Toulouse v Paris Saint Germain — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 15 February 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425
Ligue 1
xG
Shots
14 – 20
On target
4 – 6
Shots in box
10 – 8
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.69 – 1.01
Goals − xG
-1.20 – -2.06
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Toulouse 1.20 xGParis Saint Germain 3.06 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Toulouse attacking right
Paris Saint Germain attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Toulouse |
Frank Magri | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 3' |
Toulouse |
Zakaria Aboukhlal | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 4' |
 Paris Saint Germain |
Lee Kang-In | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Bradley Barcola |
| 11' |
Toulouse |
Shavy Babicka | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Zakaria Aboukhlal |
| 13' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Fabián | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 13' |
Toulouse |
Charlie Cresswell | 0.19 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Aron Dønnum |
| 18' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Lucas Hernández | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 19' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Désiré Doué | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Senny Mayulu |
| 24' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Lee Kang-In | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 26' |
Toulouse |
Zakaria Aboukhlal | 0.28 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Aron Dønnum |
| 28' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Achraf Hakimi |
| 31' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Fabián |
| 34' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Beraldo | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
| 36' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.48 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Désiré Doué |
| 36' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 36' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.32 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Fabián |
| 43' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Fabián | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Lee Kang-In |
| 45' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Achraf Hakimi | 0.14 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Désiré Doué |
| 45' |
Toulouse |
Zakaria Aboukhlal | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Shavy Babicka |
| 46' |
Toulouse |
Aron Dønnum | 0.06 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 46' |
Toulouse |
Charlie Cresswell | 0.12 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Vincent Sierro |
| 49' |
Toulouse |
Aron Dønnum | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Ümit Akdag |
| 51' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Fabián | 0.77 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 51' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Senny Mayulu | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Beraldo |
| 51' |
Paris Saint Germain |
William Pacho | 0.12 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Lee Kang-In |
| 57' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Lee Kang-In | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Bradley Barcola |
| 59' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Désiré Doué | 0.34 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | — |
| 60' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 61' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.33 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Fabián |
| 61' |
Toulouse |
Zakaria Aboukhlal | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Shavy Babicka |
| 71' |
Toulouse |
Rafik Messali | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Aron Dønnum |
| 75' |
Toulouse |
Charlie Cresswell | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Aron Dønnum |
| 87' |
Toulouse |
Zakaria Aboukhlal | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Rafik Messali |
| 90' |
Toulouse |
Aron Dønnum | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriel Suazo |
Players
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Désiré Doué MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.62 | 1.27 |
| Achraf Hakimi DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.40 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.79 |
| Senny Mayulu MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.35 |
| Beraldo DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.77 |
| Lucas Hernández DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Matvey Safonov GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Bradley Barcola FWL | 76 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1.28 | 0.06 | 1.58 |
| Fabián MC | 65 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.81 | 0.73 | 1.15 |
| Lee Kang-In FWR | 65 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| William Pacho DC | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Ousmane Dembélé Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Marquinhos Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Vitinha Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gonçalo Ramos Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| João Neves Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Toulouse
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakaria Aboukhlal ML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 0.27 |
| Charlie Cresswell DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Aron Dønnum DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr. MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Gabriel Suazo DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| Jaydee Canvot DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shavy Babicka MR | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Ümit Akdag DC | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| Frank Magri FW | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Vincent Sierro MC | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| Kjetil Haug Sub | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Guillaume Restes GK | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rafik Messali Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| Mark McKenzie Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Noah Edjouma Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Djibril Sidibe Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |