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Torino v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 24 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–0
2.23 – 0.27 xG
Shots
18 – 6
On target
6 – 1
Shots in box
13 – 6
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.71 – 0.06
Goals − xG
-0.28 – -0.27
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.31.92.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Che Adams 5' — goalChe Adams 60' — goal
Torino 2.28 xGCagliari 0.27 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Yann Karamoh 3' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Che Adams 5' — Goal (0.14 xG, Open Play)Nikola Vlasic 15' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yerry Mina 27' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Yann Karamoh 29' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Adrien Tameze 30' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Roberto Piccoli 38' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Marcus Pedersen 40' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 43' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Adrien Tameze 44' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Adrien Tameze 52' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Valentino Lazaro 52' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Che Adams 56' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Guillermo Maripán 56' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Adrien Tameze 59' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Che Adams 59' — Shot On Post (0.46 xG, From Corner)Che Adams 60' — Goal (0.14 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 60' — Shot On Post (0.30 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Pavoletti 74' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gvidas Gineitis 75' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Pavoletti 82' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Karol Linetty 85' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Pavoletti 86' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Sebastiano Luperto 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Torino attacking right Cagliari attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Che Adams
5' Torino Che Adams 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Goal Samuele Ricci
15' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Samuele Ricci
27' Cagliari Yerry Mina 0.04 Set Piece Missed Shot Razvan Marin
29' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Guillermo Maripán
30' Torino Adrien Tameze 0.03 From Corner Blocked Shot Valentino Lazaro
38' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
40' Torino Marcus Pedersen 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nikola Vlasic
43' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
44' Torino Adrien Tameze 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Borna Sosa
52' Torino Adrien Tameze 0.10 Open Play Saved Shot Nikola Vlasic
52' Torino Valentino Lazaro 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nikola Vlasic
56' Torino Che Adams 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Borna Sosa
56' Torino Guillermo Maripán 0.08 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
59' Torino Adrien Tameze 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Valentino Lazaro
59' Torino Che Adams 0.46 From Corner Left Foot Shot On Post Adrien Tameze
60' Torino Che Adams 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Goal
60' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Guillermo Maripán
74' Cagliari Leonardo Pavoletti 0.05 Open Play Missed Shot Nadir Zortea
75' Torino Gvidas Gineitis 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
82' Cagliari Leonardo Pavoletti 0.05 Open Play Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
85' Torino Karol Linetty 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Che Adams
86' Cagliari Leonardo Pavoletti 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot Nadir Zortea
92' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Gabriele Zappa

Players

Torino

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Che Adams FW 90 2 0 4 2 0.78 0.15 0.46
Guillermo Maripán DC 90 0 0 1 2 0.08 0.59 0.72
Valentino Lazaro MR 90 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.05 0.70
Nikola Vlasic FW 90 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.47 0.77
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Saúl Coco DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Yann Karamoh ML 85 0 0 4 0 0.72 0.00 0.89
Samuele Ricci MC 85 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.18 0.31
Borna Sosa DL 78 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.11 0.42
Marcus Pedersen DR 67 0 0 1 0 0.32 0.00 0.47
Adrien Tameze MC 67 0 0 4 1 0.22 0.46 0.13
Gvidas Gineitis Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.07
Sebastian Walukiewicz Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Adam Masina Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Karol Linetty Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Alieu Njie Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yerry Mina DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.13
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.13
Gabriele Zappa DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.08
Elia Caprile GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Nadir Zortea MR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.08
Mattia Felici ML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Roberto Piccoli FW 77 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.13
Alessandro Deiola MC 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Razvan Marin MC 59 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Gianluca Gaetano AMC 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adam Obert DL 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tommaso Augello Sub 32 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 31 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.13
Antoine Makoumbou Sub 31 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ndary Adopo Sub 31 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Gianluca Lapadula Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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