Tromso v Hamarkameratene — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627
NOR-Eliteserien
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (245 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-0 10.6%
- 1-1 10.2%
- 2-1 9.9%
- 1-0 9.7%
- 3-0 7.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 57.7% | Under 2.5 | 42.3% |
| BTTS yes | 53.8% | BTTS no | 46.2% |
| Tromso 1+ | 87.3% | Tromso 2+ | 61.1% |
| Hamarkameratene 1+ | 61.0% | Hamarkameratene 2+ | 24.3% |
Expected goals 2.06 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Tromso carry the stronger rating, 1630 Elo against 1484.
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Tromso have an estimated 60.7% win probability, against 21.1% for the draw and 18.2% for Hamarkameratene. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.06 for Tromso and 0.94 for Hamarkameratene.
Why Tromso
Tromso carry the stronger rating, 1630 Elo against 1484. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.1%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.
Why Hamarkameratene can win
Nothing in the data singles out Hamarkameratene.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Tromso, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hamarkameratene, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Tromso: 49% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hamarkameratene: 54% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Tromso are the model's most likely outcome at 60.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 10.6%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.06–0.94 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.14–0.83 | 2-0 12% | 57% | 50% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to win | 66.8% | 65.9% | 49.0% | 1.35× | 1.52 |
| Draw | 20.3% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 1.23× | 4.07 |
| Hamarkameratene to win | 12.9% | 13.6% | 31.3% | 0.43× | 7.34 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso & not both score | 37.8% | 32.8% | 24.1% | 1.36× | 3.04 |
| Tromso & both teams score | 29.1% | 25.5% | 25.1% | 1.01× | 3.93 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 0.88× | 7.55 |
| Hamarkameratene & both teams score | 6.8% | 8.4% | 16.8% | 0.50× | 11.95 |
| Hamarkameratene & not both score | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 0.57× | 11.95 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.62× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso & over 1.5 | 56.4% | 54.5% | 41.2% | 1.32× | 1.84 |
| Tromso & over 2.5 | 44.7% | 40.0% | 34.7% | 1.15× | 2.50 |
| Tromso & under 3.5 | 40.2% | 40.0% | 28.0% | 1.43× | 2.50 |
| Tromso & over 3.5 | 26.6% | 25.9% | 21.2% | 1.22× | 3.86 |
| Tromso & under 2.5 | 22.1% | 21.6% | 14.5% | 1.49× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.24× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.24× | 5.57 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 0.86× | 7.77 |
| Tromso & under 1.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 1.60× | 7.78 |
| Hamarkameratene & over 1.5 | 9.2% | 8.0% | 26.4% | 0.30× | 12.56 |
| Hamarkameratene & under 3.5 | 9.8% | 8.0% | 19.4% | 0.41× | 12.56 |
| Hamarkameratene & over 2.5 | 7.4% | 8.0% | 21.5% | 0.37× | 12.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.54× | 12.57 |
| Hamarkameratene & under 2.5 | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 0.79× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 0.86× | 20.52 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 0.86× | 20.52 |
| Hamarkameratene & under 1.5 | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 0.94× | 20.53 |
| Hamarkameratene & over 3.5 | 3.1% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 0.40× | 20.53 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (1UP) | 77.5% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Hamarkameratene (1UP) | 30.0% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (2UP) | 66.8% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Hamarkameratene (2UP) | 12.9% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.46 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to win 2nd half | 54.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
| 2nd half drawn | 31.0% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Hamarkameratene to win 2nd half | 15.0% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (+0.5) | 87.1% | 88.3% | 68.7% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Hamarkameratene (+2.5) | 77.1% | 78.3% | 85.5% | 0.92× | 1.28 |
| Tromso (-0.5) | 66.8% | 68.7% | 49.0% | 1.40× | 1.46 |
| Hamarkameratene (+1.5) | 56.7% | 56.9% | 72.0% | 0.79× | 1.76 |
| Tromso (-1.5) | 43.3% | 43.1% | 28.0% | 1.54× | 2.32 |
| Hamarkameratene (+0.5) | 33.2% | 31.3% | 51.0% | 0.61× | 3.20 |
| Tromso (-2.5) | 22.9% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 1.50× | 4.61 |
| Hamarkameratene (-0.5) | 12.9% | 11.7% | 31.3% | 0.37× | 8.58 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene to concede | 88.2% | 86.2% | 80.3% | 1.07× | 1.16 |
| Hamarkameratene clean sheet | 11.8% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 0.70× | 7.26 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene to concede in 1st half | 60.2% | 64.6% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Hamarkameratene clean sheet in 1st half | 39.8% | 35.4% | — | — | 2.83 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene under 6.5 corners | 88.8% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Hamarkameratene under 5.5 corners | 80.7% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Hamarkameratene under 4.5 corners | 68.9% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Hamarkameratene over 2.5 corners | 65.2% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Hamarkameratene under 3.5 corners | 53.1% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Hamarkameratene over 3.5 corners | 46.9% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Hamarkameratene under 2.5 corners | 34.8% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Hamarkameratene over 4.5 corners | 31.1% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Hamarkameratene over 5.5 corners | 19.3% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| Hamarkameratene over 6.5 corners | 11.2% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.76 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene under 3.5 goals | 99.0% | 97.4% | 93.5% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Hamarkameratene under 2.5 goals | 94.8% | 92.2% | 82.6% | 1.12× | 1.09 |
| Hamarkameratene under 1.5 goals | 79.7% | 76.1% | 63.0% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| Hamarkameratene over 0.5 goals | 56.6% | 59.0% | 71.0% | 0.83× | 1.70 |
| Hamarkameratene under 0.5 goals | 43.4% | 41.0% | 29.0% | 1.41× | 2.44 |
| Hamarkameratene over 1.5 goals | 20.3% | 23.9% | 37.0% | 0.64× | 4.19 |
| Hamarkameratene over 2.5 goals | 5.2% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 0.45× | 12.81 |
| Hamarkameratene over 3.5 goals | 1.0% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 0.40× | 38.87 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.5% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Hamarkameratene under 0.5 in 1st half | 71.6% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Hamarkameratene over 0.5 in 1st half | 28.4% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.17 |
| Hamarkameratene over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.5% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.91 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (away no bet) | 76.7% | 74.0% | 71.1% | 1.04× | 1.35 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 23.3% | 26.0% | 28.9% | 0.90× | 3.85 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene even goals | 59.4% | 56.9% | 52.9% | 1.08× | 1.76 |
| Hamarkameratene odd goals | 40.6% | 43.1% | 47.2% | 0.91× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.7% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.3% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 68.9% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 31.1% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 64.2% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Tromso to score 2+ in a row | 56.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 30.0% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Tromso to score 3+ in a row | 27.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Hamarkameratene to score 2+ in a row | 13.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.22 |
| Hamarkameratene to score 3+ in a row | 2.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 39.21 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso corners (+3.5) | 93.0% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Tromso corners (+2.5) | 88.5% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Tromso corners (+1.5) | 82.0% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (+3.5) | 68.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (+2.5) | 58.6% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Tromso corners (-1.5) | 52.3% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (+1.5) | 47.7% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Tromso corners (-2.5) | 41.4% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Tromso corners (-3.5) | 31.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (-1.5) | 18.0% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (-2.5) | 11.5% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Hamarkameratene corners (-3.5) | 7.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 47.1% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 24.7% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 82.0% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.3% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 67.1% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 63.8% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 57.6% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 52.9% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 47.1% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42.4% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 36.2% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 32.9% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 24.7% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.0% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 11.7% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.69× | 8.80 |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 1.41× | 8.81 |
| 1-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.77× | 13.53 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.53 |
| 3-0 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.78× | 13.54 |
| 3-1 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.19× | 13.54 |
| Any other score | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.54 |
| 0-0 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.43× | 13.54 |
| 2-2 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 57.56 |
| 2-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 57.57 |
| 2-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.34× | 57.58 |
| 3-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 57.57 |
| 3-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 57.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.35× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 57.56 |
| 4-1 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.61× | 57.56 |
| 4-2 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.34× | 57.57 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.35× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.35× | 57.58 |
| 0-1 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.34× | 57.56 |
| 0-2 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.34× | 57.57 |
| 0-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 57.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.35× | 57.58 |
| 1-2 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 57.56 |
| 1-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.56× | 57.57 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.84× | 57.58 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso leading at HT (DNB) | 79.1% | 78.1% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Hamarkameratene leading at HT (DNB) | 20.9% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.57 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso or draw (1X) | 87.1% | 86.4% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Tromso or Hamarkameratene (12) | 79.7% | 75.4% | 80.1% | 0.94× | 1.33 |
| Hamarkameratene or draw (X2) | 33.2% | 34.1% | 51.0% | 0.67× | 2.94 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso or draw at HT | 87.1% | 88.1% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Tromso or Hamarkameratene at HT | 61.8% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Hamarkameratene or draw at HT | 51.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso or draw (1UP) | 87.1% | 91.7% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Hamarkameratene or draw (1UP) | 33.2% | 38.9% | — | — | 2.57 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso or draw in 2nd half | 85.0% | 81.2% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Tromso or Hamarkameratene in 2nd half | 69.0% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Hamarkameratene or draw in 2nd half | 46.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.11 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 56.7% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Neither half drawn | 43.3% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (DNB) | 83.8% | 80.4% | 61.0% | 1.32× | 1.24 |
| Hamarkameratene (DNB) | 16.2% | 19.6% | 39.0% | 0.50× | 5.10 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to score first | 67.9% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Hamarkameratene to score first | 26.5% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 50.5% | 51.6% | 56.5% | 0.91× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 49.5% | 48.4% | 43.5% | 1.11× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 40.8% | 41.7% | 47.2% | 0.88× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 33.3% | 34.4% | 29.3% | 1.17× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 16.3% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 1.47× | 4.69 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 0.87× | 11.93 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 87.2% | 85.4% | 83.4% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 0.88× | 6.85 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 72.1% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 27.9% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.7% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.2% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.7% | 5.1% | — | — | 19.76 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.8% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.2% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 58.9% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 41.1% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 46.9% | 43.8% | 1.07× | 2.13 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.5% | 30.9% | 35.5% | 0.87× | 3.24 |
| 0-1 goals | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 1.13× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 0.55× | 53.81 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene to score exactly 0 | 43.4% | 37.2% | 29.0% | 1.28× | 2.69 |
| Hamarkameratene to score exactly 1 | 36.2% | 35.8% | 34.2% | 1.05× | 2.80 |
| Hamarkameratene to score exactly 2 | 15.1% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 0.98× | 5.12 |
| Hamarkameratene to score 3+ | 5.2% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 0.50× | 11.43 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to score 3+ | 36.1% | 35.5% | 26.7% | 1.33× | 2.81 |
| Tromso to score exactly 2 | 26.9% | 26.1% | 25.9% | 1.01× | 3.83 |
| Tromso to score exactly 1 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 28.2% | 0.93× | 3.83 |
| Tromso to score exactly 0 | 11.8% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 0.73× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso leading at HT | 48.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Draw at HT | 38.2% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Hamarkameratene leading at HT | 12.9% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.42 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso -1: 1 | 43.3% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Tromso -1: 2 | 33.2% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Tromso -1: X | 23.5% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (0:1) | 43.3% | 42.6% | 28.0% | 1.52× | 2.35 |
| Hamarkameratene (0:1) | 33.2% | 29.4% | 51.0% | 0.58× | 3.40 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.5% | 24.4% | 21.2% | 1.15× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene (0:2) | 56.7% | 63.3% | 72.0% | 0.88× | 1.58 |
| Tromso (0:2) | 22.9% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 1.38× | 5.00 |
| Draw (0:2) | 20.4% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 1.45× | 5.01 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene (0:3) | 77.1% | 80.4% | 85.5% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Draw (0:3) | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.44× | 9.94 |
| Tromso (0:3) | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 1.29× | 9.98 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene (0:4) | 89.9% | 91.7% | 92.2% | 0.99× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.04× | 20.72 |
| Tromso (0:4) | 3.8% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 0.36× | 81.57 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (1:0) | 87.1% | 86.2% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.8% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 0.47× | 14.28 |
| Hamarkameratene (1:0) | 4.0% | 3.5% | 16.8% | 0.21× | 28.70 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso (2:0) | 96.0% | 96.5% | 83.2% | 1.16× | 1.04 |
| Draw (2:0) | 3.1% | 2.4% | 9.1% | 0.27× | 41.32 |
| Hamarkameratene (2:0) | 0.9% | 2.4% | 8.0% | 0.30× | 41.43 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 47.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.6% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to concede | 56.6% | 60.7% | 71.0% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Tromso clean sheet | 43.4% | 39.3% | 29.0% | 1.35× | 2.55 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso clean sheet in 1st half | 71.6% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Tromso to concede in 1st half | 28.4% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso over 2.5 corners | 84.6% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Tromso over 3.5 corners | 72.2% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Tromso under 6.5 corners | 67.3% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Tromso over 4.5 corners | 58.3% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Tromso under 5.5 corners | 55.3% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Tromso over 5.5 corners | 44.7% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Tromso under 4.5 corners | 41.7% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Tromso over 6.5 corners | 32.7% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Tromso under 3.5 corners | 27.8% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Tromso under 2.5 corners | 15.4% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso over 0.5 goals | 88.2% | 87.2% | 80.3% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Tromso under 3.5 goals | 83.1% | 81.9% | 87.6% | 0.94× | 1.22 |
| Tromso under 2.5 goals | 63.9% | 63.3% | 73.3% | 0.86× | 1.58 |
| Tromso over 1.5 goals | 63.0% | 63.3% | 52.3% | 1.21× | 1.58 |
| Tromso under 1.5 goals | 37.0% | 36.7% | 47.7% | 0.77× | 2.73 |
| Tromso over 2.5 goals | 36.1% | 36.7% | 26.7% | 1.38× | 2.73 |
| Tromso over 3.5 goals | 16.9% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 1.45× | 5.53 |
| Tromso under 0.5 goals | 11.8% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 0.65× | 7.81 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso under 1.5 in 1st half | 76.5% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Tromso over 0.5 in 1st half | 60.2% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Tromso under 0.5 in 1st half | 39.8% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.81 |
| Tromso over 1.5 in 1st half | 23.5% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.36 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 61.2% | 59.9% | 38.9% | 1.54× | 1.67 |
| Hamarkameratene (home no bet) | 38.8% | 40.1% | 61.1% | 0.66× | 2.49 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso even goals | 50.7% | 50.4% | 53.9% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Tromso odd goals | 49.3% | 49.6% | 46.1% | 1.08× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 28.6% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| HT 1-0 | 26.2% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 2-0 | 12.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 13.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.00 |
| Any other HT score | 7.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.41 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.59 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.60 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.66 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso at HT / Tromso at FT | 43.6% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Draw at HT / Tromso at FT | 20.3% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Hamarkameratene at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT | 6.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.70 |
| Draw at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT | 5.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Tromso at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.76 |
| Hamarkameratene at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Hamarkameratene at HT / Tromso at FT | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.81 |
| Tromso at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT | 1.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to score last | 68.0% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Hamarkameratene to score last | 26.3% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.72 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.3% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Tromso to lead by 1 at any time | 77.5% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 56.7% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Tromso to lead by 2 at any time | 49.4% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Hamarkameratene to lead by 1 at any time | 30.0% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 27.3% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Tromso to lead by 3 at any time | 25.8% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Hamarkameratene to lead by 2 at any time | 7.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.10 |
| Hamarkameratene to lead by 3 at any time | 1.5% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.88 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso most corners | 63.4% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Hamarkameratene most corners | 26.5% | 31.1% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Corners level | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 87.4% | 87.0% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.0% | 78.5% | 79.0% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 76.3% | 78.5% | 73.1% | 1.07× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.1% | 72.2% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.2% | 63.1% | 60.4% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 59.7% | 59.3% | 56.5% | 1.05× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 53.9% | 53.4% | 58.3% | 0.92× | 1.87 |
| 3-5 goals | 49.0% | 48.5% | 53.6% | 0.90× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 48.4% | 43.8% | 1.11× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.1% | 39.3% | 39.6% | 0.99× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 37.3% | 39.3% | 33.7% | 1.17× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.5% | 35.3% | 35.5% | 1.00× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 26.6% | 30.6% | 30.8% | 0.99× | 3.26 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 0.80× | 6.64 |
| 7+ goals | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 0.76× | 38.87 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso never behind | 64.3% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Hamarkameratene never behind | 16.9% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.39 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.8% | 50.9% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 51.2% | 49.1% | 48.4% | 1.01× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.3% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.7% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.0% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.0% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.3% | 92.2% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.09 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.9% | 92.2% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.0% | 82.1% | 78.0% | 1.05× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% | 82.1% | 82.1% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65.3% | 66.0% | 61.4% | 1.07× | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% | 58.5% | 61.4% | 0.95× | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.9% | 41.5% | 38.6% | 1.08× | 2.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% | 34.0% | 38.6% | 0.88× | 2.94 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19.8% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 1.00× | 5.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.0% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 0.81× | 5.60 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.81 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.83 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.6% | 97.1% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.0% | 92.4% | 90.7% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 78.4% | 75.8% | 73.6% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 74.3% | 72.3% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 55.3% | 55.2% | 50.0% | 1.10× | 1.81 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 44.7% | 44.8% | 50.0% | 0.90× | 2.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 25.7% | 27.7% | 22.5% | 1.23× | 3.61 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 21.6% | 24.2% | 26.4% | 0.91× | 4.14 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 0.82× | 13.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.81× | 35.06 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 86.8% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 71.4% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 64.2% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 35.8% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 28.6% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 13.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.07 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 81.9% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.2% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.5% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.5% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 24.8% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.1% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene not to score in both halves | 88.8% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Tromso not to score in both halves | 57.6% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Tromso to score in both halves | 42.4% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Hamarkameratene to score in both halves | 11.2% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.10 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 50.5% | 54.2% | 56.5% | 0.96× | 1.84 |
| Only Tromso scores | 37.8% | 39.7% | 24.1% | 1.65× | 2.52 |
| Only Hamarkameratene scores | 6.1% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 0.48× | 14.03 |
| Neither team scores | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.38× | 14.03 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.1% | 22.4% | 21.0% | 1.07× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 0.97× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 1.04× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 0.93× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.9% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 0.55× | 12.82 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.83 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.84 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 51.5% | 51.4% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.4% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.1% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.80 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene not to win both halves | 98.0% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Tromso not to win both halves | 73.5% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Tromso to win both halves | 26.5% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
| Hamarkameratene to win both halves | 2.0% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.44 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso to win either half | 76.3% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Hamarkameratene to win neither half | 74.0% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Hamarkameratene to win either half | 26.0% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
| Tromso to win neither half | 23.7% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamarkameratene not to win to nil | 93.9% | 92.1% | 85.2% | 1.08× | 1.09 |
| Tromso not to win to nil | 62.2% | 67.0% | 75.9% | 0.88× | 1.49 |
| Tromso to win to nil | 37.8% | 33.0% | 24.1% | 1.37× | 3.03 |
| Hamarkameratene to win to nil | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 0.54× | 12.65 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso by 1 | 23.5% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 1.14× | 4.14 |
| Tromso by 3+ | 22.9% | 24.2% | 14.5% | 1.67× | 4.14 |
| Tromso by 2 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 1.76× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 20.3% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 1.21× | 4.14 |
| Hamarkameratene by 1 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.49× | 13.73 |
| Hamarkameratene by 2 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 9.1% | 0.31× | 35.53 |
| Hamarkameratene by 3+ | 0.9% | 2.8% | 8.0% | 0.35× | 35.59 |