TOP Oss v RKC Waalwijk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 6 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

TOP Oss

19:00 UTC

RKC Waalwijk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 320h before kick-off

TOP Oss win

26.7%

model 26.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.5%

RKC Waalwijk win

51.1%

model 51.3%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.7%
0-1 9.3%
0-2 8.0%
2-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.4%	Under 2.5	42.6%
BTTS yes	57.9%	BTTS no	42.1%
TOP Oss 1+	70.0%	TOP Oss 2+	33.9%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	83.2%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	53.2%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.78. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

64/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1378.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for TOP Oss and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for TOP Oss and 1.78 for RKC Waalwijk.

Why TOP Oss

Nothing in the data singles out TOP Oss.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why RKC Waalwijk can win

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1378.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for TOP Oss, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

TOP Oss: 38% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RKC Waalwijk: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 64/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262351	1.21–1.78	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262450	1.11–1.63	1-1 11%	52%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win	49.8%	47.4%	33.5%	1.41×	2.11
TOP Oss to win	26.3%	27.9%	44.5%	0.63×	3.58
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	26.9%	25.2%	14.0%	1.80×	3.98
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	22.9%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
TOP Oss & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.54
TOP Oss & both teams score	12.8%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	4.8%	1.74×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	38.9%	34.9%	27.4%	1.27×	2.87
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	33.7%	30.8%	19.8%	1.55×	3.25
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	30.3%	30.7%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
TOP Oss & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	37.0%	0.49×	5.56
TOP Oss & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	25.7%	0.70×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	10.0%	1.81×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
TOP Oss & over 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	30.8%	0.42×	7.79
TOP Oss & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	10.9%	12.8%	6.3%	2.05×	7.79
TOP Oss & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
TOP Oss & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	18.9%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	4.8%	1.65×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	64.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
TOP Oss (1UP)	43.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	49.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
TOP Oss (2UP)	26.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	42.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	34.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
TOP Oss to win 2nd half	23.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	11.5%	—	—	8.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (+2.5)	97.0%	96.3%	88.2%	1.09×	1.04
RKC Waalwijk (+1.5)	90.0%	92.1%	75.6%	1.22×	1.09
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	73.7%	73.7%	55.5%	1.33×	1.36
TOP Oss (+0.5)	50.2%	52.4%	66.5%	0.79×	1.91
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	49.8%	47.6%	33.5%	1.42×	2.10
TOP Oss (-0.5)	26.3%	26.3%	44.5%	0.59×	3.80
TOP Oss (-1.5)	10.0%	7.9%	24.4%	0.32×	12.66
TOP Oss (-2.5)	3.0%	3.7%	11.8%	0.31×	27.12

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	67.0%	72.3%	81.3%	0.89×	1.38
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	33.0%	27.7%	18.7%	1.48×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	62.1%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	37.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 2nd half	53.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 2nd half	46.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	85.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	58.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	41.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	15.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	80.3%	81.5%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	77.6%	76.3%	81.5%	0.94×	1.31
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	51.6%	53.5%	58.0%	0.92×	1.87
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	48.4%	46.5%	42.0%	1.11×	2.15
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	22.4%	23.7%	18.6%	1.28×	4.21
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	19.7%	18.5%	27.3%	0.68×	5.39
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
RKC Waalwijk scores equally in both	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 1st half	23.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (away no bet)	52.5%	51.7%	66.8%	0.77×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	47.5%	48.3%	33.2%	1.45×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	51.9%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	40.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
TOP Oss to score 2+ in a row	22.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	15.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
TOP Oss to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
TOP Oss corners (+2.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	78.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
TOP Oss corners (+1.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	69.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
TOP Oss corners (-1.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
TOP Oss corners (-2.5)	30.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
TOP Oss corners (-3.5)	22.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.1%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	72.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 11.5 corners	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	18.9%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
0-1	10.9%	11.5%	6.3%	1.83×	8.72
0-2	8.6%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.51
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.51
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	3.7%	2.01×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.29
0-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2nd half DNB)	64.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
TOP Oss (2nd half DNB)	35.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	59.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
TOP Oss leading at HT (DNB)	40.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss or RKC Waalwijk (12)	76.1%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or draw (X2)	73.7%	72.1%	55.5%	1.30×	1.39
TOP Oss or draw (1X)	50.2%	52.6%	66.5%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	77.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
TOP Oss or draw at HT	65.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
TOP Oss or RKC Waalwijk at HT	56.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	73.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
TOP Oss or draw (1UP)	50.2%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	76.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
TOP Oss or RKC Waalwijk in 2nd half	65.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
TOP Oss or draw in 2nd half	57.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	65.4%	67.3%	43.0%	1.57×	1.49
TOP Oss (DNB)	34.6%	32.7%	57.0%	0.57×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score first	55.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss to score first	38.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.4%	51.3%	58.8%	0.87×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.6%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.1%	41.6%	49.5%	0.84×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.2%	38.4%	28.3%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.3%	85.6%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.7%	14.4%	21.0%	0.69×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	41.0%	1.15×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.2%	26.6%	37.6%	0.71×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.6%	22.9%	18.4%	1.24×	4.36
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	32.0%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	22.4%	22.3%	18.6%	1.20×	4.49
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	19.7%	19.6%	27.3%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	30.2%	1.18×	2.81
TOP Oss to score exactly 0	33.0%	32.6%	18.7%	1.74×	3.07
TOP Oss to score exactly 2	20.3%	23.3%	25.8%	0.90×	4.29
TOP Oss to score 3+	10.1%	14.3%	25.6%	0.56×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	34.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
TOP Oss leading at HT	22.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk -1: 1	50.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
RKC Waalwijk -1: 2	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
RKC Waalwijk -1: X	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	73.7%	71.1%	55.5%	1.28×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.3%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.61
TOP Oss (0:1)	10.0%	9.3%	24.4%	0.38×	10.76

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	90.0%	90.7%	75.6%	1.20×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.05
TOP Oss (0:2)	3.0%	3.7%	11.8%	0.32×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	97.0%	96.6%	88.2%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.13
TOP Oss (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	82.11
TOP Oss (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (1:0)	50.2%	53.9%	66.5%	0.81×	1.85
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	26.0%	25.0%	15.5%	1.61×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	23.8%	21.7%	18.2%	1.19×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (2:0)	74.0%	76.7%	84.5%	0.91×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.1%	15.8%	8.8%	1.78×	6.35
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	11.0%	10.3%	6.8%	1.52×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede	80.3%	80.8%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
TOP Oss clean sheet	19.7%	19.2%	27.3%	0.70×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss clean sheet in 1st half	52.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
TOP Oss to concede in 1st half	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede in 2nd half	62.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
TOP Oss clean sheet in 2nd half	37.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss over 2.5 corners	88.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
TOP Oss over 3.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
TOP Oss over 4.5 corners	64.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss under 6.5 corners	63.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss under 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
TOP Oss over 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
TOP Oss over 6.5 corners	36.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
TOP Oss under 4.5 corners	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
TOP Oss under 3.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
TOP Oss under 2.5 corners	11.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 3.5 goals	97.4%	96.4%	89.9%	1.07×	1.04
TOP Oss under 2.5 goals	89.9%	87.3%	74.4%	1.17×	1.15
TOP Oss under 1.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	48.8%	1.39×	1.47
TOP Oss over 0.5 goals	67.0%	67.9%	81.3%	0.84×	1.47
TOP Oss under 0.5 goals	33.0%	32.1%	18.7%	1.72×	3.12
TOP Oss over 1.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	51.2%	0.63×	3.12
TOP Oss over 2.5 goals	10.1%	12.7%	25.6%	0.50×	7.86
TOP Oss over 3.5 goals	2.6%	3.6%	10.1%	0.36×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 1st half	62.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 1st half	37.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	5.3%	—	—	18.88

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss scores equally in both	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
TOP Oss scores more in 2nd half	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
TOP Oss scores more in 1st half	23.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (home no bet)	67.6%	64.1%	60.3%	1.06×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.4%	35.9%	39.7%	0.90×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss even goals	55.4%	55.2%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
TOP Oss odd goals	44.6%	44.8%	48.3%	0.93×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 0-1	21.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	15.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.42
HT 1-1	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.42
HT 0-2	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	41.94
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	28.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
TOP Oss at HT / TOP Oss at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / TOP Oss at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
TOP Oss at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
TOP Oss at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
RKC Waalwijk at HT / TOP Oss at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score last	55.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
TOP Oss to score last	38.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	64.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
TOP Oss to lead by 1 at any time	43.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	32.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
TOP Oss to lead by 2 at any time	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
TOP Oss to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.6%	—	—	60.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss most corners	50.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
RKC Waalwijk most corners	39.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.7%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.2%	72.4%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.4%	68.8%	72.7%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.5%	63.3%	54.7%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.3%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	41.0%	1.18×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.6%	48.5%	53.6%	0.90×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.4%	43.6%	32.9%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.3%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.2%	30.2%	37.6%	0.80×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.5%	31.8%	0.77×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.1%	14.8%	18.2%	0.81×	6.76
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk never behind	50.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss never behind	29.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	78.7%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	81.6%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.6%	72.5%	59.3%	1.22×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.5%	52.5%	62.4%	0.84×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.5%	37.6%	1.26×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.4%	27.5%	40.7%	0.68×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	18.4%	1.23×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	21.3%	0.58×	8.05
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	4.8%	1.61×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.4%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.2%	81.1%	73.6%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.7%	67.5%	77.2%	0.87×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.3%	61.9%	48.0%	1.29×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.7%	38.1%	52.0%	0.73×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.3%	32.5%	22.8%	1.43×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.8%	18.9%	26.4%	0.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.6%	10.2%	0.74×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.5%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to score in both halves	82.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	70.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	29.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
TOP Oss to score in both halves	17.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.4%	53.8%	58.8%	0.92×	1.86
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	26.9%	26.0%	14.0%	1.86×	3.84
Only TOP Oss scores	13.6%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	4.8%	1.49×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	13.8%	1.27×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	12.4%	0.61×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	4.8%	1.59×	13.15
6 or more goals	6.0%	7.6%	9.0%	0.85×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win both halves	94.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	85.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	14.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
TOP Oss to win both halves	5.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	62.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
TOP Oss to win neither half	59.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
TOP Oss to win either half	40.7%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	37.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win to nil	86.4%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	73.1%	75.3%	86.0%	0.88×	1.33
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	26.9%	24.7%	14.0%	1.76×	4.06
TOP Oss to win to nil	13.6%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk by 1	23.8%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.15
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
TOP Oss by 1	16.3%	17.0%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
RKC Waalwijk by 2	15.1%	17.0%	8.8%	1.93×	5.87
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	11.0%	11.7%	6.8%	1.74×	8.51
TOP Oss by 2	7.0%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.91
TOP Oss by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	11.8%	0.23×	36.84