Tokyo Verdy 1969 v Nagoya Grampus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Tokyo Verdy 1969

05:00 UTC

Nagoya Grampus

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 642h before kick-off

Tokyo Verdy 1969 win

29.4%

model 31.1%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.9%

Nagoya Grampus win

43.2%

model 43.0%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
0-1 11.3%
1-0 9.3%
1-2 8.8%
0-2 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.8%	Under 2.5	53.2%
BTTS yes	51.1%	BTTS no	48.9%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1+	68.2%	Tokyo Verdy 1969 2+	31.7%
Nagoya Grampus 1+	75.3%	Nagoya Grampus 2+	40.8%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nagoya Grampus (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 75%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nagoya Grampus carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1408.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Nagoya Grampus have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Tokyo Verdy 1969 and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Tokyo Verdy 1969 and 1.40 for Nagoya Grampus.

Why Tokyo Verdy 1969

Nothing in the data singles out Tokyo Verdy 1969.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Nagoya Grampus can win

Nagoya Grampus carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1408.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tokyo Verdy 1969, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Nagoya Grampus, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tokyo Verdy 1969: 41% possession, 8.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Nagoya Grampus: 56% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Nagoya Grampus are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	312643	1.15–1.40	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292745	1.04–1.37	0-1 13%	43%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to win	44.6%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win	28.8%	27.9%	43.0%	0.65×	3.58
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus & not both score	26.6%	25.2%	17.8%	1.41×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Nagoya Grampus & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & not both score	16.8%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	18.1%	0.73×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.7%	8.3%	7.0%	1.18×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus & under 3.5	33.6%	30.8%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
Nagoya Grampus & over 1.5	32.0%	30.7%	21.3%	1.45×	3.25
Nagoya Grampus & over 2.5	23.6%	21.6%	17.8%	1.21×	4.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Nagoya Grampus & under 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	13.4%	1.61×	4.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	30.3%	0.59×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
Nagoya Grampus & under 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Nagoya Grampus & over 3.5	11.0%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Tokyo Verdy 1969 & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (1UP)	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1UP)	44.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (2UP)	44.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2UP)	28.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to win 2nd half	38.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	37.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win 2nd half	24.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Nagoya Grampus over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Nagoya Grampus under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (+2.5)	96.9%	96.3%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Nagoya Grampus (+1.5)	89.2%	88.5%	81.9%	1.08×	1.13
Nagoya Grampus (+0.5)	71.2%	73.6%	57.0%	1.29×	1.36
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (+0.5)	55.4%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
Nagoya Grampus (-0.5)	44.6%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-0.5)	28.8%	26.4%	43.0%	0.61×	3.79
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-1.5)	10.8%	11.5%	18.1%	0.64×	8.68
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (-2.5)	3.1%	3.7%	6.3%	0.59×	27.12

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to concede	64.7%	67.6%	75.3%	0.90×	1.48
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet	35.3%	32.4%	24.7%	1.31×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Nagoya Grampus to concede in 1st half	36.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet in 2nd half	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Nagoya Grampus to concede in 2nd half	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Nagoya Grampus under 6.5 corners	79.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Nagoya Grampus under 5.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Nagoya Grampus over 3.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Nagoya Grampus under 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Nagoya Grampus over 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Nagoya Grampus under 3.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Nagoya Grampus over 5.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Nagoya Grampus over 6.5 corners	20.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Nagoya Grampus under 2.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus under 3.5 goals	95.0%	92.4%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Nagoya Grampus under 2.5 goals	84.1%	81.5%	87.8%	0.93×	1.23
Nagoya Grampus over 0.5 goals	74.6%	71.9%	68.1%	1.05×	1.39
Nagoya Grampus under 1.5 goals	60.3%	63.2%	68.3%	0.93×	1.58
Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 goals	39.7%	36.8%	31.7%	1.16×	2.72
Nagoya Grampus under 0.5 goals	25.4%	28.1%	31.9%	0.88×	3.55
Nagoya Grampus over 2.5 goals	15.9%	18.5%	12.2%	1.52×	5.40
Nagoya Grampus over 3.5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	4.1%	1.88×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Nagoya Grampus under 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Nagoya Grampus over 0.5 in 1st half	42.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.64
Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus scores more in 2nd half	39.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Nagoya Grampus scores equally in both	38.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Nagoya Grampus scores more in 1st half	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (away no bet)	52.1%	51.7%	62.2%	0.83×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	47.9%	48.3%	37.8%	1.28×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus even goals	53.2%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Nagoya Grampus odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.5%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Nagoya Grampus to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 2+ in a row	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Nagoya Grampus to score 3+ in a row	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+3.5)	84.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Nagoya Grampus corners (+2.5)	77.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+2.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Nagoya Grampus corners (+1.5)	67.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Nagoya Grampus corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-1.5)	32.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Nagoya Grampus corners (-2.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-2.5)	22.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Nagoya Grampus corners (-3.5)	15.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Tokyo Verdy 1969 corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.6%	11.5%	10.0%	1.15×	8.72
1-1	12.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
0-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	8.4%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (2nd half DNB)	60.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2nd half DNB)	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus leading at HT (DNB)	56.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT (DNB)	43.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Nagoya Grampus (12)	73.4%	72.1%	73.9%	0.98×	1.39
Nagoya Grampus or draw (X2)	71.2%	72.1%	57.0%	1.26×	1.39
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (1X)	55.4%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus or draw at HT	76.6%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw at HT	69.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Nagoya Grampus at HT	53.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus or draw (1UP)	71.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw (1UP)	55.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus or draw in 2nd half	75.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Nagoya Grampus in 2nd half	62.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or draw in 2nd half	61.9%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.8%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.2%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (DNB)	60.7%	62.6%	42.0%	1.49×	1.60
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (DNB)	39.3%	37.4%	58.0%	0.64×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to score first	51.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score first	39.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	8.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.0%	51.3%	49.5%	1.04×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.0%	48.7%	50.5%	0.97×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	40.2%	1.04×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.5%	38.4%	37.2%	1.03×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.5%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.6%	86.3%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.4%	13.8%	1.05×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.0%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	47.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	30.9%	30.7%	29.5%	1.04×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.2%	22.9%	20.9%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to score exactly 1	34.8%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Nagoya Grampus to score exactly 0	25.4%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
Nagoya Grampus to score exactly 2	23.8%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
Nagoya Grampus to score 3+	15.9%	19.6%	12.2%	1.60×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 0	35.3%	35.5%	24.7%	1.44×	2.81
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score exactly 2	19.2%	18.8%	24.5%	0.76×	5.33
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 3+	8.8%	10.3%	14.8%	0.70×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Nagoya Grampus leading at HT	30.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Tokyo Verdy 1969 leading at HT	23.4%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus -1: 1	55.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Nagoya Grampus -1: X	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Nagoya Grampus -1: 2	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (0:1)	71.2%	71.0%	57.0%	1.24×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.61
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:1)	10.8%	13.7%	18.1%	0.76×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (0:2)	89.2%	87.1%	81.9%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:2)	3.1%	3.7%	6.3%	0.60×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (0:3)	96.9%	96.6%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.4%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.12
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	2.2%	1.08×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	82.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (1:0)	55.4%	58.3%	68.9%	0.85×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	23.7%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61
Nagoya Grampus (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	11.9%	1.83×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 (2:0)	79.1%	80.5%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.2%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.72
Nagoya Grampus (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede	74.6%	73.1%	68.1%	1.07×	1.37
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet	25.4%	26.9%	31.9%	0.84×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 1st half	57.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 1st half	42.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to concede in 2nd half	56.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet in 2nd half	44.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 5.5 corners	68.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 4.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 4.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 5.5 corners	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 goals	72.0%	74.2%	60.8%	1.22×	1.35
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 goals	64.7%	63.6%	75.3%	0.84×	1.57
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 goals	35.3%	36.4%	24.7%	1.47×	2.75
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 goals	28.0%	25.8%	39.2%	0.66×	3.88
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	14.8%	0.52×	12.85
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Tokyo Verdy 1969 under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Tokyo Verdy 1969 over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	5.2%	—	—	19.11

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores equally in both	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores more in 1st half	22.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus (home no bet)	62.7%	60.0%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.3%	40.0%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 even goals	56.2%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Tokyo Verdy 1969 odd goals	43.8%	44.7%	47.3%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus at HT / Nagoya Grampus at FT	24.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Nagoya Grampus at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	11.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Nagoya Grampus at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Tokyo Verdy 1969 at HT / Nagoya Grampus at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Nagoya Grampus at HT / Tokyo Verdy 1969 at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus to score last	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score last	39.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	8.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Nagoya Grampus to lead by 1 at any time	58.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 1 at any time	44.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Nagoya Grampus to lead by 2 at any time	26.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 2 at any time	15.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Nagoya Grampus to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.87
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	60.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus most corners	44.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Tokyo Verdy 1969 most corners	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.6%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.0%	68.8%	69.7%	0.99×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.9%	68.8%	68.0%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.5%	68.8%	65.0%	1.06×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.4%	59.1%	59.2%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.0%	48.5%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.1%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.7%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.6%	35.2%	35.3%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.2%	24.5%	20.9%	1.17×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.7%	18.8%	18.0%	1.05×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.5%	8.9%	8.9%	1.00×	11.26
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nagoya Grampus never behind	46.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Tokyo Verdy 1969 never behind	32.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	88.6%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	76.6%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.1%	66.3%	70.5%	0.94×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.7%	58.6%	53.4%	1.10×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.3%	41.4%	46.6%	0.89×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.9%	33.7%	29.5%	1.14×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	23.4%	0.97×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	11.4%	0.68×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.1%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.9%	86.7%	87.0%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.7%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.4%	55.8%	61.2%	0.91×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.6%	44.2%	38.8%	1.14×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.3%	27.6%	30.5%	0.91×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.1%	13.3%	13.0%	1.02×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.9%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Nagoya Grampus not to score in both halves	76.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Nagoya Grampus to score in both halves	23.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score in both halves	16.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.0%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Only Nagoya Grampus scores	26.6%	26.0%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
Only Tokyo Verdy 1969 scores	16.8%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.7%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.6%	12.1%	12.2%	0.99×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.7%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.5%	5.6%	0.79×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	34.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	24.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win both halves	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Nagoya Grampus not to win both halves	88.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Nagoya Grampus to win both halves	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win both halves	5.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win neither half	57.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Nagoya Grampus to win either half	56.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Nagoya Grampus to win neither half	43.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win either half	42.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tokyo Verdy 1969 not to win to nil	83.2%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
Nagoya Grampus not to win to nil	73.4%	75.4%	82.2%	0.92×	1.33
Nagoya Grampus to win to nil	26.6%	24.6%	17.8%	1.38×	4.06
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win to nil	16.8%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Nagoya Grampus by 1	23.7%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 1	18.1%	17.0%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Nagoya Grampus by 2	13.2%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 2	7.6%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.90
Nagoya Grampus by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.90
Tokyo Verdy 1969 by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.83