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Torino v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 11 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–1
0.41 – 0.95 xG
Shots
11 – 15
On target
2 – 9
Shots in box
8 – 7
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.19 – 0.12
Goals − xG
+0.59 – +0.05
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.50.81.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Kenan Yildiz 7' — goalNikola Vlasic 45' — goal
Torino 0.41 xGJuventus 0.95 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Kenan Yildiz 7' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Karol Linetty 14' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Guillermo Maripán 24' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Guillermo Maripán 24' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Federico Gatti 30' — Missed Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Samuele Ricci 44' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 44' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mergim Vojvoda 45' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nikola Vlasic 45' — Goal (0.05 xG, Open Play)Federico Gatti 48' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Saúl Coco 49' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Guillermo Maripán 50' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Yann Karamoh 52' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 54' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 56' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 63' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 65' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 75' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Douglas Luiz 77' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 77' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 77' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Timothy Weah 77' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Valentino Lazaro 80' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrea Cambiaso 84' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nicolás González 87' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 93' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)
Torino attacking right Juventus attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Goal Nicolò Savona
14' Torino Karol Linetty 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
24' Torino Guillermo Maripán 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Valentino Lazaro
24' Torino Guillermo Maripán 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Valentino Lazaro
30' Juventus Federico Gatti 0.27 Open Play Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
44' Torino Samuele Ricci 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
44' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Valentino Lazaro
45' Torino Mergim Vojvoda 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Torino Nikola Vlasic 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Goal Yann Karamoh
48' Juventus Federico Gatti 0.05 Set Piece Saved Shot Douglas Luiz
49' Torino Saúl Coco 0.03 From Corner Blocked Shot Borna Sosa
50' Torino Guillermo Maripán 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
52' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nikola Vlasic
54' Juventus Nicolás González 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Samuel Mbangula
56' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolás González
63' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
65' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
75' Juventus Nicolás González 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Samuel Mbangula
77' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
77' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Douglas Luiz
77' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Douglas Luiz
77' Juventus Timothy Weah 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Weston McKennie
80' Torino Valentino Lazaro 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Che Adams
84' Juventus Andrea Cambiaso 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nicolás González
87' Juventus Nicolás González 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Andrea Cambiaso
93' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.06 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot

Players

Torino

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Guillermo Maripán DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.09 0.00 0.06
Samuele Ricci MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.12
Nikola Vlasic FW 90 1 0 1 1 0.05 0.02 0.13
Saúl Coco DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Valentino Lazaro MR 90 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.07 0.06
Mergim Vojvoda DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.08
Borna Sosa DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.09
Che Adams FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.06
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Karol Linetty MC 74 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.03
Yann Karamoh ML 64 0 1 2 1 0.06 0.05 0.11
Marcus Pedersen Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adrien Tameze Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sebastian Walukiewicz Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Sanabria Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alieu Njie Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Federico Gatti DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.32 0.00 0.49
Nicolás González FW 90 0 0 3 2 0.27 0.06 0.32
Kenan Yildiz AMR 90 1 0 4 2 0.14 0.30 0.62
Kephren Thuram DMC 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.46
Teun Koopmeiners AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.32
Douglas Luiz DMC 90 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.15 0.72
Weston McKennie DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.18
Michele Di Gregorio GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.20
Samuel Mbangula AML 79 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.17 0.17
Nicolò Savona DR 73 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.38
Andrea Cambiaso Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.10 0.23
Timothy Weah Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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