos Laguna to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Santos Laguna to score exactly 2	15.6%	19.6%	22.0%	0.89×	5.10
Santos Laguna to score 3+	5.6%	8.5%	13.3%	0.64×	11.74

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score 3+	36.8%	35.6%	22.2%	1.60×	2.81
Tijuana to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.6%	0.99×	3.77
Tijuana to score exactly 1	24.8%	23.2%	33.4%	0.70×	4.30
Tijuana to score exactly 0	11.5%	14.4%	18.1%	0.79×	6.95

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana leading at HT	49.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	37.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Santos Laguna leading at HT	13.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana -1: 1	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Tijuana -1: 2	33.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Tijuana -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (0:1)	43.4%	42.7%	22.9%	1.86×	2.34
Santos Laguna (0:1)	33.5%	30.0%	52.9%	0.57×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (0:2)	56.6%	62.7%	77.1%	0.81×	1.59
Tijuana (0:2)	23.1%	20.4%	9.1%	2.25×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	20.3%	20.3%	14.0%	1.45×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (0:3)	76.9%	80.4%	90.9%	0.88×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.9%	10.0%	6.0%	1.65×	10.01
Tijuana (0:3)	10.3%	9.9%	3.2%	3.11×	10.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna (0:4)	89.7%	92.1%	96.8%	0.95×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.4%	4.6%	1.8%	2.59×	21.70
Tijuana (0:4)	3.9%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.30

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1:0)	87.1%	86.3%	70.7%	1.22×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.7%	7.0%	19.0%	0.37×	14.39
Santos Laguna (1:0)	4.2%	3.3%	10.5%	0.31×	30.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2:0)	95.8%	96.8%	89.5%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	7.3%	0.31×	43.65
Santos Laguna (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	3.4%	0.68×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to concede	57.6%	60.9%	70.9%	0.86×	1.64
Tijuana clean sheet	42.4%	39.1%	29.1%	1.34×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana clean sheet in 1st half	70.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Tijuana to concede in 1st half	29.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana clean sheet in 2nd half	59.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Tijuana to concede in 2nd half	40.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Tijuana over 2.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Tijuana under 5.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Tijuana over 3.5 corners	59.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Tijuana under 4.5 corners	55.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Tijuana over 4.5 corners	44.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tijuana under 3.5 corners	40.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tijuana over 5.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Tijuana under 2.5 corners	24.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Tijuana over 6.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.2%	81.9%	1.07×	1.15
Tijuana under 3.5 goals	82.6%	82.1%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Tijuana over 1.5 goals	63.7%	63.5%	48.7%	1.31×	1.57
Tijuana under 2.5 goals	63.2%	63.5%	77.8%	0.82×	1.57
Tijuana over 2.5 goals	36.8%	36.5%	22.2%	1.64×	2.74
Tijuana under 1.5 goals	36.3%	36.5%	51.3%	0.71×	2.74
Tijuana over 3.5 goals	17.4%	17.9%	7.6%	2.34×	5.59
Tijuana under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Tijuana over 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Tijuana under 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Tijuana over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana scores more in 2nd half	43.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Tijuana scores equally in both	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.57
Tijuana scores more in 1st half	27.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.6%	60.0%	44.8%	1.34×	1.67
Santos Laguna (home no bet)	38.4%	40.0%	55.2%	0.72×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana even goals	50.7%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Tijuana odd goals	49.3%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	25.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 1-1	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana at HT / Tijuana at FT	43.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT / Tijuana at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Santos Laguna at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Draw at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Tijuana at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Santos Laguna at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Santos Laguna at HT / Tijuana at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Tijuana at HT / Santos Laguna at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score last	67.7%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Santos Laguna to score last	26.6%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Tijuana to lead by 1 at any time	77.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Tijuana to lead by 2 at any time	49.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Santos Laguna to lead by 1 at any time	30.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Tijuana to lead by 3 at any time	26.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Santos Laguna to lead by 2 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
Santos Laguna to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.78

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna most corners	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Tijuana most corners	38.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.8%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.5%	59.1%	61.8%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.8%	53.2%	53.3%	1.00×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.6%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.6%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	38.4%	1.02×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.1%	39.2%	37.7%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.4%	35.3%	29.1%	1.21×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.2%	30.3%	24.9%	1.22×	3.30
5-6 goals	15.4%	18.7%	15.1%	1.24×	5.34
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	2.8%	0.90×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana never behind	63.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Santos Laguna never behind	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	82.2%	1.00×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.2%	61.7%	68.2%	0.91×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.7%	56.0%	1.05×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.3%	44.1%	0.94×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.8%	38.3%	31.8%	1.20×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	17.8%	1.00×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	22.2%	0.80×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	7.1%	1.09×	12.87
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	6.6%	1.18×	12.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.4%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.3%	75.9%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.6%	75.8%	71.6%	1.06×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.8%	51.9%	58.1%	0.89×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.2%	48.1%	41.9%	1.15×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.4%	24.2%	28.4%	0.85×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.7%	24.1%	20.7%	1.17×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	3.0%	0.94×	35.82

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to score in both halves	88.3%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Tijuana not to score in both halves	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Tijuana to score in both halves	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Santos Laguna to score in both halves	11.7%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.8%	53.9%	59.3%	0.91×	1.86
Only Tijuana scores	36.7%	39.8%	22.7%	1.75×	2.51
Only Santos Laguna scores	5.8%	7.2%	11.7%	0.61×	13.92
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.0%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.4%	14.2%	1.23×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.1%	12.1%	15.8%	0.76×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.28
6 or more goals	8.6%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.09

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	13.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	17.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to win both halves	97.9%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Tijuana not to win both halves	73.4%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Tijuana to win both halves	26.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Santos Laguna to win both halves	2.1%	2.7%	—	—	36.40

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win either half	76.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Santos Laguna to win neither half	73.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Santos Laguna to win either half	26.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Tijuana to win neither half	23.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos Laguna not to win to nil	94.2%	92.0%	88.3%	1.04×	1.09
Tijuana not to win to nil	63.3%	66.8%	77.3%	0.86×	1.50
Tijuana to win to nil	36.7%	33.2%	22.7%	1.46×	3.01
Santos Laguna to win to nil	5.8%	8.0%	11.7%	0.68×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana by 1	23.1%	24.2%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Tijuana by 3+	23.1%	24.2%	9.1%	2.67×	4.14
Draw	20.6%	24.2%	23.8%	1.02×	4.14
Tijuana by 2	20.3%	24.2%	14.0%	1.72×	4.14
Santos Laguna by 1	8.7%	7.2%	19.0%	0.38×	13.80
Santos Laguna by 2	3.2%	2.7%	7.3%	0.37×	36.66
Santos Laguna by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	3.4%	0.81×	36.73