Torpedo Kutaisi v Samgurali Tskhaltubo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Torpedo Kutaisi

15:00 UTC

Samgurali Tskhaltubo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 123h before kick-off

Torpedo Kutaisi win

50.2%

model 51.1%

Draw

23.2%

model 23.6%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo win

26.6%

model 25.4%

502327

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 7.1%
1-2 6.5%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.1%	Under 2.5	35.9%
BTTS yes	64.3%	BTTS no	35.7%
Torpedo Kutaisi 1+	85.9%	Torpedo Kutaisi 2+	58.4%
Samgurali Tskhaltubo 1+	73.9%	Samgurali Tskhaltubo 2+	38.8%

Expected goals 1.96 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

25/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 36%

52.0% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 7148 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Torpedo Kutaisi.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Torpedo Kutaisi have only 1 matches on record.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Torpedo Kutaisi have an estimated 50.2% win probability, against 26.6% for Samgurali Tskhaltubo and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.96 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.34 for Samgurali Tskhaltubo.

Why Torpedo Kutaisi

Nothing in the data singles out Torpedo Kutaisi.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%.

Why Samgurali Tskhaltubo can win

Nothing in the data singles out Samgurali Tskhaltubo.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Torpedo Kutaisi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Samgurali Tskhaltubo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Torpedo Kutaisi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Samgurali Tskhaltubo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Torpedo Kutaisi are the model's most likely outcome at 50.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 25/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512425	1.96–1.34	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	463123	1.47–1.00	1-1 15%	45%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win	58.3%	53.6%	40.3%	1.33×	1.87
Draw	21.0%	24.6%	25.7%	0.96×	4.07
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win	20.7%	24.6%	34.3%	0.72×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi & both teams score	35.2%	32.8%	19.3%	1.70×	3.05
Torpedo Kutaisi & not both score	23.1%	21.8%	21.3%	1.02×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & both teams score	13.9%	13.2%	17.7%	0.75×	7.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & not both score	6.7%	8.4%	17.0%	0.49×	11.95
Draw & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	8.0%	0.62×	20.29

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 1.5	52.9%	48.8%	31.3%	1.56×	2.05
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 2.5	45.8%	44.8%	25.0%	1.79×	2.23
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 3.5	31.1%	31.0%	10.3%	3.00×	3.22
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 3.5	27.2%	25.9%	30.3%	0.86×	3.86
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.57
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 2.5	12.5%	12.9%	15.7%	0.82×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.78
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 3.5	11.7%	12.9%	24.3%	0.53×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	8.0%	6.7%	1.19×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	8.0%	6.7%	1.19×	12.56
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & over 3.5	9.0%	8.0%	10.3%	0.77×	12.56
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 1.5	5.5%	8.0%	9.3%	0.85×	12.57
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 2.5	5.2%	8.0%	14.0%	0.57×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	3.4%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.53
Samgurali Tskhaltubo & under 1.5	2.9%	4.9%	9.7%	0.50×	20.53

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (1UP)	73.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1UP)	42.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (2UP)	58.3%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2UP)	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win 2nd half	48.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	29.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win 2nd half	22.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (+2.5)	80.1%	82.6%	91.0%	0.91×	1.21
Torpedo Kutaisi (+0.5)	79.3%	78.3%	65.7%	1.19×	1.28
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (+1.5)	62.6%	63.0%	81.7%	0.77×	1.59
Torpedo Kutaisi (-0.5)	58.3%	56.9%	40.3%	1.41×	1.76
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (+0.5)	41.7%	43.1%	59.7%	0.72×	2.32
Torpedo Kutaisi (-1.5)	37.4%	37.0%	18.3%	2.02×	2.71
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (-0.5)	20.7%	21.7%	34.3%	0.63×	4.61
Torpedo Kutaisi (-2.5)	19.9%	17.4%	9.0%	1.94×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede	89.9%	86.3%	75.3%	1.15×	1.16
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet	10.1%	13.7%	24.7%	0.56×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede in 1st half	62.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet in 1st half	37.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to concede in 2nd half	72.9%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheet in 2nd half	27.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.4%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 2.5 goals	85.1%	87.9%	86.3%	1.02×	1.14
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	71.0%	1.01×	1.39
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 goals	61.7%	63.4%	66.0%	0.96×	1.58
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 goals	38.3%	36.6%	34.0%	1.08×	2.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	29.0%	0.97×	3.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 2.5 goals	14.9%	12.1%	13.7%	0.89×	8.25
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.6%	5.3%	0.48×	38.71

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Samgurali Tskhaltubo under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Samgurali Tskhaltubo over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.91

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores equally in both	39.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores more in 2nd half	38.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores more in 1st half	22.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (away no bet)	73.5%	68.5%	61.1%	1.12×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.5%	31.5%	38.9%	0.81×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo even goals	53.5%	52.8%	54.3%	0.97×	1.89
Samgurali Tskhaltubo odd goals	46.5%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.2%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.4%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 2+ in a row	56.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 3+ in a row	27.3%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 2+ in a row	25.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.79

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.9%	7.4%	11.7%	0.63×	13.53
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	11.3%	0.65×	13.53
Any other score	9.3%	7.4%	3.3%	2.22×	13.53
2-0	7.0%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.54
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	3.0%	2.46×	13.54
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.54
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.54
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.54
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.54
0-0	3.4%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	57.56
0-1	2.9%	1.7%	9.7%	0.18×	57.57
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.57
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.57
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	57.58
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	57.57
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	57.58
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	57.57
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	57.58
3-2	4.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.56
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.57
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.61×	57.58
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.56
4-1	4.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.56
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.21×	57.57
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.57
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.21×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (2nd half DNB)	68.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2nd half DNB)	31.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi leading at HT (DNB)	70.2%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT (DNB)	29.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (1X)	79.3%	75.4%	65.7%	1.15×	1.33
Torpedo Kutaisi or Samgurali Tskhaltubo (12)	79.0%	75.4%	74.3%	1.01×	1.33
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (X2)	41.7%	46.4%	59.7%	0.78×	2.16

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw at HT	80.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Torpedo Kutaisi or Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT	64.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw at HT	54.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (1UP)	79.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw (1UP)	42.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw in 2nd half	77.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Torpedo Kutaisi or Samgurali Tskhaltubo in 2nd half	70.9%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Samgurali Tskhaltubo or draw in 2nd half	51.7%	54.5%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	46.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	53.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (DNB)	73.8%	71.1%	54.0%	1.32×	1.41
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (DNB)	26.2%	28.9%	46.0%	0.63×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score first	61.2%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score first	35.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.8%	57.7%	54.3%	1.06×	1.73
Not both teams to score	33.2%	42.3%	45.7%	0.93×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.9%	46.8%	43.0%	1.09×	2.14
Not both score & under 2.5	21.1%	28.4%	37.0%	0.77×	3.53
Not both score & over 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	9.0%	1.36×	8.15
Both score & under 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	11.7%	0.72×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.5%	80.1%	87.0%	0.92×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	25.5%	19.9%	13.0%	1.53×	5.03

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	15.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.8%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	31.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.4%	41.9%	23.7%	1.77×	2.39
2-3 goals	39.4%	35.0%	47.3%	0.74×	2.86
0-1 goals	11.7%	17.1%	26.3%	0.65×	5.83
7+ goals	7.4%	7.7%	3.3%	2.30×	13.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.8%	37.3%	0.96×	2.80
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 0	26.5%	27.6%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.5%	20.7%	1.09×	4.44
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score 3+	14.9%	13.0%	13.7%	0.95×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 3+	40.1%	35.3%	15.0%	2.36×	2.83
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.1%	26.7%	0.98×	3.83
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 1	23.2%	23.4%	34.3%	0.68×	4.28
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 0	10.1%	14.3%	24.7%	0.58×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi leading at HT	45.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	35.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Samgurali Tskhaltubo leading at HT	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: 2	41.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: 1	37.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: X	20.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:1)	41.7%	42.5%	59.7%	0.71×	2.35
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:1)	37.4%	37.3%	18.3%	2.04×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	20.9%	24.4%	22.3%	1.09×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:2)	62.6%	67.5%	81.7%	0.83×	1.48
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:2)	19.9%	15.0%	9.0%	1.67×	6.66
Draw (0:2)	17.5%	15.0%	9.7%	1.55×	6.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:3)	80.1%	85.2%	91.0%	0.94×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.9%	10.0%	5.7%	1.77×	9.97
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:3)	8.9%	5.9%	3.7%	1.61×	16.90

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (0:4)	91.1%	94.4%	96.3%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.8%	2.3%	2.06×	20.78
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	1.7%	0.74×	81.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (1:0)	79.3%	78.1%	65.7%	1.19×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	21.0%	0.61×	7.85
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (1:0)	8.8%	7.0%	13.7%	0.51×	14.28

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (2:0)	91.2%	93.7%	86.3%	1.09×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.6%	8.3%	0.79×	15.25
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (2:0)	2.9%	2.4%	5.7%	0.43×	41.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede	73.5%	73.2%	71.0%	1.03×	1.37
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet	26.5%	26.8%	29.0%	0.93×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede in 1st half	41.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede in 2nd half	54.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet in 2nd half	45.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.2%	75.3%	1.16×	1.15
Torpedo Kutaisi under 3.5 goals	80.2%	81.9%	93.7%	0.87×	1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 goals	66.7%	67.9%	41.3%	1.64×	1.47
Torpedo Kutaisi under 2.5 goals	59.9%	58.6%	85.0%	0.69×	1.71
Torpedo Kutaisi over 2.5 goals	40.1%	41.4%	15.0%	2.76×	2.42
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 goals	33.3%	32.1%	58.7%	0.55×	3.11
Torpedo Kutaisi over 3.5 goals	19.8%	18.1%	6.3%	2.86×	5.53
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.8%	24.7%	0.52×	7.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 in 1st half	74.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 in 1st half	25.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi scores more in 2nd half	43.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Torpedo Kutaisi scores more in 1st half	28.1%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
Torpedo Kutaisi scores equally in both	28.0%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.4%	51.5%	42.8%	1.20×	1.94
Samgurali Tskhaltubo (home no bet)	49.6%	48.5%	57.2%	0.85×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi even goals	50.5%	50.4%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Torpedo Kutaisi odd goals	49.5%	49.6%	44.3%	1.12×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-1	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-1	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT	38.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	7.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Samgurali Tskhaltubo at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score last	61.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score last	35.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 1 at any time	73.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 2 at any time	46.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 1 at any time	42.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 3 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	59.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.8%	83.3%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.9%	83.3%	70.7%	1.18×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.3%	68.3%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	66.9%	68.9%	79.0%	0.87×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.6%	63.1%	48.7%	1.30×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.3%	60.7%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.2%	53.4%	46.3%	1.15×	1.87
1-3 goals	47.8%	48.5%	65.7%	0.74×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.4%	43.6%	23.7%	1.84×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.7%	1.13×	2.29
2-3 goals	39.4%	39.3%	47.3%	0.83×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.0%	35.3%	21.3%	1.66×	2.83
1-2 goals	26.6%	30.6%	40.7%	0.75×	3.26
5-6 goals	22.2%	24.8%	10.3%	2.40×	4.03
7+ goals	7.4%	9.0%	3.3%	2.69×	11.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi never behind	53.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Samgurali Tskhaltubo never behind	22.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	53.7%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	46.3%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.3%	87.4%	73.7%	1.19×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	94.3%	0.87×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	86.7%	0.84×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	70.0%	72.4%	51.7%	1.40×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	51.1%	53.0%	73.3%	0.72×	1.89
Over 3.5 goals	48.9%	47.0%	26.7%	1.76×	2.13
Under 2.5 goals	30.0%	27.6%	48.3%	0.57×	3.62
Over 4.5 goals	29.7%	27.6%	13.3%	2.07×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	5.7%	3.15×	5.60
Under 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.6%	26.3%	0.48×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.72

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.9%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.7%	86.6%	66.2%	1.31×	1.16
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.6%	80.5%	93.9%	0.86×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	63.3%	61.7%	84.6%	0.73×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.0%	61.6%	35.6%	1.73×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.0%	38.4%	64.4%	0.60×	2.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	36.7%	38.3%	15.4%	2.49×	2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.4%	19.5%	6.1%	3.18×	5.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.3%	13.4%	33.8%	0.40×	7.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.1%	7.6%	3.4%	2.23×	13.12

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to score in both halves	77.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Torpedo Kutaisi not to score in both halves	54.3%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Torpedo Kutaisi to score in both halves	45.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to score in both halves	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.8%	60.1%	54.3%	1.11×	1.66
Only Torpedo Kutaisi scores	23.1%	22.0%	21.3%	1.03×	4.54
Only Samgurali Tskhaltubo scores	6.7%	7.1%	17.0%	0.42×	14.02
Neither team scores	3.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.53

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.4%	25.3%	0.89×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.6%	13.7%	1.28×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	18.3%	17.6%	22.3%	0.79×	5.70
6 or more goals	15.8%	17.5%	5.7%	3.10×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	13.9%	12.0%	8.0%	1.51×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	8.3%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.83
Exactly 0 goals	3.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.20

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.3%	—	—	6.53

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	25.2%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	12.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win both halves	95.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Torpedo Kutaisi not to win both halves	77.9%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Torpedo Kutaisi to win both halves	22.1%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win both halves	4.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.38

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win either half	71.7%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win neither half	62.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win either half	37.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Torpedo Kutaisi to win neither half	28.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samgurali Tskhaltubo not to win to nil	93.3%	92.1%	83.0%	1.11×	1.09
Torpedo Kutaisi not to win to nil	76.9%	78.3%	78.7%	1.00×	1.28
Torpedo Kutaisi to win to nil	23.1%	21.7%	21.3%	1.02×	4.62
Samgurali Tskhaltubo to win to nil	6.7%	7.9%	17.0%	0.47×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi by 1	20.9%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
Draw	21.0%	24.2%	25.7%	0.94×	4.14
Torpedo Kutaisi by 3+	19.9%	16.9%	9.0%	1.88×	5.92
Torpedo Kutaisi by 2	17.5%	16.9%	9.7%	1.75×	5.92
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 1	11.9%	11.7%	21.0%	0.56×	8.52
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 2	5.9%	7.3%	8.3%	0.87×	13.74
Samgurali Tskhaltubo by 3+	2.9%	2.8%	5.7%	0.50×	35.53